Core Viewpoint - The insurance capital is actively seeking investment opportunities in the stock market as it enters 2026, with a significant increase in company research activities, indicating a bullish sentiment towards various sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Trends - As of February 1, 2026, insurance companies and their asset management firms conducted a total of 751 company research activities, reflecting a strong interest in identifying investment opportunities across hundreds of listed companies [1]. - The total investment balance of insurance companies reached 37.46 trillion yuan by the end of Q3 2025, marking a 3.39% increase from the previous quarter [1]. - Insurance capital is focusing on high-dividend stocks, particularly in the banking sector, while also expanding interest in emerging sectors such as artificial intelligence and biomedicine [2][3]. Group 2: Sector Focus - The primary sectors of interest for insurance capital include banking, computer science, artificial intelligence, biomedicine, and aerospace, with a focus on high-end manufacturing and new productivity drivers [2]. - Notable companies attracting attention from insurance capital include Haitai Ruisheng, Entropy Technology, and Aladdin, which are involved in AI data, biometric technology, and new materials, respectively [2]. - The banking sector remains a hotspot for insurance capital, with banks like Shanghai Bank and Nanjing Bank receiving significant attention due to their stable dividends, which align with the cash flow needs of insurance companies [3]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - Insurance capital is expected to maintain a cautious investment approach, focusing on high-dividend sectors while gradually increasing allocations to new productivity-related fields [4]. - The strategy includes a continued emphasis on bonds as a stable investment, while also exploring long-term local and cross-border bonds, and increasing equity allocations through private securities funds and strategic stakes [3][4]. - The investment pace of insurance capital is characterized by a careful wait for reasonable valuation levels and a cooling market sentiment before making gradual allocations, indicating a long-term investment perspective [4].

进入2026年，股市实现"开门红"，保险资金调研热情高涨，马不停蹄地寻找市场投资机会。东方财富 Choice数据显示，截至2月1日，保险公司、保险资管公司自2026开年来合计调研上市公司751次，涉及 数百家上市公司。险资动向一直是市场投资风向标，新的一年，险资看好哪些板块投资机会，又将有怎 样的布局？ 人工智能、生物医药仍是重点 随着险资规模持续壮大，其投资和调研动向也被视为风向标。金融监管总局数据显示，截至2025年三季 度末，保险公司资金运用余额达37.46万亿元，相较于二季度末的36.23万亿元增长3.39%。 北京商报记者通过东方财富Choice数据梳理发现，2026开年以来，保险公司、保险资管公司合计调研上 市公司751次，无论是大型险资机构还是中小型险资机构，都在积极参与调研，寻找投资机会。其中， 专业养老险公司调研最积极，一些头部寿险公司和银行系寿险公司调研也较为频繁。 2025年，险资机构持续加码红利策略投资，青睐以银行股为代表的高股息标的。2026年，险资在关注高 股息股票的基础上，加强了对人工智能、医药等热门板块的关注。从险资调研所关注的领域来看，险资 机构主要关注银行、计算机、人工智能 ...

2026开年以来，保险公司、保险资管公司合计调研上市公司751次，各大险资机构都在积极寻找投资机 会，尤其是专业养老险公司调研最积极。 2025年，险资机构持续加码红利策略投资，青睐以银行股为代表的高股息标的。2026年，险资在关注高 股息股票的基础上，加强了对人工智能、医药等热门板块的关注。险资机构主要关注银行、计算机、人 工智能、生物医药、航天等领域，并主要聚焦于行业内高端制造和新质生产力导向的个股。例如，受到 较多险资机构调研的海天瑞声（688787.SH）、熵基科技（301330.SZ）、阿拉丁（688179.SH），分别 聚焦于AI数据、生物识别技术、新材料等。此外，银行依旧是险资关注的热点，上海银行 （601229.SH）、南京银行（601009.SH）等都获得了险资较多关注。 （来源：财闻） 进入2026年，股市实现"开门红"，保险资金调研热情高涨，马不停蹄地寻找市场投资机会。数据显示， 截至2月1日，保险公司、保险资管公司自2026开年来合计调研上市公司751次，涉及数百家上市公司。 随着险资规模持续壮大，其投资和调研动向也被视为风向标。金融监管总局数据显示，截至2025年三季 度末，保险公司 ...

