证券研究报告 公司点评 回天新材(300041.SZ) 基础化工｜ 化学制品 竞争加剧拖累业绩，逆势扩张静待收获 2025 年 05 月 16 日 | 评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | | 评级变动 维持 | | 交易数据 | | | 当前价格（元） | 8.97 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | 6.99-10.19 | | 总市值（百万） | 5018.12 | | 流通市值（百万） | 4883.51 | | 总股本（万股） | 55943.40 | 涨跌幅比较 | 37% | 回天新材 | | 化学制品 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 17% | | | | | | -3% | | | | | | -23% 2024-05 | 2024-08 | 2024-11 | 2025-02 | 2025-05 | | % | | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 回天新材 | | 8.60 | 3.94 | 14.12 | | 化学制品 | | 4.44 | 1.63 | -6.16 | 周策 分析师 执业证书编号:S0530519020001 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025 年 05 月 15 日 | | --- | | 评级 | 增持 | | --- | --- | | | 评级变动 首次 | | 交易数据 | | | 当前价格（元） | 15.70 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | 6.43-15.95 | | 总市值（百万） | 4570.78 | | 流通市值（百万） | 2683.05 | | 总股本（万股） | 29113.27 | | 流通股（万股） | 17089.47 | 周策 分析师 涨跌幅比较 % 1M 3M 12M 一诺威 37.24 52.13 129.53 化学制品 6.60 2.04 -5.47 -25% 25% 75% 125% 2024-05 2024-08 2024-11 2025-02 一诺威 化学制品 执业证书编号:S0530519020001 zhouce67@hnchasing.com 相关报告 资料来源： iFinD ，财信证券 投资要点： 此报告 考 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 公司为国内专业的聚氨酯原材料及 EO、PO 其他下游衍生物系列产品 规模化生产企业，主要从事聚氨酯原材料及 EO、PO ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company is expected to see a recovery in net profit margin in 2025, following a significant adjustment phase in its store operations [1][3] - The company achieved a revenue of 24.062 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.53%, and a net profit of 1.529 billion yuan, up 8.26% year-on-year [1][4] - The company has a robust store expansion strategy, with 2,512 new stores added in 2024, which is anticipated to drive long-term revenue growth [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 6.843 billion yuan, a 2.14% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 418 million yuan, up 1.28% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company recorded revenue of 6.009 billion yuan, a 0.64% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 449 million yuan, up 10.51% year-on-year [1] Growth Potential - The company added 94 new stores in Q1 2025, with a net increase of 10 stores compared to the end of 2024, indicating a potential slowdown in store closures [2] - The company has a wide coverage of medical insurance qualifications, with 10,300 out of 10,872 direct chain stores qualified, which is expected to enhance its ability to capture market opportunities from prescription outflow [2] Profitability - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 40.12%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, with specific margins for traditional Chinese medicine and non-drug products also showing improvements [3] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 6.87%, a slight decrease, but it is projected to recover to 8.21% in Q1 2025, indicating a positive trend in profitability [3] Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 26.920 billion yuan, 30.834 billion yuan, and 34.079 billion yuan, with respective growth rates of 11.88%, 14.54%, and 10.53% [4][10] - The expected net profit for the same period is 1.758 billion yuan, 2.092 billion yuan, and 2.333 billion yuan, with growth rates of 15.00%, 19.00%, and 11.53% respectively [4][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for the company with a target price of —— yuan over the next six months [1][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.708 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 229 million yuan, up 14.8% year-on-year [1][6]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 390 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.3%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 22.0% [1][6]. - The gross profit margin is