Group 1 - The non-ferrous sector is experiencing a rebound, with companies like Hunan Gold and Northern Rare Earth seeing significant gains, while the non-ferrous mining ETF is also up over 2% [1] - Precious metals faced a historic downturn due to trading congestion and external pressures, with silver and gold experiencing maximum daily declines of over 30% and 10% respectively [1][14] - Short-term volatility is expected in precious metal prices due to profit-taking, but long-term trends indicate that the de-dollarization process will continue, suggesting that the current adjustment is not the end of the precious metal rally [1][18] Group 2 - The non-ferrous mining index has shown a strong performance over the past year, with a return of 146.48% and a maximum drawdown of -13.76% [3] - The index focuses on the upstream mining segment of the non-ferrous metal industry, with copper, gold, and aluminum making up over 58% of its composition [5] - Historical performance indicates that the non-ferrous mining index has a cumulative increase of 353.53% over the past decade, with an annualized return of 16.83% [10][12] Group 3 - The market outlook for 2026 suggests that central bank gold purchases and rising gold ETF holdings will continue to support gold prices, while copper prices are expected to find support amid supply disruptions [19] - The aluminum market is facing downward pressure due to seasonal factors and a decline in processing activity, with a reported drop of 1.5 percentage points in aluminum processing [19]

华鑫证券近日发布有色金属行业周报：价格方面，周内伦敦黄金价格为4981.85美元/盎司，环比1月23 日+35.60美元/盎司，涨幅为0.72%。周内伦敦白银价格为103.19美元/盎司，环比1月23日+4.19美元/盎 司，涨幅为4.23%。本周LME铜收盘价13440美元/吨，环比1月23日+460美元/吨，涨幅为+3.54%。 以下为研究报告摘要： 投资要点 贵金属：短期贵金属巨震，但是年内仍将降息支撑贵金属价格 价格方面，周内伦敦黄金价格为4981.85美元/盎司，环比1月23日+35.60美元/盎司，涨幅为0.72%。周内 伦敦白银价格为103.19美元/盎司，环比1月23日+4.19美元/盎司，涨幅为4.23%。 数据方面，美国11月耐用品订单环比初值5.3%，前值-2.1%，预期3.8%。美国美联储FOMC利率决策(下 限)3.5%，前值3.5%，预期3.5%。美国美联储FOMC利率决策(上限)3.75%，前值3.75%，预期3.75%。美 国1月24日当周首次申请失业救济人数20.9万人，前值20万人，预期20.5万人。美国12月PPI同比3%，前 值3%，预期2.8%。 本周美联储议息会议维 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance of the China Securities Hong Kong Gold Industry Stock Index, with notable gains in stocks such as Caibai Co., Ltd. and Hunan Gold, while the gold stock ETF shows active trading and liquidity [1][2] - As of February 3, 2026, the China Securities Hong Kong Gold Industry Stock Index constituents showed mixed performance, with Caibai Co., Ltd. leading with a 10.02% increase, followed by Hunan Gold at 7.36% and the WanGuo Gold Group-New at 6.58% [1] - The gold stock ETF fund (159322) had a recent price of 2.01 yuan, with a turnover rate of 19.91% and a trading volume of 63.39 million yuan, indicating active market participation [1] Group 2 - The China Securities Hong Kong Gold Industry Stock Index is composed of 50 large-cap companies involved in gold mining, smelting, and sales, reflecting the overall performance of gold industry listed companies in mainland China and Hong Kong [1] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the index include Zhongjin Gold, Zijin Mining, and Shandong Gold, collectively accounting for 61.69% of the index [2] - The recent rebound in spot gold prices is attributed to speculative fund adjustments and leverage unwinding, while long-term support factors for gold remain intact, including geopolitical complexities and the U.S. debt surpassing 38.5 trillion dollars [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for stock index futures is "volatile" [1] - The investment rating for treasury bond futures is "relatively strong" [1] Core View - The A-share market is experiencing high valuations in hot sectors, with the dynamic PE of the CSI 500 index exceeding twice the standard deviation of the past 5 years. The "stock-bond seesaw effect" is evident, and regulatory authorities are emphasizing market stability. High-valuation sectors may face capital outflow pressure, and volatility is expected to increase around the Spring Festival [1] - Treasury bond futures show mixed performance, and the bond market lacks strong upward momentum under the backdrop of continuous policy support. Interest rates are expected to remain range-bound [1][2] Summary by Directory Research View - **Stock Index Futures**: The market adjusted with all three major indices down over 2%, and nearly 4,700 stocks falling. High valuations, regulatory emphasis on stability, and measures to cool the market may lead to capital