Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the overall market conditions in China, focusing on the capital market, economic structure changes, and specific industries such as real estate, energy, and chemicals. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Market Stability and Bullish Outlook** The domestic economic structure is positively changing, with a decrease in risk-free interest rates driving capital into the market, stabilizing the capital market. The short-term bullish logic remains unchanged, and the mid-term outlook is still positive [1][3][5]. 2. **Risks to the Bull Market** Major risks include regulatory tightening and tensions in US-China relations. However, the current regulatory approach is focused on risk prevention, and no significant risks from US-China relations have been observed, making the overall risk manageable in the short term [4][5]. 3. **Market Adjustment Reasons** Recent market adjustments were primarily due to weak narratives around rising stocks, with profit effects narrowing to specific sectors like AI computing. This extreme concentration in a few stocks necessitates a structural adjustment in trading [6]. 4. **Investment Directions** Suggested investment areas include: - **Anti-involution related industries**: Such as photovoltaic, chemicals, and petrochemicals, which are expected to benefit from policy support and capacity clearing [7]. - **Growth opportunities**: Focus on sectors like AI and innovative pharmaceuticals, which have strong industry trends [7]. - **Hong Kong stock opportunities**: Benefiting from the improvement in domestic fundamentals [7]. 5. **Impact of US Tariff Exemptions on Strategic Metals** The US has exempted certain strategic metals from tariffs, highlighting their importance in technology and defense. China, being a major producer of antimony and molybdenum, is expected to see price increases due to supply-demand imbalances [10][11]. 6. **OPEC+ Production Increase** OPEC+ has agreed to increase production in October 2025, indicating a shift from price maintenance to market share preservation. This is expected to lead to a gradual loosening of global oil supply-demand balance, with Brent crude prices potentially dropping below $60 [12][13]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Real Estate Market Recovery** Recent policies in Shenzhen, such as lifting purchase restrictions, are expected to improve market conditions, similar to previous experiences in Shanghai and Beijing [2][29]. 2. **Chemical Industry Recovery** The chemical industry is showing signs of recovery due to supply-side reforms and seasonal demand increases, particularly during the "Golden September and Silver October" period [14][15]. 3. **Coal Market Dynamics** The coal market is experiencing a price decline after reaching a peak, with expectations of a bottom around 650 RMB. Government policies are aimed at stabilizing prices and reducing overproduction [20][21]. 4. **Steel Industry Challenges** The steel industry is facing self-imposed production cuts and regulatory measures aimed at reducing overproduction. However, demand is expected to improve as the market transitions from off-peak to peak seasons [24][25]. 5. **Future of Energy Sector** The energy sector, particularly coal and storage, is expected to see gradual growth in the coming years, driven by changing supply-demand dynamics and policy support [46][47]. 6. **Aviation and Shipping Industries** The aviation sector is projected to achieve significant profitability in the upcoming peak season, while the shipping industry is expected to benefit from increased demand due to OPEC+ production adjustments [35][38]. 7. **Regulatory Environment for Express Delivery** Recent price increases in the express delivery sector are expected to alleviate competitive pressures, with a focus on maintaining profitability as the e-commerce peak season approaches [39]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into market trends, risks, and investment opportunities across various sectors.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the steel industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The steel industry is currently experiencing a dual weakness in supply and demand, primarily due to production restrictions in Hebei, leading to a supply contraction while market demand remains insufficient [3][4] - The steel price is expected to initially decline before rising, influenced by the recovery of demand and supply adjustments post the "9.3" military parade [8][9] - The "anti-involution" policy is anticipated to optimize the supply structure and improve the industry's long-term outlook, providing a policy support base for the sector [4][9] Industry Data Summary Production Data - As of September 5, the average daily pig iron output from 247 steel enterprises was 2.2884 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 11.29% [8] - The capacity utilization rate of blast furnaces was 85.79%, down 4.23 percentage points week-on-week [8] Consumption Data - The total consumption of the five major steel products was 8.2783 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 299,400 tons [8] - The apparent consumption of rebar, wire rod, hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and medium plate showed respective week-on-week changes of -21,400 tons, -30,300 tons, -153,600 tons, -14,300 tons, and -79,800 tons [8] Inventory Situation - The total steel inventory reached 15.007 million tons, an increase of 328,200 tons week-on-week [8] - Social inventory rose by 313,000 tons to 10.7768 million tons, while steel mill inventory increased by 15,200 tons to 4.2302 million tons [8] Profitability - As of September 5, the gross profit per ton for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel was -6 yuan, +34 yuan, and -30 yuan respectively, with week-on-week changes of -39 yuan, -32 yuan, and -21 yuan [8] - 61.04% of the sampled steel enterprises were profitable, a decrease of 2.6 percentage points week-on-week [8] Price Trends - As of September 1, the prices for five major steel products were as follows: rebar at 3,282 yuan/ton, wire rod at 3,597 yuan/ton, hot-rolled at 3,399 yuan/ton, cold-rolled at 3,889 yuan/ton, and medium plate at 3,498 yuan/ton, with respective week-on-week changes of -1.17%, -1.02%, -0.69%, -0.45%, and -0.70% [8][16]

