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首席之声-掘金超跌的优质消费股
2026-03-04 14:17
首席之声 - 掘金超跌的优质消费股 20260303 摘要 油价 80-90 美元区间不改 A 股牛市根基,若破 100 美元或压制中下游 盈利,但地缘冲击不改国内经济转型及"稳中向好"趋势。 汽车板块 2026 年主线为 AI 转型,看好燃气轮机产业链(潍柴动力)、 出海高分红资产(宇通客车)及机器人量产定点(6 月周产达 3,000 台)。 生猪养殖进入配置窗口,2 月底猪价跌破 11 元/公斤创两年新低,全行 业亏损已 5 个月,产能去化加速,首选牧原、温氏等低成本龙头。 消费板块估值处于历史极低分位(不足 10%),看好地产后周期修复; 零售侧重供给侧壁垒,推荐小商品城、毛戈平及高股息周大生。 社会服务受益政策红利,2026 年法定假日增至 33 天,看好名山大川景 区(黄山、九华山)及供需边际改善的酒店龙头(首旅、锦江)。 白酒行业预计 2026 下半年结束去库,高端酒动销率先触底;大众品关 注餐供链(安井)与调味品(海天)的渠道出清后修复。 家电板块聚焦白电红利资产(美的、海尔、格力),综合回报率约 10%-15%;出海龙头(安克、九号)估值回落至 15-16 倍,具备配置 价值。 Q&A 近期 ...
顾家家居(603816) - 关于持股5%以上股东部分股份被司法拍卖的结果公告
2026-03-03 10:01
证券代码:603816 证券简称:顾家家居 公告编号:2026-007 顾家家居股份有限公司 关于持股 5%以上股东部分股份被司法拍卖 的结果公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 经公司查询杭州市中级人民法院淘宝网司法拍卖网络平台发布的《网络竞价 成功确认书》,本次拍卖竞价结果详情如下: 重要内容提示: 截至本公告披露日,TB Home Limited(以下简称"TB Home")持有顾家 家居股份有限公司(以下简称"公司"或"本公司")41,176,766 股股票,占 本公司总股本的 5.01%。杭州德烨嘉俊企业管理有限公司(由顾家集团有限公司 变更名称而来,以下简称"德烨嘉俊")持有本公司 88,471,483 股股票,占本公 司总股本的 10.77%,TB Home 及德烨嘉俊累计持有本公司 129,648,249 股股票, 占本公司总股本的 15.78%。上述股份目前均处于冻结状态。 TB Home 本次被司法拍卖的股票数量为 14,508,700 股,占其所持有本公 司股数的 35.24%,占本公司总 ...
纺织服饰行业:纺织服装与轻工行业数据月报2.1-2.27-20260302
GF SECURITIES· 2026-03-02 11:46
[Table_Page] 投资策略月报|纺织服饰 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 纺织服饰行业 纺织服装与轻工行业数据月报 2.1-2.27 [Table_Summary] 核心观点: [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-03-02 [Table_Author] 分析师: 糜韩杰 SAC 执证号:S0260516020001 SFC CE No. BPH764 021-38003650 mihanjie@gf.com.cn 分析师: 曹倩雯 SAC 执证号:S0260520110002 SFC CE No. BWW545 021-38003621 caoqianwen@gf.com.cn 分析师: 左琴琴 SAC 执证号:S0260521050001 SFC CE No. BSE791 021-38003540 zuoqinqin@gf.com.cn 分析师: 李悦瑜 SAC 执证号:S0260524120002 021-38003784 liyueyu@gf.com.cn 分析师: 董建芳 SAC 执证号:S0260525060002 dongjian ...
近期涨价链行情观点及3-4月布局思路-20260301
Guohai Securities· 2026-03-01 12:05
2026 年 03 月 01 日 策略周报 研究所: 证券分析师: 赵阳 S0350525100003 zhaoy05@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 近期涨价链行情观点及 3-4 月布局思路 最近一年走势 相关报告 《流动性周报 2 月第 3 期:社融同比增速放缓,权 益基金发行回暖*赵阳》——2026-02-24 《年报预报落地后,市场如何演绎?*赵阳》—— 2026-02-01 《流动性周报 1 月第 3 期:宏观资金均衡偏松,ETF 继续大幅净流出*赵阳》——2026-01-28 本篇报告解决了以下核心问题:1、怎么看待近期涨价链行情;2、即将 到来的三月该配置什么风格和主题。 | 2、 | 三月中旬开始可能要关注风格切换 6 | | --- | --- | | 3、 | 三月的三个配置思路 8 | | 4、 | 风险提示 14 | 核心要点: 国海证券研究所 请务必阅读正文后免责条款部分 《流动性周报 2 月第 2 期:宽基流出明显收窄*赵 阳》——2026-02-10 《流动性周报 2 月第 1 期:宽基 ETF 继续大幅流 出*赵阳》——2026-02-02 2 月份涨价是 ...
