| 证券代码：300454 | 证券简称：深信服 | 公告编号：2025-070 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：123210 | 债券简称：信服转债 | | （1）自可能对本公司证券及其衍生品种交易价格产生重大影响的重大事项 发生之日或者在决策过程中，至依法披露之日内； 深信服科技股份有限公司 关于回购股份进展情况的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 深信服科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 1 月 15 日召开第 三届董事会第二十六次会议，审议通过了《关于回购公司股份方案的议案》，同 意公司使用自有资金以集中竞价交易方式回购公司部分社会公众股份（以下简称 "本次回购"），用于实施员工持股计划或股权激励计划。本次回购的资金总额 不低于人民币 1 亿元且不超过人民币 2 亿元（均含本数），回购价格不超过人民 币 80 元/股（含本数），具体回购股份的数量及占公司总股本的比例以回购期届 满或回购完毕时公司实际回购的股份数量和占公司届时总股本的比例为准。本次 回购实施期限为自公司董事会审议通过本次回购股 ...

Group 1 - The AI sector is experiencing a rebound, with specific subfields like AI in pharmaceuticals, humanoid robots, and intelligent driving showing potential for significant gains if unexpected industry events occur [1] - The computer sector is seeing a recovery in revenue growth, with many companies implementing cost-cutting strategies that have led to improved profit margins, particularly among software firms like Kingsoft and Fudan Software [2][4] - The technology growth sector is expected to continue finding opportunities internally, with a focus on software and energy storage, as well as emerging themes like quantum technology and brain-machine interfaces [3] Group 2 - The computer industry is witnessing a notable improvement in operational quality, with positive trends in cash flow and accounts receivable, alongside a significant increase in AI application revenue expected to exceed double-digit percentages [4] - The recovery in profitability is driving structural market trends, with sectors like machinery, power equipment, and defense seeing rapid performance improvements, indicating that application-side AI will be a key area for investment [5]

Group 1: Software ETF Performance - The Software ETF has a turnover rate of 2.14% during trading, with a transaction volume of 1.26 billion yuan. Over the past week, the average daily transaction volume reached 600 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [2] - The latest scale of the Software ETF has reached 5.936 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception and also ranking first among comparable funds. In the past week, the ETF's shares increased by 80 million, achieving significant growth and leading among comparable funds [2] - The Software ETF has recorded a net inflow of 136 million yuan recently. Over the past 18 trading days, it has attracted a total of 963 million yuan [2] - As of November 3, the net value of the Software ETF has increased by 12.40% over the past three years. The highest monthly return since inception was 39.35%, with the longest consecutive monthly increase being three months and a maximum increase of 69.40%. The average return during the rising months was 10.06% [2] Group 2: Computer Sector Insights - According to Open Source Securities, the computer sector has seen improvements in revenue and profit in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 3.10% and a net profit growth of 3.93%. The non-recurring net profit increased by 0.42%. This indicates a recovery in revenue growth while many companies in the sector have initiated cost-cutting and efficiency-enhancing strategies, leading to significant profit recovery [3] - Longjiang Securities highlights that in the context of intensified technological competition, achieving complete autonomy and control in key areas is essential for China's technological development. The domestic software systems have gradually developed the capability for domestic substitution [3] - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Software Service Index include iFLYTEK, Kingsoft Office, Tonghuashun, and others, collectively accounting for 63.09% of the index [3]

Group 1 - The report highlights the acceleration of performance benchmark adjustments for public funds, with 79 active equity funds changing their benchmarks in 2025, compared to only 54 in 2024, indicating a better alignment with risk-return characteristics [1][24] - The report notes a shift in the distribution of active equity funds' performance deviation from benchmarks, with a decrease in funds showing significant negative deviations, reflecting a focus on generating excess returns relative to benchmarks as part of the high-quality development initiative [1][24] Group 2 - The report discusses the performance of the convertible bond market, noting a slight decline in the China Convertible Bond Index by 0.11% in October, while year-to-date, it has increased by 16.99% [3] - It emphasizes the differentiation in performance among various styles of convertible bonds, with low-priced, high yield-to-maturity, and high dividend styles outperforming others [3] - The report suggests strategies for future investment, including focusing on undervalued options, a dual low and momentum strategy, and bonds with defensive attributes [3] Group 3 - The macroeconomic environment review indicates a weak recovery in domestic demand, with strong exports and a cautious approach to policy adjustments [4][33] - The report anticipates continued positive trends in U.S. equities driven by interest rate cuts, AI developments, and improved U.S.-China relations, while cautioning against potential AI bubbles [4][33] Group 4 - The report on the semiconductor industry highlights stable market conditions in September, with strong AI-related orders and a notable increase in storage prices [7] - It projects a robust recovery in the semiconductor market, particularly in advanced packaging and testing, driven by demand from AI and automotive sectors [7] Group 5 - The agricultural sector report indicates a mixed outlook, with expectations of a recovery in the beef industry and a focus on domestic brands in the pet economy [8] - It highlights the importance of structural growth opportunities in the poultry sector, particularly in breeding and resource management [8]

