每经AI快讯，2月6日，早盘AI应用端震荡下挫，遥望科技、浙文互联跌停，石基信息、光云科技、宣 亚国际、天下秀等纷纷跟跌。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

证券分析师 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 晨会纪要（2026/02/06） 市场处于震荡整固阶段，结构性行情将是重点——A 股市场 2026 年 2 月投资 策略报告 行业研究 关注年报业绩催化与创新药械产业链——医药生物行业 2 月投资策略展望 崔健 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2026.02.06） 宏观及策略研究 晨会纪要（2026/02/06） 宏观及策略研究 市场处于震荡整固阶段，结构性行情将是重点——A 股市场 2026 年 2 月投资策略报告 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 6 要 宋亦威（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150514080001） 云计算提价印证高景气，AI 应用迎来多点催化——计算机行业 2 月投资策略 展望 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 严佩佩（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150520110001） 靳沛芃（研究助理，SAC NO：S1150124030005） 1、宏观方面 2026 年年初，出口端在结构优化、产品竞争优势以及经贸环境改善的支撑下将 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the high demand for AI computing power, as evidenced by recent price increases in cloud services from major providers like Google and Amazon, indicating a robust market environment for AI applications [2][5][15] - The introduction of new AI models, such as DeepSeek V4, is expected to drive technological advancements in domestic AI capabilities, potentially leading to a new wave of innovation in the industry [5][46] - The report maintains a "neutral" rating for the computer industry while recommending an "overweight" position on Hongsoft Technology, indicating a cautious but optimistic outlook for select companies within the sector [6][48] Industry Data - In 2025, China's software industry reported a business revenue of 154,831 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.2%, while total profits reached 18,848 billion yuan, up 7.3% [3][24] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for the computer industry in December 2025 decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.7% year-on-year, indicating some pricing pressures in the sector [3][16] - The total export value of the software industry was 62.73 billion USD in 2025, marking a 7.7% increase compared to the previous year [24] Company Announcements - Zhisheng Information announced a significant contract worth 63.7183 million yuan for the supply of server and software integration services, which is expected to positively impact its market presence and performance [4][37] - Shiji Information signed a major service agreement with Okura Nikko Hotel, providing a new generation of cloud-based hotel management systems, which enhances its brand recognition in the high-end hotel sector [4][39] Market Review - From January 1 to January 31, the Shenwan Computer Industry Index rose by 6.94%, with most sub-sectors experiencing gains, particularly horizontal general software, which increased by 16.97% [4][40] - As of January 31, 2026, the price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) for the Shenwan Computer Industry was 219.14 times, with a valuation premium of 1515.01% compared to the CSI 300 index [41][43] Monthly Strategy - The report emphasizes the acceleration of AI application penetration and the importance of companies that demonstrate strong capabilities in AI technology implementation and scene adaptation [5][46][48] - The anticipated launch of DeepSeek V4 and the introduction of Google's Project Genie are expected to catalyze further advancements in AI applications, potentially leading to an earlier-than-expected commercialization turning point in the industry [5][46]

