Group 1 - The A-share market saw all three major indices turn positive, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.17%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.66%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.67% as of 11:08 AM [1] - The Electric Grid Equipment ETF (159326) increased by 1.44%, with a trading volume reaching 5.97 billion yuan [1] - The Electric Grid Equipment ETF has experienced a significant growth of 12.967 billion yuan in the past month, ranking first among similar products, with a total size of 17.019 billion yuan, making it the largest electric grid-related ETF in the market [1] Group 2 - The Electric Grid Equipment ETF is the only ETF tracking the China Securities Electric Grid Equipment Theme Index, with a strong representation in sectors such as power transmission and transformation equipment, grid automation equipment, and distribution equipment [2] - The smart grid sector holds a weight of 90% in the index, while the ultra-high voltage sector accounts for 67%, both being the highest in the market [2] - The ETF includes leading companies such as TBEA, China XD Electric, and others, which are prominent in the export market [2] Group 3 - The demand for high-performance transformers has surged due to the explosive growth in power requirements for AI supercomputing clusters and data centers, leading to a situation where such equipment is in high demand and short supply [1] - The export of power transformers has maintained a high growth rate, with a reported export value of 5.5 billion USD from January to November 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 49%, while distribution transformer exports reached 2.5 billion USD, up by 13% [1]

Market Overview - A-shares showed resilience against external market pressures, with major indices recovering after a low opening, resulting in the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 4.40 points (0.11%) to 4080.31 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 90.46 points (0.65%) to 14043.17 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 21.17 points (0.65%) to 3281.45 points [1] Sector Performance - The chemical sector saw strong performance, with stocks like Cangzhou Dahua, Jinniu Chemical, Baichuan Co., and Baihehua hitting the daily limit [1] - The humanoid robot concept stocks were active, with companies such as Wuzhou Xinchun, Liancheng Precision, and Tianqi Co. also reaching the daily limit [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector showed signs of recovery, with Hunan Gold and Xianglu Tungsten hitting the daily limit [1] - The traditional Chinese medicine sector opened strong, with stocks like Te Yi Pharmaceutical reaching the daily limit [1] Policy Support - The Chinese government, through the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments, issued a development plan for the traditional Chinese medicine industry, aiming for a collaborative development system by 2030, which is expected to boost the sector's growth [2] Price Dynamics - The price of disperse dyes surged due to a significant increase in the cost of upstream key intermediates, rising from 25,000 yuan/ton to 38,000 yuan/ton, a more than 50% increase, which is expected to drive up prices in the textile dyeing industry as demand increases post-Spring Festival [3] Market Challenges - The liquor sector faced downward pressure, with stocks like Huangtai Liquor hitting the daily limit down, attributed to a decline in demand following the consumption peak around the Spring Festival and increased competition leading to price cuts [4] - AI application stocks experienced declines, with companies like Yaowang Technology and Zhejiang Wenhu falling to the daily limit due to concerns over technology maturity and unclear business models [5] - The optical module and CPO sectors continued to adjust, with stocks like Yuanjie Technology and Xinyisheng dropping over 6% as market expectations normalized [6] Institutional Insights - Zhongjin Securities noted that despite external pressures, there are no typical bull market top signals in Chinese stocks, with ample liquidity and improving earnings, suggesting a continued positive outlook for Chinese asset revaluation [7] - Tianfeng Securities highlighted the fragility of market sentiment, indicating that any news could trigger short-term sell-offs, particularly in the gold market [7] - Huachuang Securities observed a strong recovery in consumer markets expected for the 2026 Spring Festival, driven by government-led consumption initiatives, suggesting potential growth in sectors like dining, tourism, and retail [7]

2026 年 02 月 06 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：32 分（较冷） 最近一年大盘走势 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 (%) 沪深300 相关研究 | 1、《双融日报》2026-02-05 | | --- | | 2、《双融日报》2026-02-04 | | 3、《双融日报》2026-02-03 | ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（较冷） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 32 分，市场情绪处于"较冷"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：电网设备、银行、消费 1、电网设备主题：全球 AI 数据中心（AIDC）耗电量巨大， 催生了对高功率、高稳定性变压器等核心电力设备的刚性需 求。目前全球供需严重失衡，美国市场交货周期已长达 127 周。与此同时，国内"十五五"期间，国家电网 4 万亿元的 巨额投资将重点投向特高压、智能化配电网等新型电力系 统，为行业带来了明确的长期订单支撑。相关标的：中国西 电（601179）、特变 ...