steadily increasing, with a focus on humanoid robot development [1][6]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 37.7% and a net margin of 13.4%, with slight improvements in gross margin in Q1 2025 to 38.1% [6][8]. - The company’s servo system revenue reached 810 million yuan in 2024, growing by 10.6% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 24.5% [6][7]. - The PLC business generated 650 million yuan in revenue in 2024, up 21.1% year-on-year, maintaining a high gross margin of 56% [6][7]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.946 billion yuan, 2.225 billion yuan, and 2.512 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 13.92%, 14.34%, and 12.91% [2][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow to 276 million yuan in 2025, 347 million yuan in 2026, and 436 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 20.61%, 25.83%, and 25.76% respectively [2][8]. Business Segment Analysis - The company is actively developing humanoid robots and plans to establish production lines for core components [6][7]. - The smart device segment, including machine vision and industrial robots, generated 40 million yuan in revenue in 2024, with a gross margin of 34.4% [6][7]. - The PLC market is expected to see increased domestic replacement rates, with the company aiming to capture a larger market share from foreign competitors [6][7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Buy" based on expected profit growth and current valuation levels [3][7]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing growth driven by the new energy sector, with a focus on expanding into overseas markets and downstream applications [2]. - In 2024, the revenue from new energy vehicle products is expected to account for approximately 55% of total revenue, with solar energy (including storage) contributing about 23% and industrial control about 15% [2]. - The company has achieved significant growth in net profit for Q1 2025, indicating a trend of profit recovery [2]. - The establishment of a subsidiary in Hungary aims to tap into the overseas new energy market, with projected overseas revenue of 1.005 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting an 8.09% year-on-year increase [2]. Financial Performance Summary - For the full year of 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue of 4.772 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.99%, and a net profit of 1.039 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.48% [1][5]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.204 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.78%, and a net profit of 264 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.61% [1][5]. - The gross margin for 2024 is expected to decrease to 33.37%, down 5.18 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin is projected at 21.84%, down 4.65 percentage points year-on-year [1][5]. Financial Forecasts - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 1.33 billion yuan and 1.6 billion yuan, respectively, with an expected net profit of 1.91 billion yuan in 2027 [3]. - The projected revenue growth rates for the upcoming years are 22.92% for 2025, 15.40% for 2026, and 16.26% for 2027 [5][11].

电力设备 | 证券研究报告 — 调整盈利预测 2025 年 5 月 16 日 300763.SZ 买入 原评级：买入 市场价格:人民币 55.51 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 (3.5) 14.0 0.8 (4.9) 相对深圳成指 (3.8) 7.8 5.0 (8.4) 发行股数 (百万) 399.33 流通股 (百万) 321.51 (28%) (10%) 9% 28% 46% 65% May-24 Jun-24 Jul-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Mar-25 Apr-25 May-25 锦浪科技 深圳成指 | 流通股 (百万) | 321.51 | | --- | --- | | 总市值 (人民币 百万) | 22,167.00 | | 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 百万) | 744.88 | | 主要股东 | | | 王一鸣 | 25.03% | 资料来源：公司公告， Wind ，中银证券 以 2025 年 5 月 9 日收市价为标准 相关研究报告 《锦浪科技》20240904 ...

