FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 其他類別 (請註明) | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | N/A | 說明 | 內資非上市股份 | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 2,533,406,011 RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 2,533,406,011 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 2,533,406,011 RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 2,533,406,011 | | 3. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 其他類別 (請註明) | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 否 ...

证券研究报告·海外公司深度·汽车(HS) 奇瑞汽车（09973.HK） 深耕出海，多品牌协同拓展增长边界 2026 年 02 月 05 日 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 163,205 | 269,897 | 303,208 | 329,400 | 372,250 | | 同比(%) | 76.21 | 65.37 | 12.34 | 8.64 | 13.01 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 11,953 | 14,135 | 18,410 | 21,076 | 25,375 | | 同比(%) | 90.76 | 18.25 | 30.25 | 14.48 | 20.40 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 2.06 | 2.43 | 3.17 | 3.63 | 4.37 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 12.26 | 10.37 | 7.96 | 6.95 | 5.77 | [T ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Chery Automobile (09973.HK) for the first time [1]. Core Insights - Chery Automobile is transitioning towards globalization and intelligence, with a focus on multiple brands to meet diverse market demands. The company has established a clear equity structure involving state-owned assets, strategic investors, and management, which enhances operational efficiency and strategic alignment [8][13]. - The financial outlook is positive, with significant revenue growth driven by the expansion of new energy vehicles and increasing overseas sales. The report forecasts a substantial increase in net profit from 11.95 billion yuan in 2023 to 25.38 billion yuan by 2027 [1][17]. - Chery's brand strategy includes five distinct brands: Chery, Jetour, Exeed, iCAR, and Zhijie, each targeting different market segments and customer needs [38][39]. Summary by Sections 1. Basic Information - Chery Automobile was founded in 1997 and has evolved from a local manufacturer to a global technology-driven automotive enterprise. The company has a clear equity structure that balances state ownership, strategic investments, and management control [13][14]. - The company has seen rapid revenue growth from 2022 to 2024, primarily due to the increasing contribution of new energy vehicles and sustained overseas revenue growth [17][18]. 2. Existing Brand System - Chery's main brand targets the mainstream market with a focus on high cost-performance and diverse powertrain options. Jetour emphasizes family travel and off-road capabilities, while Exeed targets high-end users. iCAR is aimed at younger consumers with a focus on personalization, and Zhijie leverages collaboration with Huawei for smart experiences [38][39]. 3. Export Strategy - Chery has a well-established export strategy that began in developing markets and is now expanding into key markets like Russia and Europe. The company has adapted its product offerings and distribution channels to suit local market conditions [55][60]. - The Tiggo series is central to Chery's product strategy, with a focus on multiple brands and energy types to cater to different regional markets [65]. 4. Technological Foundation - Chery is enhancing its platform-based manufacturing capabilities and pursuing a dual-track strategy of self-research and collaboration with leading technology partners. The company aims to consolidate its R&D efforts to improve efficiency and innovation [8][34]. 