证券研究报告·公司点评报告·环境治理 高能环境（603588） 战略进军矿业，协同资源化打开第二成长曲 线 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 10,580 | 14,500 | 15,061 | 16,244 | 17,552 | | 同比（%） | 20.58 | 37.04 | 3.87 | 7.85 | 8.05 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 504.64 | 481.82 | 803.26 | 909.25 | 1,051.34 | | 同比（%） | (27.13) | (4.52) | 66.72 | 13.19 | 15.63 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.69 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 20.53 | 21.50 | 12.89 | 11.39 | 9.85 | [Table_Tag] [Table ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, with a target price of 21.18 CNY per share [2][8]. Core Insights - The company reported steady revenue growth in Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching 21.76 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 7.78%. However, the net profit for the same quarter decreased by 6.10% to 1.33 million CNY [2][8]. - The company is transitioning into a sleep technology enterprise, enhancing its product matrix with AI-driven solutions. It has expanded its distribution channels both domestically and internationally, including entry into the Middle East market [8]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 35.6%, reflecting a slight decline due to increased promotional activities. The net profit margin for the quarter was 6.1%, down by 0.9 percentage points year-on-year [8]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenues of 619.6 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 3.68%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 39.9 million CNY, up 6.45% year-on-year [2][4]. - The financial forecasts indicate a projected revenue growth from 8,729 million CNY in 2024 to 10,462 million CNY by 2027, with corresponding net profits expected to rise from 322 million CNY to 644 million CNY over the same period [4][9]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.88 CNY in 2024 to 1.75 CNY in 2027, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 22 to 11 over the same timeframe [4][9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of approximately 4.019 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 44%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was about 33 million yuan, a decrease of 47% year-on-year, with the non-recurring net profit also declining by 47% [5][6]. - In Q3 2025, the revenue was approximately 1.384 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 35% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 3%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was about 11 million yuan, down 52% year-on-year and 23% quarter-on-quarter, with the non-recurring net profit decreasing by 59% year-on-year and 29% quarter-on-quarter [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the gross profit margin was approximately 10.9%, a decrease of 5.1 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 2025, the gross profit margin was about 9.3%, down 7.1 percentage points year-on-year. This decline is primarily due to the increased proportion of low-margin viscose short fibers [12]. - The company’s expense ratio for the first three quarters was approximately 8.2%, a decrease of 3.4 percentage points year-on-year. The expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial expenses all saw year-on-year declines [12]. Industry Dynamics - The carbon fiber industry is experiencing a recovery in demand, with significant sales growth. The industry’s capacity utilization rate has increased from approximately 48% to 62% since March, indicating a recovery in production levels [12]. - The potential supply in the carbon fiber industry remains high, but the introduction of policies to curb disorderly production may benefit the mid-term market structure. The long-term growth of carbon fiber is supported by increasing penetration in wind energy and automotive industries [12]. Profit Forecast - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated to be 60 million, 160 million, and 220 million yuan, respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 176, 60, and 44 times. The potential recovery in carbon fiber prices could enhance profitability [12].

