SMIC业绩出来了，还是比较超预期的。 我们上午发preview特意提醒了。 在市场情绪比较保守，不少领导觉得会miss的时候，我们坚定看多。 我们上午发preview特意提醒了。 在市场情绪比较保守，不少领导觉得会miss的时候，我们坚定看多。 国产算力肯定是要一揽子配置的，芯原股份很好，中芯国际也很好 SMIC业绩出来了，还是比较超预期的。 ...

Company and Industry Summary Company: 芯原股份 (Chip Origin) Key Points 1. **Core Customer Engagements** - Confirmed collaboration with Tencent on accelerator cards and DPU, with project involvement exceeding that of ByteDance, reaching a turnkey level [1] - Confirmed significant deployment of PPU with Alibaba on Samsung, with project involvement slightly lower than ByteDance, projecting profits of $200-300 per unit [1] - Confirmed successful testing of MX return chips, with further mass production progress to be monitored within the year [1] - Confirmed an increase in wafer orders from ByteDance, contributing to overall demand, with further tracking of specific wafer return progress required [1] - Baidu's Kunlun chip project remains under observation for confirmation [1] - Other projects including ByteDance's VPU/DPU, Ideal's second-generation autonomous driving, and VIVO's ISP are all in mass production [1] 2. **Market Potential** - The market space for Chip Origin is substantial, with Alibaba estimated at 40-50 billion, ByteDance at 30-40 billion, and Tencent and Baidu's markets currently unknown, indicating a market exceeding 100 billion [2] - Even with a 15% net profit margin, this translates to a profit potential of 15 billion [2] 3. **Long-term Viability** - The role of ASICs is expected to persist alongside the growth of the domestic computing market, with initial project experience and core IP accumulation serving as a competitive moat [2] Additional Important Insights - The emphasis on the growth of domestic computing power driven by companies like ByteDance and Alibaba highlights the increasing importance of ASIC technology in the market [1] - The ongoing developments in various projects indicate a robust pipeline for Chip Origin, suggesting potential for sustained revenue growth [1] - The need for continuous monitoring of production progress and market dynamics is critical for assessing future performance and opportunities [1][2]

截至2026年2月10日收盘，科创芯片设计ETF天弘(589070)换手7.3%，成交4854.67万元。跟踪的上证科创板芯片设计主题指数(950162)强势上涨1.25%， 实现四连阳，成分股芯原股份上涨8.54%，新相微上涨6.42%，东芯股份上涨6.07%，盛科通信，翱捷科技等个股跟涨。 截至2月10日，科创芯片设计ETF天弘(589070)近2周规模增长1.09亿元，近2周份额增长1.46亿份，实现显著增长。 资金流入方面，科创芯片设计ETF天弘(589070)近10个交易日合计"吸金"1.29亿元。 【产品亮点】 【机构观点】 银河证券指出，1月份，存储市场延续2025年四季度以来的强势上涨态势，DRAM和NAND闪存价格涨幅持续超预期。三星电子、SK海力士等头部厂商 一季度合约价大幅上调，其中NAND闪存供应价格上调超100%，DRAM价格涨幅达60%—70%。涨价核心驱动因素包括：AI服务器对HBM需求爆发、 数据中心资本开支加码、产能结构性调整等，供需缺口持续扩大，预计本轮涨价周期将延续至2026年年中。 当前时点，是存储芯片赛道下一轮周期的新起点，在AI服务器需求高速增长叠加国产替代，看好国 ...

Market Review - The A-share market for artificial intelligence and robotics continues to show strong performance, with both thematic ETFs rising and a sustained bullish sentiment [1] - The Huaxia Sci-Tech AI ETF (589010) opened higher and maintained a stable high-level consolidation, closing at 1.587 yuan, up 2.255% from the opening price, with 23 out of 30 constituent stocks rising, led by Chip Original Co. with an 8.54% increase [1] - The Robot ETF (562500) showed resilience, closing at 1.079 yuan, up 0.841% from the opening price, with 45 out of 66 constituent stocks rising, and a notable net inflow of 5.27 billion yuan, indicating strong institutional interest [1] Hot News - Alphabet, Google's parent company, raised approximately $32 billion through the issuance of bonds in multiple currencies, including a rare 100-year bond, highlighting the intensifying global AI arms race [2] - QuestMobile reported a significant increase in daily active users for the Qianwen App, which grew by 727.7% to 58.48 million, surpassing the Yuanbao App's user growth [2] - The Beijing Humanoid Robot Innovation Center launched the next-generation general-purpose robot platform, TGC 3.0, which enhances stability and motion control, marking a significant advancement in the industry [2] Institutional Viewpoints - Guohai Securities reports that AI is becoming the core engine driving growth in the cloud computing industry, with the demand for massive computing power for large model training and inference significantly raising the market ceiling [3] Popular ETFs - The Robot ETF (562500) is the only ETF in the market with a scale exceeding 20 billion, offering the best liquidity and comprehensive coverage of the Chinese robotics industry [4] - The Huaxia Sci-Tech AI ETF (589010) is positioned as the brain of robotics, capturing the "singularity moment" in the AI industry with a 20% fluctuation range and small to mid-cap elasticity [4]

