Core Viewpoints - The automotive industry is entering a new cycle driven by the upgrade of intelligent driving technology, with the "old-for-new" policy expected to boost domestic demand throughout 2025 [3][10] - The industry is experiencing significant trends in SUVs and new energy vehicles, now transitioning into intelligent driving, with a clearer market leader landscape emerging [3][7] Group 1: Market Conditions - Total demand has been improving, with strong performance in new energy vehicles. In the first four months of 2025, wholesale sales of passenger cars reached 8.638 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.4% [6][22] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles reached 46.8% in the first four months of 2025, with wholesale sales of new energy passenger cars growing by 45.2% year-on-year [6][24] - The low-end market (below 80,000 yuan) saw a significant increase in sales, growing by 69.8% year-on-year in the first four months of 2025, while the mid-range and high-end markets experienced declines [30][32] Group 2: Trends in Technology - The automotive sector is witnessing a technological leap with "end-to-end" advancements in intelligent driving, transitioning from policy-driven to consumer-driven growth in new energy vehicle penetration [7][10] - The penetration rate of high-level intelligent driving (L2 and above) is expected to grow rapidly, potentially reaching 10%-50% in the coming years [7][10] Group 3: Market Structure - The market structure is becoming clearer, with a focus on the expansion of market share. The market share of domestic brands rose to 65.4% in the first four months of 2025 [8][10] - In the high-end market (above 250,000 yuan), the market share of BBA (BMW, Benz, Audi) and Tesla remains significant at 38.6%, while domestic brands have substantial room for growth [8][10] Group 4: New Growth Opportunities - In the first four months of 2025, China's passenger car exports reached 1.607 million units, a year-on-year increase of 4.5%, with new energy vehicles accounting for 46% of exports [9][10] - The acceleration of electrification in Europe presents new opportunities for domestic companies, despite a temporary slowdown in the pace of new energy vehicle adoption [9][10] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on strong intelligent driving vehicles as alpha opportunities in the new cycle of intelligent driving upgrades [10] - Key investment targets include Xiaomi Group, Xpeng Motors, Geely, BYD, and Li Auto, particularly those affected by price reductions from joint ventures [10]

Group 1 - Chery Automobile plans to launch two new SUV models in the UK, indicating a growing presence of Chinese automotive brands in the UK market [1][3] - Chery has previously introduced the Omoda and Jaecoo brands in the UK, reflecting confidence in the local automotive industry and appeal to UK buyers [3][5] - Other Chinese automakers, including Geely and Changan, are also increasing their activity in the UK market, with plans to launch new models [3][5] Group 2 - Chinese automotive brands achieved significant sales growth in the UK, with June sales reaching 18,944 units, accounting for 10% of the market, up from 6% year-on-year [5][6] - The overall market share of Chinese cars in the UK exceeded 8% in the first half of the year, highlighting a rapid expansion into the European market [5][6] - The UK is seen as a new target market for Chinese car manufacturers due to its lack of tariffs on Chinese vehicles, providing a significant opportunity amid rising electric vehicle demand [7][9] Group 3 - The shift of Chinese car manufacturers to the UK is partly driven by changing international trade dynamics, with high tariffs in the EU and North America prompting a search for more profitable markets [6][9] - The UK government’s supportive policies for electric vehicles have created a favorable environment for Chinese brands, which have advantages in electric vehicle technology [9][10] - Despite the positive outlook, challenges remain, including the need for local manufacturing and potential policy changes that could affect market access [9][14] Group 4 - The UK automotive market has a unique characteristic of being both an importer and exporter, with a significant portion of production aimed at export markets [14][15] - The reliance on exports poses risks for manufacturers, especially if local production requirements are enforced, which could increase operational costs for Chinese brands [14][15] - The current influx of Chinese brands into the UK market may lead to increased competition and potential market saturation, necessitating differentiation to avoid product homogeneity [15]

