市场数据：2026 年 2 月 5 日 收盘价（元/股）： 15.44 年内最高/最低（元/ 股）： 流通 A 股/总股本（亿 股）： 流通 A 股市值（亿元）： 914.65 总市值（亿元）： 1,549.79 资料来源：常闻 基础数据：2025 年 9 月 30 日 胡博 执业登记编码：S0760522090003 邮箱：hubo1@sxzq.com 程俊杰 执业登记编码：S0760519110005 邮箱：chengjunjie@sxzq.com 动力煤 兖矿能源（600188.SH） 买入-A(维持) 印尼煤出口暂停催化海外煤价，公司海外业务有望受益 2026 年 2 月 6 日 公司研究/公司快报 事件描述 2 月 3 日据财联社报道，印尼矿业官员表示，由于印尼政府提出大幅减 产计划，该国矿商已暂停现货煤炭出口。印尼主要行业协会反对此举，警告 称可能引发裁员和矿山关闭。 事件点评 | 基本每股收益(元/股)： | 0.71 | | --- | --- | | 摊薄每股收益(元/股)： | 0.71 | | 每股净资产(元/股)： | 14.24 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | 7.80 | | 资 ...

公司近一年市场表现 | 年 月 市场数据：2026 2 4 | 日 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元/股）： | | 71.56 | | 年内最高/最低（元/股）： | | 111.69/42.3 | | | | 0 | | 流通 A 股/总股本（亿股）： | | 5.73/5.79 | | 流通 股市值（亿元）： A | | 410.29 | | 总市值（亿元）： | | 414.28 | | 年 月 基础数据：2025 9 | 日 30 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元/股)： | | 2.51 | | 摊薄每股收益(元/股)： | | 2.51 | | 每股净资产(元/股)： | | 15.05 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | | 16.27 | | 资料来源：常闻 | | | 分析师： 陈玉卢 执业登记编码：S0760525050001 邮箱：chenyulu@sxzq.com 服务机器人 科沃斯（603486.SH） 买入-A(首次) 盈利能力改善，加速迈向多品类、全场景服务机器人 2026 年 2 月 5 日 公司研究/公司快报 ...

市场数据：2026 年 2 月 5 日 收盘价（元/股）： 15.44 年内最高/最低（元/ 股）： 流通 A 股/总股本（亿 股）： 流通 A 股市值（亿元）： 914.65 总市值（亿元）： 1,549.79 资料来源：常闻 基础数据：2025 年 9 月 30 日 | 基本每股收益(元/股)： | 0.71 | | --- | --- | | 摊薄每股收益(元/股)： | 0.71 | | 每股净资产(元/股)： | 14.24 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | 7.80 | | 资料来源：常闻 | | 分析师： 胡博 执业登记编码：S0760522090003 邮箱：hubo1@sxzq.com 程俊杰 执业登记编码：S0760519110005 邮箱：chengjunjie@sxzq.com 动力煤 兖矿能源（600188.SH） 买入-A(维持) 印尼煤出口暂停催化海外煤价，公司海外业务有望受益 2026 年 2 月 6 日 公司研究/公司快报 事件描述 2 月 3 日据财联社报道，印尼矿业官员表示，由于印尼政府提出大幅减 产计划，该国矿商已暂停现货煤炭出口。印尼主要行业协会反对此举，警告 称可能 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Qilu Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Qilu Bank reported a revenue growth of 5.12% year-on-year and a net profit attributable to shareholders growth of 14.58% for 2025, indicating accelerated revenue growth and improved net interest margin [5][6] - The bank's net interest income for 2025 reached 10.519 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.48% [5] - The asset quality indicators have shown continuous improvement for seven consecutive years, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.05% at the end of 2025, down 4 basis points from the end of Q3 2025 [5] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - Qilu Bank's stock performance over the last 12 months shows a 7.4% increase, while the CSI 300 index increased by 23.1% [4] - The current stock price is 5.92 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 36.43 billion yuan [4] Financial Metrics - For 2025, the bank's total assets grew by 16.65%, loans by 13.55%, and deposits by 11.37% compared to 2024 [5] - The bank's return on equity (ROE) for 2025 is 12.17%, a slight decrease of 0.35 percentage points year-on-year [5] Earnings Forecast - Revenue growth forecasts for 2025-2027 are 5.12%, 11.26%, and 10.99% respectively, while net profit growth forecasts are 14.58%, 17.44%, and 10.74% [6] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.11 yuan, 1.32 yuan, and 1.47 yuan respectively [6] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 5.32x, 4.49x, and 4.03x respectively, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratios are expected to be 0.65x, 0.59x, and 0.53x [6][7]

