【导读】纳斯达克指数近乎跌去年内涨幅 隔夜美股，受软件股抛售潮和美伊对峙升温影响，大型科技股走弱，三大指数全线走低。 纳斯达克指数近乎跌去年内涨幅 美东时间2月3日（周二），美股高开低走。受软件股抛售和地缘政治影响，三大指数全线走低。纳斯达克指数盘中跌幅达2.39%，美股科技巨头走弱。 截至收盘，标普500指数跌0.84%，报6917.81点；纳斯达克综合指数跌1.43%，报23255.19点；道琼斯工业平均指数跌0.34%，报49240.99点。纳斯达克指数 近乎跌去年内涨幅。 美股科技七巨头中，仅微软收涨，英伟达、脸书、亚马逊跌幅均超过2%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | | 涨跌幅 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯工业平均 | 49240.99c | -166.67 | | -0.34% | 2.45% | | 纳斯达克指数 | 23255.19c | -336.92 | | -1.43% | 0.06% | | 标普500 | 6917.81c | -58.63 | | -0.84% | 1.06% | | 名称 | 现价 | ...

当地时间2月3日，美国股市三大股指全线收跌。 当地时间2月3日，美国股市三大股指全线收跌，其中道琼斯工业指数跌0.34%，报49240.99点，标准普尔500指数跌0.84%，报6917.81点，纳斯达克指数重 挫1.43%，报23255.19点。 美股市场大型科技股多数下跌，其中微软、英伟达跌近3%，Meta跌超2%，亚马逊跌近2%，谷歌跌超1%，苹果跌幅不足1%。特斯拉股价则小幅上涨，涨 幅不足1%。 能源股全线上涨，埃克森美孚涨近4%，康菲石油、斯伦贝谢、西方石油涨逾3%，雪佛龙涨超2%。 航空股集体上涨，西南航空、美联航涨逾3%，美国航空涨超2%，达美航空涨近2%。 芯片股多数下跌，费城半导体指数跌2.07%，恩智浦半导体、美光科技跌逾4%，迈威尔科技、科天半导体跌近4%，高通、博通跌超3%，微芯科技跌近 2%。闪迪则再度大涨，收盘涨幅超过4%。 美股贵金属概念股表现强劲，盎格鲁黄金涨超6%，泛美白银、金罗斯黄金涨超5%，科尔黛伦矿业涨逾4%，巴里克黄金涨超2 %。 贵金属期货大幅反弹， COMEX黄金期货收涨6.83%，报4970.5美元/盎司；COMEX白银期货收涨10.27%，报84.915美元 ...

来源：@究竟视频微博 【#英伟达微软跌超2.8%#，沃尔玛市值破1万亿美元，#金银价格强劲反弹#】*纳指几乎回吐年内涨幅 *避险需求回流，国债收益率回落，金银强劲反弹 大型科技股普遍承压。英伟达收跌2.84%，连续第三个交易日回落。微软下跌2.87%，特斯拉基本持 平、微涨0.04%，苹果回落0.20%。AlphabetA类股下跌1.16%，C类股跌1.22%；亚马逊下挫1.79%，博通 跌幅达3.26%，超威半导体下跌1.69%，Meta Platforms下滑2.08%。 沃尔玛上涨逾2%，受数字业务增长和新客户获取带动，公司市值首次突破1万亿美元。 大宗商品市场方面，金银价格在连续两个交易日大幅下跌后强劲反弹。现货黄金在纽约尾盘上涨 5.2%，报每盎司4906.82美元，自周一低点4403.24美元显著回升，但仍低于上周创下的5594.82美元历史 高位。4月交割的纽约黄金期货上涨6.1%，结算价报4935美元。现货白银上涨4.8%，报每盎司83.23美 元。 *AI竞争冲击估值，软件与数据分析板块承压 美国股市周二下跌，科技股抛售拖累标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数明显走低，投资者对人工智能相 关投入 ...

