Group 1 - The smart driving sector experienced a collective surge, with the smart car ETF (159888) rising by 3.59% and several stocks reaching their daily limit up [1] - NVIDIA launched the Alpamayo open-source AI for safe and inference-based autonomous vehicles at CES 2026, introducing a series of models, simulation tools, and datasets to accelerate development [1] - Ping An Securities indicated that the commercialization of smart driving is expected to accelerate by 2026, with recent approvals for L3 vehicle operation conditions marking progress in technology and policy [1] Group 2 - The automotive parts ETF (562700) tracks the CSI Automotive Parts Theme Index, covering various sectors including automotive systems, interiors, electronics, and tires, benefiting from the trends of electrification and intelligence in the automotive industry [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market indices collectively rose, with significant activity in sectors such as lithium mining, low carbon, and lithium batteries, driven by government initiatives to promote green consumption and support for the electric vehicle industry [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The smart car ETF (515250) saw an intraday increase of 3.79%, while the Sci-Tech Innovation Board New Energy ETF (588960) rose by 3.16% [1] - Several stocks within the smart car ETF, including Beidou Xingtong, Zhejiang Sebao, Lianchuang Electronics, and Desay SV, reached their daily limit [1] Group 2: Government Initiatives - A notice from the Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments was released on January 5, promoting green consumption and supporting the purchase of new energy vehicles, as well as strengthening the automotive supply chain [1] - The first national standard for solid-state batteries, titled "Solid-State Batteries for Electric Vehicles Part 1: Terms and Classification," is currently open for public consultation [1] Group 3: Market Forecast - According to the China Passenger Car Association, the sales volume of new energy passenger vehicles in China is expected to grow by approximately 25% by 2025 [1] - Preliminary monthly data estimates that cumulative wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles will reach 15.33 million units by 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 25% [1] Group 4: Index Tracking - The smart car ETF (515250) closely tracks the CSI Smart Car Theme Index (930721), which selects companies providing terminal perception and platform applications for smart cars, as well as other representative A-shares benefiting from the smart car industry [1]

AI人工智能ETF紧密跟踪中证人工智能主题指数，中证人工智能主题指数选取50只业务涉及为人工智能 提供基础资源、技术以及应用支持的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映人工智能主题上市公司证券的 整体表现。 截至2026年1月6日 09:50，中证人工智能主题指数(930713)上涨0.46%，成分股三七互娱(002555)上涨 5.39%，中科曙光(603019)上涨3.87%，光环新网(300383)上涨3.55%，澜起科技(688008)上涨3.44%，德 赛西威(002920)上涨3.05%。AI人工智能ETF(512930)上涨0.49%，最新价报2.26元。 消息面上，经过多年测试，波士顿动力的 Atlas 人形机器人正式进入量产阶段。波士顿动力在今日开幕 的CES 2026 上宣布，Atlas 机器人的最终量产版本正在生产中，首批获得部署的公司将是其主要股东现 代汽车，以及新的 AI 合作伙伴谷歌 DeepMind。 长江证券指出，从Meta收购Manus到智谱、MiniMax赴港上市，我国AI产业端的积极变化预示着2026年 或将成为AI产业从技术突破向规模化落地转型的关键年份，建议关注国内大模型厂 ...

Core Insights - The global Precision Intelligent Manufacturing Solutions (PIMS) market is experiencing continuous growth driven by high-tech and innovation in sectors such as consumer electronics, automotive electronics, communication and data centers, aerospace, and advanced equipment [1][3] - By 2025, the global PIMS market is projected to reach 9.47 trillion yuan, with system integration accounting for 4.92 trillion yuan (51.91%) and components and modules for 4.55 trillion yuan (48.09%) [1][4] - The market is expected to surpass 10 trillion yuan by 2026, with system integration growing to approximately 5.24 trillion yuan (52.26%) and components and modules to about 4.79 trillion yuan (47.74%) [1][4] Industry Definition and Classification - PIMS is a customer-centric, technology-driven manufacturing service that integrates advanced processing technologies, rapid prototyping, automation control, and intelligent systems to provide high-precision components, functional modules, and system integration [2][3] - The industry is characterized by deep customization, aiming to transform breakthrough product concepts into mass-producible products that meet high technical standards [2] Current Industry Status - The PIMS market is broad, with significant growth attributed to the increasing demand for refined manufacturing processes in emerging fields such as artificial intelligence and advanced medical equipment [3][4] - From 2019 to 2025, the PIMS market is expected to grow from 6.95 trillion yuan to 9.47 trillion yuan, indicating a robust upward trend [3][4] Industry Value Chain - The upstream of the PIMS industry includes basic raw materials such as metals, ceramics, and plastics, as well as production equipment like CNC machines and die-cutting machines [4][5] - The midstream processes various raw materials into specific functional components and integrates systems, while the downstream applications span consumer electronics, automotive, communication, data centers, energy, construction technology, medical, and renewable energy sectors [4][5] Competitive Landscape - The Chinese PIMS market features both comprehensive giants and niche "hidden champions," with leading companies like Luxshare Precision, GoerTek, and others dominating various segments [5][6] - Luxshare Precision ranks fourth globally and first in mainland China within the PIMS industry, excelling across major business lines in consumer electronics, automotive electronics, and communication and data centers [5][6] Industry Development Trends - The PIMS industry is characterized by high precision, efficiency, automation, and flexible customization, driven by rising consumer demands for product functionality, portability, and aesthetics [9][10] - The shift towards ultra-high precision, high performance, and high value-added manufacturing is being propelled by leading manufacturers adopting advanced equipment and materials [10] - Future developments will focus on smart, flexible, and sustainable manufacturing, integrating industrial internet, digital twins, artificial intelligence, and robotics to enhance manufacturing systems [10]

