Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the real estate industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a strategic shift among mainland real estate companies from development to commercial operations, with firms like China Resources Land and Joy City expected to benefit from this transition [9][41]. - The report categorizes real estate companies based on their rental income performance, identifying three distinct groups: those with stable growth, those with slight fluctuations, and those experiencing significant declines [21][34]. Summary by Sections 1. Differences in Commercial and Development Ratios Among Companies - Mainland real estate firms are adopting a "development + commercial" dual-driven model, with companies like New Town Holdings and Longfor Group transitioning towards commercial operations [14]. - Hong Kong-backed firms prefer a purer commercial operation model, focusing on quality over quantity in their projects [14]. 2. Comparison of Commercial Real Estate Operational Efficiency - Hong Kong-backed firms generally have fewer but higher-quality commercial projects, leading to better rental yields and resilience in occupancy rates compared to mainland firms [35]. - China Resources Land leads in shopping center rental efficiency due to its strategic positioning in major cities [35]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on mainland firms that are transitioning to commercial operations, particularly those benefiting from the rollout of commercial real estate REITs, such as China Resources Land and Joy City [41]. - It also recommends defensive stocks with high asset quality and competitive dividend yields, including Swire Properties, Kerry Properties, and Hang Lung Properties [41].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a collective rise in property stocks, with Sunac China increasing by over 6%, Longfor Group and China Resources Land rising by over 5%, and Yuexiu Property increasing by over 4% [1] - Other notable increases include New City Development, China Overseas Development, Vanke, Greentown China, CIFI Holdings, and China Jinmao, all rising by over 3% [1] - The rise in property stocks is attributed to the substantial launch of a project in Shanghai aimed at acquiring second-hand housing for affordable rental housing, targeting new citizens, young people, university graduates, and various talent groups [1] Group 2 - Specific stock performance includes: - Sunac China (01918) up 6.14% to 1.210 with a market cap of 19.593 billion, down 7.63% year-to-date - Longfor Group (03380) up 5.93% to 1.430 with a market cap of 8.13 billion, down 20.11% year-to-date - China Resources Land (01109) up 5.21% to 31.880 with a market cap of 227.334 billion, up 17.21% year-to-date - Yuexiu Property (00123) up 4.68% to 4.700 with a market cap of 18.919 billion, up 18.69% year-to-date [2] - Other companies with notable performance include New City Development (up 3.92%), China Overseas Development (up 3.79%), and Vanke (up 3.37%) [2]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a collective rise in property stocks on February 4, with notable increases including Sunac China up over 6%, Longfor Group and China Resources Land up over 5%, and Yuexiu Property up over 4% [1] - The Shanghai government has initiated a program to acquire second-hand housing for the purpose of providing affordable rental housing, targeting new citizens, young people, university graduates, and various talent groups [1] - The signing event for this initiative included cooperation agreements between the Shanghai branch of China Construction Bank and public rental housing companies in three districts, providing financial support for the acquisition work [1] Group 2 - Sunac China (01918) increased by 6.14% to a price of 1.210 with a total market value of 195.93 billion, showing a year-to-date decline of 7.63% [2] - Longfor Group (03380) rose by 5.93% to 1.430 with a market cap of 81.3 billion, reflecting a year-to-date drop of 20.11% [2] - China Resources Land (01109) saw a 5.21% increase to 31.880, with a market value of 2273.34 billion and a year-to-date gain of 17.21% [2] - Yuexiu Property (00123) increased by 4.68% to 4.700, with a market cap of 189.19 billion and a year-to-date rise of 18.69% [2] - New City Development (01030) rose by 3.92% to 2.650, with a market value of 187.24 billion and a year-to-date increase of 29.27% [2] - China Overseas Development (00688) increased by 3.79% to 14.520, with a market cap of 1589.2 billion and a year-to-date rise of 18.53% [2] - Vanke Enterprise (02202) saw a 3.37% increase to 3.680, with a market value of 439.05 billion and a year-to-date gain of 12.20% [2] - Greentown China (03900) rose by 3.27% to 11.370, with a market cap of 288.75 billion and a year-to-date increase of 34.24% [2] - CIFI Holdings (00884) increased by 3.19% to 0.097, with a market value of 16.61 billion and a year-to-date decline of 39.75% [2] - China Jinmao (00817) rose by 3.55% to 1.750, with a market cap of 236.47 billion and a year-to-date increase of 44.63% [2]

