Market Outlook - The market is expected to remain volatile in February, with indices likely to perform better post-holiday compared to pre-holiday levels [1][2] - The lack of clear catalysts before the Spring Festival is anticipated to reduce market activity, while policy catalysts are expected to accelerate after the holiday due to the upcoming Two Sessions [2] Fundamental Analysis - The period of January to February is characterized as a data vacuum, with market focus on marginal improvements in performance driven by industrial changes [2] - Key sectors include cyclical price increases, particularly in semiconductors and AI-related products, which are expected to maintain a positive trend [2][5] Liquidity and Capital Supply - February is projected to see continued net inflows of incremental capital, with foreign capital expected to flow in before the holiday and financing likely to rebound afterward [4] - The central bank is expected to maintain a stable liquidity environment through targeted measures, despite some liquidity tightening from government bond issuances [4] Industry Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on cyclical and technology sectors, with increased attention on discretionary consumption as the Spring Festival approaches [3][6] - Recommended sectors include electronics (semiconductors), media (advertising, gaming, film), machinery (automation, engineering), power equipment (batteries, grid equipment, photovoltaic), basic chemicals, and social services [3][6] Performance Trends - In January, high-performing sectors included certain resource products, public utilities, and information technology, with notable price increases in industrial metals and chemicals [6] - The report highlights a recovery in profitability for certain sectors, particularly in resource products and TMT (Technology, Media, Telecommunications) driven by AI [5][6]

Group 1 - The market is experiencing volatility due to concerns over the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman, which has led to fears of changes in monetary policy [2] - The yield curve issue in U.S. Treasury bonds reflects a broader economic dilemma, and regardless of who leads the Federal Reserve, the current situation is unlikely to change [2] - The A-share market is showing weakness, while global asset performance is mixed, influenced by the Federal Reserve's personnel changes [2] Group 2 - The telecom operators in China, including China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom, will see their value-added tax rate increase from 6% to 9%, impacting their revenue and profits starting January 1, 2026 [3] - Multiple brokerages are optimistic about the A-share market's spring performance, suggesting a focus on technology, consumption, and cyclical sectors such as semiconductors and AI applications [3] - Tencent is accelerating its AI strategy, transitioning to a "smart agent ecosystem," which may lead to a reevaluation of its AI business and partnerships [4] Group 3 - Gold prices have experienced significant fluctuations, with a recent drop of over 12% after briefly surpassing $4500 per ounce, driven by concerns over U.S. liquidity tightening [5] - Local governments in China have set economic growth targets for 2026, with many regions adjusting their CPI and investment growth targets, indicating potential trading opportunities related to policy implementation [5] - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to have upward potential in the medium to long term, with a focus on technology and non-bank financial sectors, as economic stability may attract more investment [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company Guotou Zhonglu plans to acquire 100% of China Electronics Engineering Design Institute through a share issuance and raise supporting funds from specific investors, which is expected to significantly enhance its financial metrics and operational capabilities [2][4][8]. Group 1: Transaction Details - The transaction involves the acquisition of China Electronics Engineering Design Institute, with an assessed value of 602,581.04 million yuan, reflecting a 147.40% appreciation [4][7]. - The company will raise up to 172,600.00 million yuan in supporting funds for project construction and working capital [7]. - The transaction is classified as a major asset restructuring and related party transaction but does not constitute a reverse listing [4][7]. Group 2: Financial Impact - Post-transaction, the company anticipates significant improvements in total assets, operating income, and net profit, with no dilution of immediate returns expected [3][8]. - The independent financial advisor has confirmed that the transaction will benefit the company's sustainable development and that the related measures comply with regulatory requirements [8][10]. Group 3: Compliance and Governance - The company has adhered to necessary legal procedures, including board reviews and insider information management, ensuring compliance with relevant regulations [3][8]. - The independent directors have approved the transaction, affirming that it meets the conditions for share issuance and fundraising [8][10]. - No insider trading issues have been identified among the involved parties during the self-examination period [5][9].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement details the signing of sales agreements between Shangyin Fund Management Co., Ltd. and multiple fund sales agencies, indicating that these agencies will begin selling certain funds managed by the company starting from February 2, 2026 [1]. Group 1: Fund Sales Agreements - Shangyin Fund Management has entered into sales agreements with various fund sales agencies, including Ant (Hangzhou) Fund Sales Co., Ltd., JD Kenterui Fund Sales Co., Ltd., and others [1]. - The sales will commence on February 2, 2026, involving a range of funds managed by Shangyin Fund [1]. Group 2: Fund Sales Agencies - A total of 44 fund sales agencies are listed, including major players such as Shanghai Tian Tian Fund Sales Co., Ltd., and China International Capital Corporation Wealth Securities Co., Ltd. [1][2][3][4][5][6][7]. - Each agency has provided contact details, including websites and customer service phone numbers, for investors seeking more information [2][3][4][5][6][7].

