Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry in China [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes a long-term perspective on the market, suggesting that despite short-term volatility in precious metals, the long-term bull market remains intact due to unresolved U.S. debt issues [7][12] - The zinc sector is highlighted as an overlooked material benefiting from the re-industrialization in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, with expectations for price increases due to supply tightness [7][13] - The copper sector is viewed positively, with the gold-to-copper ratio reaching historical highs, indicating potential for copper price increases amid supply constraints [7][14] - For precious metals, investors are advised to wait for price stabilization before increasing positions, as significant price fluctuations have been observed recently [7][15] Summary by Sections 1. Non-Ferrous Metals - The report discusses the dynamics of precious metals, noting significant price drops in gold and silver, with gold prices reaching $4,880 per ounce and silver prices at $85 per ounce during a recent week [7][12] - The zinc market is expected to benefit from increased demand driven by infrastructure projects in developing regions, with a noted decrease in zinc smelting fees indicating supply constraints [7][13] - The copper market is projected to maintain upward momentum due to a high gold-to-copper ratio and ongoing supply challenges from major mining companies [7][14] - The report suggests a cautious approach to precious metals, recommending that investors wait for market stabilization before making new investments [7][15] 2. Steel Industry - The steel industry is experiencing a weak fundamental outlook as it approaches the seasonal low around the Spring Festival, with a slight decrease in iron output and weakening demand for rebar [16][21] - Inventory levels show a divergence between social and steel mill stocks, with total steel inventory at 891 thousand tons, reflecting a 2.56% weekly increase [23] - Steel prices have generally declined, with the overall steel price index down by 0.20%, and specific products like cold-rolled steel experiencing a 0.44% decrease [35][36] 3. New Energy Metals - Lithium carbonate production in December 2025 saw a significant year-on-year increase of 69.09%, indicating strong supply growth in the new energy sector [39] - The demand for new energy vehicles remains robust, with December 2025 production reaching 1.5858 million units, a 9.02% increase year-on-year [43] - Lithium prices have shown a notable decline, with the average price for battery-grade lithium carbonate at 159,500 yuan per ton, reflecting a 5.62% decrease [48][49]

今日提示 ·国务院新闻办公室将于2月4日上午10时举行新闻发布会，介绍锚定农业农村现代化、扎实推进乡村全 面振兴有关情况。 ·中证指数有限公司调整中证1000指数样本，2月4日收市后生效。 ·2月4日北京时间凌晨，思科全球直播2026人工智能大会。 ·智元机器人正式宣布，将于2月8日20:00全球直播全球首个大型机器人晚会《机器人奇妙夜》。 上证精选 ·2月3日，央行公布2026年1月中央银行各项工具流动性投放情况。1月，中期借贷便利（MLF）净投放 7000亿元，常备借贷便利（SLF）净投放-79亿元，其他结构性货币政策工具净投放641亿元。公开市场 业务方面，1月，公开市场国债买卖净投放1000亿元，7天期逆回购净投放1678亿元，中央国库现金管理 净投放-600亿元，其他期限逆回购净投放1000亿元。 ·广期所公告，自2026年2月5日结算时起，铂、钯期货合约涨跌停板幅度调整为20%，交易保证金标准 调整为22%。如遇上述涨跌停板幅度、交易保证金标准与现行执行的涨跌停板幅度、交易保证金标准不 同时，则按两者中幅度大、标准高的执行。 上证聚焦 ○中央一号文件发布提出拓展无人机物联网应用 中央一号文件《中共 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the growth and transformation of China's copper smelting industry, emphasizing the shift towards green and intelligent manufacturing in response to global trends and domestic demands [2][6]. - China's refined copper production is projected to reach 13.644 million tons in 2024, marking a 5.1% increase from 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 9.9% observed in the first seven months of 2025 [1][2]. - The copper smelting industry in China is experiencing a continuous trade deficit, with the total import and export value of related products reaching 811.856 billion yuan in 2024, and the trade deficit expanding by 114.513 billion yuan [6][7]. Group 2 - The average import price of copper smelting-related products has shown an upward trend from 2019 to July 2025, with significant increases during the 2020-2021 period due to supply chain disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic [8]. - China's position as a major consumer in the global refined copper market is expected to strengthen, with the country's share of global refined copper production and sales anticipated to increase further [2].

