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每日报告精选(2026-02-24 09:00——2026-02-25 15:00)
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-25 10:30
Macro Insights - The report identifies three historical "great migrations" of Chinese household wealth, with the third migration starting in 2023, indicating a shift in asset allocation trends[3] - The first migration (1998-2018) saw a significant flow of deposits into real estate due to housing market reforms, establishing real estate as a core asset class[4] - The second migration (2018-2023) involved a return to deposits as real estate values declined and risk aversion increased among residents[5] - The third migration reflects a transition to a "deposit+" era, where residents are diversifying into financial products beyond traditional deposits due to lower interest rates and improved returns in bond and equity markets[6] Market Strategy - Foreign capital continues to flow into the market, with a net inflow of $3.7 million in foreign investment as of February 11, 2026, and a significant increase in public fund issuance, reaching 43.63 billion yuan[9] - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market decreased to 2.1 trillion yuan, while the proportion of stocks rising increased to 47.6%[8] - The ETF market experienced a net outflow of 44.18 billion yuan, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards active management strategies[9] Industry Trends - The pharmaceutical market for anticoagulants is projected to grow from $52.9 billion in 2023 to over $110 billion by 2033, driven by aging populations and increasing cardiovascular disease rates[13] - The heavy-duty truck market in China is expected to see sales of 760,000 units in 2026, a decrease of 5.3% year-on-year, while January 2026 saw a 46% increase in domestic heavy-duty truck sales compared to the previous year[16][17] - The aviation sector is experiencing a resurgence, with a 6% increase in passenger flow during the Spring Festival period, and ticket prices are expected to rise by 3-4% year-on-year due to increased demand[30][32]
大和:内地农历新年假期消费表现鼓舞 推荐古茗(01364)等
智通财经网· 2026-02-25 07:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the Lunar New Year holiday consumption performance is encouraging, with strong demand in the dining and tourism sectors [1] - The report suggests prioritizing stocks that benefit from dining and tourism demand, with top picks including Gu Ming (01364), Yum China (09987), Nongfu Spring (09633), Master Kong (00322), China Resources Beer (00291), and Kweichow Moutai (600519.SH) [1] - There are initial signs of re-inflation in the Chinese economy, primarily driven by service consumption, reflected in price increases and reduced promotional activities in dining, tourism, transportation, and accommodation [1] Group 2 - During the 2026 Lunar New Year period, dining sales outperformed market expectations, with average daily revenue growth of 8.6% in the first four days compared to a 4.1% increase in the same period of 2025 [1] - Since Yum China indicated signs of improving consumer confidence in November 2025, the pace of demand recovery has continued to accelerate [1] - The report continues to favor Gu Ming and Yum China as top picks in the dining sector, noting that if the recovery in dining expands, the recovery in alcohol consumption at dining venues may outperform market concerns [1]
大和:内地农历新年假期消费表现鼓舞 推荐古茗等
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 07:44
该行继续将古茗与百胜中国列为餐饮业首选股,并指出若餐饮复苏范围扩大,餐饮场所酒精消费复苏表 现可能优于市场所担忧。同时看好农夫山泉与康师傅,两者将成为强劲国内旅游需求的关键受益者。 报告指,注意到中国经济出现复通胀的初步迹象,主要由服务消费驱动,体现于餐饮、旅游、交通及住 宿领域的价格上涨与促销活动减少。2026年农历新年期间餐饮销售表现优于市场预期,节日首四日日均 营收同比增长8.6%,而2025年同期增幅仅为4.1%。自百胜中国2025年11月指出消费者信心初现改善迹 象以来,需求复苏步伐持续加快。 大和发布研报称,农历新年假期消费表现鼓舞,餐饮旅游需求强劲。建议优先配置餐饮旅游需求受惠 股,首选古茗(01364)、百胜中国(09987)、农夫山泉(09633)、康师傅控股(00322)、华润啤酒(00291)及贵 州茅台(600519)(600519.SH)。 ...