Group 1 - The industry has transitioned from a traditional "cyclical defensive" attribute to a "growth offensive" track, driven by the clearing of production capacity in the power grid equipment sector and multiple strategic benefits [1] - The latest investment plan from the State Grid for 2025 exceeds 650 billion yuan, marking an 8% year-on-year increase and a historical high, with significant changes in investment structure [2] - The construction of the power grid is shifting from merely pursuing transmission capacity to a comprehensive transformation focusing on "strong backbone + quality distribution network + intelligence" [2] Group 2 - The approval and construction of domestic UHV projects have significantly accelerated, with the bidding amounts for UHV materials and equipment expanding year by year, indicating a robust demand for UHV networks [3] - In the global context, the power grid is undergoing a historic restructuring, with developed countries facing mandatory asset updates and emerging economies needing to fill infrastructure gaps, leading to structural expansion in global grid investment [4] - China's key power equipment exports reached 71.5 billion USD from January to November 2025, a 20% year-on-year increase, with high-value transmission and transformation equipment driving export growth [4][5] Group 3 - The index selected 80 listed companies involved in UHV industry, smart grid construction, green energy, and energy storage, with a high weight of 88% in smart grid and 65% in UHV, indicating strong support from funds and policies [6] - The top three weight sectors of the index as of February 3, 2026, are transmission and transformation equipment (35.2%), grid automation equipment (21.7%), and cable components (12.6%) [8] - The Tianhong CSI Power Grid Equipment Theme Index Fund offers flexible share options suitable for long-term investors and those looking to capture industry fluctuations, providing a convenient tool for investing in the energy sector [9]

Core Viewpoint - The State Grid has announced a fixed asset investment plan for the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with a total investment expected to reach 4 trillion yuan, representing a 40% increase compared to the previous period. This indicates a clear high-growth trend in China's power grid investments, leading to unprecedented market expectations for the "power grid cycle" [2]. Investment Dimensions - The power system can be divided into generation, transmission, transformation, distribution, and consumption. The investment in power grid projects can be categorized into three dimensions: trunk network/super high voltage, smart grid/digitalization, and distribution and consumption equipment [10]. - Trunk network/super high voltage investments focus on primary equipment for physical transmission channels, characterized by large single amounts and long construction cycles, typically requiring 2-2.5 years from approval to operation [10]. - Smart grid/digitalization investments pertain to secondary equipment, which includes control systems and automation, with shorter delivery cycles of 0.5-1 year and more stable revenue driven by both new line construction and upgrades of existing networks [11]. - Distribution and consumption side investments target distributed energy access and end-users, characterized by fragmented orders and fast turnover, with profits recognized in line with annual grid construction progress [11]. Company Analysis - Group A companies, such as Pinggao Electric and China XD Electric, exhibit strong cyclical performance linked to super high voltage construction, with profits closely tied to specific project completion timelines [13]. - Group B, represented by State Grid NARI, shows strong certainty and anti-cyclicality in its performance, driven by the increasing complexity of the power grid and technological premiums rather than direct dependence on grid investment fluctuations [15]. - Group C focuses on the end of the power grid, emphasizing access and consumption, with companies like Samsung Medical experiencing accelerated profit growth due to the shift from urbanization-driven to consumption-driven investments, particularly in response to the rapid growth of distributed solar energy [17]. New Power System Cycle - The current "14th Five-Year Plan" power grid cycle differs from previous ones, with its driving factors shifting from "scale expansion" to "reconstruction of the power grid under a new power system." The main challenge has evolved to system stability and capacity for renewable energy integration [20]. - It is anticipated that a significant portion of the 4 trillion yuan investment will be allocated to addressing the randomness and volatility of renewable energy sources. Key factors influencing the industry include cost fluctuations of raw materials, technological upgrades, investment policies, and supply-demand dynamics [20].

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, with notable losses in both percentage and monetary terms across multiple sectors, particularly in metals, communication equipment, and renewable energy [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Outflow - Zijin Mining experienced a capital outflow of 2.275 billion, with a decline of 4.37% [2] - Xinyi Technology saw an outflow of 1.816 billion, with a decrease of 4.06% [2] - Aerospace Development had a capital outflow of 1.691 billion, reflecting a drop of 1.54% [2] - TBEA reported an outflow of 1.553 billion, with a decline of 5.05% [2] - Goldwind Technology faced a capital outflow of 1.217 billion, down by 9.02% [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum experienced an outflow of 1.203 billion, with a decrease of 6.34% [2] - BlueFocus Media saw an outflow of 1.145 billion, down by 5.76% [2] - Longi Green Energy had a capital outflow of 1.106 billion, with a decline of 5.59% [2] - Zhongjin Gold experienced an outflow of 1.033 billion, down by 5.20% [2] - Shanzhi High-Tech saw an outflow of 0.975 billion, with a decrease of 6.23% [2] - Sungrow Power Supply experienced an outflow of 0.963 billion, down by 4.12% [2] Group 2: Additional Stocks and Their Performance - Xinyi Silver experienced a capital outflow of 0.850 billion, with a decline of 6.33% [3] - China Western Power saw an outflow of 0.833 billion, down by 7.14% [3] - Inovance Technology had a capital outflow of 0.811 billion, with a decrease of 6.62% [3] - Sanhua Intelligent Control experienced an outflow of 0.806 billion, down by 3.04% [3] - TCL Zhonghuan saw an outflow of 0.781 billion, with a slight increase of 1.61% [3] - Jiangxi Copper experienced a capital outflow of 0.707 billion, down by 5.10% [3] - Shandong Gold saw an outflow of 0.683 billion, with a decline of 3.92% [3] - SMIC experienced a capital outflow of 0.676 billion, down by 2.65% [3] - Jiejia Weichuang faced an outflow of 0.626 billion, with a significant drop of 12.39% [3]

