Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating an expected outperformance of the industry index relative to the benchmark by more than 5% over the next six months [35]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in the passenger vehicle sector, driven by the implementation of subsidy policies and a shift in consumer demand. It emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-end electric vehicle manufacturers that are less sensitive to policy fluctuations, such as Jianghuai Automobile and Geely [25][26]. - In the heavy truck segment, the report anticipates a positive outlook for 2026, projecting domestic sales to reach 800,000 to 850,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 3% [30][28]. - The bus market is expected to see growth in 2026, with a conservative estimate of 40,000 units sold, reflecting a 40% year-on-year increase, supported by the continuation of subsidy policies [30][29]. - The motorcycle sector is projected to achieve total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, a 14% increase year-on-year, with a significant focus on the large-displacement motorcycle market [26]. Summary by Sections Passenger Vehicles - Short-term recovery is anticipated in the passenger vehicle sector due to established subsidy policies, with a focus on high-end electric vehicles and companies less affected by policy changes [25][26]. - Key companies to watch include Jianghuai Automobile, Geely, Great Wall Motors, and BYD, among others [25]. Heavy Trucks - In 2025, wholesale heavy truck sales reached 1.144 million units, a 26.8% increase year-on-year, with domestic sales of 799,000 units, up 32.8% [30]. - The report recommends leading heavy truck manufacturers such as China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, Weichai Power, and FAW Jiefang [30][28]. Buses - The bus market saw a slight decline in 2025, with sales of 29,000 units, down 6% year-on-year. However, a rebound is expected in 2026, with a projected 40% increase in sales [30][29]. - Recommended companies include Yutong Bus and King Long [30]. Motorcycles - The motorcycle industry is forecasted to grow, with total sales expected to reach 19.38 million units in 2026, a 14% increase year-on-year, driven by large-displacement models [26]. - Recommended companies include Chunfeng Power and Longxin General [26].

证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2026-02-10 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 海外周报 20260208：1 月美国非农和 CPI 前瞻：关注上行风险——海外 宏观与交易复盘 核心观点：本周（2 月 2-8 日）在美股 AI 软件泡沫担忧引发的科技股大 跌、及随后的动量抛售等交易因素造成的流动性冲击下，海外权益、大宗 商品和比特币等资产经历剧烈波动。我们认为，近期资本市场的流动性冲 击更多来自交易层面，而海外宏观基本面和广义流动性环境并未有显著 变化，这意味着部分资产存在被流动性冲击"错杀"的可能。关注下周公 布的 1 月美国非农就业和 CPI 数据，我们预期二者均存在上行风险，令 本周略有升温的美联储降息预期再度面临回调。 宏观量化经济指数周报 20260208：预计 2026 年 1 月贷款温和增长、社 融小幅同比多增 晨会编辑 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 东吴证券研究所 1 / 37 [Table_Tag] 节前经济供需两端基本符合季节性特征 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating an expected outperformance of the industry index relative to the benchmark by more than 5% over the next six months [35]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in the passenger vehicle sector, driven by the implementation of subsidy policies and a shift in consumer demand. The focus is on high-end electric vehicle manufacturers that are less sensitive to policy fluctuations, such as Jianghuai Automobile and Geely [25][26]. - In the heavy truck segment, the report anticipates a positive outlook for 2026, with domestic sales expected to reach 800,000 to 850,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3% [30][28]. - The bus market is projected to grow in 2026, with an estimated 40,000 units sold, a 40% increase year-on-year, supported by the continuation of subsidy policies [30][29]. - The motorcycle sector is expected to see total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, a 14% increase, with a significant rise in large-displacement motorcycles [26][27]. Summary by Sections Passenger Vehicles - The report emphasizes a recovery in the passenger vehicle market, with a focus on high-end electric vehicles and companies that are less affected by policy changes. Key players include Jianghuai Automobile, Geely, Great Wall Motors, and Li Auto [25][26]. Heavy Trucks - The heavy truck market had a strong performance in 2025, with wholesale sales of 1.144 million units, a 26.8% increase year-on-year. The report forecasts a stable outlook for 2026, with domestic sales expected to reach 800,000 to 850,000 units [30][28]. Buses - The bus market is expected to grow in 2026, with a conservative estimate of 40,000 units sold, reflecting a 40% year-on-year increase. This growth is attributed to the continuation of subsidy policies [30][29]. Motorcycles - The motorcycle industry is projected to achieve total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, a 14% increase, with large-displacement motorcycles expected to see significant growth [26][27].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [6] Core Insights - In January 2026, the domestic heavy truck wholesale sales are expected to reach approximately 100,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 39% and remaining stable compared to December 2025. The terminal sales are projected to be between 30,000 to 32,000 units, reflecting a decrease of 5% to 10% year-on-year. Export sales are expected to exceed 26,000 units, showing a growth of over 20% [2][10] - The sales of new energy vehicles have significantly declined, with January 2026 sales falling below 7,000 units, a month-on-month decrease of about 85%. The penetration rate of new energy heavy trucks is approximately 21%, down about 33 percentage points [2][10] - The "old-for-new" policy is expected to support domestic demand, while exports are anticipated to grow due to favorable conditions in overseas markets. Heavy truck companies are likely to maintain high growth in performance, coupled with high dividends, enhancing their investment value. Additionally, the ongoing demand for primary and backup power sources in the context of North America's electricity shortages is expected to remain robust, with key recommendations for investment in China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Weichai Power [2][10] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - The heavy truck market in China sold around 100,000 units in January 2026, a significant increase from 72,200 units in the same month last year, marking a 39% year-on-year growth [4][10] - Terminal sales are estimated to be between 30,000 to 32,000 units, which is a decrease of 5% to 10% compared to the previous year [10] New Energy Vehicles - New energy heavy truck sales have seen a drastic decline, with January 2026 sales below 7,000 units, a month-on-month drop of approximately 85% [10] - The penetration rate for new energy heavy trucks has decreased to about 21%, down 33 percentage points from the previous period [10] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the "old-for-new" policy will bolster domestic demand, while export growth will be supported by favorable conditions in international markets. Heavy truck manufacturers are expected to achieve high growth in their financial performance, making them attractive investment opportunities [10]