Core Viewpoint - The computer industry is currently experiencing low institutional holdings and significant underweighting in the market, despite some improvement in revenue and profit for leading software companies [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Overview - As of September 30, 2025, the fund holding ratio for computer industry stocks is 2.92%, remaining stable and at a historical low [1][3]. - By October 31, 2025, the total market capitalization of the computer sector accounts for 4.61% of the A-share market, indicating significant underweighting [1][3]. - The computer sector has seen a year-to-date increase of 25.12%, which is lower than the TMT sectors: communication (61.88%), electronics (48.10%), and media (27.50%) [1][3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the computer sector's revenue and profit have improved, with median revenue growth of 3.10% year-on-year and net profit growth of 3.93% [4]. - The majority of companies in the sector have initiated cost-cutting and efficiency-enhancing strategies, leading to significant improvements in profit margins [4]. - Notable software companies such as Kingsoft Office, Dameng Data, Hehe Information, Deepin Technology, and Foxit Software have shown strong performance in Q3, indicating an upward trend [4]. Group 3: AI Development - The global model innovation in AI has entered a phase of orderly and high-quality development, with continuous improvements in model capabilities and reductions in costs [4]. - For instance, GPT-5 shows enhanced intelligence while its input cost is half that of its predecessor, GPT-4.1, representing a 37.5% decrease [4]. - The next-generation foundational model architecture Qwen3-Next from Alibaba demonstrates significant efficiency, requiring only 9.3% of GPU resources compared to Qwen3-32B for superior model performance [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The computer sector's improving revenue and profit, along with historically low institutional holdings, suggest increasing allocation value [5]. - Recommended companies include Kingsoft Office, Hehe Information, Dingjie Digital, and others, with beneficiaries such as Foxit Software and Han's Information [5].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the superiority of the "dual low" strategy in the current market environment, particularly focusing on sectors that are expected to benefit from a "de-involution" trend [4][5][29]. Monthly Tracking of Convertible Bonds - In October, the China Convertible Bond Index slightly outperformed the China All Share Index, with a decline of 0.11% compared to a 0.15% drop in the latter. Year-to-date, the Convertible Bond Index has risen by 16.99%, while the All Share Index has increased by 23.49% [11]. - The performance of convertible bonds varied by price category, with high-priced and mid-priced convertible bond indices falling by 2.72% and 0.75%, respectively, while low-priced bonds showed resilience with a 1.44% increase [13][22]. Sector Performance - In October, the energy and financial sectors saw increases in their convertible bond indices, while the technology sector experienced a downturn, with the information technology convertible bond index declining by 0.79% [22]. - The best-performing sectors included energy, financial, and industrial, with their respective convertible bond indices rising by 3.85%, 1.35%, and 1.31% [22]. Strategy Analysis - The "dual low" strategy demonstrated defensive advantages, with the Wind Dual Low Index rising by 0.63% in October, while the high-priced low-premium index fell by 3.4% [29]. - The report highlights the increasing risk of forced redemption for low-value convertible bonds, leading to a reduction in the number of available options for investors [4][35]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests constructing a dual low portfolio focused on sectors such as non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, and power equipment, while avoiding high-priced technology stocks [4][32]. - For November, the recommended dual low portfolio consists of six selected convertible bonds, primarily in the power equipment sector, with an average bond price of 128 yuan and a conversion premium of 11% [36][35]. Market Outlook - The report indicates a shift in market style from high-priced sectors to low-priced sectors, particularly as the technology growth sector faces adjustment pressures. It suggests that "de-involution" sectors like photovoltaics and lithium batteries may continue to see upward momentum [37].

Group 1 - The AI application sector continues to show positive momentum, with the Xinchuang ETF (562030) experiencing a price increase of 0.35%, indicating a bullish trend over the past nine trading days, with six days of gains [1] - Key stocks within the ETF, such as Xinghuan Technology and 360, have seen significant price increases, with gains exceeding 7% and 6% respectively [1] - The report from QuestMobile indicates that the number of monthly active users for AI applications on mobile devices in China has surpassed 700 million, reaching 729 million by September 2025 [3] Group 2 - The Xinchuang industry is transitioning from being policy-driven to a dual-driven model of policy and market, with significant growth expected in the market size, projected to reach over 2.6 trillion yuan by 2026 [4] - The Xinchuang ETF tracks the Zhongzheng Xinchuang Index, which encompasses core segments of the Xinchuang industry, including hardware, software, and information security, highlighting its high growth and elasticity characteristics [7] - The investment logic for the Xinchuang industry includes geopolitical factors, increased local debt efforts, technological breakthroughs by domestic manufacturers, and the critical timing of procurement standards [7]

