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海通国际:维持石药集团(01093)“优于大市”评级 目标价13.07港元
智通财经网· 2026-02-25 06:21
智通财经APP获悉,海通国际发布研报称,石药集团(01093)的主营业务收入、利润已经触底,2026年有 望回到上升周期,2027年开始受益于肿瘤和代谢创新产品放量,成药收入有望提速。石药集团当前潜在 临床里程碑收入达58亿美元(约人民币406亿元),有望在未来3-5年陆续增厚公司利润。该行认为首付 款和里程碑收入将为公司带来可持续的经常性收益,并上调了2027年后的授权收入预测。该行使用现金 流折现(DCF)模型及FY27-FY35的现金流进行估值。基于WACC 7.9%,永续增长率2.5%(均不 变),对应目标价13.07港元,并维持"优于大市"评级。 海通国际主要观点如下: 研发能力多次获得认可,该行看好常态化里程碑收入夯实公司基本面 近两年来石药集团实现7笔对外合作交易,涉及首付款总额17.1亿美元,潜在里程碑总额超300亿美元。 公司与全球顶尖药企阿斯利康三度达成合作,彰显石药集团研发平台在全球范围的影响力与价值。该行 认为,加总近60亿美元的潜在研发里程碑将会在未来3-5年陆续增厚石药集团的利润,成为公司常态化 收入的重要组成部分。该行看好石药集团可以持续以销售里程碑和销售净额分成的方式在整个药品 ...
联邦制药涨超6%,II期临床研究达预期目标!港股通创新药ETF(159570)再度飘红!创新药BD热度高企,哪些趋势最受追捧?机构盘点!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 06:09
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market's innovative drug sector is performing well, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drug ETF (159570) rising by 0.56% and achieving a trading volume exceeding 700 million CNY [1] - Over the past 10 days, the ETF has attracted over 360 million CNY in capital, with its latest scale surpassing 25 billion CNY, leading its peers significantly [1] - Key stocks within the ETF, such as Federated Pharmaceutical and Rongchang Biopharmaceutical, have shown notable gains, with Federated Pharmaceutical increasing by over 6% [1][2] Group 2 - The innovative drug business development (BD) is focused on unmet clinical needs, technological differentiation, and global value, with significant transactions in oncology and metabolic disease sectors [3][4] - In oncology, notable advancements include Rongchang Biopharmaceutical's PD-1/VEGF dual antibody RC148, which received a substantial upfront payment of 650 million USD from a partnership with Aibowei [3] - The metabolic disease sector is highlighted by Shiyao Group's GLP-1 receptor agonist SYH2082, which secured a 1.2 billion USD upfront payment from AstraZeneca [3] Group 3 - The mRNA vaccine sector is experiencing rapid approvals, with several domestic products receiving IND approvals, indicating a swift advancement in local innovation [5] - The FDA has relaxed its drug review policies, allowing for a single key clinical trial to suffice for new drug approvals, which is expected to significantly reduce development timelines and costs [6] - New drug approvals include Hansoh Pharmaceutical's lung cancer drug "Amatinib," which has been granted marketing authorization in the EU for specific NSCLC patient populations [6]
未知机构:午间指数表现下跌19下-20260225
未知机构· 2026-02-25 04:00
交易流向 午间指数表现 :下跌 1.9% :下跌 2.1% :下跌 2.4% :1390 亿港元 :1.56 亿美元 领涨板块:必需消费品(-0.0%)、电信(-0.1%)、工业(-0.2%) 领跌板块:非必需消费品(-2.5%)、信息技术(-2.8%)、医疗保健(-3.6%) 午间市场点评 香港市场在昨日强势后出现技术性回调,医疗保 午间指数表现 :下跌 1.9% :下跌 2.1% :下跌 2.4% :1390 亿港元 :1.56 亿美元 领涨板块:必需消费品(-0.0%)、电信(-0.1%)、工业(-0.2%) 领跌板块:非必需消费品(-2.5%)、信息技术(-2.8%)、医疗保健(-3.6%) 午间市场点评 香港市场在昨日强势后出现技术性回调,医疗保健板块成为主要拖累因素。 A 股节后首个交易日表现强劲,沪深 300 指数上涨 1.33%。 南向投资者在香港市场净卖出,占港股成交额的 22%(高于通常的 20% 以下水平),资金似乎流向 A 股市 场。 Citrini报告对恒生科技指数造成压力,该指数早盘下跌 2.4%。 下跌 4.6%,反映出 AI 板块情绪疲软。 今日市场催化剂有限,但我们的主要做空 ...