转自：新华财经 编辑：赵鼎 建行山东省分行不满足于基础融资服务的"标配"，深耕外贸提质增效赛道，主动向绿色贸易、数字贸易 等高端业态聚焦发力。2025年，该行依托"鲁贸贷"赋能外贸企业1400余户，投放贷款超30亿元；通过协 办跨境电商生态大会、参与"万企出海"行动，以金融纽带助力"好品山东"走向全球，同时率先推出"关 银一KEY通"，服务8.2万余家企业，实现报关、结算、融资"一站式"办结，提升贸易便利度。 同时，该行积极推动高水平"走出去"与"引进来"同频共振，为万华、重汽等行业龙头量身定制跨境供应 链金融方案，实现境内外资金流、物流、信息流的无缝衔接与协同联动。该行精准对接国家重点战略项 目，为魏桥集团几内亚西芒杜铁矿项目注入5.68亿元境外融资"活水"。截至2025年末，该行"走出去"项 目融资余额已稳步攀升至45亿元。 此外，建行山东省分行不断夯实服务根基，精选30家特色支行、70家网点打造国际业务服务矩阵。自 2019年底建行"全球撮合家"平台上线以来，该行依托该平台举办33场跨境撮合活动，联动1.6万家企 业，达成超10亿元合作意向；以"跨境快贷"产品累计投放信贷资金9.55亿元，助力山东厚朴生 ...

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Technology Index increased by 1.34%, while the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.76% [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect ETF from Yinhua (159318) gained 1.64%, and the Technology ETF from Penghua (159751) increased by 1.79% [1] Sector Performance - The insurance and communication equipment sectors showed the highest gains, while the energy equipment and services sector experienced the largest declines [1] Individual Stock Movements - Lanke Technology surged over 63%, followed by Zhipu with a 36.22% increase, and MINIMAX-WP rising by 11.71% [1] - Notable gainers also included: - Zhaoyi Innovation (603986) up 11.43% - China Duty Free (601888) up 8.31% - Innovent Biologics up 7.42% - SANY Heavy Industry (600031) up 7.12% [1] - Other significant increases were seen in: - Laopu Gold up 6.35% - Fast Retailing up 6.26% - Pop Mart up 5.76% - Zijin Mining (601899) up 5.58% - Weichai Power (000338) up 5.23% - Minmetals Resources up 5.0% - Ping An Insurance up 4.88% - Swire Properties up 4.71% - Zhaojin Mining up 4.21% - China National Heavy Duty Truck (000951) up 4.17% - SMIC up 4.07% [1] - On the downside, Xixiangfeng Group fell by 5.88%, and Weilu Group dropped by 15.47% [1] - Noteworthy gainers included Changfei Optical Fiber (601869) with a 15.31% increase and Dongfang Electric (600875) up 14.34% [1]

