Core Viewpoint - The market remains cautious, observing the recovery of terminal demand and the impact of policies and costs on profitability, with increased volatility in the non-ferrous sector affecting short-term pricing in the upstream and midstream segments [1] Investment Recommendations - **Complete Vehicles**: Recommended stocks include Geely Automobile, JAC Motors, and BYD. Geely is favored due to its low valuation of over 6 times, with expectations of better-than-expected domestic profitability. JAC's S800 model shows stable order performance, and the company plans to launch 2-3 new models this year [2] - **Auto Parts**: - Robotics sector continues to be a catalyst, with recommendations for Foresight Technology, Minth Group, Top Group, Yinlun Machinery, Haoneng Co., Shuanghuan Transmission, and New Spring Co., with a suggestion to pay attention to Joyson Electronics - AI/Smart Driving is a key area with potential supply order catalysts from policy support and Nvidia's involvement, recommending Horizon Robotics and Hesai Technology, while suggesting to monitor SOTERIA, Black Sesame Technologies, and Pony.ai - Liquid cooling orders are clear, with continued recommendations for Minth Group, Yinlun Machinery, and Lingyun Industrial, and a suggestion to watch Feilong Co. [2] - **Heavy Trucks**: Weichai Power has shown strong performance, reflecting market recognition of its position in AIDC diesel engines and natural gas generators, with continued recommendations. Concerns over short-term shareholder reductions in China National Heavy Duty Truck have dissipated, suggesting a focus on fundamentals [2] Data Tracking - In late January, industry discounts decreased month-on-month, with a discount rate of 9.5%, up 0.6 percentage points year-on-year and down 0.1 percentage points month-on-month. The discount amount was 21,541 yuan, up 1,294 yuan year-on-year and down 718 yuan month-on-month [3] - December wholesale and retail sales of passenger vehicles declined year-on-year, with wholesale sales at 2.85 million units, down 8.7% year-on-year and 6.3% month-on-month. Retail sales of domestic passenger vehicles were 2.28 million units, down 16.8% year-on-year but up 13.7% month-on-month [3] Market Performance - The automotive sector saw a decline of 5.12% this week, ranking 28th out of 29 sectors. The overall index performance included a decrease of 0.44% for the Shanghai Composite Index, an increase of 0.08% for the CSI 300, and a decrease of 0.09% for the ChiNext Index. The automotive index's performance included a drop of 5.12% for the automotive sector, 6.70% for parts, 3.64% for passenger vehicles, 1.10% for commercial vehicles, and 3.42% for circulation services [6]

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 汽车 2026 年 02 月 01 日 汽车行业周报（20260126-20260201） 有色波动影响中上游短期议价，继续看好新产 推荐（维持） 业方向 1 月下旬行业折扣环比下降（油车为主）。折扣率 9.5%，同比+0.6PP（1/25），环比-0.1PP （1/10）。折扣金额 21,541 元，同比+1,294 元（1/25），环比-718 元（1/10）。折扣率变 动环比较大的主流品牌：WEY+1.6PP、北京奔驰-1.5PP、上汽通用别克-1.3PP、长安启源 +1.2PP、长安马自达-0.8PP。 12 月乘用车批发、零售销量同比下滑。12 月乘用车批发 285 万辆，同比-8.7%，环比- 6.3%，狭义乘用车批发 283 万辆，同比-8.4%，环比-6.1%；国产乘用车零售 228 万辆， 同比-16.8%，环比+13.7%；乘用车出口销量 64 万辆，同比+50.5%，环比+2.8%；估算库 存变动-7.4 万辆，同比-4 万辆，环比-48 万辆。 截至 2026 年 1 月 30 日， 证监会审核华创证券投资咨询业务资格批文号：证监许可（2009）121 ...

核心观点： [Table_Page] 跟踪分析|汽车 证券研究报告 | [Table_Title] 汽车行业周报 | | --- | [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-02-01 "5326"SUV 市场空间持续扩容 | 14% | 6% | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | -2% | 02/25 | 04/25 | 06/25 | 09/25 | 11/25 | 01/26 | -10% | | 汽车 | 沪深300 | | | | | | | | [分析师： Table_Author]张力月 | SAC 执证号：S0260524040004 | | | | | | | | 021-38003727 | zhangliyue@gf.com.cn | | | | | | | | 分析师： | 闫俊刚 | SAC 执证号：S0260516010001 | | | | | | | 021-38003682 | yanjungang@gf.com.cn | | | | | | ...

