研究结论 固定收益 | 专题报告 中等期限票息品种还可继续挖掘 2026 年 2 月小品种策略 风险提示 政策变化超预期；信用风险暴露超预期；ABS 发行及投资热度不及预期；数据统计可能 存在遗误 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 03 日 | 齐晟 | 执业证书编号：S0860521120001 | | --- | --- | | | 香港证监会牌照：BXF200 | | | qisheng@orientsec.com.cn | | | 010-66210535 | | 杜林 | 执业证书编号：S0860522080004 | | | dulin@orientsec.com.cn | | | 010-66210535 | | 王静颖 | 执业证书编号：S0860523080003 | | | wangjingying@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 徐沛翔 | 执业证书编号：S0860525070003 | | | xupeixiang@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 结汇如何影响资金面和存单：固定收益市 | ...

2月3日早晨，金银迎来反弹。截至2月3日8时22分，现货黄金报4809.25，日内涨超3%；现货白银报83.808，日内涨超5% 文｜《财经》研究员 顾欣宇 记者 唐郡 2月2日下午，随着金银等贵金属价格巨震，工商银行发布最新风险提示称，近期国际贵金属市场波动率显著增加，引发价格快速变化，风险进一 步显现。"建议从中长期视角考虑，坚持分批分散、适度均衡的原则进行投资配置。" 此外，多家国有大行通过提高贵金属投资门槛，进行限额管理等方式，帮助投资者把控风险。 编辑 | 张威 北京时间2026年2月2日，金银经历跳水、反弹后再度陷入震荡。 2月2日早盘，黄金、白银集体低开，7时20分，现货白银日内跌幅扩大至6%，报79.57美元/盎司。现货黄金向下跌破4800美元/盎司，日内下跌 3.35%。 随后，金银一度反弹但很快继续下挫，现货黄金在14时30分左右跌破4450美元/盎司，为1月8日以来新低；现货白银一度失守72美元/盎司，接近 抹去2026年内涨幅。14时38分，现货黄金报4421.31美元/盎司，日内跌超9%，现货白银报72.21，日内跌超15%。 2月3日早晨，金银迎来反弹。截至2月3日8时22分，现货 ...

声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 来源：市场资讯 国家知识产权局信息显示，中国农业银行股份有限公司取得一项名为"一种资源迁移方法、装置、设备 及存储介质"的专利，授权公告号CN114327875B，申请日期为2021年12月。 天眼查资料显示，中国农业银行股份有限公司，成立于1986年，位于北京市，是一家以从事货币金融服 务为主的企业。企业注册资本34998303.3873万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，中国农业银行股份有 限公司共对外投资了16家企业，参与招投标项目5000次，财产线索方面有商标信息1240条，专利信息 5000条，此外企业还拥有行政许可119个。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The banking industry is shifting its focus from traditional deposit products to insurance products, particularly dividend insurance, in response to declining deposit interest rates and changing consumer preferences [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - Banks are no longer emphasizing deposit renewals but are instead promoting insurance products like dividend insurance and annuity insurance as attractive alternatives for customers [1][2]. - The trend reflects a resurgence of the bank-insurance channel, indicating a strategic pivot in how banks engage with customers regarding their financial products [1]. Group 2: Product Details - Dividend insurance is becoming the primary product recommended by bank staff, with major insurance companies shifting their focus to these products as of 2026 [3]. - The dividend insurance products offer a combination of guaranteed returns and potential floating dividends, appealing to consumers seeking both security and growth [4]. Group 3: Consumer Behavior - Customers are increasingly considering insurance products due to the significant drop in deposit interest rates, with some experiencing a reduction of over 50% compared to previous rates [2]. - Many customers who do not need immediate access to their funds are opting for insurance products to lock in current interest rates, while those needing liquidity within three years are more likely to choose bank wealth management products or bond funds [2][4]. Group 4: Financial Implications - The promotion of dividend insurance allows banks to expand their non-interest income and maintain long-term relationships with clients, enhancing overall service offerings [4]. - Analysts predict that the insurance sector's performance in the upcoming "opening red" period will be strong, with dividend insurance playing a central role in this growth [3].

