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ABF缺货潮,又要来了?
半导体行业观察· 2026-02-05 01:08
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the tightening supply-demand structure of ABF substrates driven by the increasing demand from AI and high-performance computing, with supply shortages expected to worsen monthly and reach a gap of 10% by the second half of 2026, potentially expanding to 21% in 2027 and 42% in 2028 [2][3] - Goldman Sachs notes that the current tightening of ABF substrate supply is similar to the supply shortages experienced in 2020, which led to price increases of 20% to 30% annually, indicating a positive outlook for price and profit momentum in the coming months and quarters [2] - The article emphasizes that the demand for ABF substrates is structurally driven and long-term, particularly with AI servers now accounting for over 20% of ABF demand, and the introduction of Agentic AI expected to further increase CPU substrate usage starting in 2026 [3] Group 2 - Japanese company Ibiden has announced a significant investment plan of approximately 500 billion yen (about 22.2 billion RMB) to expand high-performance IC substrate production capacity, targeting applications in AI servers and high-performance servers from fiscal year 2026 to 2028 [5] - Ibiden's electronic business, which focuses on IC packaging substrates and printed circuit board manufacturing, reported a revenue of 171.9 billion yen for the first three quarters of fiscal year 2025, marking an 18.2% year-on-year increase, with a notable profit growth of 66% in the same period [6][7] - Despite strong performance in AI applications, Ibiden faces challenges due to a reliance on a limited customer base, with Intel's contribution to revenue decreasing from 70%-80% to about 30%, and a significant drop in advance payments from customers indicating weaker order visibility [8]
美股科技股重挫!半导体成“重灾区”,AMD暴跌17.31%,闪迪跌近16%
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-05 00:44
美东时间周三,美股市场呈现明显分化格局,道琼斯工业平均指数逆势飘红,而纳斯达克指数与标普 500指数则受科技股抛售潮拖累收跌,与此同时,黄金、白银等贵金属及国际油价同步走强,市场资金 在风险偏好调整中寻求避险与机会。 | 道琼斯工业 | 纳斯达克指数 | 标普500 | | --- | --- | --- | | 49501.30 | 22904.58 | 6882.72 | | +260.31 +0.53% | -350.61 -1.51% | -35.09 -0.51% | | 美国科技七巨头 | 中概科技龙头 | 中国金龙 | | 64399.36 | 4085.64 | 7461.61 | | -862.73 -1.32% | -117.72 -2.80% | -148.40 -1.95% | 截至收盘,道指上涨260.31点,涨幅0.53%,报49501.30点,工业等防御性板块成为资金避风港;纳指 大跌350.61点,跌幅1.51%,收于22904.58点,连续两日下跌后跌破100日均线;标普500指数微跌 0.51%,报6882.72点,尽管超七成成分股上涨,但科技板块的大幅下挫拖累了指数表现。 ...
AMD大跌带崩芯片股,“中国金龙”下挫,黄金反弹,原油拉升
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-02-04 23:25
2026.02.05 本文字数:1676,阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 |第一财经 樊志菁 周三,受科技股抛售潮加剧影响,纳指标普承压收跌,资金流向工业等板块避险。截至收盘,道指涨 260.31点,涨幅0.53%,报49501.30点,纳指跌1.51%,报22904.58点,标普500指数跌0.51%,报6882.72 点。 | 道琼斯工业平均 纳斯达克 | 标普500 | | --- | --- | | 49501.30 22904.58 | 6882.72 | | +260.31 +0.53% -350.61 -1.51% -35.09 -0.51% | | 明星科技股跌多涨少,苹果涨2.60%,微软涨0.72%,谷歌跌2.16%,亚马逊跌2.36%,Meta跌3.28%。特 斯拉跌3.78%。 软件板块因AI技术发展挑战继续承压,甲骨文跌5.19%。 美股延续周二抛压,投资者对板块高估值存忧,同时质疑华尔街本轮人工智能行情是否已见顶,纷纷撤 离高风险成长股,转向沃尔玛等周期股。科技板块成为当日标普500指数中表现最差的板块。 Certuity首席投资官斯科特・韦尔奇表示:"去年年底,市场已开始区分人工智能领 ...