纸企发布3月涨价函,上海购房政策优化:轻工制造
Huafu Securities· 2026-02-28 23:30
行 30986 轻工制造 2026 年 03 月 01 日 业 研 究 关轻注 工制造 纸企发布 3 月涨价函,上海购房政策优化 投资要点: 行 业 定 期 报 告 【周观点】①文化纸企发布 3 月涨价函、涨幅 200 元/吨,玖龙多基地宣布 箱板瓦楞纸提价 50 元/吨,浆价回升叠加招标旺季背景下,预计木浆系纸 价有支撑,看好纸企 Q1 盈利环比改善,持续推荐太阳纸业,关注玖龙纸 业、博汇纸业。②上海进一步优化购房政策,带动家居估值修复,关注后 续楼市小阳春销售情况。③家得宝、劳氏 26 年展望同店持平至+2%低于市 场预期,反映对当前美国疲软的住房市场和高利率环境的谨慎态度。 强于大市(维持评级) 一年内行业相对大盘走势 团队成员 | 分析师: | 李宏鹏(S0210524050017) | | --- | --- | | lhp30568@hfzq.com.cn | | | 分析师: | 汪浚哲(S0210524050024) | | wjz30579@hfzq.com.cn | | | 分析师: | 李含稚(S0210524060005) | | lhz30597@hfzq.com.cn | | 相关 ...
营收超8亿,群核科技冲刺港股IPO
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-28 10:17
来源:市场资讯 (来源:定制观察) 近日,智能空间设计软件提供商群核科技(Manycore Tech Inc.)正式向香港交易所递交主板上市申请,摩根大通与建银国际担任联席保荐人。最新数据 显示,该公司2025年营收达8.2亿元,毛利率升至82.2%,经调整净利润5710万元,成功扭亏为盈,迎来业绩拐点。若上市成功,群核科技有望成为杭 州"六小龙"企业中首家登陆港股的公司,更是会成为"全球空间智能第一股"。 | | | | 截至12月31日止年度 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2023年 | | 2024年 | | 2025年 | | | | 人民幣 | રે | 人民幣 | 5 | 人民幣 | % | | | | | (人民幣十元,自分比除外) | | | | | 收入 | 663.540 | 100.0 | 754.830 | 100.0 | 819,994 | 100.0 | | 營業成本 | (154,233) | (23.2) | (144,068) | (19.1) | (145,706) | (17.8) | | ...
造纸轻工周报:关注关税政策变化、AI眼镜新品催化,家居和内需消费有望边际改善-20260226
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-26 13:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the paper and light industry sectors, highlighting potential improvements in domestic demand and the impact of tariff policy changes [1][2]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the expected marginal improvement in domestic demand, driven by real estate policy stabilization and consumer confidence recovery [2][10]. - The AI glasses market is anticipated to see significant growth, with Meta's sales surging and Apple's upcoming product launch expected to enhance market penetration [2][12]. - The paper industry is experiencing price stability and potential profitability improvements due to strong overseas production control and rising prices [2][14]. Summary by Sections Export Sector - Changes in tariff policies are expected to boost export performance, with recommendations for companies like 嘉益股份, 匠心家居, and 永艺股份 due to their strong performance certainty [2][4]. - The U.S. Supreme Court's ruling against additional tariffs and the introduction of a 10% global tariff are pivotal developments [4][10]. Home Furnishing Sector - The home furnishing industry is at a valuation bottom, with real estate policies likely to catalyze upward valuation adjustments [2][10]. - The sector is witnessing accelerated consolidation, with mid-tier companies exiting and capital entering leading firms, enhancing industry concentration [2][11]. - Companies like 顾家家居, 索菲亚, and 欧派家居 are highlighted for their potential valuation recovery [2][11]. AI Glasses Sector - Meta's smart glasses sales have seen explosive growth, with a reported increase of nearly threefold, while Apple's anticipated entry is expected to further drive market penetration [2][11]. - The report suggests focusing on companies like 康耐特光学 and 明月镜片, which are well-positioned in this emerging market [2][12]. Paper Industry - The report notes that overseas pulp mills are showing strong production control intentions, leading to price increases [2][14]. - Companies like 太阳纸业 and 玖龙纸业 are recommended due to their integrated operations and cost advantages [2][14]. Domestic Demand - There is an expectation of marginal improvement in domestic demand, with companies like 百亚股份 and 公牛集团 identified as potential beneficiaries [2][17]. - The report highlights the importance of consumer confidence and spending power recovery in driving demand [2][17].