公司报告 | 季报点评 天赐材料（002709） 证券研究报告 电解液格局有望出清，新品类加大投入 公司 2024 年年度和 2025 年第一季度经营情况如下： 2024Y 实现营收 125.2 亿元，YOY-18.74%；归母净利润 4.8 亿元，YOY-74.4%； 扣非归母净利润 3.8 亿元，YOY-79.08%。 2025Q1 实现营收 34.9 亿元，YOY+41.64% ；归母净利润 1.5 亿元， YOY+30.8%；扣非归母净利润 1.34 亿元，YOY+33.35%。 电解液业务竞争仍然激烈，市场有望持续出清。中国新能源汽车渗透率突 破 50%，锂电池材料行业需求进入平稳时期，电解液市场整体增速放缓， 整个锂电池上下游产业链以消化库存和减缓资本开支为主；并且随着未来 市场供大于求的趋势逐渐演变，预计未来一到两年行业仍然维持较为激烈 的竞争关系，落后产能将持续出清。 公司在高能量密度、高电压、超充、高功率、高安全、低成本及长寿命电 解液的开发上展现出显著的研发优势，并且同时具备较大的市场产能和与 下游头部客户的深度绑定关系，预计在行业出清后集中度将持续提升，竞 争力进一步加强。 产品迭代新品 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company demonstrated robust performance with a revenue of 43.03 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 791 million yuan, up 44% [1] - The company is focusing on professional development in outsourcing services, having added 30 large clients in 2024, with 14 being private enterprises [2] - The company is expected to benefit from close cooperation with leading technology firms, with optimistic trends in subsidies and strong performance certainty for 2025 [3] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the revenue from various services was as follows: outsourcing services 36.05 billion yuan (+14%), personnel management services 990 million yuan (-9%), compensation and benefits services 1.2 billion yuan (+5%), and recruitment and flexible employment 4.34 billion yuan (+13%) [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is expected to be 1.154 billion yuan, 983 million yuan, and 1.086 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.2X, 11.9X, and 10.8X [4] - Adjusted net profits excluding one-time gains from asset disposals are projected to be 870 million yuan, 980 million yuan, and 1.09 billion yuan for 2025-2027, indicating growth rates of 10.4%, 12.5%, and 10.5% respectively [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Rongsheng Petrochemical is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The refining industry is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with significant improvements in the company's performance in Q1 2025. The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 588 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 486.62%, and a non-recurring net profit of 618 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 736.04% [6][38] - The report anticipates that the company's revenue for 2025-2027 will be 352.59 billion yuan, 370.22 billion yuan, and 388.73 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 1.96 billion yuan, 4.12 billion yuan, and 6.26 billion yuan respectively. The expected EPS for the same period is 0.19 yuan, 0.41 yuan, and 0.62 yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 45.0, 21.4, and 14.1 times [6][39] Summary by Sections 1. Refining Industry Recovery - The crude oil cracking margin reached a low point in Q4 2024 but stabilized and began to recover in 2025. The average cracking margin was 1,231 yuan/ton in Q4 2024 and increased to 1,452 yuan/ton in Q1 2025, with further improvement expected in Q2 2025 [16][39] 2. Policy Impact on Fuel Oil - New policies regarding fuel oil have been introduced, including an increase in the import tax rate from 1% to 3% starting January 1, 2025. This is expected to increase processing costs for companies reliant on imported fuel oil, potentially leading to a gradual exit of marginal refining capacity from the industry [7][28] 3. Company’s Integrated Operations - Rongsheng Petrochemical is a leading producer of polyester, new energy materials, engineering plastics, and high-value-added polyolefins. The company has a globally leading integrated refining capacity, processing 40 million tons of crude oil annually. Strategic cooperation with Saudi Aramco has further solidified its market position [31][34] 4. Financial Forecasts and Investment Recommendations - The report has adjusted the revenue forecasts for 2025 downwards while introducing new forecasts for 2026 and 2027. The expected revenue and net profit figures indicate a strong recovery trajectory for the company, reinforcing the "Buy" rating [39]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company's core business remains stable, with a focus on shareholder returns. In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 9.857 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.24%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.030 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 25.84% due to a one-time adjustment related to deferred tax assets [1][6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 6.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 614 million yuan, which accounts for approximately 59.61% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [1][6] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the publishing business generated revenue of 3.269 billion yuan, up 3.37% year-on-year, while the distribution business brought in 8.056 billion yuan, a 0.68% increase. The materials sales business saw a revenue decline of 1.77% to 1.785 billion yuan, and the printing business grew by 2.80% to 594 million yuan [4][6] - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.916 billion yuan, a 1.04% increase, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 110 million yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 234.61% [1][6] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain stable growth in its core business over the next three years, with projected revenues of 10.122 billion yuan, 10.365 billion yuan, and 10.594 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6][7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 1.317 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 27.86% [6][7] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively pursuing digital transformation and enhancing its technological capabilities, including smart upgrades to printing equipment and the development of digital education platforms [4][6] - The company has been awarded a contract for the supply of free textbooks for compulsory education in Henan Province from 2024 to 2027, which is expected to contribute to stable growth in related business segments [4][6]