Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the precious metals sector due to rising geopolitical tensions and increased demand for safe-haven assets [2]. Core Views - The report highlights that the escalation of the Middle East conflict, particularly the military actions between the U.S. and Iran, is expected to boost the performance of precious metals as investors seek refuge from market volatility [3]. - It emphasizes that Iran's significant share in global production of certain metals, such as strontium and direct reduced iron (DRI), could lead to price fluctuations in these commodities due to potential supply disruptions [4][6]. - The long-term outlook for precious metals remains positive, with expectations of a super cycle for gold driven by central bank purchases and sustained investment demand [3]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - The report notes that Iran accounts for approximately 56% of global strontium production, 24% of DRI production, and has significant copper and zinc reserves, which could be impacted by the ongoing conflict [4][5]. - It suggests that the geopolitical situation may exacerbate supply shortages for copper and other critical metals, urging investors to monitor these developments closely [6]. Aluminum Sector - The report discusses the potential tightening of the global aluminum supply due to the conflict, particularly if Iranian production is affected, which could impact around 600,000 tons of aluminum supply [12][14]. - It indicates that the aluminum market is currently stable, but geopolitical risks could lead to price volatility [11]. New Energy Metals - The report highlights Zimbabwe's ban on lithium exports, which is expected to tighten the global lithium market and support prices, as Zimbabwe is a key supplier [15][16]. - It suggests that the rise of resource nationalism may lead to increased control over strategic metals, impacting pricing dynamics in the market [15]. Stock Recommendations - The report recommends specific stocks in the precious metals sector, including Zhongjin Gold and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, as well as companies in the copper and aluminum sectors such as Zijin Mining and China Hongqiao Group [13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including companies like Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and China Hongqiao [11]. Core Views - The geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and Iran, are expected to boost the safe-haven appeal of precious metals like gold and silver [2]. - Despite inventory accumulation in copper, prices remain strong due to ongoing demand and strategic reserve considerations from both China and the US [3]. - The aluminum market is anticipated to experience price fluctuations as the consumption season approaches, supported by macroeconomic factors [4]. - Nickel prices are on an upward trend due to supply constraints and increased inquiries from steel mills [5]. - Tin prices are expected to remain strong amid renewed concerns over supply disruptions from Myanmar [8]. - Lithium prices are rising due to export bans from Zimbabwe, which may tighten supply in the coming months [9]. - Cobalt prices are showing strength as demand recovers with the resumption of production [10]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Geopolitical tensions are driving up demand for gold and silver as safe-haven assets, with specific companies recommended for investment [2]. Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Despite a significant increase in global copper inventories, prices remain resilient due to strategic reserve initiatives and expectations of domestic demand recovery [3]. - **Aluminum**: The market is expected to see price volatility as downstream production resumes post-holiday, with macroeconomic conditions remaining favorable [4]. - **Nickel**: Prices have increased by 4.7% to 141,560 CNY/ton, driven by supply constraints and demand from steel manufacturers [5]. - **Tin**: Prices are expected to experience strong fluctuations due to supply concerns stemming from Myanmar's political situation [8]. Energy Metals - **Lithium**: Prices have surged, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reaching 174,000 CNY/ton, influenced by export restrictions from Zimbabwe [9]. - **Cobalt**: The price of cobalt has risen by 3.4% to 440,000 CNY/ton, supported by recovering demand as production resumes [10]. Key Companies - Recommended companies for investment include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and China Hongqiao, among others, reflecting strong growth potential in the non-ferrous metals sector [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including companies like Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and China Hongqiao [11]. Core Insights - The geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and Iran, are driving increased demand for precious metals as a safe haven, suggesting a strong long-term investment value in this sector [2]. - Despite a significant increase in copper inventories, the price remains strong due to ongoing demand and strategic reserve initiatives from both China and the US [3]. - The aluminum market is expected to experience short-term fluctuations, but overall demand is anticipated to recover as downstream production resumes [4]. - Nickel prices are on an upward trend due to supply constraints and increased inquiries from steel mills, indicating a positive outlook for the nickel market [5]. - Tin prices are expected to remain strong due to ongoing supply concerns from Myanmar and cautious purchasing behavior from downstream enterprises [8]. - Lithium prices are rising sharply due to export bans from Zimbabwe, which may tighten supply in the coming months [9]. - Cobalt prices are also showing strength as demand from precursor companies increases, with expectations of a stable recovery in the market [10]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report highlights the benefits of precious metals in times of geopolitical uncertainty, recommending companies such as Xinyi Silver and Zijin Mining for investment [2]. Industrial Metals - **Copper**: The report notes a 32,200-ton increase in global copper inventories but emphasizes that prices remain resilient due to strategic reserve initiatives and ongoing demand [3]. - **Aluminum**: The aluminum market is experiencing a significant inventory build-up, but demand is expected to recover as production resumes post-holiday [4]. - **Nickel**: Nickel prices have increased by 4.7% to 141,560 CNY/ton, driven by supply constraints and demand from steel mills [5]. - **Tin**: The report indicates that tin prices may experience strong fluctuations due to supply concerns from Myanmar [8]. Energy Metals - **Lithium**: Lithium prices have surged, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reaching 174,000 CNY/ton, driven by supply disruptions from Zimbabwe [9]. - **Cobalt**: Cobalt prices have increased by 3.4% to 440,000 CNY/ton, with demand from precursor companies showing signs of recovery [10].