AMD大跌带崩芯片股,“中国金龙”下挫,黄金反弹,原油拉升
第一财经· 2026-02-04 23:20
本文字数:1676,阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 樊志菁 周三,受科技股抛售潮加剧影响,纳指标普承压收跌,资金流向工业等板块避险。截至收盘,道指涨260.31点,涨幅0.53%,报49501.30点,纳指跌 1.51%,报22904.58点,标普500指数跌0.51%,报6882.72点。 明星科技股跌多涨少,苹果涨2.60%,微软涨0.72%,谷歌跌2.16%,亚马逊跌2.36%,Meta跌3.28%。特斯拉跌3.78%。 纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌近2%,网易跌5.4%,百度跌4.77%,阿里巴巴跌2.76%,京东、拼多多跌超1%。 2026.02. 05 阿根特资本的投资组合经理杰德・埃勒布鲁克表示:"人工智能基础设施的建设规模史无前例,消费者和企业采用人工智能工具的速度也前所未有。股市 如今难以判断相关个股的合理定价,也无法看清行业未来走势……市场突然对人工智能领域产生了质疑和担忧。" 中长期美债收益率分化,与利率预期关联密切的2年期美债跌1.3个基点至3.558%,基准10年期美债涨0.4个基点至4.277%。 | 名称 | 现价令 > 张跌幅 > > > 涨跌 > | | --- | --- ...
美股半导体深夜重挫,AMD跌超17%,闪迪跌近16%,黄金白银反弹,美国恢复美伊谈判
美东时间周三,美股三大指数收盘涨跌不一,仅道指飘红小幅上涨,纳指、标普指数、中概股指数集体下跌。消息面上,美国就业数据疲软,中东局势趋 缓,AI芯片需求波动,投资者对成长股估值与经济韧性信心承压,风险偏好趋于谨慎。 | 道琼斯工业 | 纳斯达克指数 | 标普500 | | --- | --- | --- | | 49501.30 | 22904.58 | 6882.72 | | +260.31 +0.53% -350.61 -1.51% | | -35.09 -0.51% | | 美国科技七巨头 中概科技龙头 | | 中国金龙 | | 64399.36 | 4085.64 | 7461.61 | | -862.73 -1.32% -117.72 -2.80% | | -148.40 -1.95% | 科技股普跌,脸书、英伟达、特斯拉跌超3%,谷歌跌近2%。 中概新能源股逆势走强,亿鹏能源狂飙近58%,晶科能源涨超8%,阿特斯太阳能涨逾3%。消息面上,马斯克团队密访中国多家光伏企业,晶科能源直线 涨停,光伏股集体拉升。 费城半导体指数大跌超4%,AMD跌超17%,该公司预计季度营收小幅下滑。存储概念跌幅居前,闪 ...
金十数据全球财经早餐 | 2026年2月5日
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2026-02-04 23:00
Group 1 - The US ADP employment report for January showed an increase of only 22,000 jobs, falling short of market expectations [3][12] - The US Treasury Department has maintained its debt issuance strategy, continuing its forward guidance that has been in place for two years [12] - The WTI crude oil price rose to $65 per barrel, reflecting a nearly 2% increase before retracting some gains, while Brent crude oil closed at $68.47 per barrel, up 1.14% [4][7] Group 2 - The major US stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 0.53%, while the Nasdaq Composite fell by 1.5% and the S&P 500 declined by 0.51% [4][7] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index closed up 0.05%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 1.84%, with coal stocks showing strong performance [5][7] - The A-share market saw the Shanghai Composite Index rise by 0.85%, driven by strong performances in the photovoltaic and coal sectors, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.40% [6][7]
美股涨跌不一纳指跌破100日线,光伏板块全面爆发,中概指数跌近2%
Feng Huang Wang· 2026-02-04 22:58
Market Performance - The US stock market continued its style rotation, with the Nasdaq Composite Index falling over 1% for the second consecutive day, closing at 22,904.58 points, and breaking below the 100-day moving average [1] - The S&P 500 Index decreased by 0.51% to 6,882.72 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.53% to 49,501.3 points [1] S&P 500 Component Stocks - Among the S&P 500 components, 363 stocks closed higher, leading to a 0.9% increase in the equal-weighted S&P 500 index [2] - Notable gainers included Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) down 17.31% after disappointing