拟开展港股上市，加速公司全球化业务布局。为深化公司全球化战略布局，加 速海外业务拓展，构筑国际化资本运作平台，拓宽多元化融资渠道，有效增强 公司全球资源配置能力和国际市场竞争能力，助力公司深度参与全球数字支 付生态系统建设，公司已于 2025 年 11 月 25 日向香港联合交易所有限公司递 交了发行境外上市股份（H 股）并在香港联交所主板挂牌上市的申请，并于同 日在香港联交所网站上刊登本次发行上市的申请资料。该申请资料为公司按 照香港证券及期货事务监察委员会及香港联交所的要求编制和刊发，为草拟 版本，其所载资料可能会适时作出更新和修订。 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2026 02 06 年 月 日 新国都（300130.SZ） 年报业绩符合预期，软硬出海+港股上市加速全球化布局 具体事件：1 月 27 日，公司发布 2025 年度业绩预告，全年预计实现归属上 市公司股东的净利润 4 亿元~5 亿元，同比增加 70.79~113.49%；扣非后归 母净利润 3.5 亿元~4.5 亿元，同比下降 28.91~8.6%，业绩符合预期。 归母净利同比高增长，业绩符合市场预期。1）公司归属于 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2026 02 06 年 月 日 新国都（300130.SZ） 年报业绩符合预期，软硬出海+港股上市加速全球化布局 具体事件：1 月 27 日，公司发布 2025 年度业绩预告，全年预计实现归属上 市公司股东的净利润 4 亿元~5 亿元，同比增加 70.79~113.49%；扣非后归 母净利润 3.5 亿元~4.5 亿元，同比下降 28.91~8.6%，业绩符合预期。 归母净利同比高增长，业绩符合市场预期。1）公司归属于上市公司股东的净 利润较上年同期明显增长，主要系上年同期净利润受全资子公司涉税事项调 整及计提商誉减值等因素影响导致基数较低；2）扣除非经常性损益后的净利 润较上年同期下降，主要系上述国内收单业务影响及公司对跨境支付、人工智 能等新业务的投入加大所致。2025 年，公司预计非经常性损益影响归属于上 市公司股东的净利润约为 5,000 万元，主要来源于政府补助及理财收益。 硬件出海持续增长，自有品牌 PayKKa 交易额快速增长。1）支付硬件业务： 收入实现持续增长，毛利率保持稳定，战略性重点聚焦于海外市场发展，推动 全球化布局取得关键突破。 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2026 02 06 年 月 日 如成功实施将改善公司资产负债结构，同时大股东全额认购彰显信心，有 望维护夯实融资渠道。此前，公司于 2023 年成功实施定增，该次定增实 际募集资金 51.24 亿元，华发集团认购 14.6 亿元。本次定增若成功实施， 将改善公司资产负债结构，同时募投项目聚焦核心城市的保交房与高品质 住宅建设，助力巩固其在重点区域的市场竞争力。本次定增由控股股东以 现金方式全额认购，展现大股东对公司长期发展价值的坚定信心及资金实 力。自从万科债券展期事件发生以后，不同房企债券利差有不同程度扩大， 此次大股东的强力支持，有望加强债券投资者的信心，进一步维护和夯实 融资渠道。 公司 2025 年预计亏损，未来随着优质项目结转，业绩有望逐步企稳。公 司发布业绩预告，预计 2025 年营收保持增长，同比上升约 40%。预计 2025 年实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润-90 亿元到-70 亿元。预计 2025 年实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益后的净利润-70 亿元到- 50 亿元。2025 年出现亏损，主要原因是（1）总资产规模减少，符合 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][8]. Core Insights - The company's long-term value is rooted in its sustainable core competitiveness, with a focus on systematic low-cost capabilities [2]. - The company effectively collaborates across "people, money, and operations" to drive strategic implementation and boundary expansion [3]. - Overseas expansion and industry chain extension open up growth opportunities, enhancing the company's profitability stability and sustainability [4]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of between 125.68 billion and 234.88 billion yuan in 2026, and between 273 billion and 393 billion yuan in 2027. Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1344.18 billion, 1329.89 billion, and 1617.67 billion yuan respectively, with EPS of 2.84, 3.43, and 5.98 yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 16.5, 13.6, and 7.8 times [8][60]. Cost Advantages - The company has established a unique "reciprocal two-way breeding" system, achieving 100% self-supply of breeding pigs [7]. - In feed, the company has reduced soybean meal usage to below half the industry average, maintaining feed costs at 55%-60% of total costs [7][20]. - The company has lowered its breeding costs to approximately 11.3 yuan/kg, leading the industry [7]. Strategic Framework - The company has implemented a multi-tiered employee stock ownership plan and profit-sharing mechanisms to align interests between employees and the company [25][29]. - The financing strategy is closely aligned with strategic needs, with over 70% of funds from the 2019 private placement used for capacity expansion [7][33]. - Approximately 70% of funds are directed towards breeding projects, covering 24 provinces and establishing about 30 million heads of slaughter capacity [7][42]. Growth Opportunities - The company is expanding into the Southeast Asian market, particularly Vietnam, leveraging its management and technical capabilities through a light-asset cooperation model [4][49]. - The slaughter business has crossed the breakeven point, with capacity utilization rising from about 25% during the downturn to 88.1% by Q3 2025, contributing to profit growth [7][57]. Competitive Advantages - The company maintains a strong cash flow and has committed to a dividend payout ratio of no less than 40% from 2024 to 2026, ensuring shareholder interests are protected [7][32]. - The company has established a unique vertical integration model in its slaughter business, controlling all upstream supply from its own farms [54].