行业周报 | 非银金融 券商业绩预告亮眼，保险有望延续估值修复 金融行业周报（2026/02/01） 金融行业周涨跌幅跟踪：1）本周非银金融（申万）指数涨跌幅为+1.04%， 跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.95pct。本周证券Ⅱ（申万）、保险Ⅱ（申万）、多元金 融指数涨跌幅分别为-0.69%、+5.50%、-3.62%。2）本周银行（申万）涨跌 幅为+0.86%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.78pct。其中，国有行、股份行、城商行、 农商行本周涨跌幅分别为+0.35%、-0.26%、+3.11%、+2.06%。 投资观点：1）保险：本周保险Ⅱ(申万)涨跌幅为+5.50%，跑赢沪深 300 指 数 5.42pct。1 月保险股受"开门红"业绩高涨，后因监管降温进入震荡回 调。展望 2 月，保险股有望延续估值修复趋势：负债端，居民挪储趋势持续， 分红险凭借"保底+浮动"的收益优势成为承接居民资产迁徙的核心品种， 叠加 1 月"开门红"高增态势延续，头部险企保费增速有望持续领跑；资产 端，股市慢牛预期升温叠加利率中枢企稳，板块有望逐步从"流动性宽松驱 动"向"宏观政策加码+经济修复预期驱动"切换，投资收益提升路径明确 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 【策略月报】 红利内部轮动模型：迈向周期与制造 ——多行业联合红利资产 1 月报 策略研究 策略月报 2026 年 02 月 01 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：姚佩 邮箱：yaopei@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522120004 证券分析师：吴一凡 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：徐康 电话：021-20572556 邮箱：xukang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360518060005 证券分析师：马野 邮箱：maye@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040003 相关研究报告 《【华创策略】杠杆&ETF 资金分化趋势逆转—— 流动性&交易拥挤度&投资者温度计周报》 2025-12-01 《【华创策略】自媒体 A 股搜索热度重回高位— —流动性&交易拥挤度&投资者温度计周报》 2025-11-25 《【华创策略】60 日均线的机遇挑战——策略周 聚焦》 2025-11-23 《【华创策略】股票型 ETF 为当前流入主力—— 流动性&交易拥挤度&投资者温度计周报》 2025-11-1 ...

进入2026年，股市实现"开门红"，保险资金调研热情高涨，马不停蹄地寻找市场投资机会。东方财富Choice数据显示，截至2月1日，保险公司、 保险资管公司自2026开年来合计调研上市公司751次，涉及数百家上市公司。险资动向一直是市场投资风向标，新的一年，险资看好哪些板块投资 机会，又将有怎样的布局？ 数十万亿险资投向何方 尽管2025年投资"成绩单"表现不俗，但保险行业依旧面临在"低利率时期"如何拓宽投资标的、优化投资结构的"必答题"。随着中长端利率中枢持 续下行，寿险业等投资回报率进一步降低，利差损风险加大。当前存款利率在"1时代"徘徊，长期资金对稳定收益的渴求变得前所未有的强烈。 国泰海通证券研报提到，险资将持续巩固债券"压舱石"地位，并逐步向长期地方债与跨境债延伸；权益配比稳步提升，并通过私募证券基金与举 牌等方式加速入市，整体呈现出"债券更追求性价比、权益配置趋强"的趋势。 权益投资方面，险资将显现出怎样的偏好？苏商银行特约研究员付一夫预测，一方面，高股息板块（如银行、公用事业）仍是压舱石；另一方 面，新质生产力相关领域（如人工智能、高端制造、新能源、生物医药）有望获增量配置。政策扶持、技术突破及国 ...

