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高盛:中国太阳能-低价持续
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-25 13:03
24 June 2025 | 2:17PM CST China Solar Lower for longer Bottom line: Profitability inflection to be pushed out due to slower demand growth and long run normalized earnings to stay low, but still on track to reach a cyclical bottom in 2025E. We believe China's solar industry is on track to reach a cyclical bottom in 2025E with improving supply/demand balance on back of larger capex cut by Group 1 players, but mid-to-long run normalized profitability will likely stay low in our view, given demand growth slowdo ...
高盛:特斯拉-特斯拉启动机器人出租车运营 -初步要点
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-24 02:28
Investment Rating - The report assigns a Neutral rating to Tesla Inc. with a 12-month price target of $285, indicating a potential downside of 18.3% from the current price of $348.68 [16][19]. Core Insights - The launch of Tesla's robotaxi operations is seen as a significant step towards addressing the autonomous vehicle (AV) rideshare market, with an estimated market size of approximately $7 billion in the U.S. by 2030 [13]. - Initial user feedback on the robotaxi rides has been largely positive, highlighting smooth driving experiences, although some navigation issues were reported [4][6]. - The comparison with Waymo indicates that Tesla's operational area and service hours are currently more limited, which may affect its competitive positioning in the AV market [7][10]. Summary by Sections Robotaxi Launch Performance - Initial rides have shown a good degree of drive smoothness, with users noting features like a customer support button and personalized preferences [4][6]. - A navigation error was reported where a vehicle incorrectly used a left turn lane, raising concerns about the technology's readiness [6][10]. Comparison with Waymo - Tesla's robotaxi operates in a smaller area and has limited hours (6 am to midnight) compared to Waymo's 24/7 service in a larger operational area [7][10]. - Pricing for Tesla's rides is set at a flat fee of $4.20, while Waymo's pricing varies like traditional Uber rides [7]. Scaling and Future Outlook - The presence of a Tesla employee in the vehicle and the reported navigation issues suggest that scaling will be slow in the near term [10]. - Regulatory developments will be crucial for the speed of scaling, with Texas recently signing a bill requiring permits for robotaxi operations [11]. - The report includes a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis for Tesla's robotaxi business, indicating a wide range of potential value per share depending on scaling and margin differentiation [14][16].
摩根士丹利:机器人最新报告
摩根· 2025-06-23 02:30
Investment Rating - The overall industry investment rating is "In-Line" for Technology - Software & Services in Europe [8] Core Insights - The report highlights several positive developments from the Hexagon LIVE conference, including the introduction of a humanoid robot named Aeon and a clearer strategy for Hexagon, although short-term earnings risks and a lack of clarity on the remaining Hexagon hinder a more constructive outlook [2][4] - RELX's partnership with Harvey is noted as a significant move in the legal AI sector, potentially reshaping the competitive landscape and keeping RELX at the forefront of Legal AI [3] - Informa reported a 7.9% underlying growth in its AGM update, indicating solid performance across the group [3] Company Summaries Hexagon - Key takeaways from Hexagon include the rebranding of ALI to Octave and the announcement of Aeon, a humanoid robot [2] - The report suggests a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation but expresses caution due to short-term earnings risks and strategic clarity [2] RELX - The partnership with Harvey is seen as a strategic advantage, positioning RELX favorably within the Legal AI market [3] Informa - Informa's AGM update reflects a strong underlying growth performance of 7.9%, indicating positive momentum for the company [3] Autodesk - The Architecture Billings Index (ABI) data for May 2025 shows cautious optimism with month-over-month improvement in billings demand, although overall demand remains in decline [5] monday.com - The company is moving upmarket and expanding its product offerings, which presents both risks and opportunities, leading to an equal-weight rating due to fair pricing at approximately 34x EV/FCF [6] Salesforce - Analysis suggests potential upside to FY27/FY28 due to recent price increases [6] Back-Office Sector - The report indicates that the back-office sector is likely to be one of the first beneficiaries of AI, with ERP upgrades catalyzed by AI technology [4]
摩根士丹利:中国新兴前沿-从轮式到步式- 汽车如何跨足人形机器人
摩根· 2025-06-23 02:10
Investment Rating - The report upgrades Sanhua to "Overweight" (OW) and Xusheng to "Equal Weight" (EW) based on their potential in the humanoid market and expected revenue recovery [6][27]. Core Insights - Humanoid robots are anticipated to create a third wave of growth for auto parts suppliers, following the previous waves driven by vehicle electrification and smartization [2][36]. - The report emphasizes the importance of companies with order visibility or business synergy in the emerging humanoid market [1][4]. Summary by Sections Humanoid Market Opportunity - The humanoid industry is still in its infancy, presenting significant growth potential for auto parts suppliers, particularly tier-1 suppliers like Sanhua and Tuopu, who are better positioned to capture this growth [5][26]. - The global humanoid market is estimated to reach US$5 trillion by 2050, with a notable US$0.8 trillion market in China [23][24]. Advantages for Auto Companies - Auto OEMs can leverage their expertise in autonomous driving and large-scale manufacturing to develop humanoid robots, which can initially operate in auto factories [4][21]. - Chinese humanoid parts suppliers have a cost advantage over their global counterparts, although their success may depend on geopolitical factors such as US import tariffs [4][24]. Company Ratings and Price Targets - Sanhua's price target is upgraded to RMB 30 from RMB 29, reflecting stronger revenue expectations and the potential for humanoid actuator module supply [30]. - Xusheng's price target is adjusted to RMB 12 from RMB 13, with expectations of modest revenue recovery amid competitive pressures [31]. - Tuopu remains rated OW, but its price target is reduced to RMB 63 from RMB 72 due to weaker shipments to overseas customers [32]. Historical Context and Growth Waves - The report outlines two previous growth waves in the auto industry: electrification (2021-22) and smartization (since 2022), which have significantly impacted the revenue and valuation of auto parts suppliers [36][42]. - The electrification wave saw China's NEV penetration rate increase from 15% in 2020 to 36% in 2022, while the smartization wave has driven up the adoption of advanced driving technologies [37][42].
