证券代码：002440 证券简称：闰土股份 浙江闰土股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：RTIR-2026-006 投资者关系活动 类别 □特定对象调研 □分析师会议 □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 □新闻发布会 □路演活动 □现场参观 ☑ 其他 策略交流会 参与单位名称及 人员姓名 申万宏源（李绍程）、华泰柏瑞（丁续）、兴全基金（徐留明 周鑫）、 富国基金（沈衡）、交银施罗德（张明晓）、财通资管（郭齐坤）、 农银汇理（汤砚卿）。 时间 2026 年 3 月 4 日 下午 15:30-17:30 地点 上海浦东丽晶酒店 上市公司参加人 员姓名 副总经理、董事会秘书刘波平 投资者关系活动 主要内容介绍 交流的主要内容： 公司副总经理、董事会秘书刘波平先生就染料行业发展概况、染料市场 行情及公司经营方面的相关问题与投资者进行了交流。 1、染料行业竞争格局情况 答：我国已成为世界染料生产数量、贸易数量和消费数量的第一大国， 染料产量约占世界染料总产量的 70%-75%。国内染料主要产区在浙江省、江苏 省和山东省，行业集中度较高。 分散染料主要生产企业为浙江龙盛、闰土股份、吉华集团、安诺其等； 活性染料主要生产企业有闰 ...

证券代码：002440 证券简称：闰土股份 浙江闰土股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：RTIR-2026-005 投资者关系活动 类别 □特定对象调研 □分析师会议 □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 □新闻发布会 □路演活动 □现场参观 ☑ 其他 策略交流会 参与单位名称及 人员姓名 中邮证券（刘海荣）、安联基金（段一帆）、富国基金（黄彦东）、 国联安基金（储乐延）、嘉实基金（宋雪莹）、国寿安保（郭泳驿）、 永赢基金（林伟昊）、新华基金（刘龙龙）、东财基金（周威）、 富安达基金（路旭）、麻橙投资（谭飞）、永禧投资（郑敏）、 瓦洛兰投资（董骁）、松熙资产（刘沛显）。 时间 2026 年 3 月 3 日 下午 13:30-17:30 地点 上海金陵紫金山大酒店 上市公司参加人 员姓名 副总经理、董事会秘书刘波平 投资者关系活动 主要内容介绍 交流的主要内容： 公司副总经理、董事会秘书刘波平先生就染料行业发展概况、染料市场 行情及公司经营方面的相关问题与投资者进行了交流。 1、染料行业竞争格局情况 答：我国已成为世界染料生产数量、贸易数量和消费数量的第一大国， 染料产量约占世界染料总产量的 70%-75%。国内染料主 ...