股 票 研 究 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.01 战略投资者拟扩围，利好银行长期资本补充 [Table_Industry] 商业银行 银行周报（2026/1/26-2026/1/30） | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 刘源(分析师) | 021-38677818 | liuyuan2@gtht.com | S0880521060001 | 本报告导读： 证监会拟扩大可参与定增的战略投资者类型，并明确最低持股比例要求，利好上市 银行长期资本补充、金融机构合作深化，以及银行理财多元资产投资转型。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 商业银行《银行快报陆续披露，25A 业绩稳健增 长》2026.01.25 商业银行《全年增量 3.34 万亿元，公募基金配置 占比提升 2.1pct 至 5.1%》2026.01.25 商业银行《国有大行投放力度 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Volume Timing Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The model uses volume-based timing signals to assess market sentiment and provide trading signals[23] - **Model Construction Process**: - The model evaluates the volume timing signals of major broad-based indices - Signals are categorized as "cautious" or "optimistic" based on volume trends - As of January 30, 2026, all major indices (e.g., SSE Composite Index, CSI 300, etc.) showed "cautious" volume timing signals[24] - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides a straightforward approach to gauge market sentiment but may lack granularity in capturing nuanced market dynamics[23][24] 2. Model Name: Momentum Sentiment Indicator - **Model Construction Idea**: This model identifies market sentiment by analyzing the proportion of stocks with positive returns in the CSI 300 Index over a specific period[24] - **Model Construction Process**: - The indicator is calculated as: $ \text{CSI 300 N-day Upward Stock Proportion} = \frac{\text{Number of CSI 300 stocks with positive returns over N days}}{\text{Total number of CSI 300 stocks}} $ - The indicator is smoothed using two moving averages with different window periods (N1 = 50, N2 = 35) to create a "fast line" and a "slow line" - A buy signal is generated when the fast line exceeds the slow line, and a neutral signal is generated when the fast line falls below the slow line[26][28] - **Model Evaluation**: The indicator is effective in capturing upward market opportunities but may fail to predict downturns accurately. It also tends to miss gains during prolonged market exuberance[25] 3. Model Name: Moving Average Sentiment Indicator - **Model Construction Idea**: This model uses an eight-moving-average system to assess the trend state of the CSI 300 Index and generate trading signals[32] - **Model Construction Process**: - Calculate the eight moving averages of the CSI 300 Index closing price with parameters: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, and 233 - Assign values to the indicator based on the number of moving averages the current price exceeds: - If the price exceeds more than five moving averages, the sentiment is bullish - Generate a buy signal when the current price exceeds five moving averages[36] - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides a clear framework for trend analysis but may oversimplify complex market dynamics[36] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Volume Timing Model - All major indices (e.g., SSE Composite Index, CSI 300, CSI 500, etc.) showed "cautious" volume timing signals as of January 30, 2026[24] 2. Momentum Sentiment Indicator - The CSI 300 N-day upward stock proportion indicator was above 60% as of January 30, 2026, indicating high market sentiment[25] - The fast line was above the slow line, suggesting a bullish outlook for the CSI 300 Index[26] 3. Moving Average Sentiment Indicator - The CSI 300 Index was in a "sentiment prosperity zone" as of January 30, 2026, indicating a bullish sentiment[36] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Cross-sectional Volatility - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the dispersion of returns among index constituents to assess the Alpha environment[37] - **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate the cross-sectional volatility of index constituents (e.g., CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000) - Compare the recent quarter's average volatility to historical percentiles to evaluate the Alpha environment[38] - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively captures short-term Alpha opportunities but may not fully reflect long-term trends[37] 2. Factor Name: Time-series Volatility - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the volatility of index constituents over time to assess the Alpha environment[38] - **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate the time-series volatility of index constituents (e.g., CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000) - Compare the recent quarter's average volatility to historical percentiles to evaluate the Alpha environment[41] - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor provides insights into market stability but may be less effective in highly volatile markets[38] --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. Cross-sectional Volatility - CSI 300: Recent quarter average volatility at 2.14%, in the 69.55th percentile of the past two years[38] - CSI 500: Recent quarter average volatility at 2.45%, in the 50.79th percentile of the past two years[38] - CSI 1000: Recent quarter average volatility at 2.61%, in the 66.93rd percentile of the past two years[38] 2. Time-series Volatility - CSI 300: Recent quarter average volatility at 0.96%, in the 57.20th percentile of the past two years[41] - CSI 500: Recent quarter average volatility at 1.22%, in the 50.79th percentile of the past two years[41] - CSI 1000: Recent quarter average volatility at 1.17%, in the 64.94th percentile of the past two years[41]

证券研究报告 西部证券研发中心 2026年01月30日 分析师 | 周安桐 S0800524120005 zhouantong@research.xbmail.com.cn 联系人 | 程宵凯 chengxiaokai@xbmail.com.cn 联系人 | 喻麟靖 yulinjing@xbmail.com.cn 静水潜流，价值当归 银行板块2026开年策略 • 板块现状：25年10月以来资金对银行板块策略偏审慎，板块整体呈行情趋势缺失、估值中枢向中值收敛，以及资金交易向绩优股集中、 估值分布不均两大特征。 • 资金面趋势：我们认为国资法人是银行板块中长期定价的主导资金，一方面国资稳定控股银行股（25Q2末持股数量、市值占比均在 60%以上）、且交易频次较低，另一方面央企、地方国资系统是上市银行长期经营策略制定与实施的主导方。而银行板块的短中期行 情或更多受险资、公募、宽基ETF等资金流动影响。 ➢ 息差有望趋势企稳：1）贷款端：新发放贷款利率已行至低位，叠加自律机制调节、监管引导行业"反内卷"等因素，预计今年贷款端 收益下行压力或边际缓减；2）存款端：预计今年银行存款重定价效应仍较强，利于银行持续改善负债端 ...

近日，厦门银行披露2025年度业绩快报。公告显示，截至2025年末，该行总资产4530.99亿元，较上年 末增长11.11%。经营业绩方面，2025全年，厦门银行实现营业收入58.56亿元，同比增长1.69%；实现净 利润27.50亿元，同比增长1.64%。资产质量方面，截至2025年末，该行不良贷款率0.77%，拨备覆盖率 312.63%。 | 项目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | 增减变动幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (未经审计) | (经审计) | (%) | | 营业总收入 | 58. 56 | 57. 59 | 1.69 | | 营业利润 | 27.68 | 27. 49 | 0.66 | | 利润总额 | 27.68 | 27. 35 | 1.18 | | 净利润 | 27.50 | 27.06 | 1.64 | | 归属于上市公司股东的净 利润 | 26. 34 | 25. 95 | 1.52 | | 归属于上市公司股东的扣 除非经常性损益的净利润 | 26. 31 | 26. 08 | 0. 90 | | 基本每股收益(元) | 0.90 | 0. 89 ...