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨长海股份（300196.SZ） [Table_Title] 销量延续高增，盈利相对稳健 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 长海股份发布 2025 年三季报：前三季度实现收入 23.59 亿元，同比增长 24%，归属净利润 2.57 亿元，同比增长 27%，扣非净利润 2.65 亿元，同比增长 46%。单 3 季度实现收入 9.04 亿元， 同比增长 33%，环比增长 31%，归属净利润 0.84 亿元，同比增长 4%，环比下降 8%，扣非净 利润 0.88 亿元，同比增长 33%，环比下降 3%。 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 范超 张佩 董超 SAC：S0490513080001 SAC：S0490518080002 SAC：S0490523030002 SFC：BQK473 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 公司发布 2025 年三季报：前三季度实现收入 23.59 亿元，同比增长 24%，归属净利润 2.57 亿 元，同比增长 27%，扣非净利润 2 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Insights - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders reached 198 million yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 278% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 272%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 214 million yuan, up 478% year-on-year and 3058% quarter-on-quarter [2][4] Summary by Relevant Sections Lithium Business Performance - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in Q3 2025 was 73,000 yuan per ton, up 12% quarter-on-quarter, while the average price of battery-grade lithium hydroxide was 68,700 yuan per ton, up 6% quarter-on-quarter. The company experienced a significant increase in lithium salt product sales, achieving a record high for quarterly sales due to effective market strategy adjustments and strong customer feedback [11][11] - The company has improved its lithium ore self-sufficiency rate through the production of lithium concentrate from its Zimbabwe Kamativi lithium mine, positively impacting the cost structure of lithium salt products [11] Civil Explosives Business Performance - The civil explosives business showed stable overall performance in the first three quarters of 2025, although total production and sales value declined due to intensified market competition and falling product prices. The company expanded its sales channels and saw significant growth in civil explosive product exports, contributing to stable profitability in this segment [11] Solid-State Battery Development - The company is actively advancing the research and industrialization of key raw materials for solid-state batteries, achieving significant progress in the synthesis and mass production technology of lithium sulfide, a core material for solid electrolytes. The new synthesis process developed by the company has shown advantages in material cost, purity, and particle size control [11] Future Outlook - Both the lithium and civil explosives businesses are expected to experience growth turning points, with a shift towards collaborative development. The company anticipates substantial improvements in profitability and growth potential, driven by rising lithium prices and increased self-supply from its lithium resources, alongside efforts to expand its civil explosives business domestically and internationally [11]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company for the first time [4] Core Views - The global upgrade of disposable hygiene products is transitioning from "internal competition" to "external competition," accelerating the overseas expansion of non-woven fabric manufacturing. The company is positioned to benefit from this trend, with a global supply chain already established [4][39] - The overseas market for absorbent hygiene products is projected to have a market space of approximately $7.16 billion, which is over three times the domestic market size [5][34] Summary by Sections Industry Logic - The upgrade of global absorbent hygiene products is driven by the transition from spunbond non-woven fabrics to hot air non-woven fabrics, benefiting upstream suppliers and indicating a reversal of current challenges [5][9] - Since 2021, cross-border brands have played a pivotal role in reshaping the overseas market landscape, prompting global giants to accelerate product upgrades [5][19] Company Logic - The company is a leading supplier of non-woven fabric for disposable hygiene products, with a strong position in the global supply chain and a focus on high-end products that align with current market demands [39][40] - The company has a competitive edge due to its advanced manufacturing processes and established relationships with major clients, which have been built over more than a decade [49] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue is expected to grow from 14.85 billion yuan in 2024 to 18 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 23%. Net profit is projected to increase significantly from 0.27 billion yuan in 2024 to 0.5 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 95% year-on-year growth [4][5] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.08 yuan in 2024 to 0.16 yuan in 2025, indicating strong profitability potential [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company with a target price of 10.8 yuan per share, indicating an expected upside of 11.6% [2][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.16 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17.2%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 54 million yuan, a decrease of 32.9% year-on-year. For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue reached 8.03 billion yuan, up 13.9% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 121 million yuan, down 21.1% year-on-year [2][7]. - Extreme weather conditions have negatively impacted visitor numbers and revenue, particularly in key tourist areas like Wuzhen and Gubei Water Town, leading to significant declines in both visitor numbers and profits [2][7]. - The company is making steady progress in integrated marketing and travel agency operations, maintaining profitability while servicing high-profile events and corporate marketing activities [2][7]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: The company is projected to achieve total revenues of 11.61 billion yuan