Investment Rating - The investment rating for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (1164 HK) is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 2.00 [7][8]. Core Views - The company has issued a profit warning, expecting a net profit of HKD 317 to 367 million for 2024, representing a year-on-year decline of 26% to 35%. This is primarily due to the accrual of dividend withholding tax and losses from the termination of operations related to the Fission acquisition. However, the tax-adjusted operating profit is expected to grow by 41% to 50%, reaching HKD 790 to 840 million, driven by rising uranium prices [1][2]. - The report expresses optimism regarding the recovery of uranium prices, supported by policies promoting nuclear energy in the US and Europe, which are expected to create a supply-demand gap that will drive prices upward in the medium to long term [1][3]. Summary by Sections Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2024 has been revised down by 35% to HKD 0.05 per share, while the EPS for 2025 and 2026 remains at HKD 0.10 and HKD 0.14 respectively. The target price is set at HKD 2.00, based on a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 20x for 2025 [4][12]. Revenue and Profitability - The projected revenue for 2024 is HKD 9,919 million, with a year-on-year growth of 34.72%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be HKD 364.07 million, reflecting a decrease of 26.76% compared to 2023. The company anticipates a recovery in profitability with a projected net profit of HKD 764.89 million in 2025 [6][17]. Uranium Market Outlook - The spot price of uranium is expected to stabilize, having dropped from USD 76 to USD 65 per pound, while long-term contract prices have increased to USD 81 per pound, indicating ongoing supply-demand tensions in the industry. Key drivers for future uranium demand include regulatory changes in the US and potential shifts in Germany's nuclear policy [3][4].

证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 03 月 12 日 珍酒李渡（06979.HK） 五十年酿一壶好酒，启新程攀世界一流 | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 5856 | 7030 | 7501 | 8274 | 9254 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 14.8 | 20.1 | 6.7 | 10.3 | 11.8 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1029.87 | 2327.08 | 1592.45 | 2005.12 | 2414.22 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -0.2 | 126.0 | -31.6 | 25.9 | 20.4 | | ROE（%） | -27.0 | 18.4 | 11.2 | 12.3 | 12.9 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 0.30 | 0.69 | 0.47 | 0.59 | 0.71 | | P/E（倍） | 24.9 | 11.0 | 16.1 | 12.8 | 10.6 | ...

证券研究报告 友邦保险 (1299 HK) 版 服 酒 2024: NBV 稳健增长,回购小幅延续 | 华泰研究 | | --- | | 2025 年 3 月 14 日 中国香港 | 友邦保险 2024年EPS USD0.62，高于我们的预测 USD0.56, 主要因投资 收益超预期:24年友邦新业务价值同比提升 18%(不变汇率),表现稳定; 每股营运利润同比提升 12%（不变汇率），表现较好。维持"买入"。 假设调整影响大陆市场 NBV 增速 2024 年友邦新业务价值(NBV)同比提升 18%(不变汇率,下同),主要 由大中华市场的高速增长带动。2024年中国香港市场 NBV 同比增长 23%， 其中内地访客和本地居民分别+22%/24%,在高基数下展现出增长韧性。中 国大陆市场 NBV 同比增长 20%,公司下调了大陆市场长期利率假设,在不 调整基数的情况下 4Q24 大陆市场 NBV 下滑 9%。考虑到友邦经营地域持 续扩张,我们看好友邦中国未来的增长潜力。此外,东南亚市场也保持稳健 增长,2024 年友邦泰国/新加坡/马来西亚 NBV 分别同比增长 15%/15%/10%。我们预计 2025年 N ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price not specified [4] Core Viewpoints - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 10.07 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.6%, with a net profit of 1.15 billion RMB, also up by 19.5% [1] - The gross margin is reported at 41.5%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points, while the net profit margin remains stable at 11.4% [1] - The company has established a leading position in children's sportswear, leveraging professional layouts and product innovations to achieve resilient growth [2] - The offline retail performance is strong, with a high double-digit growth in Q1 and a steady 10% growth in subsequent quarters [1][2] - E-commerce sales reached 2.61 billion RMB, marking a 12.2% increase, with online exclusive products accounting for 83.6% of total retail [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 10.07 billion RMB and a net profit of 1.15 billion RMB, both reflecting a growth of approximately 