- The "Guosen JinGong Hong Kong Stock Selection Portfolio" aims to select stocks with both fundamental support and technical resonance from the analyst-recommended stock pool[13][14] - The portfolio construction involves using analyst recommendation events such as upward earnings forecast revisions, initial analyst coverage, and analyst report titles indicating unexpected events to build the stock pool[14] - The backtesting period for the portfolio is from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2025, with an annualized return of 19.08% and an excess return of 18.06% relative to the Hang Seng Index after considering transaction costs[14] - The "Stable New High Stock Selection Method" identifies stocks that have reached new highs in the past 250 trading days and have stable price paths[19][21] - The specific calculation for the 250-day new high distance is: $ 250 \text{ day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{Closet}{ts\_max(Close, 250)} $ where Closet is the latest closing price, and ts_max(Close, 250) is the maximum closing price in the past 250 trading days[21] - Stocks are selected based on analyst attention, relative stock strength, price path stability, and continuity of new highs[22] - The "Guosen JinGong Hong Kong Stock Selection Portfolio" achieved an annualized return of 19.08% and an excess return of 18.06% relative to the Hang Seng Index during the backtesting period from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2025[14] - The portfolio's performance in 2020 was particularly notable with a return of 66.59% and an excess return of 70.00% relative to the Hang Seng Index[18] - The portfolio's Information Ratio (IR) was 1.19 over the entire sample period[18] - The "Stable New High Stock Selection Method" identified 13 stocks from the cyclical sector, 11 from manufacturing, 5 from consumer, 3 from technology, 1 from finance, and 1 from healthcare as stable new high stocks[21] - The method emphasizes the effectiveness of momentum and trend-following strategies, particularly in the Hong Kong market[19]

| 序号 | 名称 | 港股代码 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 | ADR代码 | ADR换算价(HKD) | 较港股升跌 | 较港股升跌% | ADR最新价(美元) ADI | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 腾讯控股 | 0 00700 | 518.000 | +6.000 | 1.17% | TCEHY | 513.995 | -4.005 | -0.77% | 65.700 | | 2 | 阿里巴巴-W | 09988 | 142.900 | -0.100 | -0.07% | BABA | 140.928 | -1.972 | -1.38% | 144.110 | | 3 | 汇丰控股 | 00005 | 147.300 | +2.300 | 1.59% | HSBC | 145.765 | -1.535 | -1.04% | 93.160 | | 4 | 建设银行 | 00939 | 7.990 | -0.010 | -0.13% | CICHY | 7.933 | -0.05 ...

近期，福布斯中国富豪榜更新，张一鸣、钟睒睒、马化腾以超620亿美元的财富，断层领先前三。 | 排名 | 姓名 | 財富来源 | 财富 (亿美元) | 排名 | 姓名 | 财富来源 | 财产 (亿美元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 张一鸣 | 字节跳动 | eas | | 26 王宁 | 泡泡玛特 | 159 | | 2 | 钟滕滕 | 农夫山泉/ 万泰生物 | 680 | 27 | 曹仁贤 | 阳光电源 | 155 | | 3 | 马化腾 | 腾讯 | 627 | 28 | 汪立平 | 恒立液压 | 154 | | ব | 曾毓群 | 宁德时代 | 562 | 29 | 朱义 | 百利天恒 | 147 | | 5 | 丁磊 | 网易 | 449 | 30 | 裴振华 | 宁德时代 | 147 | | 6 | 黄峥 | 拼多多 | 424 | 31 | 王伟修 | 中际旭创 | 143 | | 7 | 李嘉诚 | 长江实业 | 424 | 32 | 林木勤 | 东鹏饮科 | 142 | | 8 | 郑淑良 | 中国宏桥/ 山 ...