值得一提的是，从资金流向来看，截至2月9日收盘，科创芯片设计ETF天弘（589070）近5个交易日已 累计获净流入超4300万元。 昨日（2月10日），A股全天窄幅震荡，上证科创板芯片设计主题指数继续上涨，已走出K线四连阳，成 分股中，芯原股份涨超8%，新相微与东芯股份涨超6%，盛科通信涨超5%。 相关ETF方面，科创芯片设计ETF天弘（589070）昨日收涨，全天成交额近5000万元，换手率超7%， 交投持续活跃。 东海证券近期指出，全球半导体行业2025年销售额创历史新高，涨价潮正从存储芯片蔓延至功率、模 拟、MCU等非存储领域当前电子行业需求持续复苏，供给有效出清，存储芯片价格上涨，我国国产化 力度超预期。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 消息面上，据经济参考报，2025年，受人工智能（AI）快速发展带动，全球芯片需求大增，销售额持 续增长，供应则趋于紧张。进入2026年，全球芯片市场供应紧张态势短期内难以改变，或给相关产业带 来一系列连锁反应。 此外，海外方面，亚马逊与意法半导体就数据中心建设达成合作。据智通财经，意法半导体2月9日宣 布，通过一项为期多年、涉及多个产品类别的数十亿美元商业合作，与亚马 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the semiconductor design sector, particularly the Tianhong ETF, which focuses on chip design companies in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, showing a 1.25% increase in its index and a transaction volume of 48.5467 million yuan on February 10 [1] - The Tianhong Sci-Tech Chip Design ETF has seen a cumulative net inflow of 69.3491 million yuan since its launch, with its latest scale reaching 654 million yuan as of February 9, 2026, marking a new high since its inception [1] - The ETF covers three major sub-sectors within chip design, allowing it to capture explosive growth in individual sectors while diversifying risks associated with individual stocks, especially as the semiconductor industry enters a recovery phase supported by favorable policies and demand [1] Group 2 - Alibaba has launched its next-generation image generation model, Qwen-Image-2.0, which excels in precise rendering, complex instruction support, and Chinese typesetting, achieving a score of 1029 in the AIArena evaluation, surpassing several international competitors [2] - The model is based on a lightweight 7B architecture, enabling efficient handling of complex image and text generation tasks, and is the first to integrate generation and editing functionalities [2] - The recent strong trend in the Sci-Tech chip sector is viewed positively by Guangfa Securities, which suggests it offers a good entry point for investors seeking stable returns in the current market environment [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the electronic industry, indicating an "Overweight" rating for the sector, driven by AI computing and semiconductor localization trends [3][4]. Core Insights - The electronic industry is expected to leverage AI computing as a growth engine, with strong performance anticipated in PCB, storage, AI/GPU chips, and semiconductor equipment sectors [3][4]. - The semiconductor equipment and parts sector is experiencing a recovery in demand, particularly benefiting from domestic production [3][4]. - The storage sector is witnessing a significant increase in profitability due to the AI industry trend, with a notable rise in demand and prices for storage products [3][6]. - The AI server and chip sectors are seeing a surge in demand both domestically and internationally, particularly for cloud servers and high-speed switches [3][6]. - The PCB sector is expected to benefit from high-end AI PCB product demand, with companies like Shenghong Technology and Shenyin Electronics leading in performance [3][8]. Summary by Sections 2025 Industry Outlook - The electronic industry is projected to thrive with AI as the main driver and semiconductor localization as a catalyst, with strong performances expected across various sub-sectors [4][5]. - Specific forecasts for companies include: - Jiangfeng Electronics: Revenue of approximately 4.6 billion, net profit growth of 7.5% to 27.5% [5]. - ShenGong Co.: Revenue growth of 42.04% to 48.65%, net profit growth of 118.71% to 167.31% [5]. - Zhongwei Company: Revenue of 12.385 billion, net profit growth of 28.74% to 34.93% [5]. Semiconductor Storage Sector - The storage sector is benefiting from increased demand driven by AI, with prices stabilizing and then rising due to supply-demand imbalances [6][7]. - Key company forecasts include: - Jiangbolong: Expected net profit growth of 150.66% to 210.82% [7]. - Aibin Storage: Revenue growth of 49.36% to 79.23%, with net profit growth of 427.19% to 520.22% [7]. PCB Sector - The PCB sector is expected to continue benefiting from high-end AI product demand, with companies like Shenghong Technology and Shenyin Electronics showing strong performance [8][9]. - Forecasts for Shenghong Technology indicate a net profit increase of 260% to 295% [8].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced narrow fluctuations, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Board showing strong performance, particularly in AI applications and computing chips [1] - The Hong Kong stock market saw a significant rebound in the pharmaceutical sector, with the Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF (520880) reaching a peak increase of 3.86% and closing up 2.9% [3][5] ETF Performance - The Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF (520880) recorded a trading volume of 5.9 billion, while the Hong Kong Medical ETF (159137) rose by 2.1%, marking its sixth consecutive day of gains [2][3] - The Sci-Tech Artificial Intelligence ETF (589520) increased by 1.81%, with a peak rise of over 2.4% during the trading session [8] Industry Insights - The Chinese innovative drug sector is experiencing a dual breakthrough in internationalization and commercialization, with over 70% of innovative drug companies reporting positive revenue growth [6][7] - Significant collaborations in the innovative drug space include a strategic partnership between Innovent Biologics and Eli Lilly, valued at up to $8.85 billion, and a $18.5 billion collaboration between CSPC Pharmaceutical and AstraZeneca [6] AI and Technology Developments - ByteDance's recent launches, including the Seedance 2.0 video generation model and Seedream 5.0 image generation model, have generated significant interest in the AI sector [11] - The Sci-Tech Artificial Intelligence ETF (589520) has a substantial exposure to ByteDance, with a weight of 29.42% in its index [11][13] Semiconductor and Chip Industry - The semiconductor equipment industry is experiencing an upward trend, with projected sales growth of 26% in 2026, reaching $791.7 billion [17] - The Sci-Tech Chip ETF (589190) is positioned to benefit from the ongoing "super cycle" in the semiconductor industry, with a focus on domestic production and expansion [15][17] Investment Strategy - Analysts suggest that the current market conditions present a favorable opportunity for investment in innovative drugs and AI sectors, with a recommendation to focus on ETFs that track these industries [7][19] - The Sci-Tech Chip ETF has shown a strong annualized return of 17.93%, outperforming other semiconductor indices [19][20]