in 2025, 12.18 billion yuan in 2026, and 12.64 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.6%, 4.9%, and 3.8% respectively [2][8]. - **Net Profit Forecasts**: Expected net profits attributable to shareholders are forecasted at 140 million yuan in 2025, 186 million yuan in 2026, and 210 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of -13.0%, 33.4%, and 12.7% respectively [2][8]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS is projected to be 0.19 yuan in 2025, 0.26 yuan in 2026, and 0.29 yuan in 2027 [2][8]. - **Valuation Ratios**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 49 in 2025, 37 in 2026, and 33 in 2027, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratio remains stable at 1.1 [2][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for Jiuan Medical (002432) with a target price of 53 CNY, while the current price is 41.63 CNY [4][8]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1.069 billion CNY, a decrease of 48.89% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.589 billion CNY, an increase of 16.11% [2][8]. - The decline in revenue is primarily attributed to a significant drop in government orders for reagent kits, which decreased by 860 million CNY compared to the same period last year [8]. - The C-end reagent kit business showed a quarter-on-quarter revenue increase in Q3 2025, reaching 304 million CNY, up 17.8% from Q2, driven by sales growth in the iHealth product series and internet medical services [8]. - The asset management business contributed significantly to profits, with net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 reaching 1.589 billion CNY, exceeding the revenue of 1.069 billion CNY, mainly from investment income and fair value changes totaling 1.814 billion CNY [8]. - The company is actively promoting the development of new products, including Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM), a four-in-one test kit, and AI smart hearing aids, with the latter expected to enhance patient convenience and reduce costs [8]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the projected net profit attributable to the parent company is 2.341 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 40.3%, and the earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 5.04 CNY [4][8]. - The company's total revenue is forecasted to decline to 1.411 billion CNY in 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 45.6%, before recovering to 1.610 billion CNY in 2026 [4][8]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 8 for 2025 and 7 for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical levels [4][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company has demonstrated steady growth in both revenue and profit, with a revenue of 2.37 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.5%, and a net profit of 320 million yuan, up 12.6% year-on-year [1] - The hydraulic components business has shown remarkable performance, with a revenue of 990 million yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a 51.8% year-on-year increase [2] - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is expected to further boost demand for the company's products, particularly in rock breaking and excavation operations [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 810 million yuan, a 23.6% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 110 million yuan, up 29.7% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 30.6%, down 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 14.1%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [1] Business Segments - The hydraulic components segment is a key growth driver, with significant revenue growth, while the breaker hammer business saw a decline of 17.4% year-on-year [2] - Other products, including hard alloy tools and industrial robots, experienced a revenue decline of 34.3% [2] Market Outlook - The recovery of the engineering machinery industry is anticipated to drive demand for hydraulic components and accessories, positioning the company favorably as a leader in the hydraulic hammer and components market [2] - The ongoing construction of large-scale hydropower projects is expected to enhance the demand for the company's specialized products [3] Earnings Forecast - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 419 million yuan, 506 million yuan, and 608 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.50 yuan, 0.61 yuan, and 0.73 yuan [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the company, highlighting optimism regarding the launch of innovative products and overseas expansion [1]. Core Insights - The company's revenue faced short-term pressure due to the consumption environment, with Q3 2025 revenue at RMB 570 million, down 21.3% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at RMB 300 million, down 34.6% year-on-year [2][8]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue was RMB 1.86 billion, a decrease of 21.5% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.09 billion, down 31.1% year-on-year [2][8]. - The company has strong R&D capabilities and is focusing on the acquisition of South Korea's REGEN, which is expected to significantly contribute to revenue and profit in 2026 [3][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a net profit margin of 52.4%, down 12.1 percentage points year-on-year [2][8]. - The expense ratios increased due to profitability pressure, with sales expense ratio at 11.0% (+2.1 pp), administrative expense ratio at 4.9% (+0.2 pp), and R&D expense ratio at 10.1% (+3.3 pp) for the first three quarters of 2025 [2][9]. Strategic Developments - The proposed acquisition of an 85% stake in REGEN for USD 190 million is expected to enhance the company's product portfolio with two marketed products: AestheFill and PowerFill [3][10]. - The company has also received approval for its minoxidil liniment, which will further enrich its product matrix [3][10].