医疗创新ETF(516820)红盘向上,2026中国创新药BD加速升温
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 02:49
数据显示,截至2026年1月30日,中证医药及医疗器械创新指数(931484)前十大权重股分别为药明康 德、迈瑞医疗、恒瑞医药、爱尔眼科、片仔癀、新和成、华东医药、康龙化成、艾力斯、甘李药业,前 十大权重股合计占比63.9%。 截至2026年2月25日 10:27,中证医药及医疗器械创新指数(931484)上涨0.25%,成分股三生国健上涨 3.33%,新和成上涨2.33%,爱博医疗上涨1.73%,特宝生物上涨1.71%,浙江医药上涨1.08%。医疗创新 ETF(516820)上涨0.55%,最新价报0.36元。 从估值层面来看,医疗创新ETF跟踪的中证医药及医疗器械创新指数最新市盈率(PE-TTM)仅27.28 倍,处于近1年18.88%的分位,即估值低于近1年81.12%以上的时间,处于历史低位。 医疗创新ETF紧密跟踪中证医药及医疗器械创新指数,中证医药及医疗器械创新指数从医药卫生行业的 上市公司中,选取30只盈利能力较好且具备一定成长性和研发创新能力的上市公司证券作为指数样本, 以反映兼具盈利性与成长性的医药及医疗器械上市公司证券的整体表现。 消息面上,普华永道(PwC)称,和Anthropic宣布达 ...
石药集团:跨国药企多次认可,创新转型成果凸显,平台价值值得期待-20260225
海通国际· 2026-02-25 00:25
研究报告 Research Report 25 Feb 2026 石药集团 CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) 跨国药企多次认可,创新转型成果凸显,平台价值值得期待 Multiple Recognitions from MNCs, Clear Progress in Innovation Transformation, Platform Value Highly Anticipated [Table_yemei 观点聚焦 1] Investment Focus [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$10.06 目标价 HK$13.07 HTI ESG 3.0-2.5-3.5 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$115.92bn / US$14.82bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$140.76mn 发行股票数目 11,522mn 自由流通股 (%) 68% 1 年股价最高最低值 HK ...
石药集团(01093):跨国药企多次认可,创新转型成果凸显,平台价值值得期待
研究报告 Research Report 25 Feb 2026 石药集团 CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) 跨国药企多次认可,创新转型成果凸显,平台价值值得期待 Multiple Recognitions from MNCs, Clear Progress in Innovation Transformation, Platform Value Highly Anticipated [Table_yemei 观点聚焦 1] Investment Focus [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$10.06 目标价 HK$13.07 HTI ESG 3.0-2.5-3.5 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$115.92bn / US$14.82bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$140.76mn 发行股票数目 11,522mn 自由流通股 (%) 68% 1 年股价最高最低值 HK ...
创新药向上还是向下:BD交易爆发、大摩持续唱多 板块仍处调整期
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-24 14:30
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the continued high demand for Chinese innovative drugs in global markets, with significant business development (BD) transactions occurring in early 2026, indicating a strong growth trajectory for the industry [1][2]. - As of February 15, 2026, there have been 39 license-out transactions for Chinese innovative drugs, with an upfront payment of approximately $2.953 billion and a total value exceeding $49 billion, surpassing one-third of the total amount for 2025 [1]. - Morgan Stanley's report emphasizes a positive long-term outlook for the Chinese pharmaceutical industry, identifying "catalysts" as a key theme, with expectations for numerous catalysts in 2026 that will enhance the global value of domestic pharmaceutical assets [2]. Group 2 - Morgan Stanley specifically mentions that 2025 saw a total BD transaction amount of $135.7 billion for Chinese innovative drugs, surpassing the U.S. for the first time, with 2026 showing even stronger growth as the first 49 days of transactions exceeded any single quarter in 2025 [2]. - The report highlights Hengrui Medicine as a preferred investment target, predicting accelerated sales growth in 2026 and a positive trend in new cooperative transactions, which are crucial for realizing milestone payments [2]. - The transformation of Kangzhe Pharmaceutical towards innovative drugs is noted, with the approval of a targeted drug for vitiligo, indicating a significant step in the company's transition and growth strategy [3]. Group 3 - Despite the ongoing BD transaction boom, the innovative drug sector is experiencing a market downturn, with the Hong Kong innovative drug ETF dropping 0.78% after the Spring Festival, indicating a disconnect between market sentiment and fundamentals [4]. - The focus of BD transactions in 2026 is shifting towards early-stage research projects, with over 50% of the 39 transactions being in preclinical stages, reflecting a strategic pivot in the industry [5]. - Companies like Kangfang Biotech are optimistic about the global impact of Chinese innovative drugs, aiming to expand their global footprint and enhance their international presence in drug development [5].
