美印能源博弈：一场教科书式的反制艺术 2025年盛夏，华盛顿突然对印度举起关税大棒，要求其立即停止进口俄罗斯原油。然而莫迪政府并未如预期般退让，反而抛出一个令人拍案叫绝的能源置换 方案——印度可以配合美国要求，前提是解除对伊朗和委内瑞拉的石油禁运。这场看似寻常的贸易摩擦，瞬间演变成国际战略博弈的精彩案例。 印度外长苏杰生的表态堪称经典：我们与各国的友谊不需要第三方批准。这番表态背后，是印度坚持七十年的战略自主外交哲学。当美国要求印度选边站 时，新德里巧妙地将选择题抛回华盛顿：要么开放伊朗和委内瑞拉市场，要么继续默许印度购买俄油。这种以子之矛攻子之盾的策略，直指美国制裁体系的 逻辑漏洞。 印度的反击恰好揭露了西方的矛盾之处：2024年美欧与俄罗斯的双边贸易额仍高达600亿欧元，美国企业仍在进口俄罗斯的核燃料与稀有金属。更讽刺的 是，印度大量采购俄油最初正是应美国所请——为缓解西方制裁造成的全球能源危机。这种昨是今非的态度，让美国的道德说教显得苍白无力。 【能源命脉的攻防战】 作为全球第三大原油进口国，印度83%的石油需求依赖海外供应。俄乌冲突爆发后，俄罗斯提供的每桶低于市场价30%的友情价原油，成为印度经济的稳 ...

改写后的文本： 2025年，全球仍在消化地缘政治冲突的余震，而美国却在这片混沌中驶向了一条令人不安的新轨道。这既非传统意义上的军事对抗，也不是经济制裁的延 续，而是一场静水深流却影响深远的国家战略转向。 多位国际问题专家，包括知名评论家托马斯·弗里德曼在内，近期接连发出警示：这个曾经主导国际秩序构建的国家，正在蜕变为现有体系的规则破坏者。 这种转变不是空穴来风，而是体现在经济政策、外交战略、制度变革等各个层面，形成了一连串环环相扣的系统性风险。 曾经作为全球化推手的美国，如今更像一台巨型吸金器，通过种种手段将全球财富源源不断地抽向本土。年初，特朗普政府推出的新关税政策震惊世界，其 覆盖范围之广、税率之高，连前任政府官员都直呼难以置信。从德国汽车到韩国芯片，甚至连美国企业在海外生产的产品都未能幸免。 当世界强国开始奉行掠夺者逻辑，全球体系的稳定性就面临严峻挑战。美国的政策已不再是偶发的特例，而是对国际规则的系统性破坏。频繁的关税战迫使 各国企业重组供应链，这些额外成本最终都会转嫁给全球消费者。美国一边高喊自由市场，一边强行改写游戏规则。 世界贸易组织的处境就是明证。在美国的持续阻挠下，其上诉机构几近瘫痪，严重削 ...

九月国际局势风云变幻，一场由美国主导的关税博弈正在上演，却意外遭遇盟友集体冷处理。这场大戏的序幕，是特朗普高调呼吁北约32个盟友对中印商品 加征最高10%的关税，试图组建经济同盟施压中俄。然而现实却给了美国一记闷棍——欧盟明确拒绝、日本委婉推辞，就连最亲密的盟友都不愿买账。 这场博弈的深层逻辑值得玩味。美国试图将中印与俄罗斯的正常贸易往来污名化为战争资助，借此在贸易领域开辟新战场。为此，华盛顿做足了铺垫：先是 把数十家中国科技企业列入实体清单，又对TikTok挥舞禁令大棒，更以稀土供应链为要挟，摆出一副不跟从就惩罚的强硬姿态。 但欧洲的反应令人意外。欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩直言：我们将自主决策。这句话背后是精明的利益权衡——中欧年贸易额超8000亿欧元，德国汽车、法国 奢侈品、荷兰光刻机都深度依赖中国市场。在能源危机阴霾未散的当下，没有哪个欧盟成员国愿意为讨好美国而自断财路。 这场博弈还暴露出美国自身的矛盾。国会山内，议员们为关税的法律依据争论不休；中西部农场主因大豆出口受阻叫苦不迭；最新民调显示，62%的民众认 为加税将推高物价。就连一贯强硬的商务部长雷蒙多也不得不承认：需要考虑政策对普通家庭的影响。 这场关 ...