19.6% and 19.5% respectively [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected at 0.556 RMB, with a dividend payout of 0.265 HKD, representing a payout ratio of 45% [1] Product and Market Development - The children's segment generated 2.34 billion RMB, accounting for 23.2% of total revenue, with children's footwear and apparel growing by 17.4% and 22.6% respectively [2] - The company has expanded its product line to cater to the 16-year-old demographic and has launched a children's racing series to meet market demands [2] Channel Optimization - The company operates 5,750 stores with an average size of 149 square meters, focusing on expanding in lower-tier cities [3] - The introduction of the 361º Super Store format aims to enhance customer experience and capture new market opportunities [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for AIA Group Limited (01299.HK) [8] Core Insights - AIA Group reported a strong performance with a 18% year-on-year increase in New Business Value (NBV) and announced a new share buyback plan of $1.6 billion [8] - The company achieved a net profit of $6.84 billion, reflecting an 84% year-on-year growth, with a significant increase of 133% in the second half of the year [8] - The embedded value reached $69 billion, up 4% year-on-year, with an operating return on embedded value increasing by 2.0 percentage points to 14.9% [8] - The expected final dividend per share is 130.98 Hong Kong cents, a 10% increase compared to the previous year [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total insurance revenue for 2023 was $17.514 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 7.32% [8] - After-tax operating profit for 2023 was $6.213 billion, showing a decline of 3.24% year-on-year [8] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 was $0.35, with projections for 2024 at $0.64 [8] New Business Value (NBV) - The annualized new premium (ANP) for 2023 was $8.61 billion, up 14% year-on-year [8] - The total NBV for the year was $4.71 billion, reflecting an 18% increase [8] - The NBV margin improved by 1.9 percentage points to 54.5% [8] Regional Performance - NBV in Hong Kong increased by 23% to $1.76 billion, accounting for 34.8% of the total [8] - NBV in mainland China reached $1.22 billion, up 20% year-on-year [8] - The "New Malaysia Thailand" region also showed positive growth in NBV, with increases of 15%, 10%, and 15% respectively [8] Investment Strategy - The company has shifted its investment strategy, reducing fixed income allocation to 71.1% while increasing equity allocation to 22.3% [8] - The net investment yield for the year was 4.0%, with a total investment return of 4.9% [8] Capital Management - AIA Group has completed its previous $12 billion share buyback program and plans to implement a new $1.6 billion buyback plan within 2025 [8] - The current stock price corresponds to 1.12 times the estimated price-to-embedded value (PEV) for 2025, indicating a low valuation with a high margin of safety [8]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·保险(HS) 友邦保险（01299.HK） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 2025 年 03 月 15 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 股价走势 -25% -18% -11% -4% 3% 10% 17% 24% 31% 38% 45% 2024/3/15 2024/7/14 2024/11/12 2025/3/13 友邦保险 恒生指数 市场数据 | 收盘价(港元) | 61.25 | | --- | --- | | 一年最低/最高价 | 45.25/74.60 | | 市净率(倍) | 16.39 | | 港股流通市值(百万港 | 655,019.43 | | 元) | | 2024 年年报点评：NBV 表现出色同比+18%， 加推 16 亿美元股份回购计划 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 保险 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months [3][14]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 6.646 billion RMB, a decline of 15.8% year-on-year, primarily due to the slowdown in the telecommunications industry and cost-cutting measures by operator clients [1]. - Traditional business revenue, particularly from BSS, is under pressure, with a forecasted revenue of 4.046 billion RMB for 2024, down 18.9% year-on-year [1]. - New business segments (OSS, vertical industries, and smart operations) generated 2.599 billion RMB in revenue, a decrease of 10.3%, but their contribution to total