Macro and Strategy Research - The overall economic operation is stable, with certain resilience shown under policy support. However, the export sector faces downward pressure and high base effects, while consumption is also under pressure due to reduced national subsidies and demand front-loading. Investment in infrastructure is expected to play a stabilizing role, and manufacturing is likely to maintain relatively high growth due to policy support [2][3] - Domestic monetary policy will focus on stabilizing growth and combating deflation, with expectations of continued liquidity easing. Interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions are anticipated to be implemented as external conditions change [2][3] A-Share Market - The A-share market has maintained stable trading under the management's policy to "sustain stability and activate the capital market." The liquidity environment is gradually expanding, with a balanced investment and financing backdrop expected to yield better results in mergers, acquisitions, and the growth of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [3] - The performance of the A-share market is expected to remain stable, supported by strong liquidity expectations. The market is likely to experience structural opportunities, with indices having conditions for a rebound as external risks are mitigated and trading becomes more active [3] - Investment opportunities in the second half of the year include sectors such as pharmaceuticals and defense driven by overseas expansion, TMT sectors benefiting from AI trends, and banking sectors supported by low interest rates and insurance capital market entry [3] Fund Research - As of June 18, 2025, the major indices in the A-share market showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.11% and the ChiNext Index declining by 4.06%. The first half of 2025 saw frequent sector rotations, with technology and dividend themes alternating in performance [4][5] - Active equity funds outperformed indices, with ordinary stock funds and equity-mixed funds averaging over 5% gains. Bond funds showed slower growth, while QDII funds continued their strong performance from 2024, averaging a 10.44% increase [5][6] - By the end of Q1 2025, active equity fund positions increased compared to Q4 2024, with the highest over-allocated sectors being electronics, power equipment, food and beverage, and pharmaceuticals [6] Industry Research - The light industry and textile sectors outperformed the CSI 300 index as of June 24, 2025. The light industry saw a revenue decline of 0.78% year-on-year, while the textile sector experienced a 13.33% revenue drop [11][12] - The home appliance and electric two-wheeler sectors are expected to benefit from the deepening of the old-for-new policy, with significant growth in furniture retail sales [11][12] - The new consumption perspective highlights the emotional value and rise of domestic brands, particularly in the pet food market, which is projected to grow significantly by 2027 [12][13] - The investment strategy maintains a neutral rating for the light industry and textile sectors, with specific stocks recommended for "overweight" ratings, including Oppein Home (603833) and Sophia (002572) [13]

2025 年 06 月 27 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：65 分（较热） 2、能源金属主题：刚果金公布，2025 年 6 月 21 日起， 战略矿产市场监管局(ARECOMS)董事会采取了重大监管措施， 鉴于市场上库存量持续高企，已决定将临时禁令的期限自本 决定生效之日起再延长三个月，适用于刚果所有源自采矿的 钴 出 口 。 相 关 标 的 ： 华 友 钴 业 （ 603799 ） 、 天 齐 锂 业 （002466） 最近一年大盘走势 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 (%) 沪深300 相关研究 | 1、《双融日报》2025-06-26 | | --- | | 2、《双融日报》2025-06-25 | | 3、《双融日报》2025-06-24 | ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（较热） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 65 分，市场情绪处于"较热"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1。 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：储存、能源金属、稳定币 1 ...