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a decline, primarily driven by a sell-off in technology stocks, leading to significant drops in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indices. Investors are becoming increasingly cautious about the returns on investments related to artificial intelligence, with software and data analytics sectors being particularly hard hit [1] - The S&P 500 technology sector fell over 2%, marking it as the worst-performing sector among the 11 major sectors. The S&P 500 software and services index has seen a continuous decline for five consecutive days, with a total drop of 12.8%, the largest five-day decline since March 2020 [7] Performance of Major Stocks - Major tech stocks faced pressure, with Nvidia down 2.84%, Microsoft down 2.87%, and Alphabet's Class A and C shares down 1.16% and 1.22%, respectively. Amazon fell 1.79%, and Broadcom dropped 3.26% [3][6] - Walmart's stock rose over 2%, driven by growth in digital business and new customer acquisition, marking its market capitalization surpassing $1 trillion for the first time [4] - PepsiCo's stock increased by 4% following strong earnings driven by improved organic sales [5] AI Investment Sentiment - Market tolerance for AI investments is declining, with investors increasingly demanding proof of profitability to justify substantial capital expenditures. This shift is evident in the contrasting stock performances of Microsoft and Meta, reflecting a growing distinction in market expectations regarding high investment for high growth [7] - Concerns are rising about intensified competition and disruptions in business models within the legal, data analytics, and professional services sectors due to AI developments, leading to significant stock declines for companies like RELX and Wolters Kluwer [7] Bond Market Activity - Amid the stock market pressure, U.S. Treasury bonds saw increased demand for safety, with the two-year Treasury yield falling by 0.2 basis points to 3.568% and the ten-year yield dropping by 1 basis point to 4.268% [9] - The yield spread between the two-year and ten-year Treasuries narrowed slightly to 69.5 basis points, indicating a shift in market dynamics [9] Commodity Market Performance - Gold and silver prices rebounded strongly after two days of significant declines, with spot gold rising 5.2% to $4,906.82 per ounce, while silver increased by 4.8% to $83.23 per ounce [10] - Oil prices also saw a slight rebound, with WTI crude oil futures rising by 1.72% to $63.21 per barrel, as the market weighs global supply prospects and easing tensions between the U.S. and Iran [10]

热门科技股普跌，博通跌超3%，微软、Meta跌超2%。 英伟达盘中一度跌超5%，截至收盘跌2.84%，市值一夜蒸发1281亿美元（约合人民币8888亿元）。 | 英伟达 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | NVDA US 空 | | | | | 186.200 昨收 185.610 量比 180.340 | | 1.25 | | | 176.230 市值 4.38万亿 换 | | 0.87% | | | -5.270 -2.84% # 186.240 | 市盈™ 44.18 额 363.92亿 | | | | 异动解读： OpenAI不满芯片+投资谈判拖延+ ... ● × | | | 同在版 | | 盘后 179.300 - - 1.040 -0.58% ⊙ 16:31 美东时间 | | | | | 盘中 · 日K 周K 月K 五日 更多▼ | | | | | 时间05:00 均价:180.130 最新180.340 涨幅-2.839% | | | | | +5.05% 卖价 | | | 194.990 | | 买价 | | | | | 04:59 180.380 | | ...

Group 1 - The U.S. stock market experienced a collective decline, with the Dow Jones down 0.34%, Nasdaq down 1.43%, and S&P 500 down 0.83%, indicating a bearish sentiment in the tech sector as major companies like Broadcom, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Meta saw significant drops [3] - International oil prices rose, with WTI crude oil increasing by 3.12% to $64.08 per barrel and Brent crude oil up by 2.88% to $68.21 per barrel, reflecting a positive trend in the energy sector [4] - European stock indices closed slightly lower, with Germany's DAX down 0.07%, France's CAC40 down 0.02%, and the UK's FTSE 100 down 0.26%, indicating a cautious market environment in Europe [5] Group 2 - The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China released a document focusing on agricultural modernization and rural revitalization, emphasizing the need for technological innovation in agriculture and the development of key agricultural technologies [6] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China highlighted the importance of advancing in fields such as 6G, quantum technology, and bio-manufacturing, aiming for breakthroughs in these future industries [9] - The People's Bank of China announced an operation to conduct 800 billion yuan of reverse repos to maintain liquidity in the banking system, indicating a proactive monetary policy stance [10] Group 3 - The recent news regarding the "couple's online purchase of contaminated vegetables" led to legal actions against the individuals involved for extortion, showcasing the legal implications of consumer safety issues [11] - The incident at Lingyin Temple, where 380,000 reservations were made but many did not show up, prompted a review of the reservation system to improve attendance and manage visitor expectations [12] - Reports of potential increases in VAT rates for the gaming and financial sectors were dismissed by experts, reinforcing the stability of current tax policies in these industries [13] Group 4 - The announcement of a large-scale robot gala by Zhiyuan Robotics, set to be broadcasted globally, signifies a growing interest in integrating robotics with entertainment, potentially influencing the tech and entertainment sectors [21] - The response from Chaozhou Jewelry regarding quality concerns over their products, backed by authoritative testing, aims to maintain brand reputation and consumer trust [23] - Tencent's revival of the classic QQ Farm game is expected to enhance user engagement and interaction, reflecting a trend in leveraging nostalgia in gaming [24]