revenue increased by 2.4 percentage points to 39.1% [1]. - The company is focusing on expanding its AI model delivery business, which is expected to grow significantly, with projected revenues of 200-300 million RMB in 2025 [2]. - The company plans to replicate its domestic BSS and OSS experiences in overseas markets, engaging with operators in Hong Kong and the Philippines [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a gross profit of 2.484 billion RMB, a decrease of 16.5%, resulting in a gross margin of 37.4% [1]. - Net profit for 2024 is expected to be 545 million RMB, with a net profit margin of 7.8% [1]. - The company anticipates a recovery in net profit to 636 million RMB in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 16.8% [3]. Revenue Projections - Revenue for 2025 is estimated to reach 7.191 billion RMB, representing an 8.2% increase from 2024 [4]. - The company expects a double-digit growth in OSS business revenue in 2025, driven by trends in operator consolidation and resource integration [1][2]. Dividend Policy - The company has announced a total dividend of 0.412 HKD per share for 2024, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 3.18 per share [5]. Core Insights - The company is leveraging AI technology to enhance its core business operations, aiming for high-quality and efficient growth [1][2]. - The deployment of the proprietary "Li Hong AI System" is expected to improve operational efficiency and customer service customization [2]. - The company has shown strong performance in overseas markets, with significant revenue growth, particularly in the overseas segment [3]. Financial Summary - The company reported a revenue of HKD 944.01 million for FY2022, with projected revenues of HKD 1,368.11 million for FY2024 and HKD 2,049.96 million for FY2026, reflecting a growth rate of 15.3% in FY2022 and an expected 23.0% in FY2026 [4][10]. - The net profit for FY2022 was HKD 69.40 million, with projections of HKD 89.05 million for FY2024 and HKD 162.88 million for FY2026, indicating a growth rate of 16.9% in FY2022 and an expected 35.5% in FY2026 [4][10]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to be around 42.6% by FY2026, with a net profit margin of 7.9% [4][10]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 10.90 in FY2022 to 4.76 in FY2026, indicating increasing earnings relative to the stock price [4][10]. Business Performance - The company achieved a revenue of HKD 340 million in the Greater China region for H1 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.8%, while overseas revenue reached HKD 270 million, a significant increase of 47.2% [3]. - The overseas business now accounts for 47% of total revenue, highlighting the company's successful expansion strategy [3]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its brand recognition in overseas markets, particularly in Singapore, where it has seen rapid growth [3].

2025 年 3 月 14 日 公司研究 24 年业绩较快增长，期待继续强化核心竞争力 ——361 度（1361.HK）2024 年业绩点评 买入（维持） 当前价：4.49 元港币 作者 分析师：姜浩 执业证书编号：S0930522010001 021-52523680 jianghao@ebscn.com 分析师：孙未未 执业证书编号：S0930517080001 021-52523672 sunww@ebscn.com 分析师：朱洁宇 执业证书编号：S0930523070004 021-52523842 zhujieyu@ebscn.com | 市场数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(亿股) | 20.68 | | 总市值(亿港元)： | 92.84 | | 一年最低/最高(港元)： | 3.15/4.85 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 21.4% | 股价相对走势 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 24/01 24/02 24/03 24/04 24/05 24/06 24/07 24/08 24/09 24/10 24/11 24/12 25 ...

汽车 2025 年 03 月 14 日 小鹏汽车-W(9868.HK) 新款G6爆款潜力大，加速全场景智驾平权 推荐（维持） 股价：95.5 元(港币) 主要数据 | 行业 | 汽车 | | --- | --- | | 公司网址 | www.xiaopeng.com | | 大股东/持股 | | | 实际控制人 | 何小鹏 | | 总股本(百万股) | 1900.45 | | 流通 A 股(百万股) | | | 流通 B/H 股(百万股) | | | 总市值（亿元） | 1675.60 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿元) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 16.86 | | 资产负债率(%) | 58.10 | | 行情走势图 | | 证券分析师 公司举办 2025 小鹏汽车春季发布会，上市 2025 款小鹏 G6 和 2025 款小鹏 G9 两款新车，其中 2025 款小鹏 G6 共推出 3 款配置车型，售价 17.68 万~19.88 万元，2025 款小鹏 G9 同样推出 3 款配置车型，售价 24.88 万~27.88 万元。 平安观点： | | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025 ...