Market News - US stock indices collectively rose, with Nasdaq up 0.97%, Dow Jones up 0.94%, and S&P 500 up 0.8%, marking near historical closing highs for Nasdaq and S&P 500 [1] - Major tech stocks mostly increased, with Netflix, Amazon, and Meta rising over 2%, while Apple and Tesla saw slight declines [1] - International oil prices showed slight fluctuations, with WTI crude oil up 0.46% at $65.22 per barrel and Brent crude oil up 0.41% at $66.70 per barrel [1] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 0.29%, with mixed performance among Chinese concept stocks [1] Industry Insights - The Hong Kong government released the "Hong Kong Digital Asset Development Policy Declaration 2.0," aiming to position Hong Kong as a global innovation center for digital assets [3] - The declaration emphasizes a combination of prudent regulation and market innovation to create a robust digital asset ecosystem [3] - The People's Bank of China highlighted the role of blockchain technology in promoting the development of central bank digital currencies and stablecoins, enhancing transaction stability and cross-border payment capabilities [3] - The digitalization and capitalization of real-world assets (RWA) are being promoted, with the China Mobile Communications Association seeking partners for RWA ecosystem collaboration [4] - Recent price surges in DDR4 memory have been noted, with prices for DDR4 16Gb exceeding those of DDR5 for the first time, driven by reduced supply from major manufacturers [5][6] - The reduction in DDR4 production is expected to lead to a supply-demand improvement by the second half of 2025, with potential price increases anticipated [6] Company Actions - Several companies announced plans for share reductions by major shareholders, including Kai Run Co., Neway Group, and Huai Green Ecology, with reductions ranging from 0.97% to 3% of total shares [7][8]

那么，稳定币究竟为何能引起如此大的市场轰动呢？ 早在本月初，随着美国第二大稳定币USDC的发行商cirlce正式在美股市场上市，稳定币行情就从美股市 场迅速蔓延到了港股和A股。6月初，香港《稳定币条例》的立法落地，随后，京东与蚂蚁集团相继宣 布在全球主要市场申请稳定币牌照。 稳定币独特的魅力和广泛的应用前景引发了市场的广泛关注与热烈讨论。截至6月26日收盘，Wind稳定 币指数收涨3.26%，该指数年内至今已涨超71%！稳定币相关概念ETF更是集体爆发，包揽了近五日涨 幅榜，多只ETF累积涨超10%。 | | | Wind热门概念指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 稳定币 3.26% | 数字货币 2.31% | 网络安全 2.09% | 数据安全 1.88% | 跨境支付 1.87% | | 虚拟人 | 航母 | 银行 | 十大军丁集团 | 旅游出行 | | 1.71% | 1.54% | 1.45% | 1.44% | 1.42% | | | | 1876.16 +59.17 +3.26% | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | - ...

Group 1 - The digital currency sector is experiencing positive developments, with the A-share market showing strong performance in military and stablecoin-related stocks [1] - China Mobile Communication Association is seeking partners to establish the "RWA Joint Laboratory" to promote the digitalization and capitalization of real-world assets (RWA) [2] - The integration of stablecoins and RWA is expected to enhance compliance and programmability, facilitating automation and globalization in areas like green finance and supply chain finance [2] Group 2 - Stablecoins have become a market focus, with major institutions like JD.com and Ant Group applying for stablecoin licenses, and Huatai Securities International announcing an upgrade to provide virtual asset trading services [3] - Huaxing Capital Holdings has approved a budget of $100 million for the development of web3.0 business and investment in cryptocurrency assets over the next two years [3] Group 3 - A total of 23 stablecoin concept stocks are listed in the A-share market, with Guotai Haitong having the largest market capitalization of 317.624 billion yuan [4] - Guotai Haitong International has received approval to upgrade its securities trading license to include virtual asset trading, allowing clients to trade cryptocurrencies and stablecoins directly [4] - Several stablecoin concept stocks have seen significant price increases this year, with Sifang Chuangxin and Hengbao shares doubling in price [4] Group 4 - This week, 15 stablecoin concept stocks received increased leverage funding, with Guotai Haitong, Sifang Chuangxin, and Hengsheng Electronics leading in net purchases exceeding 100 million yuan [4][5] - The table lists stablecoin concept stocks with their total market value, year-to-date price changes, and net leverage funding amounts, highlighting significant gains for several companies [5]