2025.07. 10 本文字数：2042，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 黄琳 近期，工信部发布《关于2016～2020年度新能源汽车推广应用补助资金清算审核初审情况的公示》 （下称"《公示》"）。在新能源汽车的发展初期，通过向车企发放新能源汽车推广应用补助资金等的 补贴方式，我国新能源汽车市场在销量和技术方面均取得了快速发展。 但随着我国新能源汽车产业发展来到不同阶段，我国对新能源汽车补贴实行了动态调整制度，以防部 分企业形成"补贴依赖症"。上述《公示》显示，多家车企在2016年～2020年实际获得的补助资金均 较申请金额有不同程度的减少，主要原因是申请补贴的车辆相关凭证不符合清算通知申报要求，或车 辆未按有关要求上传运行数据。 与高补贴相对应的，是车企核减的补助金额数。比如，初审公示表格中，2017年～2020年，东风汽 车集团核减补贴金额超3700万元；一汽集团超1090万元，奇瑞核减补贴金额接近比亚迪，超1.4亿 元。 另外，从统计数据看，11家车企中，有5家车企核减新能源汽车数量在30辆或以下，核减金额低于 86万元。特斯拉于2020年首次参与国内新能源汽车推广应用补贴，该公司申报推广的车 ...

Core Insights - The Chinese passenger car market achieved a record high in June, with wholesale sales reaching 2.5 million units, a year-on-year increase of 15% [1][2] - Intense price competition is escalating, particularly among brands like Geely, XPeng, and Leap Motor, which are offering deeper discounts compared to industry leader BYD [1][5] - The ability of automakers to halt price wars will be a focal point for market observers, especially under the backdrop of anti-involution policies [1][7] Sales Performance - June saw wholesale, retail, and production figures all hitting monthly records, with wholesale sales at 2.5 million units, retail deliveries at 2.1 million units (up 18% year-on-year), and production increasing by 13% [2][4] - Exports also reached a new high of 480,000 units, marking a 28% year-on-year increase [4] Price Competition - The report highlights that retail discounts have widened across brands, with Geely's discounts increasing by 3.1 percentage points, XPeng's by 3.5 percentage points, and Leap Motor's by 1.2 percentage points [5][6] - BYD's recent price adjustments have not matched the aggressive discounting strategies of its competitors [5][7] New Energy Vehicle Growth - New energy vehicles (NEVs) continue to show strong growth, with wholesale sales reaching 1.24 million units in June, a 27% year-on-year increase [8] - The penetration rate of electric vehicles remains high at 50% for June, contributing to a 9 percentage point increase year-on-year for the first half of 2025 [8] - BYD holds a 30% market share in the NEV sector, with June sales of 378,000 units, while Tesla reported sales of 72,000 units [8]

金十图示：2025年07月10日（周四）全球汽车制造商市值变化 | 入） 大众汽车 | 548.19 | 1 +8.42 | 108.87 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 通用汽车 | 505.43 | 1 +3.66 | 52.57 | | 福特汽车 | 464.46 | 1 +5.87 | 11.83 | | MS 玛鲁蒂铃木 | 459.48 | 1 +2.06 | 145.56 | | 保时捷 | 446.8 | + -6.8 | 50.76 | | 马恒达汽车 S | 444.78 | 1 +2.56 | 37.08 | | 本田汽车 1-0 | 417.27 | + +11.33 | 30.6 | | 1 现代汽车 | 377.35 | + -5.94 | 54.05 | | F 赛力斯 | 314.25 | + -3.56 | 19.24 | | 塔塔汽车 | 297.74 | + -0.18 | 8.09 | | 斯特兰蒂斯 | 296.96 | +4.91 | 10.28 | | ur 起亚汽车 | 287.26 | ↑ +1.71 | 72.96 | | (SA ...