汽车行业周报 比亚迪发布天神之眼 5.0，辅助驾驶不断进阶 中游制造/汽车 1 月 25 日至 1 月 31 日，汽车行业整体下跌 5.1%。本周，比亚迪发布天神之眼 辅助驾驶系统 5.0 版本，在全闭环端到端的基础上，新增强化学习能力，其核心 优势为强化学习+闭环训练，实现 AI 大模型自进化。特斯拉获准在瑞典全境测 试完全自动驾驶系统，标志着特斯拉向在更广泛欧洲市场落地 FSD 系统迈出关 键一步。阿联酋正全面提速无人驾驶商业化进程，其中，阿布扎比目标是到 2040 年实现 25%的出行由自动驾驶完成，迪拜计划在 2030 年前让 25%的出行转为 自动驾驶。 ❑ 市场板块行情回顾 本周 CS 汽车+2.2%。本周（1 月 25 日至 1 月 31 日，下同）上证 A 指周度 涨跌幅为-0.4%，深证 A 指涨跌幅为-2.3%，创业板涨跌幅为-0.1%。本周各 行业板块下跌居多，涨幅较大的行业板块为 CS 石油石化（+6.9%）、CS 通 信（+4.8%）和 CS 煤炭（+4.0%），下跌幅度较大的行业板块为 CS 国防军 工（-7.6%）、CS 综合金融（-6.2%）和 CS 汽车（-5.1%）。 汽车 ...

我国汽车驾驶辅助系统领域首个强制性国家标准发布，理想加速 布局 AI 与人形机器人 [Table_Industry] 汽车周报 [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 2 月 1 日 2 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Tabl 行业周报e_ReportType] | [Table_StockAndRank] 汽车 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | 赵启政 汽车行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525030004 邮箱：zhaoqizheng@cindasc.com [我国汽车驾驶辅助系统领域首个强制性国家 Table_Title] 标准发布，理想加速布局 AI 与人形机器人 [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 2 月 1 日 投资要点： 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号金隅大厦 B 座 邮编：100031 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 2 [Table_S ➢ 行情回顾： ummary]本周 A 股汽车板 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic natural gas heavy truck market experienced significant growth in December 2025, with sales reaching 12,500 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 31%. The total sales for the year reached 198,700 units, a 12% increase compared to the previous year, setting a new annual sales record [1][3][15]. Engine Market Characteristics - The main displacement range for natural gas heavy truck engines in 2025 was 12-13L and 14-15L, accounting for 43.33% and 39.28% of the market, respectively. The share of engines over 15L increased to 4.32% in December [5]. - In terms of horsepower, the dominant ranges were 500-600 horsepower and 400-500 horsepower, comprising 43.93% and 37.21% of the market. The share of super high horsepower models (≥600 horsepower) rose to 16.62%, an increase of nearly 14 percentage points compared to 2024 [8]. Sales Data and Rankings - In December 2025, five companies sold over 1,000 natural gas heavy truck engines, with Weichai leading with 6,260 units sold, capturing a market share of 50.0%. Cummins ranked second with 2,154 units (17.2% market share), followed by FAW Jiefang with 1,699 units (13.6% market share) [12][20]. - For the entire year, Weichai sold 103,000 units, holding a market share of 51.8%. Cummins and FAW Jiefang followed with 38,500 units (19.4%) and 25,000 units (12.6%), respectively [16][20]. Yearly Performance and Trends - The total sales of natural gas heavy truck engines in 2025 reached 198,700 units, a net increase of 20,500 units compared to 2024. The last four months of 2025 saw a surge in market activity, despite a noticeable cooling in the last two months compared to September and October [15][26]. - The market saw varied performance among the eight companies that achieved sales, with some experiencing significant growth while others faced declines. Notably, companies like Yuchai and Dongfeng Longqing outperformed the overall market growth rate [18][21].