大行评级丨大和:农历新年假期消费表现鼓舞,首选古茗、百胜中国等
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-25 06:16
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the consumption performance during the Lunar New Year holiday is encouraging, with strong demand in the dining and tourism sectors [1] - The company recommends prioritizing stocks that benefit from dining and tourism demand, specifically highlighting Gu Ming, Yum China, Nongfu Spring, Master Kong, China Resources Beer, and Moutai as top picks [1] - The report continues to favor Gu Ming and Yum China as preferred stocks in the dining industry, suggesting that if the recovery in dining expands, the recovery in alcohol consumption at dining venues may outperform market concerns [1] Group 2 - The report is optimistic about Nongfu Spring and Master Kong, indicating that both will be key beneficiaries of strong domestic tourism demand [1]
紧盯产业堵点 精准建言资政
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 20:22
□本报记者 白丹 "新能源高质量发展的堵点,就是履职的发力点。"全国政协委员、华润(集团)有限公司环境健康和安 全部专家张利文的记事本上,密密麻麻记录着很多关于新能源产业转型的议题。多年来,她聚焦新能源 高质量发展与"双碳"战略落地,以精准提案、深度调研、务实建言,在能源绿色转型赛道上践行委员担 当。 回想起刚刚过去的2025年,张利文用"收获满满"四个字来总结。去年全国两会上,她提交的《关于健全 光伏组件残余寿命评估体系的提案》《关于加快建立工业领域碳排放双控新机制的提案》全部立案,并 得到了相关部门的回复。特别是聚焦光伏组件寿命评估的提案,延续了她深耕行业的专业建言脉络—— 此前她已连续两年围绕新能源回收利用建言献策。2023年《关于推动光伏产业实现绿色闭环的提案》被 列为全国政协重点提案;2024年《关于分类深入推进新能源产业再生资源回收利用体系建设的提案》, 促成《退役光伏组件梯次利用通用规范》等标准完善,三年三份提案形成了"要不要回收——怎么分类 回收——如何科学回收"的完整建言链条。 (来源:内蒙古日报) 转自:内蒙古日报 "每一次调研都是学习,每一份提案都是责任。"张利文表示,今年全国两会她将围 ...
春节动销渠道观察
2026-02-24 14:16
陈文博 中金公司食品饮料分析师: 位投资人,大家上午好。那也祝大家新年好,以及开工大吉。那今天上午,是中金组织的 大众食品的春节的情况跟踪电话会。我是中金的食品饮料组陈文博。那今天上午,我们请 到了两位综合的食品的专家与大家分享春节的情况。那第一位专家,主要负责华东、华中 以及华西地区的包括饮料,还有零食等大大的一些品类的运营。专家您好,能听到我说话 吗? 华东华中华西食品综合专家: 你好,可以,没问题。 陈文博 中金公司食品饮料分析师: 对,那我们就开始。那第一个,首先我想问问,就是您代理的这个品类也比较多,那想问 一下春节期间,比如说这个几个大的品类,像乳制品、饮料、零食、速冻。包括调味品, 这几个品类分别的增速情况,和景气度。然后就综合来看的话,有没有什么地方比咱们之 前预期的要好,或者是要差的? 华东华中华西食品综合专家: 我们先按照您刚才说的那个品类来说,我们今年的这个总体的品类分成像修石,修石我们 今年的整体性,春节的一二月份,这二月份我们是截止到 2 月 10 号左右。节前的这个数 据,那我们整体的出货比去年同期我们是增长了 10%左右,这所有的修饰,这里面主要是 以礼盒为主,这个品相。那从整个 ...
春节食品动销表现几何-后市如何看
2026-02-24 14:16
春节食品动销表现几何?后市如何看?20260223 摘要 春节期间,社会消费呈现强劲复苏态势,零售餐饮企业日均销售额同比 增长 8.6%,为主要长假中高增速水平。春运期间人员流动量显著增加, 节后流动量同比增速达 11.1%,途牛数据显示人均出游天数同比增加 1.1 天,达 5.9 天,反映消费意愿增强。 大众食品消费方面,企业库存清理完毕,渠道新鲜度高,经销商信心恢 复,备货充足。礼盒消费依然火热,但消费者更注重性价比,价格集中 在 50-100 元区间。下沉市场表现良好,价格折扣竞争减缓,零售终端 价格坚挺。 乳制品行业表现分化,华东和华中地区增长显著,常温液奶增长约 7%,伊利、蒙牛分别增长 8-9%和 5-6%,常温酸奶结束下跌态势,实 现正增长。华南地区表现偏弱,但渠道库存不高,高端品类保持增长, 君乐宝低温产品增速约 20%。 现制茶饮行业受益于暖冬天气和出行旺盛,同店 GMV 表现良好,蜜雪 冰城、古茗、瑞幸等品牌均有超过 10%的增长。堂食消费为主,加盟商 利润较高,外卖补贴压力有限,预计全年同店 GMV 将保持平稳。 Q&A 2026 年春节期间大众食品整体表现如何? 2026 年春节期间, ...
百威亚太CEO程衍俊上任首年业绩全线下滑? 他却获29.6万美元分红
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 13:00
近日,百威亚太披露2025年业绩,公告显示,公司2025年营收、利润、销量全线下滑,中国市场也继续 承压。 运营商财经网 周颖/文 具体来看,百威亚太2025年收入为57.64亿美元,约为人民币397.78亿元,同比减少6.1%,公司股权持 有人应占溢利由2024年的7.26亿美元下降至2025年的4.89亿美元,约合109.59亿元人民币,同比大幅下 降32.6%,创百威亚太上市以来的历史新低,总销量也同比减少了6.0%至796.58万千升。 运营商财经(官方微信公众号yyscjrd)—— 主流财经网站,一家全面覆盖科技、金融、证券、汽车、 房产、食品、医药、日化、酒业及其他各种消费品网站。 此外百威亚太还提到,其2026年在中国的首要任务是"重燃增长趋势,并重建市场份额的增长动能",看 来百威在中国市场的情况不容乐观。 而在2025年上半年,百威亚太营业收入同比下降7.74%至224.5亿元,就被华润啤酒以0.83%的增速和 239.4亿元的营收规模超越,失去了行业第一的宝座。截至目前,华润啤酒还未公布2025年全年业绩相 关情况,不知今年这行业第一的位置究竟花落谁家。 此外值得一提的是,在公布业绩的同时 ...