Group 1 - The China Securities Software Service Index decreased by 1.27% as of February 5, 2026, with mixed performance among constituent stocks, where Shiji Information led with a 3.07% increase, and Yuntian Lifeng experienced the largest decline [1] - The open-source AI agent Clawdbot (now OpenClaw) gained significant popularity, surpassing 136,000 stars on GitHub by February 1, 2026, making it one of the fastest-growing open-source projects of the year [1] - In 2025, global large model technology advanced significantly, achieving notable progress in reasoning, programming, agentic capabilities, and multimodal abilities, although challenges remain in stability and hallucination rates [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Software Service Index accounted for 60.27% of the index as of January 30, 2026, with notable companies including iFlytek, Kingsoft Office, and Tonghuashun [2] - The software ETF (159852) tracks the China Securities Software Service Index, serving as a convenient tool for investing in the computer software industry [2] - Investors can also access AI software investment opportunities through the software ETF linked fund (012620) [3]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference discusses the current state of the AI application and computer hardware industry, highlighting a divergence in stock prices due to performance differences and market concerns, such as AbbVie's market cap decline despite a 68% revenue growth and 82% adjusted net profit margin in Q3 2025 [1][3][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - AI applications are expected to see significant growth in 2026, termed the "year of AI applications and intelligent agents," driven by technological breakthroughs and the emergence of new applications like Claude Bot [2]. - Major companies like ByteDance, Alibaba, and Tencent are intensifying their investments in AI, leading to increased competition. ByteDance is leveraging its partnership with the Spring Festival, while Alibaba is integrating its ecosystem, and Tencent is focusing on talent acquisition [7][8]. - Domestic AI application companies face challenges from insufficient domestic demand and slowing growth in traditional businesses. For instance, Salesforce's stock price nearly halved, with Q3 revenue growth at only 8.3% [5]. Performance of Key Companies - Among 238 computer companies, 36% expect positive net profits, with over 60% anticipating profit growth. Leading firms like iFlytek and Deepin Technology are performing well, indicating a positive trend in the AI sector [6]. - Palantir reported Q4 revenue of $1.41 billion, a 70% year-over-year increase, but faced challenges with only 8% growth in overseas B-end revenue, leading to varied market expectations [4]. Emerging Trends and Investment Opportunities - Investors should focus on two main investment themes: clear and actionable super industry trends such as AI programming and personal intelligent assistants, and long-term collaboration opportunities within large tech company ecosystems [9]. - Companies like Zhuoyue Information and Zhiyu Technology are highlighted as core players in the AI programming sector, showing significant progress and growth potential [10]. Importance of Network Services - NetEase Technology's role in the AI era is emphasized due to its low latency, high interaction frequency, and massive data processing capabilities, which are crucial for AI applications [14]. - The demand for CDN services is expected to rise significantly, with projections indicating a "volume and price rise" scenario, making it an attractive investment opportunity [15][16]. Multi-modal Development - The development of multi-modal applications, such as AI short dramas and comics, is identified as a key growth area, with companies like Zhaochi and Wanxing Technology leading the charge [12]. Conclusion - The conference highlights the dynamic landscape of the AI and computer hardware industry, with significant opportunities for growth and investment, particularly in AI applications and network services, as major companies ramp up their efforts in this space.

Core Insights - The AI application sectors, including software, media, and fintech, are experiencing significant activity, with the CSI Software Service Index rising by 2.1% as of 13:50 on February 3rd [1] - Several domestic model manufacturers have updated their models, showcasing advancements in AI technology, with notable releases from companies like Kuaile AI, DeepSeek, Kimi, and Alibaba [1] - CITIC Securities reports that AI applications are showing structural highlights, particularly in fintech, healthcare, and data sectors, with overall profitability expected to improve significantly by 2026 [1] Group 1 - The CSI Software Service Index includes 30 stocks related to software development and services, covering various AI application scenarios such as AI + office, AI + finance, and AI + education [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index, including iFLYTEK, Kingsoft Office, and Tonghuashun, account for over 60% of the index, providing investors with a streamlined way to capture investment opportunities in the AI application field [1]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the AI industry, particularly focusing on major players like Tencent, Alibaba, and ByteDance, as well as emerging companies like DeepSeek. The context is centered around marketing strategies during the Chinese New Year and the impact of AI applications on consumer engagement. Key Points and Arguments - **Tencent's Yuanbao App**: - Yuanbao, a large model app under Tencent, achieved the top position in the iOS app store's free chart due to its special marketing activities during the Spring Festival, including "red envelope" giveaways and interactive features termed "AI family bucket" [1] - The success highlights the importance of traffic marketing in the current AI-to-consumer landscape [1] - **Alibaba's Initiatives**: - Alibaba plans to integrate its Qwen 3.5 app with Taobao and Fliggy, aiming to convert traffic into business decisions during the Spring Festival [1] - Qwen has previously targeted young and family demographics through sponsorships of events like Bilibili's New Year Gala and Jiangsu TV's Spring Festival Gala [1] - **ByteDance's Collaboration**: - ByteDance's Volcano Engine has become the exclusive AI cloud partner for the 2026 Central Radio and Television Station Spring Festival Gala, with its Doubao platform facilitating interactive features such as real-time voice bullet comments and AI-generated New Year paintings [2] - **DeepSeek's Upcoming Launch**: - DeepSeek is expected to release DeepSeek V4 around the Spring Festival, which will enhance capabilities, particularly in coding and multimodal functions, while reducing computational requirements [2] Additional Important Content - **Investment Recommendations**: - Suggested companies to watch include: - **DeepSeek-related**: Daily Interaction, Hangzhou Steel [3] - **Alibaba-related AI applications**: Hengsheng Electronics, Shiji Information, Langxin Group, Focus Media, Qianfang Technology [3] - **Alibaba-related computing**: Hongjing Technology, Hangzhou Steel, Dataport, Runjian Technology [3] - **AI healthcare applications**: Weining Health, Meinian Health, Sichuang Medical [3] - **ByteDance-related AI applications**: Hand Information, BlueFocus, Vision China, New Wisdom Software, Shengguang Shares, Tianyu Digital Science [3] - **ByteDance-related computing**: Cambrian, Dazhi Technology, Runze Technology, Century Interconnect [3]