创新药向上还是向下:BD 交易爆发、大摩持续唱多,板块仍处调整期
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-24 14:23
每经记者|金喆 每经编辑|陈俊杰 2026年,我国创新药出海延续高景气度,最近两天先为达、前沿生物及和铂医药接连达成三笔BD(商 务拓展)交易。 医药魔方NextPharma数据库显示,截至2月15日(春节假期期间暂未新增交易事件),中国创新药已发 生39起license-out(对外授权)交易事件,首付款约29.53亿美元,总金额超490亿美元。 《每日经济新闻》记者注意到,这一金额已超过 2025年全年总额的1/3,中国创新药的全球价值正快速 兑现。与此同时,国际顶级投行摩根士丹利(大摩)也在近期发布报告,明确看多中国医药行业长期创 新能力,行业分化与全球化成为核心关键词。大摩持续看好中国创新药 在这份报告中,摩根士丹利提炼的关键词是"催化"。报告提到,根据管理层表述,2026年1月行业会议 后,中国本土医药资产的对外授权合作交易热度依旧高涨。此外,合作方对现有合作的执行情况及期权 行使行为,是评估资产质量和全球化价值的关键——2026年将迎来大量催化因素。 医药魔方NextPharma数据库显示,2025年中国创新药BD总金额达1357亿美元,首次超过美国。2026年 增长势头更猛,前49天交易规模已超 ...
医药深度复盘-最新观点-春节期间-医药重要事件梳理
2026-02-24 14:16
医药深度复盘+最新观点 春节期间,医药重要事件梳理 20260223 中国创新药对外授权 BD 交易活跃,截至 2 月 15 日,总首付款金额已达 30 亿美元,总体量 490 亿美元,远超 2025 年同期水平,预示 2026 年 BD 交易将大幅跃升。石药集团与阿斯利康合作金额高达 185 亿美元, 为近年来新高。 中国药企海外研发取得进展,如石药集团 PCSK9 小核酸新药 SYH2053 启动三期试验,科伦博泰卢康沙妥珠单抗启动全球临床试验,翰森制药 阿美替尼获欧盟批准,石药集团长效 GLP1/GIP 双抗 SYH2,082 获 FDA 批准 IND。 医改政策方面,《基要目录管理办法》修订强调与集采、医保衔接,原 则上每三年调整一次,集采纳入基要目录节奏或加快。已完成的集采政 策导向更温和,注重质量和反内卷,中选率达 93%,对市场结构影响较 小。 药品集采续约注重临床需求匹配度和投标供应商质量,覆盖率达 98%, 调整较小,趋向理性。续约采用询价方式,控制价格风险,符合反内卷 导向。前沿生物与 GSK 达成小核酸 BD 合作,首付款 4,000 万美元,里 程碑付款 9.63 亿美元,验证了早期研 ...
港股红利ETF工银(159691)涨2.18%,成交额2.89亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 11:52
Group 1 - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (ICBC, 159691) closed at a 2.18% increase with a trading volume of 289 million yuan on February 24 [1] - The fund was established on March 30, 2023, with an annual management fee of 0.45% and a custody fee of 0.07% [1] - As of February 13, 2025, the fund's latest share count was 6.21 billion shares, with a total size of 8.643 billion yuan, reflecting a 4.90% decrease in shares and a 2.46% increase in size year-to-date [1] Group 2 - The current fund managers are Zhao Xu and Jiao Wenlong, both managing the fund since February 5, 2026, with a return of 0.99% during their tenure [2] - The top holdings of the fund include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (14.55%), China Shenhua Energy (9.65%), and China Pacific Insurance (8.90%), among others [2] - The fund's recent trading activity shows a cumulative trading amount of 6.707 billion yuan over the last 20 trading days, with an average daily trading amount of 335 million yuan [1]