5. Profit Forecast and Investment Advice - The report projects Chery's net profit to reach 18.41 billion yuan in 2025, with a corresponding P/E ratio indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers. The strong momentum in new energy development and solid export positioning justify a higher valuation for the company [1][17].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report discusses the impact of rising raw material costs on passenger car manufacturers, particularly focusing on the effects of copper, aluminum, and lithium prices on vehicle production costs [5][8][11][14] - It highlights that the cost increase for electric vehicles (EVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) is significantly influenced by the prices of copper and lithium, with estimated cost increases of approximately 2,300 RMB for EVs and 1,600 RMB for PHEVs due to copper price hikes, and 3,200 RMB for EVs and 1,500 RMB for PHEVs due to lithium price increases [5][11] - The report quantifies the cost impact on various manufacturers, indicating that companies like Chery, Geely, and Great Wall Motors experience relatively smaller increases in average vehicle costs due to their sales structure and the types of vehicles they produce [15][17] - It outlines five strategies that manufacturers can employ to mitigate the impact of rising raw material costs, including cost reductions through enhanced features, annual cost reductions, technological advancements, scale effects, and structural adjustments [22][23] Summary by Sections Section 1: Impact of Raw Material Price Increases - The report estimates that the increase in copper prices will raise the production costs of fuel vehicles, EVs, and PHEVs by approximately 800 RMB, 2,300 RMB, and 1,600 RMB respectively, while aluminum price increases will add about 700 RMB, 900 RMB, and 900 RMB to the respective vehicle types [5][8] - Lithium price increases are projected to raise costs by 3,200 RMB for EVs and 1,500 RMB for PHEVs, assuming a price of 160,000 RMB per ton [11][14] Section 2: Cost Pressure by Manufacturer - The report analyzes the cost pressure on manufacturers based on their sales structure, concluding that companies like Chery, Geely, and Great Wall Motors face smaller increases in average vehicle costs due to their diverse product lines and sales strategies [15][17] Section 3: Strategies to Mitigate Cost Increases - Manufacturers are expected to implement various strategies to counteract the impact of rising raw material costs, including: 1. Enhancing features while maintaining competitive pricing 2. Achieving annual cost reductions of around 2% 3. Utilizing technological advancements to lower costs 4. Leveraging scale effects to dilute fixed costs 5. Adjusting product structures to focus on higher-end models and exports [22][23] Section 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a "shelf-style" investment approach, recommending attention to various companies within the passenger vehicle chain, including Geely, BYD, Chery, and others for potential investment opportunities [25]

转自：中国质量报 多家车企1月销量出炉 出口成拉动销量重要因素 □ 本报记者 岳 倩 近日，多家车企陆续披露新年首月销量数据。整体来看，1月车企销量呈现出同比稳健上升、环比回落 的特征，新能源车与燃油车、新势力与传统品牌的市场表现呈现出结构性分化趋势。在国内存量竞争日 趋白热化的背景下，出口成为车企拉动整体销量、对冲国内市场波动的增长极。 据了解，车企往往选择在年底刺激销量，大部分车企2025年12月的销量基数较高。此外，1月为传统汽 车销售淡季，叠加新能源汽车购置税补贴退坡、以旧换新和报废补贴规则修改等政策换挡影响，因此， 大部分车企出现"环比下滑"的趋势符合市场规律。 传统车企的销量数据显示，有燃油车业务板块的车企在一定程度上对冲了风险，1月表现相对稳健；同 时，海外市场已经成为销量的重要增长极。 央国企方面，上汽集团实现整车批售32.7万辆，同比增长23.9%，环比下降约18.03%；海外销售10.5万 辆，同比增长51.7%。广汽集团销售汽车11.66万辆，同比增长18.47%，环比下滑37.79%，海外销量同比 增长68.59%。 民营企业方面，吉利汽车销量为27.02万辆，同比增长1.29%，环比 ...