Core Viewpoint - The asset management industry for securities firms is experiencing significant growth, with a management scale exceeding one trillion yuan by 2025 and an annual growth rate of 17%. However, this growth is accompanied by increasing differentiation among firms, with some achieving rapid growth while others face declines in scale [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Growth and Differentiation - By 2025, the total management scale of securities firm asset management is expected to surpass one trillion yuan, driven by a recovery in the capital market and policies encouraging long-term capital inflow [3]. - Five securities firms have entered the "billion club," with Dongfanghong Asset Management leading at 216.27 billion yuan, a 30% increase year-on-year, followed by Huatai Securities Asset Management at 180.83 billion yuan, up 31% [2]. - Some smaller firms, such as Changjiang Securities and Shandong Securities, have shown remarkable growth rates of 47% and 49%, respectively, while others like Guodu Securities and Zheshang Securities have seen significant declines of 32% and 8% [2]. Group 2: Product Structure and Strategy - Firms are adopting differentiated product strategies based on their strengths, with Dongfanghong focusing on non-monetary market funds, while Huatai Securities emphasizes cash management products, which constitute over 85% of its portfolio [2]. - The industry is witnessing a shift towards a more professional and long-term asset allocation approach, with a focus on enhancing the "investment-research-product-sales-service" closed-loop efficiency [3][4]. Group 3: Future Investment Strategies - For 2026, the industry outlook remains moderately optimistic, driven by factors such as the "deposit migration" effect and a recovering profit cycle [6]. - Specific product strategies include targeting low-volatility short-term bond funds for retail clients and medium-volatility credit bond funds for institutional clients, creating a clear product differentiation [6][7]. - The technology sector, particularly AI, is highlighted as a key growth area, with opportunities arising from increased capital expenditure and domestic production ratios [7].

非银金融 2026 年 02 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 非银金融 沪深300 相关研究报告 《偏股基金新发同比明显增长，公募 强化基准约束—行业周报》-2026.1.25 《逆周期调节呵护"慢牛"，券商和 保险业务开门红 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2026.1.18 《衍生品监管透明化，规模限制有望 放松利好头部券商—衍生品监管政策 点评》-2026.1.18 （1）本周日均股基成交额 3.71 万亿，环比+7.7%，2026 年 1 月市场日均股基成 交额 3.65 万亿，同比+157%；2026 年 1 月新成立股票和混合类基金份额 812 亿， 环比+66%，同比+187%。开年首月基金新发和交易量均显著扩张。（2）1 月 30 日证监会召开资本市场"十五五"规划上市公司座谈会，证监会主席吴清强调：全 力巩固资本市场稳中向好势头，聚焦持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革、提高制 度包容性适应性，抓紧推出深化创业板改革，提高再融资制度便利性、灵活性和 吸引力。（3）截至 1 月末，已披 ...

行 业 及 产 业 非银金融 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 两端改善趋势——2026 年保险行业策略 报告》 2025/11/18 《证券行业 2026 年投资策略：权益浪潮 下的券商机遇：财富扩容，国际增效》 2025/11/17 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 2026 年 02 月 01 日 资金面因素逐步出清，看好非银板 块投资价值 看好 ——非银金融行业周报（2026/1/26-2026/1/30） 证 券 研 究 报 告 相关研究 《25 年业绩高增态势确立，融资保证金比 例旨在引导回归价值投资——券商板块跟 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 踪》 2026/01/15 《高弹性标签助力板块"破圈"，看好资负 ...