Market Performance - On September 5, the general steel sector rose by 0.55% compared to the previous trading day, with Benxi Steel leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3812.51, up 1.24%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12590.56, up 3.89% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Benxi Steel (000761) closed at 3.68, up 2.51% with a trading volume of 189,800 shares and a transaction value of 69.31 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include: - Hualing Steel (000932) at 5.90, up 1.90% with a trading volume of 744,000 shares [1] - Liugang (601003) at 5.62, up 1.81% with a trading volume of 258,500 shares [1] - Sijiang Steel (600808) at 3.58, up 1.70% with a trading volume of 724,300 shares [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The steel sector experienced a net outflow of 83.49 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 191 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks shows: - New Steel (600782) had a net inflow of 23.35 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Hebei Steel (000709) had a net inflow of 22.33 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Chongqing Steel (601005) had a net inflow of 22.06 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The steel industry has achieved profit margin improvement through self-discipline and cost control in the context of "anti-involution," with expectations for increased industry concentration in the future [1]. Industry Summary - The steel industry is experiencing a shift towards self-discipline and cost management, leading to profitability recovery, which is recognized as a consensus across various sectors including photovoltaic, lithium battery, and automotive industries [1]. Company Summaries - Baosteel's semi-annual report shows a revenue of 151.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.3%, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 4.88 billion yuan, an increase of 7.4%. Operating cash flow surged by 190% to 16.647 billion yuan, maintaining strong profitability and industry leadership [1]. - Baosteel's chairman emphasized a focus on mid-to-high-end products, which are expected to perform better in the market regardless of trade and tariff barriers [1]. - New Steel's semi-annual revenue was 17.512 billion yuan, down 18.33% year-on-year, but it achieved a net profit of 111 million yuan, marking a turnaround. The company has formed a special task force to enhance sales of high-end products, with significant increases in sales of hot-rolled high-end products by 97.6% and over 20% for premium steel and silicon steel [1].

Group 1 - The steel industry demand is expected to gradually bottom out, with signs of market clearing on the supply side, leading to a potential recovery in the industry's fundamentals [1][3] - Last week, the apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.5777 million tons, an increase of 47,800 tons week-on-week, while total inventory reached 14.6788 million tons, up 268,400 tons [1] - The operating rate of blast furnaces among 247 steel mills was 83.2%, a decrease of 0.16 percentage points week-on-week, indicating a slight reduction in production activity [1][2] Group 2 - The average gross profit for rebar was 231.5 CNY/ton, down 12.2 CNY/ton week-on-week, reflecting a decline in profitability across the sector [2] - The steel industry has been experiencing losses since Q3 2022, with over 30% of steel companies still in the red, but market-driven supply adjustments are beginning to take effect [3] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is expected to introduce policies aimed at structural adjustments and the elimination of outdated production capacity, which could accelerate supply contraction [3] Group 3 - Long-term trends indicate an increase in industry concentration and a shift towards high-quality development, benefiting companies with product and cost advantages [4] - Recommended companies include Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Shougang, which are noted for their technological and product structure leadership [4] - The report highlights the potential for upstream resource companies to benefit from demand recovery, recommending firms such as Hebei Resources and Erdos [4]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown strong performance, leading to significant revenue and profit growth for listed securities firms in the first half of the year, primarily driven by proprietary trading income. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, 42 listed securities firms achieved a total operating income of 251.87 billion yuan and a net profit of 104.02 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 11.37% and 65.08% respectively [1] - Proprietary trading contributed significantly, with total proprietary income reaching 112.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 53.53%, accounting for over 40% of total revenue [1][2] - Among these firms, CITIC Securities was the only one to exceed 10 billion yuan in proprietary income, achieving 19.05 billion yuan, which constituted approximately 57% of its total revenue [2] Group 2: Major Shareholdings - As of the end of June, the top three heavily held stocks by securities firms were Jiangsu Bank, Yong'an Futures, and CITIC Construction Investment, with holdings of 923 million shares, 439 million shares, and 383 million shares respectively [5] - The market value of these holdings was approximately 11.03 billion yuan for Jiangsu Bank, 6.51 billion yuan for Yong'an Futures, and 9.21 billion yuan for CITIC Construction Investment [5] - Other notable stocks included Sinopec, Shanghai Laishi, and Yuheng Pharmaceutical, with significant holdings by various securities firms [5] Group 3: Changes in Holdings - In the second quarter, securities firms significantly increased their positions in stocks such as Sichuan Chengyu, Hongchuang Holdings, and Yuntianhua, with increases of 9.89 million shares, 5.76 million shares, and 5 million shares respectively [6] - Conversely, stocks like Huangshi Group, Shanghai Mechanical, and Northeast Securities saw substantial reductions in holdings, with Huangshi Group experiencing a decrease of over 14 million shares [7][8] - Regulatory issues led to a sharp decline in holdings for certain stocks, with securities firms reducing their positions in Huangshi Group following investigations and penalties [8][9]