Market Dynamics - The U.S. stock market showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones up by 0.53%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell by 0.51% and 1.51% respectively, with the Nasdaq breaking below its 100-day moving average [1] - Southbound capital in Hong Kong saw a net inflow of approximately 13.373 billion HKD, marking the highest single-day inflow since January 22, with Tencent and Alibaba receiving net purchases of about 2.231 billion HKD and 1.171 billion HKD respectively [4] - The latest data indicates that the number of newly opened margin trading accounts in January 2026 reached 190,500, a 29.5% increase from December 2025, and a 157.09% increase year-on-year [4] Commodity Prices - WTI crude oil futures rose by 3.05% to $65.14 per barrel, while Brent crude increased by 3.16% to $69.46 per barrel [2] - COMEX gold futures increased by 1.04% to $4,986.4 per ounce, and silver futures rose by 5.36% to $87.765 per ounce [2] Industry Developments - Domestic private commercial rocket company Dongfang Space is expected to complete the first flight of its "Gravity II" medium-sized liquid reusable launch vehicle by mid-2026 [5] - The National Space Computing Center, part of the "Star Computing" plan by Guoxing Aerospace, aims to establish a super space computing network consisting of 2,800 satellites, with the first group already launched [5] - Tesla's Shanghai factory delivered 69,129 vehicles in January, marking a 9% year-on-year increase, continuing a trend of growth in wholesale sales for three consecutive months [16] Technological Innovations - The brain-machine interaction and human-machine integration laboratory has developed the first brain-controlled acupuncture and neuro-rehabilitation equipment platform in China, which is currently undergoing clinical trials [9] - Tencent's AI Infra team launched an open-source high-performance LLM inference core operator library, achieving a 30% improvement in model inference performance [7] Regulatory and Policy Updates - The People's Bank of China emphasized the need for structural monetary policy tools to support key areas such as expanding domestic demand and technological innovation [10] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology highlighted the importance of AI in manufacturing, aiming to strengthen application foundations and key technologies [11]

2025年，中国企业在资本市场表现活跃，IPO数量与募资规模均呈现增长趋势。数据显示，全年共有大量企业完成上市，涵盖A股、港股及美股市场，其中 A股仍是主要融资渠道。从行业分布看，科技、医疗、新能源等领域企业表现突出，成为IPO热点。 在投资回报方面，部分VC/PE机构通过所投企业成功上市实现显著收益。账面退出回报率显示，多数项目在上市后短期内获得正向回报，但不同行业和市场 的表现存在差异。例如，A股市场首日涨幅较为稳定，而美股市场波动性较大，影响了整体回报水平。 从地区分布来看，北京、上海、深圳等一线城市仍是IPO企业集中地，但二三线城市企业的上市数量也在逐步上升。这反映出更多区域企业具备较强的资本 运作能力，并能够进入主流资本市场。 2025年IPO政策环境总体保持稳定，监管层持续优化发行机制，提升市场透明度。汇率变动对境外上市企业的募资金额产生一定影响，需在统计中进行合理 调整。 2025年中国企业IPO市场呈现出多元化、专业化的发展态势，为投资者提供了更多退出机会，同时也对企业的财务能力和战略规划提出更高要求。 来源：投中嘉川 数据来源: 投中嘉川 CVSource 报告时间: 2026.01 リ』嘉 ...

Core Viewpoint - Ningbo Tianlong Electronics Co., Ltd. is acquiring a 32.30% stake in Suzhou Haomibow Technology Co., Ltd. for 1.32 billion yuan and plans to invest an additional 1 billion yuan to become the controlling shareholder, despite the target company currently being in a loss position, which poses risks to the listed company's immediate returns and future profitability [2][4][6]. Group 1: Transaction Details - The company will hold 54.87% of Suzhou Haomibow after the transaction, which will be included in the consolidated financial statements [4][6]. - As of September 30, 2025, Suzhou Haomibow reported a net asset of -19.57 million yuan and a net loss of 43.59 million yuan for the first nine months of 2025 [4][6]. - The initial capital increase will primarily be used to repay debts owed to Zhejiang Antai Holdings Group [4][6]. Group 2: Risks Associated with the Acquisition - The acquisition may dilute the immediate returns of the listed company due to Suzhou Haomibow's current losses, which could impact the company's performance over the next 2-3 years [2][3]. - There is a risk of goodwill impairment amounting to approximately 18 million yuan, which could adversely affect the listed company's financial results if Suzhou Haomibow's operational performance deteriorates [2][3]. - The founders of Suzhou Haomibow have made performance commitments for the years 2026-2029, but external factors could hinder the achievement of these targets, affecting the overall performance of the listed company [3][4]. Group 3: Strategic Rationale for the Acquisition - The acquisition aligns with the company's strategic focus on automotive electronics and aims to tap into emerging fields such as intelligent driving and new energy [6][9]. - Suzhou Haomibow has a strong technical foundation in 4D millimeter-wave radar technology, which is expected to grow significantly in the automotive sector [10][11]. - The founders of Suzhou Haomibow have extensive experience in the automotive industry, enhancing the potential for successful integration and growth [10][11]. Group 4: Financial Projections and Market Potential - The global millimeter-wave radar market is projected to grow from 17.8 billion yuan in 2020 to 63 billion yuan by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.7% [24][25]. - The Chinese market for 4D millimeter-wave radar is expected to reach 10.7 billion yuan by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 55.7% [25][31]. - Suzhou Haomibow's revenue is projected to improve significantly, with expectations of narrowing losses and achieving profitability by 2028 [11][31].