近日，陆家嘴论坛上，央行行长首次在公开演讲中提到稳定币，代表我国金融体系建设对待加密货币态 度的重大转向。稳定币产业是链接数字资产和现实世界的桥梁。随着全球范围内各地监管政策的落地， 行业有望实现合规发展。未来应用层有望在广度和深度上不断延伸，为稳定币需求提供支撑。 金融科技ETF华夏（516100）被动跟踪中证金融科技主题指数，涵盖软件开发、互联网金融及数字货币 产业链，指数重仓股包括同花顺、东方财富、润和软件等行业龙头股，又不乏恒生电子、神州信息、恒 宝股份、东信和平、赢时胜、拉卡拉、京北方、四方精创等稳定币热门个股，稳定币含量达20.66%， 位居全市场ETF第一，场外联接基金023884/023885。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 6月26日，稳定币概念低开高走，金融科技板块盘中翻红，截至13点27分，稳定币含量全市场最高的金 融科技ETF华夏（516100）涨0.87%，强势四连阳，持仓股涨多跌少，信安科技20CM涨停，京北方、楚 天龙、格尔软件10CM涨停，长亮科技、新晨科技、拉卡拉等股涨幅靠前，券商ETF基金（515010）跌 1.06%。 自5月底以来，美国、中国香港陆续发布稳定币相关法案，推 ...

Group 1 - The popularity of stablecoin-related stocks remains high in both A and H share markets, with significant price increases observed for companies such as OSL Group, Hengsheng Electronics, and others [1] - Guotai Junan International Holdings has received approval from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to upgrade its existing securities trading license to provide virtual asset trading services, allowing direct trading of cryptocurrencies and stablecoins on its platform [1] - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority have launched a cross-border payment system, enhancing online payment capabilities between mainland China and Hong Kong [1] Group 2 - Stablecoins bridge the gap between traditional financial systems and the cryptocurrency ecosystem, enhancing transaction stability and cross-border payment capabilities [2] - The emergence of stablecoins is not intended to replace fiat currencies but to provide a digital and efficient means of cross-border circulation, posing challenges such as the blurring of sovereign currency boundaries [2] - With the introduction of stablecoin regulations in Hong Kong and the U.S., regulatory clarity is expected to accelerate the development of the stablecoin industry, benefiting compliant issuers [2] - Companies like Hengsheng Electronics, Sifang Chuangxin, and Lakala are strategically positioning themselves in the stablecoin sector through technology and service offerings [2]

Market Overview - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.6 trillion yuan, an increase of 188.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - The military, securities, internet finance, and insurance sectors saw the highest gains, while oil and gas, pesticides, film, and port sectors experienced the largest declines [1] - By the end of the trading session, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.03%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.72%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 3.11% [1] Investment Strategy - The company has initiated a position in the reducer sector and is currently fully invested, planning to sell the liquor concept the following day based on post-market quantitative analysis [3] - Continuous evaluation of past operations is emphasized to identify areas for improvement, ensuring the investment strategy remains competitive [3] - The company plans to sell the liquor sector and buy into the deep-sea technology sector, indicating a clear and decisive strategy [6] Sector Analysis - The deep-sea economy has shown significant potential, with a notable increase in RPS (Relative Price Strength) metrics over time, indicating strong performance [7] - The deep-sea technology sector is gaining attention from policy levels, with expectations for future industrial policies and major project implementations [7] - The total value of China's marine economy surpassed 10 trillion yuan in 2024, highlighting deep-sea technology as a crucial emerging industry for economic growth [7] - The deep-sea industry has a long supply chain, contributing significantly to economic stimulation across various stages from upstream technology development to downstream application services [7]