| 3 月金股组合 | | | --- | --- | | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | | 0119.HK | 保利置业集团 | | 000099.SZ | 中信海直 | | 601872.SH | 招商轮船 | | 600352.SH | 浙江龙盛 | | 002409.SZ | 雅克科技 | | 002709.SZ | 天赐材料 | | 300760.SZ | 迈瑞医疗 | | 605338.SH | 巴比食品 | | 1579.HK | 颐海国际 | | 601888.SH | 中国中免 | | 689009.SH | 九号公司-WD | | 688630.SH | 芯碁微装 | | 市场指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌% | | 上证综指 | 4182.59 | 0.47 | | 深证成指 | 14465.79 | (0.20) | | 沪深 300 | 4728.67 | 0.38 | | 中小 100 | 8847.90 | 0.14 | | 创业板指 | 3294.16 | (0.49) | 证券研究报告——晨会聚焦 2026 年 3 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the potential for investment opportunities in commodities driven by geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, which may lead to rising prices for oil and precious metals in 2026 [2][5][6] - The A-share market is expected to experience short-term volatility due to geopolitical factors, but will likely refocus on domestic fundamentals and policy expectations in the medium term [3][15] - The report highlights a significant investment in AI applications by major domestic internet companies, indicating a competitive landscape focused on user habit formation and commercial viability [9][12] Market Overview - The report lists a "March Gold Stock Portfolio" featuring companies such as Poly Real Estate Group, CITIC Hanzhong, and Mindray Medical, indicating a focus on sectors like real estate, transportation, and healthcare [1][7] - The A-share market indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4162.88, up 0.39%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.06% [1] - The report notes that the steel industry performed well, with a 3.37% increase, while sectors like construction materials and telecommunications saw declines [1] Commodity Insights - The report anticipates that geopolitical events will significantly impact oil and certain petrochemical product prices, with a focus on the implications of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz [5][29] - It is projected that Brent crude oil prices could exceed $80 per barrel due to potential supply disruptions from Iran, with historical comparisons to the 2022 Ukraine conflict [5][29] - The chemical industry is advised to focus on low-valuation leading companies and sectors benefiting from price increases under the "anti-involution" policy [28][33] AI Industry Developments - Major domestic internet companies invested over 4.5 billion yuan in promoting AI applications during the Spring Festival, marking a shift towards practical applications and user engagement [9][12] - The report highlights the rapid evolution of domestic AI models, with significant advancements in performance and market application, indicating a dual development path towards general models and vertical industry applications [10][12] - Concerns about AI replacing human jobs are noted, but the report emphasizes that current AI capabilities are more about enhancement rather than replacement [11][12] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the AI sector and those involved in the development of general models and industry-specific AI agents, such as MINIMAX-WP and iFLYTEK [13][12] - It also recommends monitoring traditional chemical leaders that are adapting to new materials and benefiting from improving industry conditions [33]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [4][5]. Core Insights - The geopolitical conflict between the US and Iran is expected to drive up prices for methanol, ethylene glycol, and urea, with a comprehensive price increase anticipated for chemical products after the holiday [4]. - The report highlights the impact of differentiated electricity pricing in Shaanxi, which may accelerate the exit of outdated production capacities and improve industry dynamics [4]. - The overall capital expenditure in the chemical sector is at its peak, with low inventory levels in the supply chain, suggesting a favorable environment for price increases as downstream production resumes post-holiday [4]. Industry Dynamics - Current macroeconomic judgment indicates that oil prices are expected to remain in a relatively loose range, with Brent crude projected between $60 and $75 per barrel due to delayed OPEC+ production increases and stable demand recovery [5]. - Coal prices are expected to stabilize at a low level in the medium to long term, while natural gas costs may decrease as the US accelerates its export facility construction [5]. - The report notes that the January PPI for industrial products decreased by 1.4% year-on-year but increased by 0.4% month-on-month, indicating a slight recovery in the manufacturing sector [7]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests focusing on four main areas for investment: 1. Textile and apparel chain, benefiting from high demand growth and improved supply dynamics [4]. 2. Agricultural chemicals, with stable fertilizer demand and increasing transgenic penetration supporting long-term pesticide demand [4]. 3. Export-related chemical products, as overseas inventories are at historical lows and interest rates are expected to decline [4]. 4. "Anti-involution" policies leading to accelerated clearance of outdated capacities in various sectors [4]. Key Material Focus - The report emphasizes the importance of self-sufficiency in key materials, particularly in semiconductor and panel materials, as well as in lithium battery and fluorine materials [4].

策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 总量点评 2026 年 3 月 1 日 3 月金股组合 中银证券研究部 2026 年 3 月金股 3 月金股组合 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 策略研究 证券分析师：王君 (8610)66229061 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519060003 证券分析师：徐沛东 (8621)20328702 peidong.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300518020001 策略观点：A 股短期波动中期聚焦国内主线，资源品行情正当时。美以 军事打击伊朗对于全球市场及资产价格的影响取决于行动的目标及持续 性。金价上行有望得到进一步支撑。无论是当下的中东局势还是特朗普 关税政策的反复都为短期市场增加了较高的不确定性因素。而这种不确 定性下的避险情绪将为短期贵金属价格形成有力支撑。目前来看，对于 A 股的影响更多集中在风险偏好层面，中期来看，A 股市场将会回归国内 基本面及政策预期。国内两会即将开幕，A 股短期冲击幅度或小于海外， 节后复工情况、两会前后宏观政策的释放是国内投资者关 ...

基础化工 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2026 年 3 月 1 日 强于大市 化工行业周报 20260301 国际油价上涨， TDI 、黄磷价格上涨 三月份建议关注：1.地缘政治事件对原油及部分石化产品带来的价格影响；2.低估值行业的 龙头公司；3."反内卷"等背景下相关子行业涨价行情；4.下游需求旺盛，自主可控日益关 键背景下的电子材料公司与涨价背景下的部分新能源材料公司。 行业动态 (8621)20328550 yuanyuan.yu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300517050002 投资建议 截至 2 月 27 日，SW 基础化工市盈率（TTM 剔除负值）为 30.87 倍，处在历史（2002 年至 今）87.20%分位数；市净率为 2.78 倍，处在历史 81.65%分位数。SW 石油石化市盈率（TTM 剔除负值）为 15.58 倍，处在历史（2002 年至今）47.72%分位数；市净率为 1.51 倍，处在 历史 52.34%分位数。展望 2026 年，本轮行业扩产已近尾声，"反内卷"等措施有望催化 行业盈利底部修复，同时新材料受益于下游需求的快速发展，有望开启 ...

