Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the second half of 2025, CRMW products were issued intensively in conjunction with private enterprise science and technology innovation bonds, with obvious cost - reduction and credit - enhancement effects. Currently, there is little room for participation in the secondary market. It is recommended to focus on the pricing opportunities during the primary issuance of new products. The "underlying bond + CRMW" combination under the strong guarantee of large - scale national and joint - stock banks has valuation advantages, and institutions with stable liability ends such as proprietary trading can hold them until maturity [5]. - When classified by creation entities, special attention should be paid to CRMW created by joint - stock banks [5]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Credit Bond Weekly Viewpoint: Focus on the Pricing Opportunities of CRMW Primary Issuance - CRMW is an important credit - enhancement product. In 2025, over a hundred CRMW were created by various institutions, a slight reduction from 2024. Nearly 40% of the protected underlying bonds were science and technology innovation bonds, and the protected issuers were mostly technology - based private enterprises. Commercial banks are the mainstream creation institutions, while securities companies have rarely participated since 2024, and guarantee companies such as Zhongyu Guarantee and Zhongzhai Zengxin have been active [9]. - It is difficult to participate in the secondary market of CRMW. The focus should be on the primary issuance, especially the CRMW created by joint - stock banks. The average maturity of recently issued underlying bonds is about 2 years, and the maturity considering the exercise right is generally no more than 3 years, which meets the preferences of mainstream institutions [15]. - By creation entity types: - State - owned banks: Since 2024, the frequency of state - owned banks creating CRMW has declined. The credit spread of the "CRMW + underlying bond" investment portfolio created by state - owned banks is generally low, with most spreads around 40bp since Q4 2025, and there is no excess return compared to mainstream urban investment/industrial bonds [15][17]. - Joint - stock banks: Banks such as China Zheshang Bank have created a relatively large number of CRMW. The credit spread of the "CRMW + underlying bond" investment portfolio is around 70bp, and the absolute return can exceed 2.4%, which is very attractive in a low - return environment. The higher return mainly comes from the higher coupon rate of the protected underlying bonds, and there is sufficient safety margin under the strong guarantee of CRMW [25]. - City commercial banks: Banks such as Dongguan Bank and Qingdao Bank are the main creation institutions. The returns of their "CRMW + underlying bond" portfolios are more differentiated, and the recent returns are mainly in the range of 2.1% - 2.2%, with limited attractiveness [25]. - Rural commercial banks: Only Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank participates, and the overall return of the portfolio is not high due to the strong credit quality of the credit - enhancement subject [25]. - Guarantee companies: Zhongyu Guarantee and Zhongzhai Zengxin have created a small number of CRMW in the past two years. The returns are scattered, and the "underlying bond + CRMW" portfolio has a slightly higher return due to weak liquidity, which is suitable for institutions with stable liability ends and high - risk preferences to hold until maturity [23][26]. - Secondary market opportunities are mainly concentrated in the "underlying bond + CRMW" portfolio with a maturity of less than 1 year. The primary market is the main way to participate, while the secondary market has weak liquidity. The short - term portfolio with a maturity of less than 1 year and a return of over 2.1% created by state - owned banks and strong joint - stock banks has cost - effectiveness [28]. 