Group 1 - The semiconductor industry is entering an upward cycle, driven by supply-demand mismatches that are pushing chip prices higher [2] - Leading companies are experiencing significant growth in performance, indicating a recovery in both profitability and valuation within the sector [2] - The past five years have seen the Sci-Tech Chip Index undergo high volatility, deep corrections, and gradual recovery, ultimately reshaping its landscape due to domestic substitution, AI computing power explosion, and an upward industry cycle [2] Group 2 - The Sci-Tech Chip Index reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the semiconductor sector, including semiconductor materials, equipment, chip design, manufacturing, packaging, and testing [2] - The index has shown continuous revenue growth and considerable profit increases, highlighting its investment value amid the acceleration of domestic substitution and the explosion of AI computing power [3] - The index's revenue and net profit projections for the coming years indicate a positive trend, with expected revenues reaching 5,000 billion yuan by 2027 [3]

Group 1 - A-shares experienced narrow fluctuations, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Board performing well, particularly in AI applications and computing power chips [1][25] - The Hong Kong stock market saw a significant rebound in the pharmaceutical sector, with the Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF (520880) reaching a peak increase of 3.86% and closing up 2.9% [3][29] - The Hong Kong Medical ETF (159137) also performed well, gaining 2.1% and achieving six consecutive days of increases [3][29] Group 2 - The innovation drug sector is benefiting from a surge in business development (BD) overseas and commercial success, with major collaborations announced, including a partnership between Innovent Biologics and Eli Lilly worth up to $8.85 billion [6][29] - Over 70% of innovative drug companies are expected to achieve positive revenue growth in 2025, with notable companies like BeiGene reporting revenues exceeding 36 billion yuan [7][30] - The Chinese innovative drug industry is entering a phase of commercial success and internationalization, with a focus on the entire industry chain, including CXO and research services [7][30] Group 3 - ByteDance's recent releases, including the Seedance 2.0 video generation model and the Seedream 5.0 image generation model, have positively impacted the Sci-Tech Artificial Intelligence ETF (589520), which saw a price increase of 1.81% [10][31] - The ETF's composition includes significant holdings in domestic AI companies, with ByteDance accounting for over 29% of the index [11][35] - Analysts are optimistic about AI investment opportunities, citing increased capital expenditures from tech giants and a growing demand for AI applications [11][35] Group 4 - The semiconductor and storage chip sectors are experiencing a "super cycle," with companies like Chipone Technology reaching historical highs [15][38] - The global memory price is expected to surge by 80% to 90% in Q1 2026, driven by AI demand, with the storage market projected to reach $551.6 billion [17][39] - The semiconductor equipment industry is also on the rise, with total sales expected to grow by 26% in 2026, indicating a strong market outlook [17][40]