| 国内太阳能级多晶硅成交价 产品 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 均价 | 波动 | 波动% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | n型复投料成交价 | | - | 1 | 1 | - | | n型致密料成交价 | | | | | | | p型多晶硅成交价 | | | | | - | | n型颗粒硅成交价 | | | | | | | 单位:万元/吨 | | | | 更新日期: | 2026-2-4 | 智通财经APP获悉，据安泰科统计，本周多晶硅主流产品均无报价，且无成交。本周市场观望情绪较上 周进一步加剧，新单签约完全停滞，仅极个别企业存在小额试探性询价。下游普遍以消化现有库存为 主，采购意愿极度低迷。 当前市场僵局深化的核心原因在于：第一，尽管白银价格近期出现回落，但银浆等关键辅材的绝对价格 仍处高位，电池片生产成本压力尚未缓解，下游对硅料价格的接受度持续受限。第二，春节临近，下游 硅片、电池片企业的开工计划不确定性增强，短期采购需求有所延后，而同期硅料企业停产减产在一定 程度上缓解了供应压力，供需两方面因素导致市场观望僵局进一步深化。 据硅业分会统计，1月份国 ...

开源证券研报指出，江西铜业是国内领先的铜冶炼生产商，在铜以及相关有色金属领域建立了集勘探、 采矿、选矿、冶炼、加工的一体化产业链。目前公司主要资产包括国内规模领先的铜冶炼产能和5座在 产铜矿山，整体生产稳健。同时公司积极实践"资源优先"战略，推动第一量子的战略合作关系，并已在 中亚、南美等地区进行资源布局，合作资源项目（艾娜克铜矿、北秘鲁矿业）有望迎来开花结果。预计 2025-2027年公司将实现归母净利润分别为84.51/121.47/133.6亿元，当前股价对应PE为23.4/16.3/14.8 倍。首次覆盖给予公司"买入"评级。 ...

江西铜业股份（00358）盘中涨超3%，截至发稿，股价上涨1.59%，现报46.02港元，成交额4.98亿港 元。 2月3日，在中国有色金属工业协会举行2025年有色金属工业经济运行情况新闻发布会上，中国有色金属 工业协会副秘书长段绍甫表示，将扎实推进铜冶炼产能治理工作，目前国内已叫停了200多万吨铜冶炼 项目，铜冶炼产能过快增长的势头已得到有效抑制。未来，行业协会将继续配合国家有关部门严格管控 新增矿铜冶炼项目，从源头上改善外采比逐年提升的现状。 开源证券指出，公司为国内领先的铜冶炼生产商，在铜以及相关有色金属领域建立集勘探、采矿、选 矿、冶炼、加工的一体化产业链。目前公司主要资产包括国内规模领先的铜冶炼产能和5座在产铜矿 山，整体生产稳健。同时公司积极实践"资源优先"战略，推动第一量子的战略合作关系，并已在中亚、 南美等地区进行资源布局，合作资源项目（艾娜克铜矿、北秘鲁矿业）有望迎来开花结果。 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 江西铜业股份（00358）盘中涨超3%，截至发稿，股价上涨1.59%，现报46.02港元，成交额4.98亿港 元。 2月3日，在中国有色金属工业协会 ...

消息面上，2月3日，在中国有色金属工业协会举行2025年有色金属工业经济运行情况新闻发布会上，中 国有色金属工业协会副秘书长段绍甫表示，将扎实推进铜冶炼产能治理工作，目前国内已叫停了200多 万吨铜冶炼项目，铜冶炼产能过快增长的势头已得到有效抑制。未来，行业协会将继续配合国家有关部 门严格管控新增矿铜冶炼项目，从源头上改善外采比逐年提升的现状。 开源证券指出，公司为国内领先的铜冶炼生产商，在铜以及相关有色金属领域建立集勘探、采矿、选 矿、冶炼、加工的一体化产业链。目前公司主要资产包括国内规模领先的铜冶炼产能和5座在产铜矿 山，整体生产稳健。同时公司积极实践"资源优先"战略，推动第一量子的战略合作关系，并已在中亚、 南美等地区进行资源布局，合作资源项目(艾娜克铜矿、北秘鲁矿业)有望迎来开花结果。 江西铜业股份(00358)再涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.4%，报48.84港元，成交额3.85亿港元。 智通财经APP获悉，江西铜业股份(00358)再涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.4%，报48.84港元，成交额3.85亿 港元。 ...