| 中金黄金 | -4.59 | -7.71亿元 | 贵金属 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 阳光电源 | -3.93 | -7.63亿元 | 光伏设备 | | 中国西电 | -6.82 | -7.30亿元 | 电网设备 | | 三花智控 | -2.57 | -6.97亿元 | 家电行业 | | 英维克 | -5.94 | -6.51亿元 | 专用设{ | | 山东黄金 | -4.21 | -6.37亿元 | 贵金属 | | 中芯国际 | -2.59 | -6.34亿元 | 未营体 | | 江西铜业 | -4.03 | -6.12亿元 | 有色金属 | | 北方稀土 | -5.27 | -6.00亿元 | 小金属 | *数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议 据交易所数据显示，截至2月5日午后一小时，主力资金流出前20的股票分别为： 紫金矿业（-21.88亿元）、 新易盛（-15.92亿元）、 特变电工（-13.23亿 元）、 航天发展（-12.66亿元）、 洛阳钼业（-11.69亿元）、 金风科技（-11.46亿元）、 蓝色光标（-10.63亿元）、 隆基绿能（-10.50亿元）、 山子高 ...

2026 年 02 月 05 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：53 分（中性） 最近一年大盘走势 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (%) 沪深300 相关研究 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（中性） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 53 分，市场情绪处于"中性"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 宏观经济意外下滑、地缘政治风险、流动性收紧超预期、行 业政策低于预期。 c ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：电网设备、银行、消费 1、电网设备主题：全球 AI 数据中心（AIDC）耗电量巨大， 催生了对高功率、高稳定性变压器等核心电力设备的刚性需 求。目前全球供需严重失衡，美国市场交货周期已长达 127 周。与此同时，国内"十五五"期间，国家电网 4 万亿元的 巨额投资将重点投向特高压、智能化配电网等新型电力系 统，为行业带来了明确的长期订单支撑。相关标的：中国西 电（601179）、特变电工（600089） 2、银行主题：银行股具有高股息特性，如中证银行指数 ...

Core Viewpoint - The transformer industry is experiencing a significant surge in demand, with many factories operating at full capacity and orders extending to 2027, particularly for data center applications [1][3]. Industry Overview - The transformer export value in China is projected to reach 64.6 billion yuan by 2025, marking a nearly 36% increase from 2024. Exports to Asia are expected to grow by 65.39%, to Africa by 28.03%, and to Europe by over 138% [3]. - The average export price of transformers from China has risen to approximately $20,800 per unit [3]. - The demand for transformers is driven by the surge in electricity consumption from data centers due to the AI boom and the urgent need for upgrades in aging power grids in Europe and the U.S. [3]. Market Dynamics - The U.S. and European markets show a preference for local and allied brands due to ideological and national security concerns, which has allowed Chinese manufacturers to fill the supply gap created by local production shortages [4]. - The Chinese transformer industry is supported by long-term domestic demand factors, including the "14th Five-Year Plan" for smart grid construction and the aging infrastructure in residential areas [4]. Performance Disparity - While most companies in the transformer industry are profitable, there is significant performance disparity among them. For instance, TBEA reported a net profit of 5.484 billion yuan, a 27.55% increase year-on-year, while companies like Igor and Sanbian Technology saw declines in net profit [5][6]. - The performance of companies is influenced by their focus on specific customer segments, with some heavily reliant on state grid orders, leading to volatility based on bidding cycles [6][7]. Future Outlook - The transformer industry is expected to enter a golden development period over the next decade, driven by increasing electricity demand and substantial investments in grid infrastructure [4][5]. - However, the industry faces challenges such as rising raw material prices and potential market saturation, which could pressure profit margins [7].

21世纪经济报道记者费心懿 广东佛山某电气工厂的生产车间里，三条生产线正24小时三班倒赶工，待发往北美、欧洲的数据中心专用变压器堆满了仓库；江苏一家变压器企业的订单系 统显示，定制化产品排期已延至2027年底。这一幕，正是全球变压器产业爆发式增长的缩影。 变压器是电力系统的"中枢神经"，主要起到电压变换以及平衡电力供需的"流量控制器"等功能。 与此同时，我国也在近两年对电力基础设施提出了新的要求。国家发改委2024年3月发布的《关于新形势下配电网高质量发展的指导意见》进一步明确， 2025年需全面淘汰高耗能变压器，全社会高效节能变压器占比较2021年提升10个百分点以上，政策红利持续释放。 据央视财经，目前广东、江苏两大核心产区的变压器工厂产能利用率均维持在90%以上，部分龙头企业甚至达到满产状态，行业供需缺口持续扩大。 电网安全事件倒逼行业变革 全球变压器需求激增，制造重心向中国转移来自于两大需求叠加——欧洲电网升级投资提速以及北美地区为AIDC应用所储备的电力系统改革。 2025年4月28日，西班牙全国电力负荷在5秒内骤降15吉瓦导致本土电力系统全面瘫痪，跨国输电网络连锁反应导致葡萄牙同步停电，法国南部3 ...