Core Insights - The launch of the "Cross-Border Payment Link" marks a significant advancement in cross-border payment systems, enabling real-time transactions between mainland China and Hong Kong in both Renminbi and Hong Kong Dollar [1][2] - The system leverages blockchain technology to reduce transaction times from 1-5 working days to seconds and cut fees by 80%, enhancing the efficiency of cross-border payments [2] - The regulatory framework for stablecoins is evolving, with Hong Kong's new regulations set to take effect, requiring stablecoin issuers to maintain a 1:1 reserve and undergo quarterly audits [4][6] Group 1: Cross-Border Payment Link - The "Cross-Border Payment Link" officially launched on June 22, 2025, connecting the mainland's interbank payment system with Hong Kong's Fast Payment System [1] - Initial use cases include tuition payments, medical fees, and salary disbursements, with transaction limits increased from 10,000 to 100,000 [2] - This infrastructure supports the internationalization of the Renminbi and enhances financial integration in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [2] Group 2: Stablecoin Development - The introduction of the "Cross-Border Payment Link" presents a historic opportunity for stablecoins, allowing settlement times to be reduced to minutes [4] - Hong Kong's new stablecoin regulations will require issuers to hold at least 80% of their reserves in cash and government bonds, limiting high-risk assets [6] - Major companies like JD.com and Ant Group have applied for licenses, indicating a trend towards compliant stablecoins being integrated into the "Cross-Border Payment Link" [4] Group 3: Market Response and Growth - The global stablecoin market is projected to exceed $1.8 trillion, reflecting a 120% increase from 2024, driven by regulatory compliance [6] - USDC's market share has risen to 42%, positioning it as a preferred stablecoin for cross-border payments [6] - Companies such as Standard Chartered and Zhenrong Bank are actively participating in stablecoin sandbox tests, exploring asset custody models [4][6] Group 4: Related Companies - Sifang Jingchuang is the only A-share company involved in the central bank's mBridge project, with a projected 300% increase in orders by 2025 [8] - Changliang Technology has deep ties with the Vietnamese central bank, with overseas revenue exceeding 25% and recent wins in cross-border payment projects [9] - New Morning Technology reported a 200% year-on-year increase in cross-border payment revenue in Q1 2025, providing stablecoin custody solutions for Standard Chartered [10] - JD Group's subsidiary is in the second phase of Hong Kong's stablecoin sandbox testing, aiming to launch a Hong Kong Dollar/US Dollar stablecoin within the year [11]

Core Insights - The approval of Guotai Junan International to provide virtual asset trading services in Hong Kong has led to a significant stock price increase, reaching a maximum gain of 198% on June 25, marking a record for fintech stocks [2] - The concept of stablecoins is gaining traction in the capital markets, with 51 brokerage firms publishing over 158 reports related to stablecoins in June alone, indicating a surge in interest and activity [3][4] - Regulatory developments, substantial corporate investments, and the market performance of Circle, the first stablecoin company to go public, are key catalysts driving this trend [2][6] Market Performance - The stablecoin sector has shown strong momentum, with stocks like Hengbao Co. and Sifang Jingchuang seeing cumulative gains exceeding 80% in June [2] - Multiple stablecoin-related stocks have demonstrated robust upward trends, with specific stocks like Sifang Jingchuang and Hengbao Co. achieving monthly gains of 84% and 88%, respectively [5] Regulatory Environment - Recent regulatory frameworks for stablecoins have been established, including the U.S. Senate's passage of the GENIUS Act and the EU's MiCA regulation, which will take effect in December 2024 [6] - The Hong Kong Stablecoin Regulation is set to be implemented on August 1, further enhancing market enthusiasm [6] Institutional Interest - There has been a notable increase in institutional research and engagement, with companies like Jingbeifang and Yuxin Technology receiving significant attention from over 100 institutions in June [6][7] - Various companies are actively exploring stablecoin applications, with some disclosing their technological capabilities and business plans related to stablecoins [7] Industry Dynamics - The stablecoin market is characterized by competition among traditional financial institutions, cryptocurrency-native companies, and technology firms, each bringing unique strengths to the table [7] - The stablecoin ecosystem is still in its early stages, with significant potential for growth and development across various segments of the industry [5][6]