outflows from high-valuation sectors and increased volatility [1] - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The 30-year contract rose 0.18%, while the 10-year and 5-year contracts declined slightly. The central bank conducted 750 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchases, resulting in a net withdrawal of 755 billion yuan. The bond market lacks strong upward momentum, and interest rates are range-bound [1][2] Price Changes - **Stock Index Futures**: IH, IF, IC, and IM all declined, with IC dropping 5.49% and IM down 4.71% from January 30 to February 2, 2026 [3] - **Stock Indices**: All major indices, including the Shanghai Composite 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000, decreased, with the CSI 500 falling 3.98% [3] - **Treasury Bond Futures**: TS remained flat, TF and T declined slightly, and TL rose 0.13% [3] Market News - **Overall Trend**: The market adjusted throughout the day, with all three major indices down over 2%. Nearly 4,700 stocks fell, and trading volume reached 2.61 trillion yuan [1][5] - **Industry Sectors**: Only the power grid equipment and brewing sectors rose, while precious metals, non-ferrous metals, oil and gas, and semiconductor chips led the decline [5] - **Hot Concepts**: Power grid equipment stocks and liquor stocks rose, while precious metals, oil and gas, and semiconductor chip stocks declined significantly [5] Chart Analysis - **Stock Index Futures**: Charts show the historical price trends and basis trends of IH, IF, IC, and IM [7][8][9] - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Charts display the price trends, basis trends, inter - period spreads, and cross - variety spreads of treasury bond futures, as well as the yields of treasury bonds and the capital interest rates [14][15][16] - **Exchange Rates**: Charts present the exchange rate trends between the US dollar, euro, pound, yen, and the RMB, including spot and forward exchange rates [22][23][24] Member Introduction - Zhu Jintao, a master's degree holder from Jilin University, serves as the director of macro - financial research at Everbright Futures Research Institute [29] - Wang Dongying, an index analyst with a master's degree from Columbia University, focuses on stock index futures, including macro fundamentals, key industry sectors, index financial reports, and market capital tracking [29]

记者丨金珊 李益文 2月3日，国投白银LOF今日复牌再度跌停，报4.25元，最新溢价率为88.94%。国投白银LOF2日发布公 告称，决定参考白银期货国际主要市场的价格变动幅度，对基金资产进行合理重估；国投瑞银白银 LOF2日晚间更新净值后显示，单日净值跌幅达31.5%，创公募基金单日下跌历史纪录。 国泰海通证券认为，本轮贵金属价格的大幅下跌是对年初以来非理性上涨的技术性调整，而非黄金长期 牛市的终结。短期来看，前期过热投机情绪的降温，以及资金杠杆水平的下降有助于黄金重回更健康与 稳健的上涨趋势。长期来看，在各国信任程度下降的情况下，全球仍在经历持续的货币体系重构，央行 购金仍有较大空间，黄金长期的行情仍然会延续。 （声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。） 责任编辑：王珂 编辑丨江佩霞 2月3日，黄金、白银反弹，现货黄金一度重回4800美元，现货白银日内触及85美元，截至10：22，黄 金、白银涨幅均有所收窄。 | 伦敦金现 | 伦敦银现 | COMEX黄金 | | --- | --- | --- | | 4785.350 | 83.497 | 4831.9 | | +126.0 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance of the gold industry stocks, with the China Securities Hong Kong Gold Industry Stock Index showing mixed results, led by Caibai Co., which increased by 10.02% [1] - The gold stock ETF fund (159322) is actively traded, with a turnover rate of 12.25% and a transaction volume of 39.1 million yuan, indicating a vibrant market [1] - Over the past five trading days, the gold stock ETF fund has seen a net inflow of 206 million yuan, averaging a daily net inflow of 41.22 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The China Securities Hong Kong Gold Industry Stock Index (931238) consists of 50 large-cap companies involved in gold mining, smelting, and sales, reflecting the overall performance of gold industry stocks in mainland China and Hong Kong [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 61.69% of the total index, including major companies like Zhongjin Gold and Zijin Mining [2]

截至2026年2月3日 09:30，中证工业有色金属主题指数(H11059)上涨0.39%，成分股中钨高新上涨 4.98%，电投能源上涨3.71%，紫金矿业上涨3.36%，洛阳钼业上涨3.12%，中国铝业上涨2.99%。工业有 色ETF鹏华(159162)上涨2.84%，最新价报0.94元。 工业有色ETF鹏华紧密跟踪中证工业有色金属主题指数，中证工业有色金属主题指数选取市值较大的30 只业务涉及铜、铝、铅锌、稀土金属等行业的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映工业有色金属主题上 市公司证券的整体表现。 数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，中证工业有色金属主题指数(H11059)前十大权重股分别为洛阳钼业、 北方稀土、中国铝业、兴业银锡、云铝股份、铜陵有色、江西铜业、厦门钨业、中金黄金、西部矿业， 前十大权重股合计占比55.71%。 消息面上，工业金属昨日大跌后筑底反弹，国内商品期货早盘开盘，氧化铝涨超1%。 东方证券指出，金融属性波动加剧，供需支撑价格底线。宽松叙事短期受挫，工业品跟随贵金属均有大 幅波动，但降息仍然是美联储的政策方向（而非加息），考虑近期特朗普试图通过提振地产市场来应对 支持率下降，海外地产修 ...