Core Insights - The report discusses the implementation of the "Tax Law Principle" and its implications for service industries such as internet and finance, indicating that current tax arrangements are unlikely to change significantly in the short term [2][3][12] - The real estate sector is experiencing a favorable shift in financing policies, with REITs and private placements opening new equity financing channels to alleviate financial pressures on real estate companies [3][13] Tax Law Implementation - The State Council approved the "Implementation Regulations of the Value-Added Tax Law of the People's Republic of China" on December 19, 2025, and subsequent announcements have clarified tax details, suggesting stability in tax arrangements for service industries [2][3][12] - The definition of "basic services" in telecommunications is evolving, with mobile data and internet broadband still classified as "value-added services" subject to a 6% VAT rate, while traditional voice services are recognized as "basic services" with a 9% VAT rate [2][3][12] Real Estate Sector Analysis - The financing environment for the real estate industry is improving, with a shift from debt financing to equity financing, including the introduction of REITs and private placements [3][13] - Recent regulatory changes, such as the gradual retreat from the "three red lines" policy, indicate a more supportive financing environment for real estate companies [13] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the real estate sector, highlighting the potential for recovery in the industry as financing policies become more favorable [3][13] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several quality real estate companies for investment, including China Jinmao, Poly Developments, and China Resources Land, among others, due to their potential for recovery and attractive valuations [13] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the evolving financing landscape and the impact of government policies on the real estate market [3][13]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoint On February 2, the capital market remained balanced and stable, the bond market oscillated weakly, the main indexes of the convertible bond market declined collectively, most convertible bond issues fell, the yields of US Treasury bonds across all tenors generally rose, and the yields of 10-year government bonds in major European economies generally rose [1][2]. 3. Summary by Section 3.1 Bond Market News - **Domestic News**: Premier Li Qiang emphasized promoting development, improving people's livelihoods, and enhancing the development potential in Shandong; the central government approved the "Modern Capital Metropolitan Area Spatial Collaborative Planning (2023 - 2035)", which is significant for Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei coordinated development; the "2026 'Happy Shopping Spring Festival'" event will be launched to boost consumption; the Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration issued relevant tax management measures [4][5][8]. - **International News**: The US January ISM manufacturing PMI far exceeded expectations; the US and India reached a trade agreement to lower tariffs; international crude oil and natural gas prices declined [9][10][11]. 3.2 Capital Market - **Open - market Operations**: On February 2, the central bank conducted 750 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations with a rate of 1.40%. With 1505 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, there was a net withdrawal of 755 billion yuan [13]. - **Funding Rates**: The capital market remained balanced and stable. DR001 rose 3.65bp to 1.364%, and DR007 fell 10.2bp to 1.491%. Other funding rates also showed changes [14]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - **Interest - rate Bonds**: In the morning, the bond market was bullish due to the disappointing January PMI data, but then oscillated weakly. The yields of some bonds changed, such as the 10 - year Treasury bond active issue 250016's yield rising 0.50bp to 1.8150%. The bond bidding situation showed different issuance scales, yields, and multiples [15][16]. - **Credit Bonds**: Three industrial bonds had a trading price deviation of over 10%. There were also various credit - related events such as debt and guarantee overdue, investment negotiations, bond suspension and resumption, and rating adjustments [17][19]. - **Convertible Bonds**: The A - share market declined, and the convertible bond market followed suit. The main convertible bond indexes fell, and most individual convertible bonds declined. The trading volume of the convertible bond market shrank, and some bonds had significant price changes. Yifeng Convertible Bond may trigger the condition for downward adjustment of the conversion price [19][20][22]. - **Overseas Bond Markets** - **US Bond Market**: Yields of US Treasury bonds across all tenors generally rose, and the yield spreads of some maturities narrowed. The 10 - year inflation - protected Treasury bond (TIPS) break - even inflation rate declined [23][24][26]. - **European Bond Market**: Except for the 10 - year UK government bond yield, which declined 2bp, the 10 - year government bond yields of other major European economies generally rose [27]. - **Chinese - funded US - dollar Bonds**: The daily price changes of Chinese - funded US - dollar bonds showed significant differences among different issuers, with some rising and some falling [29].