凤凰网财经讯 9月23-24日，由凤凰卫视、凤凰网主办的"凤凰湾区财经论坛2025"在广州举行，本届论坛以"新格局·新路径"为主题，汇聚全球政商 学界精英，共同洞察变局脉络、探寻发展新机。 魏建国指出，新格局为中国企业带来广阔空间，也提出更高要求。 机遇方面，新兴市场崛起为中国企业开辟了新天地。中国已与52个非洲国家和非盟签署"一带一路"合作备忘录，在非洲价值5000万美元以上的基建 项目中，中方参与占比达31%。多项自贸协定的实施助力中国家电、纺织服装等传统优势产业凭借关税减免、通关便利等条件，重新抢占市场先机。 魏建国表示，如今是一个充满变革与机遇的时代，全球经贸格局正在经历着深刻重塑，人们需要以全新的视野和勇气，展开双臂拥抱这个崭新的世 界。 魏建国表示，全球经贸新格局正呈现出"六化"并存的复杂的态势： 一、集团化和碎片化并存。 区域贸易协定已成为贸易大国划分势力范围的核心工具。例如，《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》（RCEP）已覆盖全球 30%以上的GDP，区域内90%的关税已归零，推动中国对东盟出口增长9%。与此同时，一些排他性协定如《全面与进步跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》 （CPTPP）等，也通过特定条款强 ...

日前，中国防长直接点名批评西方军事联盟搞"霸权主义"，之后东南亚国防部长们轮番呼应，集体吐槽美国关税政策，呼吁推进多边主 义。 各国代表讲话很有水平，没直接点名美国，但句句戳心窝子。说某些国家非要制造对手、输出混乱，把世界搞得乌烟瘴气。 更硬核的是中方再次强调台湾问题，放话"解放军绝不允许台独得逞"，直接把话撂这儿了，这说明西方那套冷战思维早该进博物馆了， 现在还抱着霸权主义不放，纯属自找没趣。 现在这场面特别有意思：美国越搞单边主义，东南亚越往中国这边靠。不是中国使什么手段，而是大家心里有杆秤——跟着中国搞合作 共赢能吃上饭，跟着美国搞对抗只能喝西北风。特别是全球南方国家，受够了西方霸权，现在中国站出来说要完善国际秩序（注意不是 推翻），正好说到心坎上了。 说到底，世界格局正在洗牌。西方那套"强权即真理"玩不转了，多极化才是大势所趋。东南亚国家也聪明，既不得罪美国的安全保障， 又抓住中国的经济机遇，在夹缝中玩出战略自主。 未来值得关注的是，中国提出的全球安全倡议能不能落地，东南亚会不会形成新的安全合作机制。但有一点可以肯定——谁再想用枪炮 和关税欺负人，全世界都会用脚投票。 最有意思的是东南亚国家的反应。越 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent tensions within the G7 regarding U.S. President Trump's call for imposing tariffs on China and India for purchasing Russian oil, highlighting Japan's refusal to support this initiative and the implications for U.S. influence in global politics [1][3][10]. Group 1: U.S. Position and G7 Dynamics - Trump is pushing G7 allies to impose tariffs on China and India, claiming that doing business with Russia should have consequences [1][3]. - The U.S. stance is met with hesitation from other G7 members, indicating a shift in the traditional dynamics where the U.S. could easily rally support [10][12]. - Japan's finance minister publicly disagrees with the U.S. proposal, emphasizing that the rationale for tariffs is insufficient and overly simplistic [5][8]. Group 2: Japan's Strategic Position - Japan's refusal to support U.S. tariffs is rooted in its strong economic ties with China, making it impractical to sever relations over the issue of Russian oil purchases [5][7]. - The Japanese government is cautious about potential retaliatory measures from China, recalling past experiences from trade disputes [7][12]. - Japan's position reflects a broader trend among nations seeking to navigate complex geopolitical landscapes without aligning too closely with either the U.S. or China [8][13]. Group 3: Implications for Global Trade - The article suggests that the era of U.S. dominance in setting global trade rules is waning, as countries like Japan assert their own interests [10][15]. - The G7's internal divisions may weaken U.S. leverage in international negotiations, as countries prioritize their own economic stability over collective actions [12][15]. - Japan's stance may signal a growing trend among nations to adopt a more pragmatic approach to international relations, balancing cooperation and independence [13][17].