2026 年 01 月 05 日 两新补贴正式落地符合预期，看好 预期修复下的交易机会 看好 ——2025/12/29-2026/1/4 汽车周报 《补贴落地践行渐进，看好预期修复下的 交易机会——2025/12/22-2025/12/28 汽车周报》 2025/12/29 《L3 智驾车型许可发放，继续看好智能 化、中高端和二手车市场—— 2025/12/15-2025/12/19 汽车周报》 2025/12/22 证券分析师 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱傅哲 A0230524080008 zhufz@swsresearch.com 行 业 及 产 业 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 行 业 研 本期投资提示： 1.1 新势力月度销量更新 究 / 行 点 业 评 汽车 ⚫ 观点：两新补贴正式落地，计算方式由定额制转向按车价比例计算，结构导向更加清 晰，此前对行业 26 年总量的担心有望得到修复。看好中低端需求为主的比亚迪、吉 利，以及基本面α弹性显著的北汽、江淮 ...

Group 1 - The company Desay SV (002920.SZ) has launched its low-speed unmanned vehicle series, Chuanxing Zhiyuan S6, which has gained significant attention and received customer orders [2] - The company also offers intelligent driving domain control products that can be supplied to unmanned logistics companies [2]

Core Insights - The report highlights Nanshan Aluminum (600219) as a rare growth target in the electrolytic aluminum sector, emphasizing its dividend and buyback strategies as indicators of confidence in future performance [2][9][11] - The report also covers Hanhigh Group (001221), which is positioned as a high-growth company focusing on cost reduction and brand strength to create high-end cost-performance products [10][12] Nanshan Aluminum (600219) Summary - Expected net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is projected at 5.0 billion, 5.46 billion, and 5.84 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12, 11, and 10 times [3][11] - The company is anticipated to benefit from the expansion of alumina production in Indonesia, which will enhance its performance due to cost advantages [11] - The report assigns a target P/E of 13 times for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 15% from the current price [3][11] - The company has a production capacity of 680,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum, with expectations for aluminum prices to rise in 2026 due to a slowdown in global supply growth [11] Hanhigh Group (001221) Summary - Revenue projections for Hanhigh Group are set at 3.595 billion, 4.525 billion, and 5.653 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with net profits of 706 million, 942 million, and 1.237 billion yuan respectively [10][14] - The company is expected to maintain a lower valuation compared to its peers, with P/E ratios of 33, 24, and 19 times for the respective years [10][14] - Hanhigh Group's growth is driven by cost reduction strategies and a focus on high-quality, high-performance products, which have gained market recognition [12][14] Investment Recommendations - Both Nanshan Aluminum and Hanhigh Group are given "Outperform" ratings, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance relative to the market [3][10] - The report suggests that Nanshan Aluminum's unique position in the electrolytic aluminum market and Hanhigh Group's strong growth trajectory make them attractive investment opportunities [2][10]