Core Insights - The banking industry is shifting its focus from traditional deposit products to insurance products, particularly dividend insurance, in response to declining deposit interest rates [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Trends - Banks are no longer emphasizing deposit renewals but are instead promoting insurance products like dividend insurance and annuity insurance to customers [1][2] - The trend reflects a broader resurgence of the bank-insurance channel, as insurance products offer long-term yield locking advantages in a low-interest-rate environment [1][3] Group 2: Product Details - The recommended dividend insurance products provide a fixed return of around 1.75% plus potential floating dividends, appealing to customers seeking long-term value [3][4] - For example, a specific dividend insurance product has a three-year accumulation period with a total return of approximately 3.2% per year, with potential total benefits increasing significantly over 20 years [2] Group 3: Consumer Behavior - Consumers are increasingly considering insurance products when faced with significantly lower deposit rates, with many opting for these products if they do not need immediate access to their funds [2][4] - The insurance products are seen as a way to secure current interest rates, especially for clients who can afford to lock in their funds for longer periods [2][3]

February 2, 2026 12:08 PM GMT China Financials | Asia Pacific Tracking industrial risks: modestly slower near term growth, but notably lower future risks Key Takeaways More sectors' capex growth slowed in Dec 2025 amid steady progress of capacity control. 82.5% of sectors (by total liability) saw capex growth moderation in Dec 2025 vs. 1H24, up from 78.7% last month. Agricultural product processing and furniture sectors posted notable FAI growth slowdowns after months of stabilizing. Overall Industrial prof ...

来源：智通财经 2月3日早盘，现货黄金高位回调后回到4800美元/盎司，日内涨超3%。上周沃什被提名为下任美联储负 责人，其历史言论偏向"降息+缩表"组合，导致市场对货币政策紧缩的担忧升温，市场担忧其上台后将 推动美元走强、压制黄金，引发多头踩踏与高杠杆资金撤离。 截至2026年2月3日 09:42，上海金ETF(518600)上涨3.90%。拉长时间看，截至2026年2月2日，上海金 ETF近1月累计上涨6.97%。份额方面，截至2026年2月2日，上海金ETF最新份额达6.77亿份，创成立以 来新高！从资金净流入方面来看，上海金ETF近10天获得连续资金净流入，最高单日获得4.65亿元净流 入，合计"吸金"17.57亿元。 上海金ETF(518600)，场外联接(A类：008986；C类：008987)，业绩比较基准为上海黄金交易所上海金 集中定价合约。该基金紧跟金价、支持T+0交易，可谓黄金便捷投资利器；投资者可借道上海金ETF对 冲金饰价格上涨。 长期看，市场对美联储降息路径的预期并未根本扭转，CME FedWatch数据显示全年降息两次的预期依 然稳定。区域政治方面，国际紧张局势不断扰动市场，推升避 ...

