Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the environmental protection industry, consistent with the previous rating [2]. Core Insights - The central economic meeting emphasized the "dual carbon" strategy, indicating a strong push towards green energy development and comprehensive green transformation in the industry [13][15]. - The report highlights significant investment opportunities in waste management, recycling, and renewable energy sectors, particularly in waste incineration and carbon monitoring equipment [15][18]. - The report notes a trend of increasing dividend payouts among solid waste companies, with the average dividend payout ratio rising from 34.3% in 2019 to 48.5% in 2024, indicating a shift towards a "dividend investment strategy" in a mature market [15][19]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Dual Carbon and Green Transformation - The central economic meeting outlined key initiatives for promoting energy efficiency and carbon reduction across major industries, including the establishment of a national carbon trading market and comprehensive solid waste management actions [13][15]. - The report anticipates growth in the green economy, particularly in sectors like waste incineration and recycling, driven by government policies [15][18]. Section 2: Biodiesel Market Insights - The report discusses the biodiesel market, noting a slight decrease in SAF prices while UCO prices remain strong, with UCO prices reaching $1,065 per ton, an 8.1% increase since the beginning of the year [19][22]. - The report suggests that companies involved in waste oil processing and biodiesel production will benefit from these market dynamics, particularly those with integrated operations [28]. Section 3: Policy Tracking - The report tracks domestic and international developments related to carbon neutrality, including the establishment of a carbon trading market and the EU's commitment to significant emission reductions by 2040 [31][32]. - It highlights the importance of policy frameworks in driving the green transition and the role of financial support for green projects [38]. Section 4: Company Announcements and Market Trends - The report provides updates on key companies in the environmental sector, including investment agreements and project developments that enhance market competitiveness [41][43]. - It notes that the environmental sector's valuation is currently at historical lows, suggesting potential for future growth [41].

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for various sectors within the energy industry, particularly highlighting opportunities in hydropower, thermal power, nuclear power, green energy, and gas companies [11][13]. Core Insights - The mechanism electricity pricing results across multiple regions are approaching their upper limits, indicating strong demand and government support for renewable energy projects [4][7]. - Natural gas prices in Europe are declining, while U.S. gas prices have reached a new high for 2023, driven by increased heating demand due to cold weather [13][20]. - The report emphasizes the importance of operational efficiency in renewable energy projects, as profitability varies significantly across different regions [10][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity Pricing - Recent mechanism electricity pricing results show that several regions, including Hebei and Ningxia, have prices close to the upper limits, reflecting strong demand and sufficient mechanism electricity indicators [4][8]. - The competitive pricing results indicate a disparity based on local consumption capacity and policy direction, with some provinces achieving significantly lower prices due to weaker demand [9][10]. 2. Natural Gas Market - U.S. Henry Hub spot prices reached $5.19/mmBtu, marking a 12.91% increase week-on-week, while European gas prices, such as the TTF, have seen a decline [13][20]. - The report notes a 1.3% year-on-year decrease in China's natural gas consumption in October, with expectations for growth in the upcoming winter months due to heating demand [30][32]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Hydropower: Favorable conditions for winter and spring generation, with recommendations for companies like Yangtze Power and Guodian Power [11]. - Thermal Power: Companies with diversified income sources are recommended, including Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian [11]. - Nuclear Power: Continued growth expected with new approvals, suggesting a focus on China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [11]. - Green Energy: Increased stability in project returns with recommendations for companies like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power [11]. - Gas Companies: Recommendations include Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, benefiting from cost reductions and improved profitability [32].