Group 1: Liquidity and Scale of Software ETF - The software ETF had an intraday turnover of 6.26% and a transaction volume of 366 million yuan [1] - Over the past month, the software ETF's average daily transaction volume reached 569 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [1] - In the past week, the software ETF's scale increased by 19.89 million yuan, also ranking first among comparable funds [1] - Over the last 17 trading days, the software ETF attracted a total of 827 million yuan in inflows [1] Group 2: Performance and Returns - As of October 31, the software ETF's net value has increased by 10.46% over the past three years [1] - The highest monthly return since inception was 39.35%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being three months and the longest cumulative gain reaching 69.40% [1] - The average return during the months of increase was 10.06% [1] Group 3: Policy and Industry Outlook - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session emphasized high-level technological self-reliance as a key development goal [1] - In the context of major power technology competition, the trend towards domestic core software and hardware is expected to accelerate [1] - The "Suggestions" highlight the need for "extraordinary measures" to promote breakthroughs in key areas such as integrated circuits and foundational software [1] - Collaborative innovation between emerging technologies and foundational software is anticipated to be a significant driver of high-quality technological development during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] Group 4: Major Stocks in Software Service Index - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Software Service Index include iFlytek, Kingsoft Office, and Tonghuashun, collectively accounting for 63.09% of the index [2] - The weightings of the top stocks are as follows: iFlytek (13.80%), Tonghuashun (8.49%), Kingsoft Office (7.78%), and others [4] - Investors can also access AI software investment opportunities through the software ETF linked fund (012620) [4]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The focus is on the computer sector, particularly the AI application segment, with major players like OpenAI shifting resources towards application development, exemplified by the launch of the Sora APP [1][2] - AI revenue for leading companies is expected to exceed 20% of total revenue by 2026, indicating a shift from concept to actual profit growth [1][2] - The computer sector's performance has shown significant improvement since Q3 2025, with companies like Hikvision, Dahua, and Sangfor experiencing accelerated profit growth [1][2][4] Key Insights and Arguments - The ChatGPT effect is becoming evident, combined with a recovery in downstream demand and policy support, driving growth in the computer sector [1][2][4] - The "信创" (Xinchuang) sector is benefiting from policy initiatives, with a complete replacement of systems like OA email and document management required by 2027, which will drive business growth for related companies [1][3] - The current allocation in the computer sector is low, at around 3% in Q3 2025, compared to a market capitalization share of over 4.5%, indicating significant upside potential [1][5] Notable Companies and Performance - Companies such as Hikvision, Kingsoft, Hehe Information, Sangfor, and iFlytek are highlighted for their strong performance and robust revenue growth expectations, making them attractive investment opportunities [1][7] - Specific performance metrics include: - Hikvision's profit growth exceeding 20% in Q3 2025 [4] - Kingsoft's projected revenue of 6 billion RMB this year, increasing to 7 billion RMB next year [7] - Hehe Information's expected profit of 650 million RMB next year [7] Investment Opportunities - The AI sector presents two main investment directions: AI computing power and AI applications, with companies like Kingsoft, Hehe Information, Hikvision, and Sangfor showing significant advantages in AI applications [8] - The technology self-reliance sector is also gaining attention, with companies like Dameng Database and Huawei Jiutian showing strong growth potential [9][10] Market Environment and Future Expectations - The computer sector is entering a favorable investment window, with a historical trend of improved performance during the November to April period due to a lack of new earnings reports and increased risk appetite [5] - Despite a 20% increase in the computer sector this year, it still lags behind other sectors like telecommunications (70%), electronics (50%), and media (30%) [6] - New regulations from the China Securities Regulatory Commission may encourage fund managers to increase allocations to underweighted sectors like computers, potentially driving market performance upward [6]

Group 1 - The report highlights that Fengshen Co., the only centrally controlled tire listed company in China, has entered a growth phase with a 168% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3 2025 [2][6][7] - The company achieved a revenue of 5.543 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a 13.58% increase year-on-year, despite a decline in net profit [6][8] - The average selling price of products increased by 7.88% year-on-year to 1198 yuan per tire, contributing to improved profitability [8][10] Group 2 - Dongfang Tower benefited from the potassium fertilizer boom, reporting a 77.57% increase in net profit for Q3 2025, with a revenue of 3.392 billion yuan [16][17] - The company’s gross profit margin increased by 10.23 percentage points to 40.53% due to rising potassium prices [17][19] - The average price of potassium chloride reached 3269 yuan per ton in Q3 2025, up 773 yuan per ton year-on-year [17][19] Group 3 - Longbai Group's net profit decreased by 34.68% year-on-year in Q3 2025, impacted by falling titanium dioxide prices, with a revenue of 6.105 billion yuan [23][24] - The average price of titanium dioxide fell by 2018 yuan per ton year-on-year, leading to a significant profit squeeze [25][27] - The company is pursuing a strategic acquisition of Venator UK's titanium dioxide assets to enhance its global presence [27][29] Group 4 - Shanmei International reported a 30.20% decline in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit drop of 49.74% [32][33] - The company’s coal production increased by 8.73% year-on-year, while trade coal sales fell by 28.50% [35][36] - The average selling price of self-produced coal decreased by 24.72% year-on-year, affecting overall profitability [36][37] Group 5 - Fenhong Media achieved a total revenue of 9.607 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a 3.73% year-on-year growth [38][39] - The company’s gross profit margin improved significantly, reaching 74.1% in Q3 2025 [40][41] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.5 yuan per share, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns [41][42] Group 6 - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank reported a 0.67% increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit growth of 3.74% [43][44] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.12%, reflecting improved asset quality [44]