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate development and service sectors [7] Core Insights - The new policy in Shanghai for acquiring second-hand housing aims to address the rental needs of new citizens, young people, and graduates, potentially stabilizing housing prices and boosting industry confidence [1][4] - The policy is expected to facilitate a balance between supply and demand in the real estate market by replacing new construction with stock acquisition, thus compressing the supply cycle for affordable rental housing [3] - The report highlights the importance of targeted housing supply strategies in key districts, focusing on small units and proximity to industrial areas to meet talent housing needs [2] Summary by Sections Investment Opportunities - The report recommends investing in "three good" real estate companies with strong credit, good locations, and quality products, particularly those with quality reserves in Shanghai [5] - Specific companies highlighted include China Overseas Development, China Resources Land, and Longfor Group, among others, which are expected to benefit from the new policy and market recovery [9][10] Market Dynamics - The report notes that the new policy is not the first of its kind in China, with previous examples in cities like Zhengzhou, but it is expected to have a more significant impact in Shanghai due to its status as a core first-tier city [4] - The anticipated market stabilization is supported by a relatively market-oriented pricing mechanism for affordable rental housing, which could lead to sustainable commercial outcomes [4] Company Performance - Companies such as Greentown Service and Longfor Group are expected to maintain strong performance metrics, with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth and stable cash flow management [11][12] - The report emphasizes the operational capabilities of companies like China Resources Land and Longfor Group, which are positioned to navigate market adjustments effectively [12][13]

从"双榜"情况来看，邦泰观云、保利天珺二期加推后持续集中备案，分别销售约1.02亿元、0.3亿元，成交34套、12套，成交均价约19937元/㎡、17898元/ ㎡，套均价约301万/套、247万/套。 同为关上板块的高端改善项目，华润中心降价促销集中备案，单周销售约0.28亿元，成交均价约14535元/㎡。 （龙湖天境实拍图） 龙湖旗下则有两个项目上榜。高新板块的新规住宅项目，龙湖天境销售约0.35亿元，成交19套，成交均价约14811元/套，套均价约186万/套；度假区板块的 龙湖·山海原著，新品入市后一直去化不错，上周销售约0.23亿元，成交均价高达21938元/㎡，也是价格最高的一个项目。 大华·锦绣麓城成交14套，成交均价约11450元/㎡，套均价约125万/套；旭辉广场铂森林语成交12套，成交均价约12885元/㎡，套均价约96万/套。 上周（2026年1月26日-2月1日），昆明楼市成交量价齐涨，南市区改善型四代宅项目集中备案，带动价格上涨近三成。邦泰昆明第三个四代宅项目落地北市 区，预计明年可入市。 据克而瑞发布的最新数据显示，上周昆明主城无住宅项目取证，供应挂零；成交约5.38万㎡，环比微涨 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 重新提交 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00960 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 10,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 1,000,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 10,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 1,000,000,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： HKD 1,000,000,000 FF301 致：香港交易及結算所有限公 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced overall low-level fluctuations on February 3, with most major indices and sectors rising, but individual stock performance showed divergence [2][3] - The stock of Cambrian Technology (寒武纪-U) saw a sudden drop, with a decline exceeding 14% at one point during the trading session, closing down 12.88% at 1082.09 yuan per share, resulting in a total market capitalization of 456.3 billion yuan [10][11] - The market saw over 4,400 stocks in the green, with the major indices fluctuating throughout the morning session, ultimately closing with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.38%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.93%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.76% [3][4] Group 2 - The defense and military industry sector led the gains, with an intraday increase of over 3%, while sectors such as banking and oil & gas saw declines [10] - Cambrian Technology's significant drop in stock price was notable amidst a broader market context where many stocks were still experiencing gains [10][11] - The new stock, Shimon Holdings (世盟股份), listed today and saw its price rise by as much as 150% during the session, focusing on providing integrated supply chain logistics solutions for multinational manufacturing enterprises [18]

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