开源证券指出，公司为国内领先的铜冶炼生产商，在铜以及相关有色金属领域建立集勘探、采矿、选 矿、冶炼、加工的一体化产业链。目前公司主要资产包括国内规模领先的铜冶炼产能和5座在产铜矿 山，整体生产稳健。同时公司积极实践"资源优先"战略，推动第一量子的战略合作关系，并已在中亚、 南美等地区进行资源布局，合作资源项目(艾娜克铜矿、北秘鲁矿业)有望迎来开花结果。 消息面上，2月3日，在中国有色金属工业协会举行2025年有色金属工业经济运行情况新闻发布会上，中 国有色金属工业协会副秘书长段绍甫表示，将扎实推进铜冶炼产能治理工作，目前国内已叫停了200多 万吨铜冶炼项目，铜冶炼产能过快增长的势头已得到有效抑制。未来，行业协会将继续配合国家有关部 门严格管控新增矿铜冶炼项目，从源头上改善外采比逐年提升的现状。 江西铜业（600362）股份(00358)再涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.4%，报48.84港元，成交额3.85亿港元。 ...

消息面上，2月3日，在中国有色金属工业协会举行2025年有色金属工业经济运行情况新闻发布会上，中 国有色金属工业协会副秘书长段绍甫表示，将扎实推进铜冶炼产能治理工作，目前国内已叫停了200多 万吨铜冶炼项目，铜冶炼产能过快增长的势头已得到有效抑制。未来，行业协会将继续配合国家有关部 门严格管控新增矿铜冶炼项目，从源头上改善外采比逐年提升的现状。 开源证券指出，公司为国内领先的铜冶炼生产商，在铜以及相关有色金属领域建立集勘探、采矿、选 矿、冶炼、加工的一体化产业链。目前公司主要资产包括国内规模领先的铜冶炼产能和5座在产铜矿 山，整体生产稳健。同时公司积极实践"资源优先"战略，推动第一量子的战略合作关系，并已在中亚、 南美等地区进行资源布局，合作资源项目(艾娜克铜矿、北秘鲁矿业)有望迎来开花结果。 智通财经APP获悉，江西铜业股份(00358)再涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.4%，报48.84港元，成交额3.85亿 港元。 ...

Group 1 - LME copper prices reached $13,512.63 per ton, with a daily increase of 0.26% [1] - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association suggested improving the copper resource reserve system, including expanding national copper strategic reserves and exploring commercial reserve mechanisms [1] - Current copper prices are under pressure due to expectations of a reduction in the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, but the supply-demand fundamentals remain strong, with a projected widening global copper mine gap and increasing demand from AI infrastructure [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) includes 30 large-cap companies involved in copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, and rare earth metals [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index account for 55.71% of the index, including companies like Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and China Aluminum [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - Copper concentrate is expected to be included in the strategic reserve scope, enhancing the status of key metals [8] - The global average copper ore grade is declining, leading to a sustained tight supply trend, which may further elevate copper's status as a critical metal [8] - The "anti-involution" policy in copper smelting remains unchanged, with expectations for copper prices and smelting fees to rise in the medium term [8] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The copper resource reserve system is being improved, with plans to expand the national copper strategic reserve and explore commercial reserve mechanisms. The import dependency of domestic copper concentrate has reached 75%, indicating a need for enhanced supply chain security [8] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Major copper mining companies have reported a decline in copper production due to falling ore grades. The insufficient capital expenditure by mining companies and the decreasing rate of significant copper resource discoveries suggest that supply will not increase significantly in the medium term. Meanwhile, demand from traditional sectors and emerging fields like renewable energy is expected to grow [8] Policy and Market Trends - The domestic copper smelting capacity is being strictly controlled, with over 2 million tons of copper smelting projects halted. The "anti-involution" policy is expected to gradually show effects in the next two to three years, leading to a potential upward correction in smelting fees [8] Investment Recommendations - For copper mining, it is recommended to focus on Zijin Mining (601899, Buy) due to its large resource reserves and expected production increases. Other notable companies include Luoyang Molybdenum (603993, Not Rated) and Jincheng Mining (603979, Not Rated) [8] - For copper smelting, attention is drawn to Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630, Buy), which is expected to benefit from increased copper concentrate self-sufficiency and improved spot smelting fee expectations. Jiangxi Copper (600362, Not Rated) is also mentioned [8]