Group 1 - The core issue is the formation of an alliance among 11 countries, including BRICS nations, in response to Trump's aggressive tariff policies, which are perceived as economic coercion [2][3] - The alliance is a reaction to the punitive tariffs imposed by the U.S. on key exports from countries like Brazil and India, leading to significant economic distress [3][4] - The countries involved are taking coordinated actions to counter U.S. tariffs, indicating a shift towards collective economic strategies [2][3] Group 2 - The first strategy involves "de-dollarization," where the countries aim to conduct trade in their local currencies to undermine the U.S. dollar's dominance [4][5] - The second strategy is implementing reciprocal tariffs on U.S. goods, targeting key agricultural exports to the U.S. [6][7][9] - The third strategy focuses on infrastructure projects to reduce reliance on U.S.-controlled trade routes, such as the revival of the "Two Oceans Railway" in South America [10][11] Group 3 - The fourth strategy emphasizes energy cooperation among the countries, reducing dependence on U.S. energy markets and promoting local currency transactions in energy trade [12][13][14] - The collective response from these countries is expected to challenge U.S. economic hegemony and alter global trade dynamics [16][19] Group 4 - The situation reflects a broader shift in global power dynamics, with emerging economies like BRICS gaining influence and challenging Western dominance [20][22] - The U.S. faces increasing domestic backlash due to rising consumer prices and discontent among agricultural producers affected by tariffs [16][18] - The alliance's success may encourage more countries to join, further isolating the U.S. and accelerating the trend towards a multipolar world [22][23]

Group 1 - The article highlights the contradictory actions of the U.S. government, where President Trump is seeking assistance from the EU to impose tariffs, indicating a shift from unilateralism to a more collaborative approach [1][4][10] - The potential impact of a 100% tariff on U.S. companies like Ford and Apple is significant, with Ford's vehicle prices potentially doubling, leading to a drastic reduction in market share in China [12][14] - European companies, particularly in the automotive and luxury goods sectors, are expressing strong opposition to U.S. tariffs, emphasizing their deep integration with the Chinese market [51][53] Group 2 - The article discusses the rising global trade tariffs, which have reached their highest levels in 15 years, and the implications of a trade war involving over $750 billion in trade [10][49] - The response from emerging markets like China and India is proactive, as they seek to diversify their trade partnerships and reduce reliance on the U.S. [29][33] - The article notes that multinational companies are planning to reconfigure their supply chains to mitigate risks associated with trade tensions, with 41% of companies indicating plans to do so within 18 months [53][55]

Core Viewpoint - Malaysia's close cooperation with China is essential for advancing its socio-economic development and enhancing economic resilience amid complex international circumstances [1] Group 1: Economic Development - Malaysia's 13th Five-Year Development Plan emphasizes education reform to cultivate high-skilled talent and focuses on the development of artificial intelligence, digital technology, and renewable energy [1] - China has made significant achievements in these fields, providing support and experience for Malaysia's development [1] Group 2: Trade Relations - Recent U.S. tariff policies on Malaysia highlight the importance of deepening cooperation with other trade partners [1] - Malaysia is actively exploring new markets and expanding existing trade relationships, particularly with China, to ensure growth in high-value and innovative sectors [1] Group 3: Strategic Partnerships - Malaysia's increasing engagement with China, BRICS countries, and the broader Global South reflects its commitment to promoting a multipolar world [1] - Expanding economic and strategic partnerships will help Malaysia continue its national development and enhance economic resilience amid challenges and uncertainties [1] - The cooperation between Malaysia and China exemplifies how strategic collaboration among developing countries can drive sustainable growth and strengthen regional supply chains, improving competitiveness in a complex international landscape [1]

«——【·前言·】——» 新德里向世界贸易组织提交申诉，指控美国关税构成 "歧视性贸易限制"，并拟定针对美国豆类、坚果等农产品和化工产品的反制清 单。 紧接着 4 月推出的 "对等关税" 政策中，美国又对印度商品额外加征 26% 关税，进一步将贸易战升级。印度政府的反击同样迅速而精 准。 印度在与美国这场关税战中，莫迪对美的表现是如此的硬气。 特朗普政府对印度输美商品挥起的关税大棒，最终敲碎了两国精心维系的战略伙伴幻象。2025 年 8 月 30 日，《纽约时报》披露的消 息证实，美国总统特朗普已正式取消原定秋季访问印度并出席美日印澳四方安全对话（QUAD）峰会的计划。 这一决定并非临时起意，而是两国关系持续恶化的必然结果。早在今年 2 月，美国就以 "国家安全" 为由对进口钢铝产品加征 25% 关 税，作为全球第二大粗钢生产国的印度直接遭受 76 亿美元出口损失，钢铁和铝制品等核心产业首当其冲。 «——【·美印关系骤降·】——» 在中印建交 75 周年的背景下，莫迪强调愿以 "相互尊重、互利互惠" 为基础推进双边关系，特别提及要在上合框架内加强经贸合作与 战略沟通。 这种针锋相对让原本计划 8 月举行的印美 ...