Group 1 - The automotive industry is undergoing a transformation with the integration of "vehicles, people, and machines," leading to a significant shift towards intelligent robotics [1] - The "Wuyou" AI traffic management robot by Moja Robotics has officially started operations, collaborating with traffic police to manage traffic and identify violations [1] - Xiaopeng Motors has merged its autonomous driving and smart cockpit departments into a new General Intelligence Center, indicating a strategic focus on AI in automotive and robotics [1][2] Group 2 - Tesla's third-generation humanoid robot, Optimus V3, is set to be mass-produced, with an expected annual output of one million units, showcasing a shift from demonstration to production in the humanoid robot race [2] - Over twenty automotive companies globally are investing in humanoid robotics, with some already integrating these robots into their factories [2] - Li Auto has confirmed a leadership change to focus on humanoid robotics, with new job postings indicating a push for expertise in embedded software and motor development [2] Group 3 - Seres has established a new company focused on intelligent robotics and AI software development, marking its entry into the "automotive + AI + robotics" ecosystem [3] - Morgan Stanley has significantly raised its forecast for humanoid robot sales in China, predicting a 133% year-on-year increase to 28,000 units in 2023, with long-term projections reaching 260,000 units by 2035 [3] Group 4 - The automotive manufacturing sector is seen as a key area for the application of embodied robots due to its large scale and established automation [4] - Challenges remain for the integration of embodied robots in automotive manufacturing, including the maturity of core technologies and high operational costs [4] - The application of embodied robots in the automotive sector is expected to accelerate, driven by policy, market demand, and technological advancements [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese automotive market in January 2026 is characterized by a stark contrast, with most automakers experiencing negative growth, particularly in the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector, highlighting the importance of having a diversified product lineup that includes both fuel and electric vehicles [5][6][7]. Sales Performance Summary - In January, the retail sales of passenger cars are expected to reach 1.8 million units, a month-on-month decline of 20.4%, with NEV sales around 800,000 units, marking a penetration rate drop to 44.4%, nearly 10 percentage points lower than the peak at the end of 2025 [6][7]. - Traditional automakers like SAIC, Geely, and GAC Toyota reported stable sales due to their dual strategy of offering both fuel and NEVs, with SAIC's total sales reaching 327,400 units, a year-on-year increase of 23.94% [10][11]. - Geely's total sales were 270,167 units, with fuel vehicles contributing significantly to its performance, while BYD faced a 30.11% decline in NEV sales, indicating the challenges faced by companies heavily reliant on NEVs [12][15]. Market Dynamics - The differentiation in sales performance among automakers is attributed to their strategic choices, particularly the presence of a fuel vehicle base, which enhances resilience against market fluctuations [9][19]. - The demand for fuel vehicles surged during the pre-Spring Festival period, as consumers preferred mature technology and the convenience of fuel vehicles for long-distance travel, further supported by the limited impact of policy changes on fuel vehicles [19][20]. Export Growth - Exports have become a crucial support for many leading automakers, with companies like Chery and SAIC reporting significant increases in overseas sales, indicating a dual strategy of maintaining domestic stability while expanding globally [17][18]. Future Outlook - The current market conditions signal a shift from policy-driven growth to market-driven dynamics, emphasizing the need for automakers to maintain a balanced portfolio of fuel and NEVs to navigate future uncertainties [22]. - Companies that can effectively manage their fuel vehicle base while rapidly advancing in the NEV sector are likely to emerge as market leaders, while those focusing solely on NEVs may face greater risks during market fluctuations [21][22].