有色金属行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 风物长宜放眼量 ——有色钢铁行业周观点（2026 年第 5 周） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 风险提示 宏观经济增速放缓；关税影响需求与产业链稳定性；原料价格波动；中美关系变化 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色金属行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 04 日 看好（维持） | 刘洋 | 执业证书编号：S0860520010002 | | --- | --- | | 香港证监会牌照：BTB487 | | | liuyang3@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | | 李一涛 | 执业证书编号：S0860124120001 | | liyitao@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | | 黄雨韵 | 执业证书编号：S0860125070019 | | --- | --- | | | huangyuyun@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | 金银比突破 50，贵金属有望带领工业金属 加 速 上 涨 ： — — 有 色 钢 铁 行 业 周 观 点 （2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry in China [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes a long-term perspective on the market, suggesting that despite short-term volatility in precious metals, the long-term bull market remains intact due to unresolved U.S. debt issues [7][12] - The zinc sector is highlighted as an overlooked material benefiting from the re-industrialization in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, with expectations for price increases due to supply tightness [7][13] - The copper sector is viewed positively, with the gold-to-copper ratio reaching historical highs, indicating potential for copper price increases amid supply constraints [7][14] - For precious metals, investors are advised to wait for price stabilization before increasing positions, as significant price fluctuations have been observed recently [7][15] Summary by Sections 1. Non-Ferrous Metals - The report discusses the dynamics of precious metals, noting significant price drops in gold and silver, with gold prices reaching $4,880 per ounce and silver prices at $85 per ounce during a recent week [7][12] - The zinc market is expected to benefit from increased demand driven by infrastructure projects in developing regions, with a noted decrease in zinc smelting fees indicating supply constraints [7][13] - The copper market is projected to maintain upward momentum due to a high gold-to-copper ratio and ongoing supply challenges from major mining companies [7][14] - The report suggests a cautious approach to precious metals, recommending that investors wait for market stabilization before making new investments [7][15] 2. Steel Industry - The steel industry is experiencing a weak fundamental outlook as it approaches the seasonal low around the Spring Festival, with a slight decrease in iron output and weakening demand for rebar [16][21] - Inventory levels show a divergence between social and steel mill stocks, with total steel inventory at 891 thousand tons, reflecting a 2.56% weekly increase [23] - Steel prices have generally declined, with the overall steel price index down by 0.20%, and specific products like cold-rolled steel experiencing a 0.44% decrease [35][36] 3. New Energy Metals - Lithium carbonate production in December 2025 saw a significant year-on-year increase of 69.09%, indicating strong supply growth in the new energy sector [39] - The demand for new energy vehicles remains robust, with December 2025 production reaching 1.5858 million units, a 9.02% increase year-on-year [43] - Lithium prices have shown a notable decline, with the average price for battery-grade lithium carbonate at 159,500 yuan per ton, reflecting a 5.62% decrease [48][49]