2. Credit Bond Weekly Review: The Enthusiasm for Medium - Term Bond Mining Continues 2.1 Negative Information Monitoring - There were no bond defaults, overdue payments, downgrades of issuer or bond ratings, or overseas rating downgrades during the week from January 26 to February 1, 2026. However, there were significant negative events for companies such as Sunshine City Group, Country Garden Real Estate Group, and Rongqiao Group [31][33]. 2.2 Primary Issuance: Net Financing Remains High, and Financing Costs Fluctuate Narrowly - The new issuance scale of credit bonds remained high, the maturity volume decreased, and the net financing remained high. From January 26 to February 1, 2026, the primary issuance of credit bonds was 307.4 billion yuan, a slight decrease from the previous period. The total repayment was 151.7 billion yuan, a 19% decrease from the previous period, and the net financing was 155.7 billion yuan [34]. - The number and scale of cancelled or postponed bond issuances remained at a low level. The financing costs of medium - and high - grade bonds fluctuated slightly. The average coupon rates of AAA and AA+ grades were 2.12% and 2.24% respectively, with a month - on - month increase of 9bp and a decrease of 7bp [35]. 2.3 Secondary Trading: Valuations Fluctuated Slightly, and 3 - year Bonds Outperformed Relatively - The valuations of credit bonds of various grades and maturities were mostly flat compared to the previous period, except for a 3bp decline in the 3 - year medium - and low - grade bonds. The risk - free interest rate fluctuated slightly, and the credit spreads were mostly flat. The term spreads of 3Y - 1Y and 5Y - 1Y of various grades almost all narrowed, with an average of about 2bp, and the AA - grade 3Y - 1Y narrowed by up to 4bp. The AA - AAA grade spread of the 3 - year bond narrowed by 4bp [37][40]. - The credit spreads of urban investment bonds in various provinces narrowed slightly, with an average narrowing of about 2bp, and the spreads in Heilongjiang and Yunnan narrowed the most. The credit spreads of industrial bonds fluctuated within ±1bp, significantly underperforming urban investment bonds, and the real estate sector widened by 3bp [42][43]. - The weekly turnover rate decreased by 0.18 percentage points to 1.85%. The issuers of the top - ten turnover bonds were mostly central and state - owned enterprises. The issuers of credit bonds with a discount of more than 10% in trading were mainly related to Country Garden, Vanke, and AVIC Industry Finance [45]. - The distribution of urban investment bonds with the largest narrowing or widening of spreads was scattered. Among industrial bonds, the top five issuers with widening spreads were mostly real - estate companies, including Times Holdings, Rongqiao, Yuzhou Hongtu, and Greenland [47][48].

Banking Sector - The banking sector is expected to see three major catalysts in 2026: 1) Interest margins are likely to stabilize as new loan rates reach a low point, and deposit repricing effects will continue to improve banks' funding costs [6][7] 2) Risks related to real estate exposure are expected to have peaked, with significant progress in mitigating financial risks in the real estate sector [6] 3) Retail business may show marginal improvement as credit risks ease and wealth management activities are expected to activate [6][7] - Investment strategies for 2026 suggest focusing on four main lines: 1) Increase allocation to high-quality city commercial banks with strong earnings elasticity, recommending Hangzhou Bank and paying attention to Ningbo Bank, Nanjing Bank, Chongqing Bank, Qingdao Bank, and Xiamen Bank [5][7] 2) Allocate to high-dividend large banks, with a focus on Bank of China Hong Kong (H), CITIC Bank (H), China Construction Bank (H), and China Merchants Bank [5][7] 3) Pay attention to Shanghai Bank and Industrial Bank due to expected strong redemption of convertible bonds [5][7] 4) Consider banks with significant valuation discounts and potential for performance recovery, such as