Domestic News - Hubei Province has released the implementation details for the 2026 automobile trade-in subsidy, offering up to 20,000 yuan for consumers purchasing new energy and small-displacement fuel vehicles [3] - Xi'an has also announced its 2026 automobile trade-in subsidy details, with similar subsidy amounts and conditions as Hubei, aimed at reducing consumer costs and upgrading the automotive market [4] - During the Spring Festival holiday, the charging volume for new energy vehicles is expected to reach a historical high, with a peak daily charging volume exceeding 34 million kWh, a 17% year-on-year increase [5] - The International Energy Agency predicts that by 2030, renewable energy and nuclear power will account for 50% of global electricity supply, driven by rising electricity demand from industrial use, electric vehicles, and data centers [6][7] - Seres has signed a cooperation agreement with the Chongqing Shapingba District government to establish a new company focused on electric vehicles [8] - BYD has officially entered the Egyptian market, launching three models, and plans to sell 1.3 million vehicles outside China in 2026, a 25% increase from 2025 [9] - NIO has achieved a milestone of 100 million battery swaps, with plans to waive service fees during the Spring Festival holiday [10] - Li Auto has established 4,000 supercharging stations, enhancing its charging infrastructure across major routes [11] International News - Canada is planning to establish a joint venture with China to produce electric vehicles for global export, involving local automotive parts companies [12][13] - Japan's new car sales in January 2026 decreased by 2.3% year-on-year, totaling 367,748 units [14] - The UK saw a 3.4% increase in new car sales in January 2026, with electric vehicles' market share dropping to 20.6% [15] - Vietnam's automotive market is projected to reach a record sales volume of 604,134 vehicles by 2025 [16] Commercial Vehicles - Yuchai has made significant progress in the national key R&D project for ammonia internal combustion engines, focusing on low-carbon technologies [19] - XCMG's new energy heavy-duty truck has received a dual five-star rating for its range performance under extreme temperatures [20] - FAW Jiefang and Cainiao Group have signed a strategic cooperation agreement to enhance their global e-commerce platform for automotive parts [21][22] - The new version of Jiangling's Dadao plug-in hybrid pickup has been announced, featuring a 2.0T gasoline engine and dual electric motors [23]

Group 1 - The 11th Senegal International Building, Renovation and Infrastructure Exhibition and the 5th Senegal International Power and New Energy Exhibition were held simultaneously, showcasing a variety of products and solutions tailored to local needs from Chinese companies [1][3] - Chinese companies are increasingly localizing production to better meet market demands, as seen with Hangzhou Haixing Electric Power Technology Co., which has established a joint factory with Senegal's power distribution company [5][7] - The acceptance of Chinese brands in Senegal's heavy truck market has significantly increased, with China National Heavy Duty Truck Group holding nearly 60% market share, attributed to strong local sales networks and after-sales services [7] Group 2 - Chinese manufacturers are providing flexible solutions that cater to local construction needs, offering a "menu-style" service that balances quality and cost, which is crucial for local developers [7] - Companies like China Liansu Group are expanding their production bases in multiple African countries, enhancing their ability to respond quickly to complex local demands [5] - The presence of private Chinese enterprises at the exhibition indicates a growing awareness of market opportunities, with plans to establish local factories to reduce logistics costs and improve service delivery [5][7]

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, China's heavy truck sales exceeded 1.1 million units, marking a nearly 30% growth, which stimulated the marketing efforts of major brands [1] Group 1: Heavy Truck Brand Rankings - The "Heavy Truck First Influence Index" total score for nine major brands reached 26,618 points, a year-on-year increase of approximately 3% [1] - The top three brands in the index were: 1. FAW Jiefang with 6,569 points, a 13.3% increase year-on-year [4] 2. China National Heavy Duty Truck Group with 5,366 points, a 30% year-on-year increase [10] 3. Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle with 3,553 points, achieving a 21.3% increase [15] Group 2: FAW Jiefang's Performance - FAW Jiefang maintained a significant lead, winning all 12 monthly championships and achieving notable events throughout the year, including partnerships and production milestones [6][9] - Key events included the launch of the J7 intelligent factory and strategic collaborations with major clients and international partners [6][8] Group 3: China National Heavy Duty Truck Group's Achievements - China National Heavy Duty Truck Group's marketing efforts remained strong, with significant deliveries and strategic agreements throughout the year, including the delivery of 100 electric trucks and a strategic signing for 500 trucks [12][13] - The brand's influence is expected to continue growing, as it aims to maintain its leading position in the industry [10] Group 4: Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle's Developments - Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle achieved a 21.3% increase in its influence index, with significant marketing initiatives and strategic partnerships throughout the year [15] - The brand's focus on upgrading its marketing system and expanding its product offerings contributed to its positive performance [15] Group 5: Other Brands' Progress - Other brands like Dongfeng Liuqi Chenglong, XCMG, and Shaanxi Automobile also showed growth, with Dongfeng Liuqi Chenglong achieving a 28% increase and XCMG leading with a 38.4% increase in its influence index [16][19] - Brands like Beiben, BAIC, and Yuancheng also made notable contributions to the market with various strategic initiatives and product launches [20][22][24]

Group 1 - A major client from Indonesia visited China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (CNHTC) and successfully signed a cooperation intention agreement, securing an order for 500 vehicles [1][3]. - The client conducted on-site inspections at CNHTC's Laiwu factory, transmission plant, and special vehicle company, gaining insights into the company's scale, capacity layout, and quality control system, and was impressed by CNHTC's advanced manufacturing capabilities [3]. - During the meeting, both parties engaged in in-depth discussions regarding product technology, after-sales parts support, and financial assistance, laying a solid foundation for future cooperation [3]. Group 2 - The signing of the agreement marks a significant step in CNHTC's efforts to expand its market presence through high-quality products and comprehensive services [3].