摩根士丹利:迈瑞医疗_不走寻常路
摩根· 2025-06-23 02:10
June 18, 2025 05:02 PM GMT Medical Technology | North America Off the Beaten Path In this note we flag each week a handful of news drops that we think may have been missed / piqued our interest. [EW, MDT] Real-World Data in EMEA Favoring SAVR vs. TAVR In Younger Patients: A new study in Italy suggests that SAVR may be associated with more favorable mortality outcomes in intermediate surgical risk patients than TAVR, with curves decently below from about 1 year onwards (see below), which in theory is negativ ...
摩根大通:华明装备 - A_在全球变压器市场中被低估的参与者
摩根· 2025-06-23 02:09
J P M O R G A N Asia Pacific Equity Research 18 June 2025 This material is neither intended to be distributed to Mainland China investors nor to provide securities investment consultancy services within the territory of Mainland China. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. Huaming Equipment - A Alan Hon (852) 2800-8573 alan.hon@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited/ J.P. Morgan Broking (Hong Kong) Limi ...
高盛:中国金融-整体积极趋势下的选股差异_中金公司 - H 股(买入)与富途(中性)、恒生电子(买入)与东方财富_中国券商及资管机构
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-23 02:09
19 June 2025 | 7:30PM HKT China Brokers & Asset Managers Stock selection differences amid overall positive trend. CICC-H (Buy) and FUTU (Neutral), Hundsun (Buy) and East Since May, broker and fintech stocks (including FUTU, East Money and Hundsun) have performed well, with average returns of +27%/+9% vs. +8%/+3% for the H/A share index. Looking back at the factors that we mentioned could constrain broker and fintech valuations (see our May report), we believe positive changes on ADTV and turnover - which ar ...
汇丰:东方电气_持有_核电领域过热
汇丰· 2025-06-23 02:09
Dongfang Electric (1072 HK/600875 CH) H/A: Hold/Hold: Overheating on nuclear China We hosted a non-deal roadshow (NDR) zoom meeting with Dongfang Electric on 18 June 2025, to discuss investor questions about energy equipment prospects. DFE-H outperformed -A significantly: Dongfang Electric-H (DFE-H) has rallied 50% YTD, vs 6% for A shares. With this, the H/A discount of the company has hit a 10-year low of 26%. Apart from the better market and inflows overall YTD (HSI: +18%, CSI300: -2%), we believe H-share ...
花旗:石头科技-最新评级
花旗· 2025-06-23 02:09
Flash | 19 Jun 2025 10:02:24 ET │ 12 pages Beijing Roborock (688169.SS) Model Update CITI'S TAKE We update our model to reflect its better-than-expected sales and weaker-than-expected NP in 1Q25. We have lifted our sales forecasts by 33%/44% and trimmed NP forecasts by 20%/10% in 25E/26E, to reflect Roborock's plans to accelerate investment into its branding and new categories in 25E. After our earnings revision, we expect its 25E topline to surge 53% YoY and 25E NP to edge up 2% YoY. While we expect NP to ...
汇丰:兆易创新-最新研究
汇丰· 2025-06-23 02:09
19 June 2025 Equity Research Report Gigadevice Semiconductor (603986 CH) Buy: Unlocking the DRAM potential Positives are not fully priced in. Gigadevice's (GD) share price increased 11% in the past two months (CSI 300 up 3% over the same period); we attribute this positive performance to the recent price increase of DDR4 due to the exit of key suppliers. We expect further upside to the share price as we see more favourable supply- demand dynamics for specialty DRAM. We think the 3D DRAM business will be ano ...