Core Viewpoint - The banking industry is focusing on supporting the real economy through strategic transformation and risk management, with several banks reporting improved performance for 2025, indicating a shift towards high-quality development [1][2][3]. Group 1: Performance of Listed Banks - Multiple A-share listed banks, including China Merchants Bank, CITIC Bank, and Industrial Bank, have reported significant increases in both operating income and net profit for 2025, demonstrating a recovery in profitability [2]. - CITIC Bank and Pudong Development Bank have both entered the "10 trillion yuan club," with total assets of 10.13 trillion yuan and 10.08 trillion yuan respectively, marking growth rates of 6.28% and 6.55% year-on-year [2]. - The overall trend for joint-stock banks in 2025 is characterized by stable growth, optimized structure, risk control, and improved efficiency, showcasing strong resilience against economic cycles [2]. Group 2: Strategic Focus on Real Economy - The banking sector is shifting from "scale expansion" to "high-quality development," emphasizing targeted support for key areas and weak links in the economy [3]. - Major state-owned banks have outlined systematic plans to enhance their service to the real economy, aligning their strategies with national priorities and focusing on specific sectors such as agriculture and global expansion [4]. Group 3: Digital Transformation and Innovation - Digital transformation is identified as a key support for enhancing the effectiveness of banks in serving the real economy, with banks like Bank of Communications and Postal Savings Bank implementing AI and other digital strategies [5]. - The banking industry is increasingly focusing on technology finance, with significant growth in loans to technology enterprises, such as a 23.44% increase in technology finance loans at Hangzhou Bank [6][7]. Group 4: Support for Key Sectors - Banks are concentrating their resources on critical areas such as expanding domestic demand, technological innovation, and green development, with a focus on providing tailored financial solutions for small and micro enterprises [6][7]. - The emphasis on regional development and industrial upgrades is evident, with banks enhancing their service layouts to support local economies and specific industries, such as manufacturing [7]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The banking industry is expected to continue optimizing financial resource allocation and enhancing support for key sectors, while also deepening financial innovation and improving service precision [8]. - Collaboration among different types of banks is crucial for effectively serving the real economy, with large state-owned banks leading the way and smaller banks focusing on local needs [8].

2月3日，A股市场银行（核心股）股逆势下跌，其中，中国银行、工商银行、农业银行、建设银行、邮 储银行、上海银行、沪农商行跌超1%。 股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：栎树 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↑ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601988 | 中国银行 | 1 | -1.66 | 17174亿 | -6.98 | | 601398 | 工商银行 | 1 | -1.64 | 25661亿 | -9.21 | | 601288 | 农业银行 | 1 | -1.33 | 23414 乙 | -12.89 | | 601939 | 建设银行 | 1 | -1.25 | 22707亿 | -6.47 | | 601658 | 邮储银行 | 1 | -1.18 | 6053 Z | -5.43 | | 601229 | 上海银行 | | -1.17 | 1319亿 | -8.12 | | 601825 | 沪农商行 | 美 | -1.08 | 798亿 | -10.98 | | 601077 | 渝 ...

Group 1: Gold Investment and Market Dynamics - Gold prices have experienced significant volatility this year, prompting major state-owned banks in China to enhance risk management in gold investment businesses by raising entry barriers and adding risk assessment requirements [1] - Despite short-term price fluctuations, experts believe that gold and precious metals still hold medium to long-term investment value due to global risk aversion and changes in asset allocation logic [1] - A collective drop in 13 futures products occurred, attributed to panic selling and concentrated leverage, leading to a significant market downturn [1] Group 2: Central Enterprises and Performance Forecasts - Over 110 central enterprise-controlled listed companies in China have reported positive performance forecasts for 2025, with many achieving substantial profit increases or returning to profitability [2] - Industries such as military, steel, and chemicals are showing particularly strong performance [2] Group 3: Storage Market and Price Surge - The global storage market is entering a super cycle, with prices for DRAM and NAND flash memory chips rising over 300% since Q3 2025, and further increases are expected in early 2026 [3] - Many storage companies are reporting improved performance due to the high demand driven by AI and computing industries [3] Group 4: Fertilizer Market Trends - The fertilizer market is experiencing a structural price increase as the spring farming season approaches, with notable price rises in nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium fertilizers [3] Group 5: Electricity Consumption Forecast - The China Electricity Council predicts a 5% to 6% year-on-year growth in national electricity consumption for 2026, with solar power generation capacity expected to surpass coal power for the first time [5] Group 6: Corporate Developments - Tianyi Space Technology Co., Ltd. has initiated the listing guidance process for its IPO [10] - Dream Garden has received approval for the full circulation listing of its H-shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [11] - Dayang Shengxiang anticipates a 92.81% decline in net profit for 2025 due to decreased production and sales [12] - ZTE Corporation plans to invest 117 million yuan in a new equity investment fund focused on advanced technology sectors [13]