又一家居企业冲击港股上市,2025年营收超8亿元,主要客户有顾家、索菲亚等
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 02:29
群核科技向港交所主板递交上市申请,摩根大通和建银国际担任联席保荐人。 最新数据显示,2025年,公司实现营收8.2亿元,毛利率攀升至82.2%,经调整净利润达5710万元,成功扭亏为盈,迎来业绩拐点。 值得注意的是,公司的净亏损(按会计准则)在2023年、2024年及2025年分别为6.46亿元、5.13亿元和4.28亿元,经调整净利润5710万元。 群核科技已于2026年2月14日获得中国证监会备案,意味着拿到了赴香港上市的通行证。公司已向港交所递交上市申请,联席保荐人为摩根大通和建银国 际。若成功上市,它有望成为"杭州六小龙"中首家上市公司。 按2024年收入计,群核科技是中国领先的空间设计软件提供商,市场份额达23.2%,其业务已扩展至韩国、东南亚、美国及印度等国际市场。服务对象涵 盖整个空间设计价值链,包括设计师、室内设计公司、家具制造商、房地产开发商及建筑材料提供商。 公司拥有核心云原生平台"酷家乐"、面向国际市场的本地化解决方案"Coohom",以及提供3D合成数据集的专业服务"SpatialVerse"。采用云原生架构和AI 驱动技术,支持快速拖放式3D设计、即时渲染及BIM能力,并能将设计直接 ...
申万宏源证券晨会早报-20260224
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-24 03:04
| 指数 涨跌 (%) | | --- | | 名称 | | 上证指数 4082 -1.26 -1.37 0.41 | | 深证综指 2680 -1.05 0.16 1.16 | | 风格指数 (%) | | | --- | --- | | 大盘指数 | 11.32 | | 中盘指数 1.78 | 26.74 | | 小盘指数 | 19.55 | | 涨幅居前 行业(%) | 昨日 | 近1个月 近6个月 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 摩托车及其 114 | 3.01 | -2.59 | 2.47 | | 影视院线 | 2.7 | 15.61 | 28.26 | | 海小 | 2.5 | 1.64 | 11.89 | | 综合II | 2.06 | 11.75 | 55.72 | | 航海装备Ⅱ | 1.87 | 3.91 | -0.69 | | 跌幅居卸 行业(%) | | 昨日 近1个月 近6个月 | | | 玻璃玻纤 | -4.69 | 30.4 | 65.53 | | 工业金属 | -3.82 | 0.19 | ୧୦ ବଟ | | 小尖属工 | -3.8 | 12.8 ...
未知机构:浙商轻工史凡可周观点3月浆价继续强势提涨出口关税迎阶段利好-20260224
未知机构· 2026-02-24 02:50
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Industry**: Pulp and Paper, Real Estate, Metal Cans, New Consumption, Tobacco, Personal Care, AI Applications, Pet Industry - **Key Trends**: Positive cyclical expectations, price increases in pulp, recovery in real estate transactions, and growth in various consumer sectors Key Points Pulp and Paper Industry - **Price Increases**: March pulp prices continue to rise strongly, with Suzano reporting an increase of $20 per ton in China [1] - **Supply Chain Issues**: Indonesia's revocation of forestry licenses affects the supply of hardwood pulp chips, compounded by APP's announcement of delays in the second phase of OKI production [1] - **Investment Recommendations**: Continued recommendations for companies such as Sun Paper, Nine Dragons, and Xianhe, with a focus on potential growth in the sector [1] Real Estate Sector - **Market Recovery**: Improvement in second-hand housing transactions, with the National Bureau of Statistics reporting a narrowing decline in housing prices across 70 cities [1] - **Top Picks**: Recommended companies include Kuka, Hanhai, with expectations for recovery in brands like Gongniu, Oppein, and others [1] Metal Can Industry - **Aluminum Price Adjustment**: Recent pullback in aluminum prices is beneficial for profit release, with a bottom recommendation for Aorikin and attention on Baosteel and Shengxing [1] New Consumption Sector - **Core Products**: Many core products have entered the layout phase, with various brands launching new items and maintaining high store traffic during the Spring Festival [2] - **Tobacco Market**: British American Tobacco reports rapid market share growth in Poland, with a recommendation for Smoore as a core stock [2] - **Personal Care Growth**: Brands like Leshushi and Baia are experiencing significant growth, with new product launches and marketing strategies enhancing their market positions [2] AI Applications - **Smart Glasses Sales**: Kangnait's smart glasses are projected to exceed 7 million units in sales for the year, with ongoing attention to order progress [2] - **Acquisition Plans**: Yudong plans to acquire 51% of Huayan Technology, extending its reach into precision components and AI glasses [2] Pet Industry - **Market Recovery**: The pet industry saw a recovery in January with an overall growth of 18%, with specific brands like Guibao and Zhongchong showing significant increases [3] Cross-Border Trade - **Tariff Changes**: Recent tariff adjustments are favorable, with a 5% reduction in the overall tax rate benefiting cross-border enterprises, particularly focusing on companies like Zhiou and Henglin [3]