Core Insights - The retirement lifestyle is evolving, with an increasing number of elderly individuals seeking to purchase vehicles for self-driving tours, indicating a growing market for senior-friendly cars [1][3] - In 2023, the number of elderly car buyers increased by 36.44%, contributing to the sale of 2.27 million passenger vehicles, surpassing the combined total of South Korea, France, and the UK [3][4] - Despite the growth in the elderly car market, most automakers remain focused on the youth market, neglecting the potential of the senior demographic [3][6] Market Trends - The elderly population in China is projected to reach 310 million by the end of 2024, accounting for 22% of the total population, with 140 million retirees possessing significant disposable wealth [6][9] - Over 56% of individuals born in the 1960s and 1970s are considering purchasing a vehicle in the next 4-5 years, with more than 60% of elderly buyers having a budget exceeding 200,000 yuan [6][9] - The demand for larger vehicles is evident, with over 60% of pre-purchase interest in SUVs and nearly 10% in MPVs, while sedans account for less than 30% [9][14] Competitive Landscape - The automotive industry is experiencing a price war, with over 30 manufacturers participating since 2025, leading to a decline in profit margins from 4.3% in 2024 to 3.9% in Q1 2025 [4][5] - The first four months of 2023 saw a year-on-year increase of 12.9% in production and 10.8% in sales, with total production reaching 10.175 million vehicles and sales at 10.06 million [4] Product Development - The demand for welfare vehicles is rising, particularly for those with mobility challenges, with 38% of families expressing a need for personal welfare vehicles, surpassing the 25% demand from medical institutions [15][16] - Domestic automakers are beginning to recognize the potential of the welfare vehicle market, with companies like GAC Toyota, BYD, and Geely entering this segment [15][16] Regulatory Changes - New regulations have extended the age limit for obtaining a driver's license to 63 years, with the possibility of extension to 66 years after passing specific tests, facilitating greater mobility for the elderly [22][23] - Several cities have relaxed age restrictions for ride-hailing drivers, allowing those up to 65 years old to participate, reflecting a shift towards accommodating the aging population [23][24] Consumer Behavior - The elderly demographic is increasingly interested in self-driving tours, with 80% of seniors expressing a desire for off-road capabilities, indicating a shift in travel preferences [14][15] - Safety and spaciousness are primary concerns for elderly consumers when purchasing vehicles, with a significant emphasis on long-distance travel and comfort during journeys [28]

Core Viewpoint - Baoji City, as the second largest city in Shaanxi Province and a significant industrial base in the western region, has achieved remarkable progress in economic development and industrial transformation through innovation-driven strategies, particularly in the titanium industry, which is globally leading in scale [1][16]. Group 1: Economic Performance - In 2024, Baoji's GDP grew by 5.6% year-on-year, with the primary industry increasing by 2.7%, the secondary industry by 5.4%, and the tertiary industry by 5.8%, indicating a stable and positive economic trend [4][5]. - The industrial economy maintained strong growth in early 2025, with a 9.4% year-on-year increase in industrial added value, driven significantly by mining (+13.7%) and manufacturing (+10.7%) [8][10]. Group 2: Industrial Development - Baoji has established a modern industrial system characterized by the "45511" framework, focusing on four trillion-level advantageous industries and five hundred billion-level emerging industries [1][16]. - The "Baohan Tian Industrial Mother Machine Cluster" was recognized as a national advanced manufacturing cluster, contributing to Baoji's entry into the "Top 100 Advanced Manufacturing Cities" in China, ranking 84th [1][16]. Group 3: New Quality Productive Forces - The concept of New Quality Productive Forces emphasizes innovation as the main driving force, aiming to break away from traditional economic growth models and enhance productivity with high-tech, high-efficiency, and high-quality characteristics [3][12]. - Baoji's policies have been aligned with the New Quality Productive Forces framework, promoting high-quality development through various measures and initiatives [12][14]. Group 4: Industry Space Layout - Baoji's industrial spatial layout is designed around a "core leading, three belts coordinating, and multi-point supporting" model, integrating urban development with ecological protection and industrial cluster development [18][20]. - The city is focusing on strategic emerging industries such as high-end equipment manufacturing, automotive parts, and new materials, while also enhancing its agricultural and ecological sectors [22][20]. Group 5: Future Development Trends - The future development of Baoji's new quality productive forces will focus on the deep integration of high-end and intelligent manufacturing, enhancing the value chain and core competitiveness [25]. - There is an emphasis on cultivating strategic emerging industries and future industries, such as artificial intelligence and hydrogen energy equipment, to create new economic growth points [26]. - Baoji aims to promote green low-carbon development and strengthen regional cooperation to achieve sustainable economic, social, and environmental development [27].