● 本报记者 葛瑶 国际金价的涨幅，令机构此前最乐观的预测都显得保守。此前，各家国际投行对2026年国际金价的预测 区间大致落在4800美元/盎司至5500美元/盎司之间，但开年不足一月，金价便已提前穿越这一区间。 涨价趋势逐渐蔓延，市场关心的问题是：涨价接力棒将传向何方？ 涨声四起 贵金属上涨，早已不是新鲜事。自2025年初以来，国际金价在短短一年多时间不断攀升，截至2026年2 月27日，伦敦金现货价格涨幅已超90%，伦敦银现货价格则涨逾200%，远超黄金。 基本金属市场同样暗流汹涌。锗价接近5000美元/公斤，钨价持续走高，稀土系列维持高景气。二级市 场上，稀土永磁、小金属概念指数2026年初以来涨幅紧随贵金属之后，盛和资源、中钨高新等个股相继 异动。 涨价的热浪并未止步于金属，化工板块暗潮涌动。近期，分散染料龙头浙江龙盛、闰土股份相继上调分 散黑等核心染料产品报价。据百川盈孚数据，截至2月22日，分散染料价格报2.1万元/吨，年初以来上 涨23.53%；活性染料价格报2.3万元/吨，上涨4.55%。 能源领域，油气价格上行。国际油价在地缘扰动与供需再平衡的推拉中逐步抬升。而在运输端，油轮市 场的涨势同 ...

截至2026年2月27日 10:24，中证石化产业指数(H11057)上涨0.33%，成分股万华化学上涨2.94%，扬农 化工上涨2.17%，光威复材上涨1.99%，恒逸石化上涨1.92%，浙江龙盛上涨1.52%。化工行业ETF易方 达(516570)上涨0.26%， 冲击4连涨。最新价报1.16元。拉长时间看，截至2026年2月26日，化工行业 ETF易方达近2周累计上涨2.56%。（以上所列股票仅为指数成份股，无特定推荐之意） 流动性方面，化工行业ETF易方达盘中换手1.19%，成交2211.40万元。拉长时间看，截至2月26日，化 工行业ETF易方达近1月日均成交9299.36万元。 截至2月26日，化工行业ETF易方达近2年净值上涨61.95%。从收益能力看，截至2026年2月26日，化工 行业ETF易方达自成立以来，最高单月回报为15.74%，最长连涨月数为9个月，最长连涨涨幅为 61.01%，上涨月份平均收益率为5.43%。截至2026年2月26日，化工行业ETF易方达近1年超越基准年化 收益为2.99%，排名可比基金1/2。 回撤方面，截至2026年2月26日，化工行业ETF易方达今年以来最大回 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Lithium Mining in Zimbabwe**: Zimbabwe has announced an immediate suspension of all raw mineral and lithium concentrate exports. Only companies with valid mining rights and approved processing plants will be eligible for export, prohibiting agents and third-party traders from exporting. There is no clear timeline for resumption. Zimbabwe is the largest lithium producer in Africa, accounting for 65%-70% of Africa's lithium production capacity by 2025 and approximately 10% of global lithium supply [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Lithium Imports**: By 2025, Zimbabwe is projected to be the second-largest lithium ore supplier to China, with imports expected to reach 1.204 million tons, representing about 15.5% of China's lithium imports, equivalent to an estimated 134,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent [2]. - **Price Increases in Target Materials**: In Q1 2026, domestic target materials have seen an average price increase of 20%, with special minor metals experiencing price hikes of 60-70%. This price trend is expected to continue throughout 2026 due to supply-demand mismatches [2]. - **Rare Earth Prices**: The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide has surged by 45.92% within the year [2]. - **Gold and Copper Price Predictions**: Morgan Stanley predicts that gold prices will reach $6,300 per ounce by the end of 2026, while Citigroup is bullish on copper prices, forecasting they will hit $14,000 per ton in the next three months [2]. - **AI and Critical Minerals**: The Trump administration is reportedly planning to use AI models to establish reference prices for critical mineral trades, including germanium, gallium, antimony, and tungsten [3]. Additional Important Information - **Price Increases in Tungsten**: In late February, prices for tungsten concentrate increased, with 55% black tungsten priced at 730,000 RMB per ton, reflecting an increase of 8.96% [3]. - **Phosphorus and Glyphosate as Strategic Materials**: The U.S. has classified phosphorus and glyphosate as critical strategic materials [3]. - **Market Tightness in Niacinamide**: The niacinamide market is experiencing tight supply, with some trade channels halting sales. Current prices have risen to 43-45 RMB per kilogram, with some traders quoting as high as 48-50 RMB per kilogram [3][4]. - **Fertilizer Demand**: With the spring farming peak approaching, there is an increase in demand for phosphorus fertilizers [4]. - **Price Increases in Dyes and Chemicals**: Companies like Zhejiang Longsheng and Baichuan High-Tech have announced significant price hikes for dyes and chemicals, with increases ranging from 2,000 to 4,000 RMB per ton [4]. This summary encapsulates the critical developments and insights from the conference call records, focusing on the lithium mining industry in Zimbabwe, price trends in various materials, and broader market dynamics.