固定收益 | 固定收益定期 可转债周报 20250713 证券研究报告 对比 2021，转债何去？ 转债周度专题 截至本周五，中证转债指数收于 450.8480 点，创 10 年新高；转债市场价 格中位数达 125.82 元；年内，中证转债指数上涨 8.75%，涨幅超万得全 A。 向前追溯，2021 年，转债市场也曾涨幅优于权益，主要得益于几个方面： 一是正股层面，转债对应正股契合小盘占优风格，且领涨行业赛道均有转 债发行。二是估值层面，权益向好预期，转债打新收益高企推升市场热情， 转债市场估值中枢整体上移。三是条款层面，2021Q1 权益市场回调期间， 景 20 转债、烽火转债等纷纷提议下修，增强了投资者对下修条款支撑转债 价格修复的信心；而后在权益修复行情中，优质转债触发强赎后纷纷公告 短期内不提前赎回，打开了转债价格"隐形天花板"。 当下，转债发行人强赎倾向高企，转债面临较强的价格上限压力。若新券 供给持续收缩，转债需求端或面临资金外撤风险，亦对转债高估值产生扰 动。正股层面，权益市场有望延续年内向上趋势，科技自主可控等成长赛 道仍是市场主流叙事，对应小盘风格仍有望占优，整体利好转债市场。 综上，一方面 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Convertible Bond Index has reached a ten-year high, leading to strong performance in related convertible bond funds, with over ten thematic funds achieving a net value growth rate exceeding 10% this year, the highest being 13.42% [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - On July 11, the China Convertible Bond Index peaked at 452.27 points, marking an 8.75% increase year-to-date [3]. - Several convertible bond funds have shown impressive performance, with the top fund, China Europe Convertible Bond A, achieving a 13.42% growth rate this year [3]. - Convertible bond ETFs have also performed well, with the Bosera China Convertible Bond and Exchangeable Bond ETF returning 8.58% year-to-date, and the Hai Fu Tong Shanghai Investment Grade Convertible Bond ETF at 6.71% [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The market environment has favored active management funds, allowing them to capture excess returns by exploiting industry cycle opportunities and the characteristics of convertible bonds [1][3]. - The demand for "fixed income plus" products has surged due to the challenges in obtaining capital gains from pure debt assets, coupled with a low-interest-rate environment [4]. - The strong performance of the banking sector has contributed to the rise in convertible bond indices, as a significant portion of convertible bonds are linked to small and mid-cap stocks [4][6]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Fund managers suggest focusing on sectors such as technology, dividends, and domestic demand for the second half of the year, with a "technology + dividend + domestic demand" strategy [6][7]. - Key areas of interest include AI glasses, semiconductors, automotive parts, and robotics, which are expected to see growth due to strong market catalysts [6][7]. - The overall sentiment indicates that while convertible bond valuations may not continue to rise, there are still ample opportunities in sector-specific and small-cap convertible bonds [7][8].

专栏：投教学苑Π 上半年市场复盘： 科技与新消费双轮驱动，结构性行情凸显 立足自主可控和新消费，锚定三大核心主线 2025年上半年，A股在内外扰动中走出分化格局，A股市场震荡走高，主要股指均呈上涨态势，万得全 A累计上涨5.83%，但小盘风格显著占优，北证50（+39.45%）、微盘指数（+36.41%）领涨，中证 2000、中证1000均累涨超5%，高弹性资产受到资金追逐。 【2025上半年万得全A上涨5.83%，风格上小盘相对占优】 数据来源：Wind，统计区间为2025.1.1-2025.6.30，指数历史涨跌幅不预示其未来表现。 行业层面，在全球贵金属价格持续走高的背景下，上半年有色金属以18.12%的涨幅位居行业涨幅榜榜 首，银行（+13.10%）、国防军工（+12.99%）分列涨幅前三。DeepSeek技术突破引发AI产业链共振， 人工智能、机器人、数字货币等概念轮番表现，高股息板块（如银行）和科技成长板块形成"哑铃两 端"，成为市场核心主线。 【申万一级行业上半年涨跌幅%】 数据来源：Wind，统计 区间为2025.1.1-2025.6.30，指数历史涨跌幅不预示其未来表现。 下半年展望 主线一 ...