交银国际研究 每日晨报 2025 年 7 月 10 日 今日焦点 | 汽车行业月报 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 月新能源车渗透率升至 | 53.3%；预计 7 月车市 | 评级: | 领先 | | 增速平稳 | | | | | 陈庆 | angus.chan@bocomgroup.com | | | 资料来源： FactSet | 主要商品及外汇价格 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 三个月 | 年初至 | | | 收盘价 | 升跌% | 今升跌 | | 布兰特 | 70.17 | 7.36 | -5.91% | | 期金 | 3,307.00 | 8.20 | 25.78 | | 期银 | 36.25 | 20.10 | 25.39 | | 期铜 | 9,925.00 | 13.30 | 14.00 | | 日圆 | 146.47 | -1.16 | 7.30 | | 英镑 | 1.36 | 6.53 | 8.51 | | 欧元 | 1.17 | 6.13 | 13.14 | | 基点变动 | | 三个月 六个月 ...

Group 1 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has opened an online feedback window for small and medium-sized enterprises to report issues regarding major automotive companies' adherence to payment commitments and the implementation of the "Regulations on Guaranteeing Payment to Small and Medium-sized Enterprises" [1] - The window will address four types of issues, including failure to adhere to a 60-day payment period, unreasonable payment terms, forced acceptance of non-cash payment methods, and other related problems [1] - The rapid growth of the new energy vehicle market is highlighted, with the number of new energy vehicles in China expected to reach 31.4 million by 2024, a fivefold increase from the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [2] Group 2 - BYD has announced a comprehensive safety and loss guarantee for its "Heavenly Eye" vehicles in smart parking scenarios, allowing users to directly contact BYD for assistance without going through insurance [3] - BYD's "Shenzhen" ship has set sail to Europe carrying over 6,800 electric vehicles, indicating an acceleration in its overseas market expansion [3] - Huawei is adjusting its automotive business strategy, transitioning to a brand-specific sales network while maintaining control over sales, marketing, and service [4] Group 3 - NIO has completed its plan for 1,000 high-speed battery swap stations, enhancing its charging infrastructure and solidifying its leading position in the electric vehicle charging sector [4] - Zeekr has launched a luxury hybrid architecture called "Haohan-S," featuring advanced battery technology and AI capabilities [5] - Volkswagen Group reported a slight increase in global deliveries to 2.272 million vehicles in Q2 2025, with a notable 2.8% growth in the Chinese market [6] Group 4 - Nissan has suspended production of three models intended for the Canadian market at its U.S. factories due to tariffs imposed by the U.S. and Canada, highlighting the impact of trade barriers on the automotive supply chain [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the pros and cons of purchasing test drive vehicles from various car brands, highlighting the condition, pricing, and potential risks associated with such purchases. Group 1: Tesla - Tesla's test drive vehicles are sold without significant loss of rights, and the warranty for the vehicle and battery starts anew [4] - Buyers should inspect the vehicle's condition on-site, as maintenance may not cover all damages [5] - Test drive vehicles are not used for after-sales parts [6] Group 2: GAC Honda - GAC Honda's test drive vehicles are often not worth buying due to limited discounts and better alternatives available [9] - Buyers miss out on various subsidies and face higher loan rates for used cars [9] - The condition of test drive vehicles is generally good, but buyers are advised to consider new cars instead [10] Group 3: SAIC Volkswagen - SAIC Volkswagen's test drive vehicles are typically updated annually and sold as certified used cars [12] - If the price difference from a new car is less than 15%, purchasing a test drive vehicle is not recommended [12] - Buyers should check the vehicle's mileage, insurance, and maintenance records before purchasing [12] Group 4: Volvo - Volvo's test drive vehicles are often sold at cost price, but the final price difference is minimal after considering tax benefits [14] - The vehicles are generally well-maintained, and violent driving is rare due to brand reputation [14] - Buyers are advised against purchasing unless they have insider knowledge of the vehicle's history [15] Group 5: BYD - BYD frequently updates its test drive vehicles, leading to good pricing for buyers [17] - The condition of test drive vehicles is usually good, with low mileage [18] - Buyers should inquire about accident history and maintenance records before making a purchase [19] Group 6: Geely Galaxy - Geely Galaxy's test drive vehicles can be sold after one year or when new models are introduced [20] - Electric vehicles lose certain warranty rights upon sale, while gasoline vehicles do not [20] - Buyers should check pricing and consider third-party inspections for accident and maintenance records [20]