Market Overview - The market experienced significant losses on the first trading day of February, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index closing down by 2.48%, 2.69%, and 2.46% respectively, with over 4,600 stocks declining and trading volume shrinking to 2.6 trillion yuan [4][3]. Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector faced a collective downturn, with major stocks like Tongling Nonferrous Metals and Huayou Cobalt hitting the daily limit down, reflecting a broader trend of heavy losses across various non-ferrous commodities [5][15]. - The precious metals market saw silver prices drop significantly, with a decline of over 25% in New York silver futures, indicating a severe sell-off triggered by market dynamics [9][10]. Specific Stock Movements - Wenta Technology faced a dramatic decline, with its net profit projected to drop by 376.52% to 217.68%, leading to a trading halt at the daily limit down. This was attributed to asset impairment related to disputes with Anshi Semiconductor [31]. ETF Market - The ETF market also reflected the bearish sentiment, with major ETFs like the SSE 50 ETF and CSI 500 ETF experiencing sharp declines, particularly the CSI 500 which saw a drop of 6.5% in the afternoon session [27].

金价继续跳水：部分银行实物金条库存悄然松动 投资情绪降温 黄金、白银价格继续剧烈波动，随着黄金、白银价格持续大幅下挫，人们投资实物黄金的热情有所松 动，部分投资者选择观望，此前日日被抢断货的银行金条也出现了库存，部分银行的实物金条甚至显示 为"库存充足"状态。业内普遍认为，本次黄金"巨震"，直接原因或是美国总统特朗普提名凯文·沃什为 新任美联储主席，导致"独立性危机"担忧降温，美元反弹。（一财） 黄金一度暴跌1000美元 业内提示警惕抄底风险 黄金大幅下跌，伦敦现货金距离1月29日高点跌幅一度超过1000美元/盎司。业内人士认为，黄金短期内 将会大幅震荡，建议投资者先不要急于抄底，等市场波动幅度降低后，黄金ETF等产品将会比金矿股更 加稳健，目前看黄金中长期的投资逻辑依然维持，但也要关注美联储主席换人之后，如何配合总统特朗 普的政策变化。光大证券国际策略师伍礼贤表示，黄金本质上属于避险资产，然而任何资产价格出现大 幅波动时，其风险属性将随之显现，在经历近期急剧下跌行情后，预计短期价格波动或将延续。此次回 落的重要支撑位置大致位于4300美元/盎司至4500美元/盎司区间，投资者当前不宜急于抄底。（一财） 招商 ...

Group 1 - Far East Holdings announced that its subsidiary won a contract order worth 3.075 billion yuan, including contracts for green building cables and smart manufacturing cables [1] - Yifan Pharmaceutical received a drug registration certificate for Vitamin K1 injection, which is used to treat vitamin K deficiency-related bleeding [2] - Guangdong Electric Power A's Maoming Bohua Power Plant's Unit 4 has successfully commenced commercial operation, with a total investment of 7.484 billion yuan and an expected annual power generation of 8.6 billion kWh [4] Group 2 - Longfly Fiber reported that the global fiber optic cable industry market environment is normal, with product price fluctuations needing comprehensive assessment [25] - Shanghai Yizhong's net profit for 2025 increased by 819.42%, with total revenue of 317 million yuan, a growth of 82.72% [22] - Guizhou Power's subsidiary received a government subsidy of 200 million yuan [8] Group 3 - Zhongxing Communications plans to invest 117 million yuan in the Jianxing Zhanlu Fund, which focuses on new information technology and advanced manufacturing [10] - Suwen Electric Power's subsidiary established a joint investment fund with a total commitment of 68.5 million yuan, with Suwen contributing 5 million yuan [26] - ST Kaiyuan announced that its stock may face delisting risk due to expected negative net assets for 2025 [27]