2026 年 02 月 04 日 开源晨会 0204 ——晨会纪要 数据来源：聚源 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 沪深300 创业板指 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 综合 | 5.630 | | 国防军工 | 4.424 | | 机械设备 | 3.976 | | 建筑材料 | 3.520 | | 钢铁 | 3.284 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | 源 证 券 证 券 研 究 报 昨日涨跌幅后五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 银行 | -0.851 | | 非银金融 | 0.172 | | 煤炭 | 0.381 | | 石油石化 | 0.437 | | 公用事业 | 0.671 | 数据来源：聚源 吴梦迪（分析师） wumengdi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521070001 观点精粹 【中小盘】SpaceX 拟部署百万颗卫星系统，重视运力和太空算力投资机会——中 小盘策略专题-20260203 【银行】2026 年净息差展望：筑底 ...

Gold Companies - Shandong Gold (600547) is a leading domestic gold mining company with strong state-owned background, focusing on the Jiaodong Peninsula and possessing several top-tier gold mines, ensuring a complete gold industry chain from exploration to processing [1][12] - Chifeng Gold (600988) is a pioneer in internationalization within the gold industry, with high-grade core mining resources and significant cost advantages, actively expanding overseas projects in countries like Laos and Ghana [1][12] - Zijin Mining (601899) is a global mining giant with gold and copper as its core businesses, boasting extensive mineral resource layouts and advanced mining management techniques, providing strong support during market fluctuations [1][12] - Zhongjin Gold (600489) is a state-owned enterprise with a comprehensive gold industry chain, strong resource acquisition capabilities, and significant market presence in gold processing and circulation [1][12] - Western Gold (601069) is a leading gold mining company in Xinjiang, leveraging regional resource advantages and optimizing mining processes to enhance competitiveness [1][12] - Hunan Gold (002155) operates in both gold and antimony sectors, with a complete industry chain and strong market position in rare metals, effectively mitigating price volatility risks [1][12] - Yintai Gold (000975) focuses on gold and silver mining, with competitive mining costs and advanced recovery rates, continuously enhancing profitability through resource exploration [1][12] - Hengbang Shares (002237) is a leading gold smelting company with advanced technology and a complete industry chain, ensuring stable profitability and strong market presence [1][12] - Xiaocheng Technology (300139) combines gold mining with integrated circuits, benefiting from overseas gold assets and enhancing profitability through diversified operations [1][12] - Shengda Resources (000603) is a comprehensive precious metal resource developer with a stable production capacity and strong market presence in gold and silver [1][12] Silver Companies - Yuguang Gold and Lead (600531) is a leading silver smelting company with advanced technology and high recovery rates, focusing on high-value-added silver products [2][14] - Xingye Mining (000426) is a leading silver and multi-metal mining company with strong resource reserves and high recovery rates, effectively mitigating silver price volatility risks [2][14] - Chihong Zinc and Germanium (600497) focuses on silver and zinc-germanium, leveraging abundant resources and advanced mining techniques to maintain strong market competitiveness [2][14] - Zhongjin Lingnan (000060) is a large non-ferrous metal enterprise with a strong silver business, emphasizing technological innovation and resource utilization [2][14] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630) integrates copper smelting with silver recovery, maintaining high recovery rates and product quality [2][14] - Jiangxi Copper (600362) is a comprehensive copper giant with a strong silver business, focusing on multi-metal development and technological innovation [2][14] - Western Mining (601168) is a multi-metal mining company with significant silver resources, emphasizing production capacity upgrades and cost control [2][14] - Yundeng Technology (000409) combines silver mining with smart mining technology, enhancing operational efficiency and reducing costs [2][14] - Guoyan Platinum (600459) is a leader in precious metal deep processing, focusing on high-end silver products and maintaining a strong market position [2][14] - Western Materials (002149) specializes in rare metal processing with a focus on high-end silver products, ensuring stable market demand and high added value [2][14]