最新定期报告显示，港股红利ETF工银（159691）重仓股包括中国海洋石油、中国神华、中国财险、中 国宏桥、中电控股、万洲国际、电能实业、海尔智家、中国人民保险集团、石药集团，持仓占比如下。 股票代码股票名称持仓占比持仓股数（股）持仓市值（元）00883中国海洋石油14.55%6380.20万12.27 亿01088中国神华9.65%2322.45万8.14亿02328中国财险8.90%5077.80万7.50亿01378中国宏桥 7.68%2199.35万6.48亿00002中电控股7.53%1010.50万6.35亿00288万洲国际7.36%7923.30万6.20亿00006 电能实业6.21%1052.00万5.24亿06690海尔智家3.50%1346.18万2.95亿01339中国人民保险集团 3.42%4730.20万2.88亿01093石药集团3.41%3772.20万2.87亿 规模方面，截止2月26日，港股红利ETF工银（159691）最新份额为61.34亿份，最新规模为85.49亿元。 回顾2025年12月31日，港股红利ETF工银（159691）份额为65.30亿份，规模为84.35 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (ICBC, 159691) has experienced significant net redemptions, indicating a trend of outflows from the fund, which may reflect investor sentiment and market conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Performance - On February 26, the Hong Kong Dividend ETF (ICBC, 159691) faced a net redemption of 69.2 million yuan, ranking 4th out of 217 in cross-border ETF net outflows for the day [1]. - Over the past five days, the fund has seen net redemptions totaling 123 million yuan, ranking 2nd out of 217 [1]. - The fund's total size as of February 26 is 8.549 billion yuan, down from 8.78 billion yuan the previous day, with the outflow representing 0.79% of the prior day's size [1]. Group 2: Fund Details - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (ICBC, 159691) was established on March 30, 2023, with an annual management fee of 0.45% and a custody fee of 0.07% [2]. - As of February 26, the fund has 6.134 billion shares outstanding, a decrease of 6.06% from 6.53 billion shares on December 31, 2025, while the fund's size has increased by 1.35% during the same period [2]. Group 3: Trading Activity - The cumulative trading amount for the Hong Kong Dividend ETF over the last 20 trading days is 6.993 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 350 million yuan [2]. - Year-to-date, the fund has recorded a cumulative trading amount of 10.928 billion yuan over 33 trading days, averaging 331 million yuan per day [2]. Group 4: Fund Holdings - The current fund managers are Zhao Xu and Jiao Wenlong, both managing the fund since February 5, 2026, with a return of 1.12% during their tenure [3]. - Major holdings in the fund include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (14.55%), China Shenhua Energy (9.65%), and China Pacific Insurance (8.90%), among others, with significant market values [3].

Market Overview - On Thursday, the three major U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance, while the Hang Seng Index ADR rose, closing at 26,429.77 points, an increase of 48.75 points or 0.18% compared to the Hong Kong market close [1]. Company Performance - Major blue-chip stocks exhibited varied performance: HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 147.859, up 1.97% from the Hong Kong market close; Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 513.204, up 0.24% [3]. - Tencent Holdings reported a price of HKD 512.000, with a decline of 2.01%, while its ADR price was 513.204, reflecting a 0.24% increase [4]. - Alibaba Group's stock price was HKD 143.000, down 3.57%, with its ADR at 144.779, showing an increase of 1.779% [4]. - HSBC's stock price was HKD 145.000, up 1.61%, with its ADR at 147.859, reflecting a 1.97% increase [4]. - China Ping An's stock price decreased by 4.64% to HKD 67.850, while its ADR showed a slight increase of 0.49% [4]. - Meituan's stock price fell by 2.72% to HKD 80.450, with its ADR showing a minimal change of -0.03% [4].

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market indices experienced a decline in the afternoon, with the Hang Seng Tech Index falling by 0.19%, while the Hang Seng Index and the National Enterprises Index rose by 0.66% and 0.3% respectively, halting the previous day's significant drop [1] Sector Performance - Major technology stocks showed signs of recovery, with Meituan increasing by 1.6%, and Alibaba, Tencent, and JD.com also experiencing slight gains. Tencent hit a recent low during the previous trading session [1] - The real estate sector saw a boost following Shanghai's new housing policy "沪七条," which further relaxed housing purchase restrictions, leading to a rally in domestic property stocks. Notably, Chongqing Steel surged by 27% at one point, ultimately closing up by 8.7% [1] - The non-ferrous metal sector, including copper, aluminum, and gold stocks, was notably active, with Lingbao Gold reaching a historical high. Major players like WISCO Resources, China Aluminum, and China Hongqiao all saw significant increases [1] - The restaurant sector performed well during the Spring Festival, with Haidilao leading the gains among restaurant stocks [1] Weak Performers - Semiconductor storage concept stocks, which had led the market in the previous day, mostly retreated, with Langqi Technology dropping over 7% and Zhaoyi Innovation falling by 4.5% [1] - Other sectors such as paper, automotive dealerships, electric power, water utilities, and automotive stocks showed weak performance [1]