证券研究报告 | 金融工程 2026 年 2 月 1 日 维持整体看多与大盘成长偏强观点 ——A 股趋势与风格定量观察 20260201 1. 当前市场观察 2. 市场最新观点 王武蕾 S1090519080001 wangwulei@cmschina.com.cn 王禹哲 S1090525080001 wangyuzhe@cmschina.com.cn 风险提示：择时和风格轮动模型结论基于合理假设前提下结合历史数据统计规 律推导而出，市场环境变化下可能导致出现模型失效风险。 定期报告 敬请阅读末页的重要说明 ❑ 本周市场震荡回调，大盘风格回升。具体来看，万得全 A 指数下跌约 1.59%，上证 50、沪深 300 分别上涨约 1.13%、0.09%，中证 1000 下跌约 2.55%。国证成长下跌约 0.59%，国证价值上涨约 1.01%，创业板指下跌约 0.09%，科创 50 下跌约 2.85%。 ❑ 本周维持整体乐观的观点。基本面上，1 月制造业 PMI 录得 49.30，处于历 史中性水平，虽然结构上仍呈现"上游强于下游"的局面，但与前期并无明显 变化，叠加节前备货效应趋于尾声，市场对此类信号或趋于钝 ...

Core Viewpoints - The non-bank financial sector, including brokerage and insurance, shows continued improvement in fundamentals, highlighting the investment value of the non-bank sector [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 31, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index reported 4117.95 points, down 0.44%, while the Shenzhen Component Index was at 14205.89, down 1.62% [10] - The CSI 300 Index increased by 0.08%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.09% [10] - The CITIC II Securities Index fell by 0.71%, while the CITIC II Insurance Index rose by 5.41% [10] Group 2: Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - Listed insurance companies are expected to maintain high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest rate spreads [15] - As of January 30, 2026, the 10-year government bond yield was 1.81%, down 2 basis points from the previous week, indicating a cautious risk preference in the equity market [12] - The insurance sector is benefiting from a stable long-term interest rate environment and an upward trend in the equity market, which is expected to drive performance growth in Q1 2026 [15] Securities Sector - The securities market is showing positive core indicators, with a projected high growth in Q1 2026, supported by improved trading volume and margin financing [16] - As of January 30, 2026, 17 brokerages reported a total net profit of 1153.44 billion CNY for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 60.27% [19] - The average daily trading volume of all A and B shares reached 2.90 trillion CNY, a 144.26% increase compared to the same period in 2025, indicating a significant rise in market activity [21] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The launch of commercial real estate REITs is expected to expand business opportunities, with the first three products anticipated to raise over 13 billion CNY [27] - The REITs initiative aims to activate existing commercial real estate assets and enhance the supply of capital market products, indicating strong market demand [27] - The insurance sector is advised to focus on companies like China Ping An, China Life, and New China Life, which are expected to benefit from favorable market conditions [15]

中金公司表现突出，多家券商增速惊人 中金公司作为1月30日当天披露的头部券商，表现尤为亮眼。公司2025年归母净利预计在85.42亿元至105.35亿元之 间，同比增幅达50%到85%。这一净利规模直追2021年的107.8亿元，且成功扭转了连续三年的业绩下滑态势。 中金公司表示，报告期内公司主动把握市场机遇，充分发挥"投资 + 投行 + 投研"一体化综合优势，推动投行、股 票业务、财富管理等核心业务板块稳健增长。在投行业务方面，中金公司潜力巨大，全A股市场融资规模超80亿 元的在审A股IPO项目共计4单，全部由中金公司牵头或独家保荐，包括长鑫科技、华润新能源、电建新能、惠科 股份，构成了当前A股最具战略意义的"头部项目矩阵"。 【环球网财经综合报道】截至1月30日，已有28家券商或上市主体披露2025年快报、预报或未经审计财报，整体业 绩表现亮眼，行业盈利修复态势显著，资本市场迎来券商板块的积极信号，卖方纷纷上调板块预期，行业正步入 盈利修复与估值重塑的"双重共振"窗口期。 此外，良好的业绩表现也为中金公司吸收合并信达证券、东兴证券奠定了基础。目前，公司及相关各方正在积极 推进交易相关工作，待审计等工作完成 ...