earnings, and other AI-related stocks like AppLovin and Palantir, which fell over 10% [2] - The "storage giants" also saw significant declines, with SanDisk down 15.95% and Micron Technology down 9.55% [2] Key Company Developments - Nvidia's CEO expressed confusion over the software sector's decline, emphasizing that AI tools are not replacing existing tools [2] - Alphabet announced a staggering capital expenditure forecast of $175 billion to $185 billion for the current fiscal year, significantly higher than the analyst expectation of $119.5 billion [3] - Following Alphabet's announcement, Broadcom, which produces TPUs for Google, saw its stock rise over 5% in after-hours trading [4] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 1.95%, with Alibaba down 2.76% and JD down 1.75% [6] Earnings Reports - Eli Lilly's stock rose 10.33% after a positive earnings report and optimistic sales guidance, solidifying its position in the obesity treatment market [7] - AMD experienced its largest single-day drop since 2017, down 17.31%, due to weak earnings guidance [8] - Qualcomm's disappointing earnings guidance led to an 8% drop in its stock [9] - Arm Holdings' stock fell 10% despite meeting market expectations for the quarter [10] - e.l.f. Beauty's stock surged 15% after significantly exceeding analyst expectations in both earnings and guidance [11]
黄金深夜跳水,中概股下挫,网易跌超6%,AMD大跌13%
21世纪经济报道· 2026-02-04 15:48
记者丨张嘉钰 编辑丨黎雨桐 2月4日,美股开盘涨跌不一,截至23:43,道指涨0.66%,标普500指数跌0.1%,纳指跌0.71%盘中一度跳水至1%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯丁 平均 | 49567.49 | 326.50 | 0.66% | | 纳斯达克指数 | 23090.17 | -165.02 | -0.71% | | 标普500 | 6911.02 | -6.79 | -0.10% | | 纳斯达克100 | 25094.49 | -244.13 | -0.96% | | 万得美国科技七巨头指数 | 64950.28 | -311.81 | -0.48% | | 万得中概科技龙头指数 | 4082.22 | -121.14 | -2.88% | | 纳斯达克中国金龙指数 | 7508.31 | -101.70 | -1.34% | | 万得中概股100 | 2736.93 | -58.58 | -2.10% | | 万得美国科技指数(CNY) | 10802.17 | -124.15 | -1.14% | | 排 ...
老登
小熊跑的快· 2026-02-04 14:45
老美也涨老登 消费电子特别惨,过去三个季度 卖pc的已经不想理咱们问询了 22:42 .။ ? ( 苹果(APPLE) √ W AAPL.O 276.200 量 669.2万 股本 146.81亿 市盈™ 34.4 万得 盘口 换 0.05% 市值 40549亿 市净 45.98 6.720 2.49% ■ ▼ 五日 日K 周K 月K 电子 (0) 叠加 设均线 BBI:263.69 前复权 292.834 <- 288.620 66.020 >> 243.420 239.206 and and the best of the best of the first 1 1 1 1 2026-01-16 12-11 12-11 12-30 02-04 2025-11-21 MACD(12,26,9) DIF:0.19121 DEA:-2.72469 MACD:5.83178 " " 6.24 TRIX(12.9) -0.13 TRMA:0.00 X -0.36 卖空股数 0.00 X 0 14 49523.42 添加提醒 加自选 电子 分享 道琼斯 22:40 .II ? I 美国银行(BANK OF AMERI ...
AI应用爆点频出,算力链重回主线
国信证券近日发布电子行业周报:过去一周上证下跌0.44%,电子下跌2.51%,子行业中半导体下跌 0.90%,电子化学品下跌5.87%。同期恒生科技、费城半导体、台湾资讯科技下跌1.38%、上涨0.51%、 上涨0.55%。过去一周,由Clawdbot所引致的对于"AI智能体正加速场景落地"的预期成为市场热点,同 时,国内互联网大厂陆续启动"红包大战"争抢大模型流量入口。 以下为研究报告摘要: 核心观点 AI应用爆点频出,海外算力链重回主线。过去一周上证下跌0.44%,电子下跌2.51%,子行业中半导体 下跌0.90%,电子化学品下跌5.87%。同期恒生科技、费城半导体、台湾资讯科技下跌1.38%、上涨 0.51%、上涨0.55%。过去一周,由Clawdbot所引致的对于"AI智能体正加速场景落地"的预期成为市场热 点,同时,国内互联网大厂陆续启动"红包大战"争抢大模型流量入口。在此背景下,算力资源不单单成 为军备竞赛的着力点,更是在各类AI应用试水过程中逐步成为"卖方型市场",成为AI应用的核心预算约 束,算力链有望在强业绩支撑下重回科技投资主线,继续推荐:澜起科技、胜宏科技(300476)、工业 富联(6 ...