王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 站玩人行业 证券分析师 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 — 申万公用环保周报(25/11/24~25/11/28) 本期投资提示: 公用事亦 2025 年 12 月 01 日 相关研究 多地规范售电批零价差 欧亚 第12年 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 电力：广东发函规范售电批零价差。广东电力交易中心发布关于征求广东电力零售市场交易结算 有关事项意见的函（广东交易函〔2025〕11 号)。自 2026 年起，拟对各售电公司月度平均度电 批零差价高于差价收益上限 0.01 元/千瓦时的部分，按照 1:9 比例由售电公司与零售用户分享。今 年以陕西、安徽、四川、山东、新疆为代表的多个省区相继出台针对售电公 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment outlook for the public utilities and environmental sectors, particularly in the context of recent regulatory changes and market dynamics [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the regulatory measures in various provinces aimed at standardizing the retail price differences in electricity sales, which is expected to stabilize market expectations and improve the profitability of electricity sales companies [3][7]. - It notes the fluctuating natural gas prices globally, with U.S. prices rising while European prices are declining, indicating a complex supply-demand landscape influenced by geopolitical factors and seasonal demand [12][22]. - The report provides specific investment recommendations across various segments, including hydropower, thermal power, nuclear power, green energy, and gas-related companies, reflecting a diversified approach to capitalize on emerging opportunities [10][37]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: Regulation of Retail Price Differences - Guangdong has issued guidelines to regulate the retail price differences, proposing a sharing mechanism for excess profits above a set threshold starting in 2026 [7]. - Several provinces have introduced detailed policies to manage retail price differences, aiming to prevent excessive profits by electricity sales companies and ensure fair pricing for consumers [8][9]. - The report emphasizes the need for a shift from aggressive pricing strategies to a service-oriented business model for electricity sales companies, which could stabilize market expectations [9]. 2. Natural Gas: Global Price Fluctuations - As of November 28, U.S. Henry Hub spot prices reached $4.59/mmBtu, reflecting an 11.13% weekly increase, while European prices, such as TTF, fell by 5.37% to €28.75/MWh [12][13]. - The report notes that U.S. natural gas demand has surged due to cold weather, despite record production levels, leading to a tightening supply-demand balance [16]. - In Northeast Asia, LNG prices have decreased to $10.90/mmBtu, down 6.52% week-on-week, driven by weak demand and high inventory levels [31][34]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Hydropower: Favorable autumn floods are expected to enhance hydropower generation capacity for the winter and spring, with recommendations for major hydropower companies [10]. - Thermal Power: The diversification of revenue sources in thermal power companies is highlighted, with recommendations for integrated coal and power companies [11]. - Nuclear Power: The report suggests focusing on nuclear power companies due to stable cost structures and expected growth from new approvals [11]. - Green Energy: The introduction of new market rules for renewable energy is expected to stabilize returns for green energy operators [11]. - Gas and Environmental Companies: Recommendations include integrated gas trading companies and environmentally focused firms benefiting from regulatory changes [37].

Core Insights - The article highlights the importance of green transformation and the opportunities in the environmental protection industry, particularly in waste management and recycling sectors [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The Chinese government is accelerating the green transformation of the economy, aiming for carbon peak and carbon neutrality, with a focus on pollution prevention and ecosystem optimization [2]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims to establish around 100 national-level zero-carbon parks and achieve a utilization rate of approximately 4.5 billion tons of major solid waste by 2030 [2]. Group 2: Company Performance - Huanlan Environment expects a net profit of 1.605 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.85%, with a 27.85% increase after excluding one-time gains [3]. - Longkun Technology and Jiaao Environmental reported a year-on-year growth of 40% and returned to profitability, respectively, in Q3 2025 [3]. - Wan Yi Technology experienced a remarkable year-on-year growth of 1033% in Q3 2025 [3]. Group 3: Dividend Trends - The environmental protection industry is transitioning into a mature phase, leading to increased dividend payouts, particularly in the solid waste sector, where 10 out of 12 companies increased their absolute dividend amounts [3]. - The average dividend payout ratio for the solid waste sector reached 42%, an increase of 10.6 percentage points year-on-year [3].