各位老铁，大家好！我是帮主郑重，每天收盘后和大家聊聊市场那些事儿。今天三大指数集体调整，但市场依然暗流涌动，特别是数字货币和跨境支付概念 反复活跃，给沉闷的盘面增添了不少看点。咱们先从整体情况说起。 数字货币和跨境支付概念今天反复活跃，这可是帮主一直重点跟踪的方向。内地和香港跨境支付系统互通，香港8月1日又要实施稳定币新规，蚂蚁、京东这 些巨头都在申请牌照，这对行业是实实在在的利好。像中科金财开发数字人民币钱包，优博讯在智能支付终端技术上有储备，恒生电子给银行提供数字人民 币IT系统，这些公司都获得了主力资金的青睐。特别是跨境支付这块，海联金汇有双牌照，四方精创参与央行数字货币桥接，技术实力都很强。不过短期波 动可能比较大，适合波段操作，中长期可以关注恒生电子、神州信息这些金融IT龙头，它们受益于行业长期发展，确定性更高。 银行板块今天也很亮眼，江苏银行、杭州银行、成都银行这些城商行纷纷创历史新高，连工商银行、农业银行这些大块头也跟着涨。这主要是因为政策支 持，六部门发了金融支持消费的指导意见，再加上高股息率的吸引力。现在银行板块平均股息率快4%了，远超一年定存，在资产荒的背景下，险资、社保 这些长线资金都在 ...

Group 1 - The big data industry continues to show activity, with companies like Aofei Data and Kehua Data rising over 5% [1] - The big data industry ETF (516700) is actively trading, with a morning increase of 1.02%, aiming for a third consecutive day of gains [1] - The People's Bank of China plans to develop a new stage financial technology development plan to enhance financial digitalization and intelligence [3] Group 2 - CITIC Construction Investment Securities notes that the domestic third-party payment industry is experiencing a continuous improvement in industry prosperity due to supply-side clearing and demand-side warming [4] - The payment sector is expected to see new growth points from service expansion and infrastructure development, particularly in cross-border payment systems [4] - The "golden triangle" of the Xinchuang industry is being built through policy support, AI empowerment, and the urgent need for domestic alternatives [4] Group 3 - The big data industry ETF (516700) tracks the CSI Big Data Industry Index, focusing on sectors like data centers and cloud computing [6] - Investors interested in technology self-reliance should pay attention to three catalysts: high-level calls for technology leadership, the activation of digital productivity, and the acceleration of the Xinchuang 2.0 wave [7] - The Xinchuang ETF (562030) covers core segments of the Xinchuang industry chain, including hardware, software, and information security, and is characterized by high growth and elasticity [7]

Group 1 - A-shares experienced a collective rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3420.57 points, up 1.15%, and the Shenzhen Component Index rising 1.68% to 10217.63 points [1][5] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 14146 billion, a significant increase of 2920 billion compared to the previous day [1] - Key sectors such as electric power equipment, non-bank financials, and retail saw gains exceeding 2%, with solid performance from heavyweight stocks and a notable shift towards growth styles [1][6] Group 2 - *ST Jiuyou's stock plummeted over 80% after being placed in a delisting risk warning, with a market value reduced to 1.2 billion [2][4] - The company reported a negative net asset value at the end of 2023 and received an audit report with no opinion for its 2024 annual report, triggering delisting conditions [4] - Other companies in the delisting process also experienced severe declines, with some dropping over 70% on their first day of delisting [4] Group 3 - The electric power equipment index surged by 2.85%, and non-bank financials rose by 2.68%, indicating a bullish trend in these sectors [6] - The lithium battery sector saw significant gains, with multiple companies announcing advancements in solid-state battery technology and production timelines [6] - The humanoid robot sector also rebounded, with indices related to humanoid robots and associated technologies rising over 4% [6] Group 4 - A focus on high-growth small-cap stocks with significant R&D investment is highlighted, with 36 stocks identified that have over 20% of revenue allocated to R&D and projected net profit growth rates exceeding 40% from 2025 to 2027 [8] - Notable companies include Tai En Kang, which has seen a year-to-date increase of nearly 135%, driven by a strong pipeline of self-developed drugs [8][9] - The average increase for these identified companies is close to 19% year-to-date, outperforming the broader market [8]