Group 1: Nanshan Aluminum (南山铝业) - Nanshan Aluminum is positioned as a rare growth target in the electrolytic aluminum sector, with a focus on dividends and share buybacks, reflecting confidence in its growth potential [4][12] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of CNY 5.0 billion, CNY 5.46 billion, and CNY 5.84 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 12x, 11x, and 10x [4][12] - The report anticipates a 15% upside potential based on a target P/E of 13x for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peer companies [4][12] - Key assumptions include increased alumina production from Indonesia, with projected sales volumes of 2.76 million tons in 2025, 4.36 million tons in 2026, and 4.56 million tons in 2027 [12] - The report highlights that domestic electrolytic aluminum capacity is nearing its peak, while global supply growth is slowing, suggesting a favorable supply-demand balance for the industry [12] Group 2: Hanhigh Group (悍高集团) - Hanhigh Group is expected to achieve revenues of CNY 3.595 billion, CNY 4.525 billion, and CNY 5.653 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of CNY 706 million, CNY 942 million, and CNY 1.237 billion [4][15] - The company is rated as "Buy" based on its current valuation being below the average of comparable companies for 2026 [4][15] - Hanhigh Group's growth is driven by cost reduction and brand strength, with a CAGR of 29% in revenue and 59% in net profit from 2019 to 2024 [12][13] - The company focuses on product innovation and cost efficiency, leveraging its own production capacity to enhance profitability [12][13] Group 3: Market Overview and Investment Strategy - The report identifies a favorable market environment for the spring season, with expectations of continued upward momentum in the stock market due to improved economic indicators and liquidity [22] - The "Top Ten Gold Stocks" for January 2026 include companies like Hualu Hengsheng, Lingyi Zhi Zao, and Alibaba, indicating a diversified investment strategy across sectors [14][22] - The automotive industry is highlighted for its recovery potential, particularly with the introduction of new subsidies and the expected improvement in demand for mid-range vehicles [24]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The implementation of the new national subsidy policy for vehicle replacement is expected to boost passenger car demand in Q1 2026 [2][6] - The report indicates that the adjustment of subsidies from fixed amounts to percentage-based will likely enhance the proportion of mid-to-high-end passenger cars [6][7] - The continuation of subsidies for scrapping old commercial vehicles is expected to stabilize market confidence and potentially exceed expectations for heavy truck demand in 2026 [7] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The automotive sector showed a performance increase of 5.7% over the last month, a decrease of 3.2% over the last three months, and a significant increase of 24.2% over the last year [3] Policy Impact - The new subsidy policy for 2026 includes support for scrapping and replacing vehicles, with specific subsidies for purchasing new energy vehicles and fuel-efficient cars [6] - The maximum subsidy for purchasing new energy vehicles is 12% of the vehicle price (up to 20,000 yuan), while for fuel-efficient cars, it is 10% (up to 15,000 yuan) [6] Market Outlook - The report suggests that the automotive industry will continue to see opportunities in high-end self-owned brands and the acceleration of smart technology integration [7] - Recommended companies include Jianghuai Automobile, Great Wall Motors, Geely, BYD, BAIC Blue Valley, and SAIC Group [7] - The report also highlights potential growth in the heavy truck sector, with expected sales of over 86,000 units in 2026 [7]

Core Insights - The integrated domain control solution is a core technology for the development of intelligent and connected vehicles, widely implemented in both passenger and commercial vehicles [1][5] - The global market for integrated domain control solutions is expected to grow rapidly, with projections of approximately 85.16 billion yuan in 2025 and 132.46 billion yuan in 2026 [5] - In China, the market size for integrated domain control solutions is projected to reach about 44.14 billion yuan in 2025 and 66.78 billion yuan in 2026, driven by rising consumer demand for smart experiences and supportive national policies [5] Industry Definition - The term "domain" refers to a collection of electronic and electrical architectures that control major functional modules of a vehicle, typically divided into five domains: intelligent driving, entertainment (cockpit), chassis, power, and body [2] - The trend towards integration in the vehicle's electronic and electrical architecture is driven by the increasing number of electronic control units and the shift towards centralized E/E architectures [2][4] Market Overview - The integrated domain control solution market is experiencing rapid growth due to the shift towards centralized E/E architectures and the increasing demand for integrated computing capabilities in smart vehicles [5] - The market is supported by rising consumer spending and the importance of smart experiences in vehicle purchasing decisions, particularly among younger consumers [5] Industry Chain - The upstream of the integrated domain control solution industry includes core components such as domain control SoCs, vehicle networking, and other embedded computing modules, as well as related software like operating systems and application software [5] - The midstream involves system integration and services for integrated domain control solutions, while the downstream includes traditional domestic manufacturers, foreign manufacturers, joint ventures, and new forces in the automotive industry [5] Competitive Landscape - The competition in the Chinese integrated domain control market is characterized by a transition from separate intelligent driving and cockpit domain controls to integrated solutions, with key players including Desay SV, Jingwei Hirain, and Joyson Electronics [7] - Companies are focusing on developing higher computing power solutions and integrated cockpit and driving domain control solutions [7] Company Highlights - Megvii Technology is a leading automotive technology company focusing on AI-driven integrated domain control solutions, aiming to reshape the next generation of smart vehicles [8] - Desay SV is a global leader in mobile travel technology, focusing on the integration of intelligent cockpit, intelligent driving, and connected services, with significant revenue from its smart cockpit segment [9] Industry Trends - The integrated domain control solution industry is entering a high-growth phase, driven by the electrification, intelligence, and connectivity of the automotive industry [10] - The industry is evolving towards functional integration, AI fusion, and higher safety standards, with an emphasis on cost reduction and domestic substitution [10]