Core Viewpoint - The launch of a new automation tool by AI startup Anthropic has triggered a panic sell-off in software stocks, leading to significant declines in major U.S. stock indices, particularly affecting the software sector [1][3]. Group 1: Market Reaction - The S&P 500 index fell over 1.6% at one point, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped approximately 2.4%, breaking the previous day's rebound momentum [1]. - Legal software and data service companies were hit hardest, with Thomson Reuters (TRI) experiencing a drop of 20.7% and Legalzoom.com (LZ) also falling over 20% [1]. - The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) hit a new low, declining 5.6% on the day and marking a cumulative drop of over 14% over six consecutive trading days [3]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment - Investors are increasingly concerned that software companies' core businesses may be threatened by AI technologies, as highlighted by Morgan Stanley analysts who noted intensified competition in the legal sector due to Anthropic's new features [3][6]. - The panic has spread to Business Development Companies (BDCs) that hold significant exposure to the software industry, leading to declines in their stock prices [3]. - The overall sentiment has shifted from cautious to apocalyptic regarding software stocks, with Jefferies traders coining the term "SaaSpocalypse" to describe the situation [5]. Group 3: Financial Performance - During the current earnings season, only 71% of S&P 500 software companies reported quarterly revenues exceeding Wall Street expectations, compared to 85% for the overall tech sector [5][9]. - Despite a strong earnings report from Microsoft, concerns over slowing cloud sales growth led to a 10% drop in its stock price, reflecting broader industry challenges [8]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Anthropic's unique position as a developer of customizable AI models for the legal industry has raised market concerns, as it poses a threat to traditional legal news and data services [7]. - Other companies, such as Legora and Harvey AI, have also been developing tools for the legal sector, but Anthropic's capabilities may disrupt their business models [7]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that 2023 will be a pivotal year for determining which companies will emerge as winners or losers in the AI landscape, emphasizing the importance of avoiding potential losers [5][7]. - The software sector is currently viewed as oversold, with some analysts predicting that it may rebound, although establishing a new foundation may take time [11].

Group 1 - The US stock market closed with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.3%, the S&P 500 down 0.8%, and the Nasdaq down 1.4% [1] - Notable declines included Nvidia (NVDA.O) down 2.8%, PayPal (PYPL.O) down 20.3%, Oracle (ORCL.N) down over 3%, and Microsoft (MSFT.O) down nearly 3% [1] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell 0.9%, with Alibaba (BABA.N) down 2.8% [1]

记者丨张嘉钰 吴斌 编辑丨黎雨桐 2月3日，美股开盘涨跌不一，截至23:37，道指涨0.05%，标普500指数跌0.56%，纳指小幅高开后转跌超 1%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯工业平均 | 49431.43 | 23.77 | 0.05% | 2.85% | | 纳斯达克指数 | 23310.90 | -281.21 | -1.19% | 0.30% | | 标普500 | 6937.33 | -39.11 | -0.56% | 1.34% | | 纳斯达克100 | 25409.34 | -329.27 | -1.28% | 0.63% | | 万得美国科技七巨头指数 | 65331.94 | -1004.40 | -1.51% | -1.42% | | 万得中概科技龙头指数 | 4224.14 | -88.50 | -2.05% | -1.29% | | 纳斯达克中国金龙指数 | 7628.12 | -53.75 | -0.70% | 1.31% | 科技股多数下挫，美股科技七巨头全员飘绿，英伟 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the industry, indicating an expected performance exceeding 10% relative to the market index [12]. Core Insights - Microsoft reported Q2 FY2026 revenue of $81.273 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.6%. The operating profit was $38.275 billion, up 20.9% year-on-year, with an operating margin of 47.1% [5][6]. - The growth was primarily driven by the Intelligent Cloud segment, which generated $32.907 billion in revenue, reflecting a 28.9% year-on-year increase. However, growth in this segment showed signs of slowing, with guidance for the next quarter reduced to 37%-38% [6][9]. - The Productivity and Business Processes segment also contributed, with revenue of $34.116 billion, a 15.9% year-on-year increase, indicating strong user engagement in Microsoft 365 products [6]. Revenue and Profit Performance - The revenue growth was supported by an increase in global paid users and higher unit pricing, particularly in the Intelligent Cloud business [5]. - Net profit reached $38.458 billion, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 59.5%, with diluted earnings per share at $5.16, up 59.8% [5]. Business Segment Analysis - The report highlights a shift in Microsoft's business structure towards cloud and AI services, with the More Personal Computing segment experiencing relative growth pressure [6][7]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its competitive edge through increased R&D spending, which reached $8.504 billion, a 7.4% year-on-year increase, primarily directed towards AI and cloud infrastructure [7]. Cash Flow and Capital Expenditure - Despite a strong operating cash flow of $35.758 billion, free cash flow decreased to $5.88 billion, down 77.1% quarter-on-quarter, indicating pressure from high capital expenditures related to AI and cloud infrastructure [8]. - The report notes that Microsoft is in a capital-intensive phase, investing heavily in data centers and server capacity, which may impact short-term cash flow but is aimed at securing long-term growth [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that while Microsoft maintains robust revenue and profit growth driven by its core segments, the current high investment phase in AI infrastructure may pressure short-term profitability and cash flow [9]. - Investors are advised to monitor the return on AI capital expenditures and the effectiveness of collaborations with OpenAI [10].