证券研究报告·策略报告·策略月评 策略月评 20250619 重回泛科技——ETF 主观配置策略月报（五） 2025 年 06 月 19 日 [Table_Summary] 在 2 月中旬发布的首期 《ETF 主观配置策略月报》中，我们详细阐述了 ETF 主观配置策略的背景与意义，以及如何基于"大势研判—风格研判— 行业/产业趋势研判"三层级框架自上而下地构建 ETF 主观配置策略。遵 循这一框架，我们会于每月中旬更新市场展望，并推荐 10 只 A 股 ETF 作 为未来短期内的重点关注方向。 ◼ 本期市场展望与 ETF 主观配置策略 ➢ 大势/风格展望与 ETF 推荐： 当前市场预期偏弱，沪指超跌反弹后仅围绕关税冲击前位置窄幅震荡。指 数难以实现实质性突破，背后原因有三：1）中美扰动料将持续，市场风险 偏好整体偏温和；2）地缘局势升温加剧市场不确定性；3）区别于年初"春 季躁动"期间的科技重估逻辑，当前缺乏能催化行情展开的新叙事。 短期内，市场处于存量博弈状态，"电风扇"式的主题轮动仍将持续。风格 上，我们建议重回泛科技，且需适当规避业绩难以兑现的方向。考虑到逐 渐进入中报业绩预告的密集披露期，7 月中旬前 ...

《月度策略：外部不确定性仍存，成长与价值 均衡配置——月度策略》 2025-06-04 《月度策略：风险偏好或将提升，建议关注消 费科技行业——月度报告》 2025-05-08 《月度策略：宏观环境逐步改善，建议关注科 技与红利板块——月度报告》 2025-04-07 联系人：李智 投资要点： 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 证券研究报告-中期策略 发布日期：2025 年 06 月 19 日 第1页 / 共22页 分析师：徐至 登记编码：S0730525040001 xuzhi@ccnew.com 经济蓄势突围，股债市场轮动 ——2025 年 A 股中期策略 相关报告 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道1788号T1座22楼 外部经济环境：美国经济当前面临诸多不确定性因素，从经济数据 来看，美国经济已出现明显的下行迹象。从通胀角度来看，美国自 2022 年开始的强力加息措施已取得成效，CPI 当月同比增速从 2022 年 6 月的 9.1%降至 2025 年 5 月的 2.4%，通 ...

市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3402.66 | 0.01% | 0.34 | | | 深证成指 | 10234.33 | -0.11% | -11.69 | | | 沪深 300 | 3892.20 | -0.06% | -2.43 | | | 创业板 | 2067.15 | 0.26% | 5.29 | | | 科创 50 | 977.97 | -0.30% | -2.96 | | | 北证 50 | 1424.38 | -0.25% | -3.53 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万行业表现前五 | | | 申万行业表现后五 | 概 | 念板块表现前五 | 概念板块表现后五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 有色金属 | 1.40% | 家用电器 | -1.77% | 毛发医疗 | 2.02% | 中韩自贸区 | -1.52% | | 传媒 | 1.3 ...

《科创板日报》记者注意到，珠海零边界集成电路有限公司（下称：零边界）成立于2018年8月，为 格力电器全资控股子公司，是其切入半导体产业的重要平台。 以下文章来源于科创板日报 ，作者唐植潇 科创板日报 . 科创圈都在关注的新型主流媒体，上海报业集团主管主办，界面财联社出品。 董明珠卸任格力芯片公司董事长。 近日，根据公开信息显示，珠海零边界集成电路有限公司发生工商变更，董明珠卸任法定代表人、 董事长，由李绍斌接任法定代表人，并由经理、董事变更为执行公司事务的董事、经理、谭建明退 出董事行列。 在第三代半导体领域，零边界主导的碳化硅芯片工厂于2024年投产，年产能达24万片6英寸晶圆，关 键工艺国产化率超七成。 在制造业智能化转型背景下，诸如小米、TCL、美的等企业通过自研芯片或投资方式，建立了面向 终端产品的芯片平台与软件体系。 格力方面，零边界聚焦专注于工业级32位MCU、AIoT SoC与功率器件的研发，采取Fabless（无晶 圆厂）模式，提供从芯片设计、软件方案到系统集成的一站式解决方案。 零边界重点布局嵌入式主控、AI识别、加密、安全通信与变频驱动等核心方向，产品面向消费电 子、工控、商用设备、智能 ...