Minsheng Bank and Ping An Bank [5][7] Mechanical Equipment - The CDU liquid cooling pump is expected to benefit from the accelerated construction of AI data centers, as it plays a crucial role in regulating coolant flow and pressure, constituting 30%-40% of the liquid cooling system's value [9][10] - The market size for CDU liquid pumps is projected to reach between $1.139 billion and $1.544 billion in 2026, driven by the increasing demand for liquid cooling solutions as chip power exceeds the limits of air cooling [9][11] - The cooling source side of the liquid cooling system is also expected to benefit from the rapid development of AI data centers, with the global market for cooling water units projected to grow from approximately 105.21 billion yuan in 2024 to nearly 167.33 billion yuan by 2031 [10] Commercial Aerospace - SpaceX's application for an orbital data center system aims to reduce energy consumption from ground data centers, which may create significant incremental opportunities for rocket launch service providers and satellite manufacturers [22][24] - The acceleration of low Earth orbit satellite constellations is expected to drive domestic leading rocket launch service providers to actively expand their satellite constellation-related businesses, creating new growth opportunities in upstream supply chain segments [22][24] - The construction of orbital data centers is anticipated to significantly reduce energy consumption, benefiting both rocket launch service providers and satellite manufacturers [24] Fixed Income - The manufacturing PMI for January showed a significant seasonal decline, with the index at 49.3%, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector [14][15] - The service sector PMI slightly decreased, while the construction sector's activity index fell below 40%, indicating a need for further economic stabilization measures [19] - The credit market is expected to face structural opportunities despite a less favorable recovery outlook in February, with a focus on medium to high-rated city investment bonds [42][47] Airline Industry - Air China is projected to report a net loss of approximately 1.3 billion to 1.9 billion yuan for 2025, with Q4 losses expected to be between 3.17 billion and 3.77 billion yuan, indicating an increase in losses compared to the previous year [27][28] - Despite the projected losses, operational data for 2025 shows steady improvement, with available seat kilometers (ASK) and revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) increasing by 3.24% and 5.85% respectively [27][28] - The long-term demand for civil aviation in China is viewed positively, supported by the company's strong route network [28] Steel Industry - Fangda Special Steel is expected to see a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projected between 835 million and 998 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 236.90% to 302.67% [31][32] - The growth is attributed to increased production and sales volumes, along with a decline in raw material costs, which have helped restore steel margins [31][32] - The company is focusing on refined management and cost reduction strategies, alongside potential asset injections from its parent group [32] Home Appliances - The home appliance industry is experiencing a decline in production and sales, particularly in the air conditioning and refrigerator segments, with significant year-on-year decreases reported [34] - The introduction of innovative products like Clawbot is expected to reshape the AI assistant market, enhancing consumer engagement and operational efficiency [35] - Companies like Ecovacs and Ninebot are projected to see substantial profit growth in 2025, driven by new product launches and increased market penetration [36]