港股收盘 | 恒指收跌1.82% AI模型“双雄”逆市上涨 存储概念、油气股走强
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 08:47
北水恢复交易首日,港股三大指数集体走低,恒指再度失守两万七大关,恒科指数则跌超2%。截至收 盘,恒生指数跌1.82%或491.59点,报26590.32点,全日成交额2509.92亿港元;恒生国企指数跌2.06%, 报9007.86点;恒生科技指数跌2.13%,报5270.70点。 银河证券认为,科技板块仍是中长期投资主线,经历近期的回调后,估值压力下降,在AI大模型更新 加快、AI应用加速推进的背景下,相关板块有望反弹回升。此外,中东地缘风险升温、美国关税政策 调整推升避险情绪,贵金属、能源板块有望震荡上行;消费板块当前估值偏低,随着促消费政策加码, 消费活力逐步释放,板块仍具上涨空间。 蓝筹股表现 万洲国际(00288)领涨蓝筹。截至收盘,涨4.42%,报10.39港元,成交额3.26亿港元,贡献恒指5.87点。 瑞银发布研报称,展望未来,该行相信万洲国际正进入盈利波动性较低的阶段,受惠于美国生猪价格前 景更趋稳定,以及业务策略转向利润较高的包装肉制品,将提升盈利及股东回报的能见度。 其他蓝筹股方面,恒基地产(00012)涨2.08%,报35.32港元,贡献恒指1.69点;华润啤酒(00291)涨 2.0 ...
港股收盘(02.24) | 恒指收跌1.82% AI模型“双雄”逆市上涨 存储概念、油气股走强
智通财经网· 2026-02-24 08:43
Market Overview - On the first trading day after the resumption of Northbound trading, Hong Kong's three major indices collectively declined, with the Hang Seng Index falling below the 27,000 mark, closing down 1.82% or 491.59 points at 26,590.32 points, with a total turnover of HKD 250.99 billion [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index dropped 2.06% to 9,007.86 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 2.13% to 5,270.70 points [1] Sector Performance - The technology sector remains a long-term investment focus, with valuation pressure easing after recent pullbacks, and potential for rebound driven by accelerated AI model updates and applications [1] - The energy and precious metals sectors are expected to rise amid heightened geopolitical risks in the Middle East and adjustments in U.S. tariff policies [1] - The consumer sector, currently undervalued, is anticipated to have upward potential as consumption policies are strengthened [1] Blue-Chip Stocks - WH Group (00288) led blue-chip gains, rising 4.42% to HKD 10.39, contributing 5.87 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip performers included Henderson Land (00012) up 2.08% and China Resources Beer (00291) up 2.02% [2] - China Biologic Products (01177) fell 6.58%, negatively impacting the index by 7.48 points [2] Hot Sectors - Major tech stocks faced pressure, with Tencent down over 3% and Alibaba down over 2% [3] - Storage concepts saw significant gains, with Zhaoyi Innovation (03986) up 11.91% and Longsys Technology (06809) up 4.92% [3] - Oil and gas stocks rose amid concerns over escalating tensions in Iran, with Shandong Molong (00568) up 11.41% [4] AI and Technology - The AI sector continues to show promise, with significant growth in token usage, particularly in Chinese models, which account for 61% of the total token volume [5] - The market anticipates ongoing rapid growth in AI applications and commercial viability [5] Film Sector - The film sector faced challenges, with the 2026 Spring Festival box office down approximately 40% year-on-year, indicating a need for improved content quality [6] - Major film stocks like Maoyan Entertainment (01896) and Huayi Brothers (01003) saw declines of 8.18% and 5.26%, respectively [6] Notable Stock Movements - Kwan Hung Holdings (01888) surged 12.37% following a profit forecast indicating a 165% increase in net profit for the fiscal year ending December 2025 [7] - Weichai Power (02338) rose 7.29% after a report highlighted its emergency generator's use in a major data center [8] - China Shipbuilding Defense (00317) reached a new high, up 5.37%, following a significant shipbuilding contract announcement [9] - Standard Chartered (02888) saw a 3.07% increase after reporting a 6% rise in operating income for the fiscal year 2025 [10] - China Duty Free Group (01880) faced a 10.51% drop due to losing some operating rights at major airports [11]