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for various sectors within the energy industry, particularly hydropower, green energy, nuclear power, and gas companies, indicating potential growth opportunities [6][18][41]. Core Insights - In October 2025, the total electricity consumption in China reached 857.2 billion kWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.4%. The growth was primarily driven by the tertiary sector and residential electricity usage, with significant contributions from industries related to big data and AI services [6][9][10]. - Natural gas prices exhibited mixed trends globally, with U.S. prices rising while European prices saw a slight decline. The report highlights the ongoing high demand for LNG in Northeast Asia, which has led to price increases in that region [20][28][41]. - The report emphasizes the importance of various energy sectors, recommending specific companies based on their performance and market conditions, such as hydropower, green energy, nuclear power, and gas companies [18][41]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity Sector - The electricity consumption in October 2025 was 857.2 billion kWh, with the first, second, and third industries and residential usage showing year-on-year growth rates of 13.2%, 6.2%, 17.1%, and 23.9% respectively [11][12]. - The tertiary sector's electricity consumption grew significantly, particularly in the internet data service industry, which saw a 46% increase [9][10]. - The report notes that the rapid growth in residential electricity usage was influenced by temperature variations, with some regions experiencing over 60% growth [6][9]. 2. Natural Gas Sector - As of November 21, 2025, the Henry Hub spot price in the U.S. was $4.13/mmBtu, reflecting an 18.33% weekly increase, while European gas prices showed slight declines [20][21]. - The report indicates that U.S. natural gas supply and demand remain robust, contributing to the upward price trend, while European prices are stabilizing due to balanced supply and demand [20][28]. - Recommendations for investment include companies in the gas sector that are expected to benefit from cost reductions and increased demand [41]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Hydropower: Continued high growth in hydropower generation is expected, with recommendations for companies like Guotou Power and Chuan Investment Energy [18]. - Green Energy: The report suggests focusing on companies like Xintian Green Energy and Fuhua Co., which are expected to benefit from stable returns and increased operational efficiency [18]. - Nuclear Power: The approval of new nuclear units is anticipated to support growth, with recommendations for China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [18]. - Gas and Environmental Companies: The report highlights the potential for gas companies to recover profitability and suggests focusing on integrated gas traders [41].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, recommending various companies within these industries based on their performance and market conditions [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in electricity consumption in October, with a year-on-year growth of 10.4%, driven primarily by the tertiary sector and residential usage [5][10]. - Natural gas prices exhibit mixed trends globally, with U.S. prices rising while European prices are stabilizing [22][30]. - The report provides specific investment recommendations across various segments, including hydropower, green energy, nuclear power, thermal power, and gas [20][21]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity Sector - In October, total electricity consumption reached 857.2 billion kWh, marking a 10.4% increase year-on-year. The first, second, and third industries, along with residential consumption, saw growth rates of 13.2%, 6.2%, 17.1%, and 23.9%, respectively [12][10]. - The tertiary sector's electricity consumption grew the fastest, particularly in internet data services related to big data and AI, which surged by 46% [11]. - The report notes that the second industry contributes over 60% of total electricity consumption, with high-tech and equipment manufacturing showing significant growth [11][12]. 2. Gas Sector - As of November 21, U.S. Henry Hub spot prices were $4.13/mmBtu, reflecting an 18.33% weekly increase, while European gas prices showed slight declines [22][30]. - The report indicates that U.S. natural gas supply remains robust, with a notable increase in LNG demand, contributing to rising prices [24][25]. - Recommendations include focusing on integrated gas companies and those benefiting from cost reductions and increased sales, such as Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy [44]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The report notes that the public utility, gas, and power equipment sectors underperformed compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index during the week of November 17 to November 21 [47]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the commissioning of China's highest-altitude wind power project in Tibet, which is expected to provide significant clean energy and economic benefits to the local community [50][53]. - It also highlights various local government initiatives aimed at promoting green electricity and renewable energy projects, including direct connections for green electricity [54][55].