1 会议须知 为维护股东的合法权益，确保本次股东大会的正常秩序，根据公司章 程和股东大会议事规则的有关规定，特制定本须知。 一、股东大会会议具体程序方面的事宜由公司董秘室负责。 二、出席本次大会的对象为股权登记日（2025 年 9 月 3 日）在册的 股东；现场登记时间为 2025 年 9 月 5 日。 三、出席会议的股东或股东代理人请于会议开始前半个小时内到达会 议地点，并携带本人有效身份证件、股票账户卡、授权委托书等原件，以 便验证入场。 新余钢铁股份有限公司 2025 年第三次临时股东大会 会议资料 二〇二五年九月 四、股东参加股东大会应遵循本次大会议事规则，共同维护大会秩序， 依法享有发言权、质询权、表决权等各项权利。 五、本次股东大会安排股东发言时间不超过一小时，股东在大会上要 求发言，需向大会秘书处(董秘室)登记。发言顺序根据持股数量的多少和 登记次序确定。发言内容应围绕大会的主要议案。每位股东的发言时间不 超过五分钟。 本次股东大会采取现场投票与网络投票相结合的方式。股东以其所持 有的有表决权的股份数额行使表决权。对于非累积投票议案，股东每一股 份享有一票表决权，出席现场会议的股东在投票表决时， ...

废钢早报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/09/02 钢厂废钢库存 ◆ 2022 ↓ 2023 ↓ 2024 ↓ 2025 04 短流程日耗 ● 2022 ● 2023 ● 2024 ● 2025 唱启剧H lle 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月11月12月 张家港废钢到货 體常原因 ● 2022 ● 2023 ● 2024 ● 2025 tial 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 ● 2022 ● 2023 ● 2024 ● 2025 4,200元/吨 3,900 3,600 3,300 3,000 2,700 2,400 2,100 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月11月12月 镇江鸿泰剪切料价格 (不含税) ● 2022 ↓ 2023 ↓ 2024 ↓ 2025 3,600元/吨 3,300 3,000 2,700 2,400 2,100 1,800 品周H 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月11月12月 长流程日耗 ◆ 2022 ↓ 2023 ↓ 2024 ● 2025 nd 18 16 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights a decline in the export value of China's black metal smelting and rolling industry, indicating potential challenges for companies in this sector [1]. Industry Summary - In July 2025, the export value of China's black metal smelting and rolling industry was 15.98 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.2% [1]. - From January to July 2025, the cumulative export value reached 116.06 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1.3% [1]. - The report provides a comprehensive market survey and investment outlook for the black metal mining and selection industry in China from 2025 to 2031 [1]. Company Summary - Listed companies mentioned include CITIC Special Steel, Hebei Steel, Zhongnan Co., Benxi Steel, Sansteel Minguang, Jiuli Special Materials, Jinzhu Pipeline, Changbao Co., Shengde Xintai, Anyang Steel, Bayi Steel, New Steel, and Maanshan Steel [1].

Core Viewpoint - The steel industry is rated as "overweight" by Guotai Junan, with expectations of faster supply contraction and industry progress if supply policies are implemented [1]. Demand and Supply Analysis - Demand for steel has increased, with apparent consumption of five major steel products reaching 8.5777 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 4.78 thousand tons. Inventory levels remain low at 14.6788 million tons, despite a week-on-week increase of 26.84 thousand tons [1]. - The operating rate of blast furnaces in 247 steel mills is at 83.2%, a slight decrease of 0.16 percentage points week-on-week, indicating a potential shift in demand as the season changes [1]. - The construction sector's demand for steel is expected to stabilize, while demand from infrastructure and manufacturing is anticipated to grow steadily [3]. Profitability Trends - The average gross profit for rebar has decreased to 231.5 CNY/ton, down 12.2 CNY/ton week-on-week, while hot-rolled coil gross profit has dropped to 171.5 CNY/ton, a decrease of 30.2 CNY/ton [2]. - The profitability rate of 247 steel companies is at 63.64%, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 1.3% [2]. Supply Outlook - The steel industry has been experiencing losses since Q3 2022, with over 30% of steel companies still in the red. However, market-driven supply adjustments are beginning to emerge [3]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is expected to release a plan to stabilize growth in key industries, which may accelerate supply contraction in the steel sector [3]. Recommendations - Companies with leading technology and product structures such as Baosteel, and those with continuous product upgrades like Hualing Steel and Shougang, are recommended. Low-cost and flexible steel companies such as Fangda Special Steel and New Steel are also highlighted [4]. - Companies with low valuations and high dividends, such as CITIC Special Steel and Yongjin Co., are noted for their competitive advantages [4]. - Upstream resource companies with long-term advantages, including Hebei Steel Resources and Erdos, are recommended due to the anticipated recovery in demand [4].