行业周报 | 非银金融 券商业绩预告亮眼，保险有望延续估值修复 金融行业周报（2026/02/01） 金融行业周涨跌幅跟踪：1）本周非银金融（申万）指数涨跌幅为+1.04%， 跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.95pct。本周证券Ⅱ（申万）、保险Ⅱ（申万）、多元金 融指数涨跌幅分别为-0.69%、+5.50%、-3.62%。2）本周银行（申万）涨跌 幅为+0.86%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.78pct。其中，国有行、股份行、城商行、 农商行本周涨跌幅分别为+0.35%、-0.26%、+3.11%、+2.06%。 投资观点：1）保险：本周保险Ⅱ(申万)涨跌幅为+5.50%，跑赢沪深 300 指 数 5.42pct。1 月保险股受"开门红"业绩高涨，后因监管降温进入震荡回 调。展望 2 月，保险股有望延续估值修复趋势：负债端，居民挪储趋势持续， 分红险凭借"保底+浮动"的收益优势成为承接居民资产迁徙的核心品种， 叠加 1 月"开门红"高增态势延续，头部险企保费增速有望持续领跑；资产 端，股市慢牛预期升温叠加利率中枢企稳，板块有望逐步从"流动性宽松驱 动"向"宏观政策加码+经济修复预期驱动"切换，投资收益提升路径明确 ...

01 主题：行业配置模型回顾与更新系列（二十一） 时间：2月2日（周一）21:00 主讲：刘晓锋 金工首席分析师 参会密码： 116367 02 主 题： 杭州银行基本面背景及26年投资展望 时间： 2月5日（周四）14 : 00 主讲： 夏芈卬 金融首席分析师 参会密码： 770209 03 主 题：古茗观点更新和推荐 时间： 2月5日（周四）15 : 00 主讲： 郭梦婕 食饮首席分析师 林叙希 食饮分析师 参会密码： 750870 04 主题： 工程机械行业近况更新 时间： 2月5日（周四）15 : 00 主讲：张凤琳 机械分析师 参会密码： 638768 05 主题：朱格拉周期视角下的化工投资机会——炼化&聚酯 时间：2月6日（周五）10 : 30 主讲： 王海涛 化工分析师 参会密码：580407 首席分析 Um 识别二维码立即参会 +86-01053827720 (全球) +886-277083288 (中国台湾) +852-51089680 (中国香港) 参会密码: 116367 ii i C SECURITIES 会议号码: +86-4001888938 (中国大陆) 杭州银行基本面背景 及2 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hangzhou Bank has demonstrated steady improvement in operational efficiency and profitability in 2025, successfully completing its "2255" strategic goals, laying a solid foundation for the next five-year strategic plan [1][7] Financial Performance - In 2025, Hangzhou Bank achieved operating income of 38.799 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.09%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 19.030 billion yuan, up 12.05%, indicating strong profitability [2] - The bank's net interest income reached 27.594 billion yuan, growing by 12.83%, while net fee and commission income was 4.207 billion yuan, increasing by 13.10%, reflecting a diversified profit structure [2] - The bank distributed a mid-term dividend of 3.80 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 2.755 billion yuan, showcasing its commitment to shareholder returns [2] Asset and Liability Management - As of the end of 2025, Hangzhou Bank's total assets reached 2364.902 billion yuan, an increase of 11.96%, with total loans of 1071.876 billion yuan, up 14.33%, and total deposits of 1440.579 billion yuan, rising by 13.20% [3] - The bank's focus on high-quality development is evident, with significant growth in key sectors: loans to manufacturing, technology, and green projects increased by 22.25%, 23.44%, and 22.75% respectively [3] Asset Quality and Risk Management - Hangzhou Bank maintained a low non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.76% as of the end of 2025, with a provision coverage ratio of 502.24%, indicating strong asset quality and risk management capabilities [4] Market Outlook and Strategic Direction - The bank's strong performance at the beginning of 2026 reflects continued market confidence, with stable growth in corporate credit and a recovery in retail mortgage demand [5] - Hangzhou Bank has outlined its "3366" strategy for 2026-2030, focusing on customer, scale, and efficiency, while enhancing capabilities in talent, risk control, and technology [7]

证券研究报告 西部证券研发中心 2026年01月30日 分析师 | 周安桐 S0800524120005 zhouantong@research.xbmail.com.cn 联系人 | 程宵凯 chengxiaokai@xbmail.com.cn 联系人 | 喻麟靖 yulinjing@xbmail.com.cn 静水潜流，价值当归 银行板块2026开年策略 • 板块现状：25年10月以来资金对银行板块策略偏审慎，板块整体呈行情趋势缺失、估值中枢向中值收敛，以及资金交易向绩优股集中、 估值分布不均两大特征。 • 资金面趋势：我们认为国资法人是银行板块中长期定价的主导资金，一方面国资稳定控股银行股（25Q2末持股数量、市值占比均在 60%以上）、且交易频次较低，另一方面央企、地方国资系统是上市银行长期经营策略制定与实施的主导方。而银行板块的短中期行 情或更多受险资、公募、宽基ETF等资金流动影响。 ➢ 息差有望趋势企稳：1）贷款端：新发放贷款利率已行至低位，叠加自律机制调节、监管引导行业"反内卷"等因素，预计今年贷款端 收益下行压力或边际缓减；2）存款端：预计今年银行存款重定价效应仍较强，利于银行持续改善负债端 ...

近日，厦门银行披露2025年度业绩快报。公告显示，截至2025年末，该行总资产4530.99亿元，较上年 末增长11.11%。经营业绩方面，2025全年，厦门银行实现营业收入58.56亿元，同比增长1.69%；实现净 利润27.50亿元，同比增长1.64%。资产质量方面，截至2025年末，该行不良贷款率0.77%，拨备覆盖率 312.63%。 | 项目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | 增减变动幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (未经审计) | (经审计) | (%) | | 营业总收入 | 58. 56 | 57. 59 | 1.69 | | 营业利润 | 27.68 | 27. 49 | 0.66 | | 利润总额 | 27.68 | 27. 35 | 1.18 | | 净利润 | 27.50 | 27.06 | 1.64 | | 归属于上市公司股东的净 利润 | 26. 34 | 25. 95 | 1.52 | | 归属于上市公司股东的扣 除非经常性损益的净利润 | 26. 31 | 26. 08 | 0. 90 | | 基本每股收益(元) | 0.90 | 0. 89 ...

Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of the banking industry shows a steady improvement in asset scale expansion, profitability, and risk management as ten listed banks report their preliminary performance for 2025 [1] Group 1: Asset Scale Expansion - Ten banks achieved steady growth in total asset scale, with some banks reaching new milestones; for instance, China Merchants Bank's total assets exceeded 13 trillion yuan for the first time, reaching 13.07 trillion yuan, an increase of 918.49 billion yuan or 7.56% year-on-year [3][5] - CITIC Bank and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank both surpassed the 10 trillion yuan mark in total assets, indicating a significant expansion in their asset scale [5][4] - By the end of 2025, the total assets of CITIC Bank reached 10.13 trillion yuan, growing by 6.28%, while Shanghai Pudong Development Bank's total assets reached 10.08 trillion yuan, increasing by 6.55% [5][6] Group 2: Profitability Performance - Nine banks reported both revenue and net profit growth, with notable performances from Hangzhou Bank, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, and Qingdao Bank, which achieved double-digit growth in net profit [8] - In 2025, Hangzhou Bank's operating income was 38.80 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.09%, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 19.03 billion yuan, up 12.05% [8] - Shanghai Pudong Development Bank's operating income was 173.96 billion yuan, an increase of 1.88%, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 10.52% to 50.02 billion yuan [9][10] Group 3: Risk Management - Half of the banks reported a decline in non-performing loan (NPL) ratios, indicating effective risk management; for example, CITIC Bank's NPL ratio was 1.15%, down by 0.01 percentage points [12][11] - The overall NPL ratio for the ten banks remained stable, with five banks showing a decrease, while others maintained their ratios, reflecting strong asset quality management [12][11] - The provision coverage ratio for eight banks decreased, but remained at sufficient levels to absorb potential risks, with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and Qingdao Bank being the exceptions, as their ratios increased [15][14]

中信、浦发资产规模破十万亿，城商行保持两位数高增 具体来看，中信银行、浦发银行资产规模双双迈入十万亿关口；9家银行实现营收净利双增长，城商行 增速表现亮眼；半数银行不良率下行，拨备出现回调但风险缓冲空间依旧充足。 截至目前，10 家上市银行 2025 年业绩快报首批亮相。整体上，行业规模扩张、盈利表现、风险管控三 大核心维度均呈现稳健向好态势。 2025年，10家银行总资产规模均实现了稳步增长，且部分银行资产规模上了新台阶。其中，招商银行资 产总额首次超过13万亿元，截至2025年12月31日，招商银行资产总规模13.07万亿元，较上年末增加 9184.87亿元，增幅7.56%；负债总额11.79万亿元，较上年末增加8710.63亿元，增幅7.98%。 兴业银行总资产也突破11万亿元，截至年末达11.09万亿元，同比增长5.57%。从核心业务来看，其各项 贷款余额5.95万亿元，同比增长3.70%；各项存款余额5.93万亿元，同比增速达7.18%，存款端增长势头 强劲。 值得关注的是，中信银行、浦发银行的资产规模双双迈进10万亿元大关。 而截至2025年末，中信银行、浦发银行双双迈过十万亿门槛，使该俱乐部成员 ...

2026年1月30日早盘，三大股指全线下跌，截至10:58，沪深300红利低波动指数下跌0.39%。成分股方面 涨跌互现，中信银行领涨，杭州银行、工商银行跟涨；中国海油领跌，中国中铁、中国化学跟跌。 消息面上，2026年1月，多家上市公司密集披露半年报、三季报及特别分红方案，红利逐步兑现，进一 步凸显红利资产的配置价值。国信证券表示，随着政策支持为红利资产注入长期估值重塑动能，上市公 司分红力度持续加大。后续随着分红制度的持续完善，红利资产的股息吸引力将进一步提升。 此外，青岛银行发布2025年度业绩快报，实现归属于母公司股东净利润51.88亿元，同比增长21.66%。 此前已有招商银行、兴业银行、宁波银行等8家上市银行率先交出2025年度业绩快报，所有银行均实现 净利润正增长。中国银河证券指出，四季度市场风格整体延续上季度，资金对银行板块青睐程度维持在 相对低位。但同时，国有行、股份行持续受关注。近期被动资金流出对银行资金面形成扰动，但在低利 率与中长期资金加速入市的环境下，银行板块高股息、低估值的红利属性仍对险资等长线资金具备持续 吸引力，加速估值定价重构。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，沪深30 ...