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Yongxing Co., Ltd. has experienced a continuous decline in stock price for nine consecutive days, with a total drop of 7.5% during this period, currently trading at 15.67 yuan per share and a market capitalization of 14.103 billion yuan [1] - Yongxing Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in waste incineration power generation, with 98.91% of its revenue coming from project operations and 1.09% from other supplementary sources [1] - The company is located in Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, and was established on May 21, 2009, with its listing date set for January 18, 2024 [1] Group 2 - Among the top ten circulating shareholders of Yongxing Co., Ltd., ICBC Credit Suisse Fund's ICBC Hongli Youxiang Mixed A Fund increased its holdings by 1.6063 million shares in the third quarter, now holding 6.7513 million shares, which accounts for 2.81% of the circulating shares [2] - The fund has incurred a floating loss of approximately 202,500 yuan today and a total floating loss of 8.5741 million yuan during the nine-day decline [2] - The ICBC Hongli Youxiang Mixed A Fund was established on December 25, 2018, with a current scale of 4.923 billion yuan and has achieved a year-to-date return of 12.96% [2]

Core Insights - The report highlights significant profit growth in municipal environmental companies, particularly in waste incineration power generation and biofuel sectors, driven by capacity expansion and improved operational efficiency [1][5] Waste Incineration Power Generation - Major waste incineration companies reported substantial profit increases in Q3, with notable growth in net profits for companies like Junxin Co. (+47.6%), Hanlan Environment (+28.1%), and Yongxing Co. (+25.6%) [1] - Key factors for profit growth include the commissioning of new projects, asset acquisitions, and enhanced capacity utilization through methods like co-firing aged waste [1][2] - The average profit increase from heat supply per ton of waste is approximately 80 yuan [1] Cash Flow Improvement - Waste incineration companies experienced growth in net cash flow from operating activities, attributed to increased capacity and government subsidy repayments [2] Water Utilities - Water utility companies showed mixed profit results in Q3, with notable declines in net profits for Chuangye Environmental (-10.4%) and Shou Chuang Environmental (-78.4%), while others like Hongcheng Environment (+2.1%) and Chongqing Water (+2.7%) reported growth [3] - The significant drop in Shou Chuang's profits was primarily due to a one-time investment gain from the previous year [3] Biofuels - Biofuel companies saw substantial profit increases in Q3, driven by rising raw material prices and improved sales [4][5] - UCO export prices rose by 16.7%-22.2% year-on-year, benefiting companies like Shangaohuan Energy and Langkun Technology, which reported significant profit recoveries [4] - Despite a decline in biodiesel export sales due to EU anti-dumping duties, companies like Zhuoyue New Energy managed to achieve profit growth through cost control and new production lines [4] - SAF sales volume increased significantly, with prices rising by 42.16%, leading to profitability for companies like Jiaao Environmental [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on waste incineration companies with high dividends and growth potential, such as Guangda Environment, Hanlan Environment, Yongxing Co., and Junxin Co. [6] - It also recommends biofuel companies benefiting from overseas carbon reduction policies, including Shangaohuan Energy and Jiaao Environmental [6] - For the water sector, high-dividend assets like Beikong Water Group and Yuehai Investment are highlighted [6]

Core Viewpoint - Yongxing Co., Ltd. achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 284 million yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.61%, aligning with expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company continues to experience high growth, with a further increase in gross profit margin quarter-on-quarter [1] - The profit increment from waste heat utilization is estimated at approximately 80 yuan per ton of waste [1] Group 2: Strategic Developments - The company has established a steam supply agreement with several local groups, which is expected to enhance heating capacity in the second half of the year, laying a foundation for profit improvement [1] - As the only waste-to-energy enterprise in Guangzhou, the company is well-positioned to benefit from the national green development initiatives for data centers [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The National Development and Reform Commission's action plan emphasizes reducing PUE and increasing the share of green electricity, which aligns with the company's operational focus [1] - Guangzhou's data center planning aims for 600,000 cabinets by 2025 and 800,000 by 2027, indicating potential for accelerated collaboration with service providers and subsequent profit growth [1]