江西铜业（600362.SH） 铜冶炼龙头再起航，资源并购助成长 2026 年 02 月 03 日 投资评级：买入（首次） 有色金属/工业金属 fengweimin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790124070040 并购投资项目持续落地，铜业龙头再起航 江西铜业是国内领先的铜冶炼生产商，在铜以及相关有色金属领域建立了集勘 探、采矿、选矿、冶炼、加工的一体化产业链。目前公司主要资产包括国内规模 领先的铜冶炼产能和 5 座在产铜矿山，整体生产稳健。同时公司积极实践"资源 优先"战略，推动第一量子的战略合作关系，并已在中亚、南美等地区进行资源 布局，合作资源项目（艾娜克铜矿、北秘鲁矿业）有望迎来开花结果。我们预计 2025-2027 年公司将实现归母净利润分别为 84.51/121.47/133.6 亿元，当前股价对 应 PE 为 23.4/16.3/14.8 倍。首次覆盖给予公司"买入"评级。 产业链一体化协同高效，铜冶炼龙头地位稳固 公司于 1979 年成立于江西南昌，围绕江西地区丰富的铜矿资源，打造了从上游 资源到下游冶炼加工的一体化布局。（1）上游资源：公司在国内持有五座在产矿 山，年产铜精矿金属量 ...

有色金属/工业金属 江西铜业（600362.SH） 铜冶炼龙头再起航，资源并购助成长 投资评级：买入（首次） | 日期 | 2026/2/2 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 57.08 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 70.70/19.01 | | 总市值(亿元) | 1,976.53 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,184.55 | | 总股本(亿股) | 34.63 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 20.75 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 196.62 | 股价走势图 -80% 0% 80% 160% 240% 320% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 江西铜业 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 孙二春（分析师） 冯伟珉（联系人） sunerchun@kysec.cn 2026 年 02 月 03 日 fengweimin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790124070040 并购投资项目持续落地，铜业龙头再起航 江西铜业是国内领先的铜冶炼生产商，在铜以及相关有色金属领域建立了集勘 探、采矿、选矿、冶炼、加工的一体化产业链。目前公司主要资产包括国内规模 领先的 ...

Group 1 - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association is working on improving the copper resource reserve system, which includes expanding the national copper strategic reserve and exploring commercial reserve mechanisms through financial subsidies for state-owned enterprises [1] - Huaxin Securities indicates that the copper downstream operating rate is recovering, leading to a domestic destocking trend, with prices expected to remain strong [1] - The aluminum supply side continues to see production increases in domestic and Indonesian electrolytic aluminum, while demand shows a mixed picture, with construction material demand declining [1] Group 2 - As of February 3, 2026, the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) rose by 3.04%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Dongyang Sunshine (up 10.02%) and Shenghe Resources (up 7.31%) [1] - The CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index tracks 30 large-cap companies involved in copper, aluminum, lead-zinc, and rare metals, reflecting the overall performance of the sector [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index account for 55.71% of the index, including companies like Luoyang Molybdenum and Northern Rare Earth [2]

Group 1 - The latest copper price as of February 2 is 100,853.33 yuan per ton, reflecting a 10.57% increase over the last 60 days [2][5] - Relevant producers in the copper industry include companies such as Zhongjin Lingnan, Xinye Silver Tin, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, and Jiangxi Copper among others [2][5] Group 2 - Cyclical stocks refer to publicly listed companies in raw material production, whose profits are significantly affected by fluctuations in raw material prices [3][6] - Utilizing price fluctuation data from raw materials to identify buying signals for cyclical stocks is an important investment strategy [3][6]

Core Viewpoint - Copper stocks have seen significant gains, with major companies experiencing notable increases in share prices due to positive developments in the copper industry and strategic initiatives by the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Luoyang Molybdenum Co. (603993) has risen by 6.77%, trading at HKD 22.72 [1] - China Nonferrous Mining (01258) increased by 5.89%, reaching HKD 15.29 [1] - Minmetals Resources (01208) saw a rise of 4.83%, priced at HKD 9.98 [1] - Jiangxi Copper Co. (600362) gained 4.8%, trading at HKD 45.44 [1] - Zijin Mining (601899) increased by 4.3%, with a price of HKD 41.26 [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association is working on improving the copper resource reserve system, which includes expanding the national copper strategic reserve and exploring commercial reserve mechanisms [1] - The association plans to implement commercial reserves through financial subsidies, targeting state-owned enterprises for pilot programs [1] - There is a focus on not only refining copper reserves but also considering the inclusion of copper concentrates that are highly liquid and have significant trade volumes [1] - The association has halted over 2 million tons of copper smelting projects to control excessive growth in smelting capacity [1] - Future efforts will involve strict management of new copper smelting projects to improve the sourcing ratio of copper over time [1]