Core Viewpoint - China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (CNHTC) has achieved a historic market capitalization of over HKD 100 billion, marking a significant milestone and reflecting strong investor confidence in the company's growth potential and operational resilience [1][14]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2025, CNHTC is expected to achieve a total revenue exceeding CNY 225 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 17% [2]. - The company anticipates selling over 450,000 vehicles, with a year-on-year increase of 25%, showcasing its strong position in the commercial vehicle sector [2]. Group 2: Heavy Truck Business - The heavy truck segment serves as the cornerstone of CNHTC's operations, with the domestic heavy truck market expected to recover, achieving annual sales of 1.1449 million units, a 27% increase year-on-year [4]. - CNHTC's heavy truck production and sales surpassed 300,000 units, maintaining its position as the domestic market leader for four consecutive years and ranking first globally in heavy truck sales [4]. Group 3: New Energy Vehicles - The new energy vehicle (NEV) segment is identified as a key growth driver, with domestic NEV heavy truck sales projected to reach 231,100 units in 2025, a staggering year-on-year increase of 182% [6]. - CNHTC's NEV heavy truck sales are expected to surge by 230%, while light truck sales are projected to grow by 313%, significantly outpacing industry averages [6]. Group 4: Global Expansion - CNHTC's global strategy has evolved from simple product exports to a sustainable model of global operations and localized development, covering over 150 countries and regions [8][10]. - In 2025, CNHTC's heavy truck exports are expected to exceed 150,000 units, marking a 14% year-on-year increase and solidifying its position as the leading exporter of heavy trucks in China for 21 consecutive years [11]. Group 5: Brand Value and Market Recognition - CNHTC has maintained a high-end and international brand development strategy, enhancing its global presence and brand value [13]. - International investment banks have raised their profit forecasts and target prices for CNHTC, reflecting strong market confidence in the company's brand strength and growth potential [13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the heavy-duty truck industry is "Positive" and maintained [10] Core Insights - The electrification of heavy-duty trucks in China is accelerating due to policy support and economic drivers, with the penetration rate of new energy heavy-duty trucks expected to reach 33.0% by 2026, an increase of 4.1 percentage points year-on-year. The average battery capacity is projected to reach 498 KWh, a year-on-year growth of 15.6% [3][8] - Traditional automakers are expected to see a recovery in both market position and profitability in their new energy heavy-duty truck businesses, with a strong recommendation for China National Heavy Duty Truck Group [8] Summary by Sections Historical Review - The development of new energy heavy-duty trucks in China can be divided into two phases: 1. **2021-2023**: Policy introduction phase, where the penetration rate rose from 0.7% in 2021 to 5.0% in 2023 2. **2024 onwards**: Market-driven phase, with sales expected to reach 78,000 units in 2024 and a penetration rate of 12.9%, increasing to 231,000 units and 28.9% in 2025 [6][18] Market Outlook - By 2026, the penetration rates for different types of heavy-duty trucks are expected to vary: - **Tractor Trucks**: 44% penetration rate with an average battery capacity of 528 KWh - **Specialized Trucks**: 21% penetration rate, with concrete mixer trucks contributing significantly - **Cargo Trucks**: Low penetration due to weight issues, but potential policy changes may drive growth - **Dump Trucks**: Expected to reach a 50% penetration rate, especially in mining applications [7][8][40] Investment Recommendations - The trend towards electrification in heavy-duty trucks is irreversible, with traditional manufacturers likely to regain market share and profitability as new energy trucks become more prevalent. The report emphasizes the importance of China National Heavy Duty Truck Group as a key player in this transition [8][27]

Core Insights - The new energy heavy truck market saw a record increase of 198% year-on-year in December 2025, with total sales reaching 45,300 units, driven by strong performance in sub-segments like new energy tractors and charging heavy trucks [1][3] - New energy dump trucks also experienced significant growth, achieving sales of 4,466 units in December, marking a year-on-year increase of 196% [2][3] Market Performance - In December 2025, the sales of new energy heavy trucks reached 45,300 units, a month-on-month increase of 62% and a year-on-year increase of 198% [3] - New energy dump trucks accounted for 9.87% of the new energy heavy truck market in December, slightly up from 9.32% the previous month, but still below 10% for two consecutive months [5] - The overall heavy truck sales in December 2025 were 84,000 units, with dump trucks contributing 6,859 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22% [9] Sales Trends - The monthly sales of new energy dump trucks in 2025 showed a significant upward trend, with December's sales breaking the 4,000-unit mark for the first time [7][25] - The market for new energy dump trucks has been characterized by high penetration rates, with December's rate exceeding 65% [2][9] Competitive Landscape - The top three companies in the new energy dump truck market in December 2025 were Heavy Truck, SANY, and XCMG, with Heavy Truck achieving a record sales of 1,281 units [15][21] - In 2025, the cumulative sales of new energy dump trucks reached 26,000 units, nearly doubling from the previous year, with several companies experiencing significant growth [21][22] Market Share Dynamics - In 2025, four companies held over 10% market share in the new energy dump truck sector, with XCMG and Heavy Truck each capturing 21.1% of the market [22] - Compared to 2024, several companies, including Heavy Truck and Shaanxi Automobile, saw substantial increases in market share, while others experienced declines [22] Conclusion - The new energy dump truck market is highly competitive, with significant growth potential and evolving dynamics as it approaches 2026 [25]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth trajectory of China's cargo vehicle industry, projecting significant increases in production and market dynamics from 2025 to 2031 [1]. Industry Overview - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the production of cargo vehicles in China is expected to reach 378,000 units in December 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.8% [1]. - The cumulative production of cargo vehicles in China for the entire year of 2025 is projected to be 3.808 million units, reflecting a cumulative growth of 13.9% [1]. Companies Involved - Key listed companies in the cargo vehicle sector include: - FAW Jiefang (000800) - China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (000951) - Foton Motor (600166) - Jiangling Motors (000550) - Ankai Bus (000868) - Changan Automobile (000625) - Dongfeng Motor (600006) - Hanma Technology (600375) - GAC Group (601238) - Aoxin Bus (600213) [1]. Research and Analysis - The report titled "2025-2031 China Cargo Vehicle Industry Market Research Analysis and Investment Prospects" by Zhiyan Consulting provides in-depth insights into the industry, emphasizing the importance of market research and feasibility studies for investment decisions [1].