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment rating for Haitan Convertible Bonds, with an expected listing price range of 125.75 to 139.83 yuan, indicating a favorable outlook for investors [14][15]. Core Insights - Haitan Water Group is recognized as a leading enterprise in the environmental protection industry in China, with a focus on digital transformation and the establishment of a smart water management platform [17][32]. - The company has shown steady revenue growth since 2020, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.60% projected from 2020 to 2024, and an expected revenue of 1.519 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting an 18.95% year-on-year increase [17][23]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 305 million yuan in 2024, representing a 25.97% increase year-on-year, despite a slight decline in the overall net profit margin [17][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Convertible Bond Basic Information - Haitan Convertible Bonds (113700.SH) have a total issuance scale of 801 million yuan, with net proceeds allocated to various water supply and wastewater treatment projects [10][11]. - The bond has a maturity of 6 years, with a credit rating of AA/AA, and a face value of 100 yuan, featuring a tiered coupon rate from 0.10% to 2.00% over its lifespan [12][10]. 2. Investment Subscription Recommendations - The expected first-day trading price for Haitan Convertible Bonds is projected to be between 125.75 and 139.83 yuan, with an estimated conversion premium of around 30% [14][15]. - The bond's conversion price is set at 12.52 yuan per share, with the underlying stock closing at 12.78 yuan on February 4, 2026, leading to a conversion parity of 102.08 yuan [12][14]. 3. Underlying Stock Fundamental Analysis 3.1 Financial Data Analysis - Haitan Water Group has established a modern and diversified industrial system in water supply, wastewater treatment, and solid waste management, with a focus on operational efficiency and digitalization [17][32]. - The company has maintained a stable sales net profit margin, with figures ranging from 18.14% to 21.75% from 2020 to 2024, while the gross profit margin has shown slight fluctuations [20][27]. 3.2 Company Highlights - As one of the early entrants in the urban water supply and environmental management sector, Haitan Water Group has developed a competitive edge in project acquisition and operational management, contributing to its stable revenue growth and strong market position [32][17].

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2026 02 06 年 月 日 华发股份（600325.SH） 定增预计募集不超过 30 亿元，大股东全额认购展现强力支持 华发股份发布 2026 年度定增预案，预计募集资金不超过 30 亿元，定增 价格 4.21 元/股。华发股份发布定增预案，拟发行股份数量合计不超过 7.13 亿股，且不超过发行前公司总股本的 30%。预计募集资金总额不超 过 30 亿元人民币。发行对象为公司控股股东珠海华发集团有限公司（华 发集团），其将以现金方式全额认购。本次定增价格为定价基准日前 20 个 交易日公司 A 股股票交易均价，即元/股（4.212 月 3 日公告日当日收盘 价为 4.02 元）。募集资金用途方面，扣除发行费用后将全部用于珠海、绍 兴、成都、杭州等地的 9 个房地产开发项目（文末附用途明细表）。 如成功实施将改善公司资产负债结构，同时大股东全额认购彰显信心，有 望维护夯实融资渠道。此前，公司于 2023 年成功实施定增，该次定增实 际募集资金 51.24 亿元，华发集团认购 14.6 亿元。本次定增若成功实施， 将改善公司资产负债结构，同时募投项目聚焦 ...