消息面上，现货黄金回调后筑底反弹，日内涨幅扩大至4%，报4844.07美元/盎司。 截至2026年2月3日 09:36，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)上涨0.40%，成分股中钨高新上涨5.04%，湖 南黄金上涨4.50%，盛屯矿业上涨3.99%，电投能源上涨3.37%，华钰矿业上涨3.32%。有色ETF鹏华 (159880)上涨3.32%，最新价报2.21元。 数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)前十大权重股分别为紫金矿业、洛阳 钼业、北方稀土、中国铝业、华友钴业、中金黄金、山东黄金、兴业银锡、赣锋锂业、云铝股份，前十 大权重股合计占比49.87%。 华金证券指出，有色金属等前期涨幅较大的周期板块短期调整压力释放， 但难持续。 一是近期 A 股有 色金属等板块涨幅较大， 当前更多是修复前期过快上涨后的短期回调。 二是美元信用回落叠加战略资 源储备需求和 AI 驱动的需求上升导致有色金属难持续调整。 有色ETF鹏华紧密跟踪国证有色金属行业指数，国证有色金属行业指数参照国证行业分类标准，选取归 属于有色金属行业的规模和流动性突出的50只证券作为样本，反映了沪深北交易所有色 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Huatai-PineBridge ETF (159652) in the non-ferrous metals sector, which opened with a gain of 3.96% at 1.891 yuan [1] - The ETF's major holdings include Zijin Mining, which rose by 3.36%, Luoyang Molybdenum by 3.12%, Northern Rare Earth by 2.41%, and others, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1] - The ETF has a performance benchmark based on the CSI Sub-Industry Non-Ferrous Metals Theme Index, managed by Huatai-PineBridge Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 89.27% since its inception on January 16, 2023, and a monthly return of 13.04% [1] Group 2 - Notable stock movements include Ganfeng Lithium increasing by 2.91%, while Shandong Gold experienced a decline of 7.33%, and Zhongjin Gold fell by 8.16%, reflecting volatility within the sector [1] - The article provides a snapshot of the ETF's performance and its key holdings, which are crucial for investors looking at opportunities in the non-ferrous metals market [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that despite a rebound in gold and silver prices, the A-share market's gold concept stocks mostly experienced declines, with several stocks hitting the daily limit down for three consecutive days [1] - The spot gold price fell to $4,402.38 per ounce before rebounding to $4,855.81 per ounce during the trading session [1] Group 2 - The following gold-related stocks experienced significant declines: - Yuguang Gold Lead: -10.01% with a market cap of 21.9 billion [2] - Sichuan Gold: -10.01% with a market cap of 22.5 billion [2] - Zhaojin Gold: -10.00% with a market cap of 19.3 billion [2] - Silver Nonferrous: -10.00% with a market cap of 82 billion [2] - Shengda Resources: -10.00% with a market cap of 34.1 billion [2] - China Gold: -9.99% with a market cap of 20 billion [2] - Hunan Silver: -9.98% with a market cap of 43.6 billion [2] - Other notable declines include: - Zhongjin Gold: -8.16% with a market cap of 147.8 billion [2] - Cuixue Jewelry: -7.53% with a market cap of 2.738 billion [2] - Hengbang Shares: -7.42% with a market cap of 24.6 billion [2] - Shandong Gold: -7.33% with a market cap of 209.8 billion [2]