截至2025年10月9日 14:09，30年国债ETF(511090)上涨0.26%，最新价报117.7元。流动性方面，30年国 债ETF盘中换手19.63%，成交59.91亿元，市场交投活跃。拉长时间看，截至9月30日，30年国债ETF近1 月日均成交96.09亿元。 规模方面，30年国债ETF最新规模达304.84亿元。资金流入方面，30年国债ETF最新资金净流入1.39亿 元。拉长时间看，近4个交易日内有3日资金净流入，合计"吸金"2.97亿元。 有券商表示，短期来看，在'反内卷'政策驱动下，大宗商品和权益市场料持续走强，市场风险偏好有望 延续。预计国内央行将继续实施'适度宽松'的货币政策，保持市场流动性合理充裕，为经济结构调整提 供适宜的金融环境，这将对债券市场构成一定支撑。 30年国债ETF紧密跟踪中债-30年期国债指数(总值)财富指数，中债-30年期国债指数隶属于中债总指数 族系，该指数成分券由在境内公开发行上市流通的发行期限为30年且待偿期25-30年（包含25年和30 年）的记账式国债组成（不包含特别国债），可作为投资该类债券的业绩比较基准和标的指数。 风险提示：本产品由鹏扬基金管理有限公司发 ...

来源：大伟看楼市 当地时间周三午夜，美国政府时隔七年再度关门，这无疑给美国经济和金融市场带来了更多不确定性。 在华尔街分析师看来，政府关门可能会进一步巩固美联储10月降息预期。 他们表示，尤其是在美国政府关门僵局持续数天以上的情况下，美联储主席鲍威尔及其同僚可能会偏向 于采取宽松货币政策。 2025 年 10 月 LPR 下调 20-30BP 的预期，并非市场空穴来风，而是内外环境共同作用的必然结果。从 政策信号看，6-8 月间央行二季度例会、政治局会议等多次释放 "适度宽松货币政策" 信号，明确提出通 过降低融资成本激活经济活力。这一导向与四季度稳增长的现实需求高度契合 —— 三季度消费与固定 资产投资增速承压，亟需政策工具对冲经济下行压力。 外部约束的弱化更提供了操作空间。美联储开启降息周期的预期，使得中美利差收窄，人民币贬值压力 缓解，央行货币政策的独立性显著增强。与此同时，银行负债成本的持续下降奠定了降息基础：2024 年以来多次降准释放长期资金，叠加商业银行两度下调存款利率，银行综合负债成本显著降低，为 LPR 让利实体经济创造了条件。 值得注意的是，9 月 LPR "按兵不动" 实则为后续调整蓄力 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Chinese brokerage stocks in the Hong Kong market have surged significantly, driven by the central bank's announcement of a more accommodative monetary policy [1] - Huatai Securities saw a nearly 18% increase, while Citic Securities and GF Securities rose over 14% [1][2] - Other notable gains include Dongfang Securities and Zhongzhou Securities, both up over 12%, and China Galaxy, CICC, Guolian Minsheng, and Xingsheng International, all rising over 10% [1][2] Group 2 - The central bank's meeting emphasized the need to implement a moderately accommodative monetary policy, encouraging financial institutions to increase credit supply [1] - The policy aims to effectively utilize securities, fund, and insurance company swap facilities, as well as stock repurchase and refinancing [1]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) emphasizes the implementation of a moderately accommodative monetary policy to stabilize economic growth and maintain reasonable price levels [1][2] Group 1: Monetary Policy Implementation - The PBOC's monetary policy committee meeting highlighted the need for effective execution of monetary policy measures to enhance their impact [1] - The meeting called for strengthening counter-cyclical adjustments and improving the dual function of monetary policy tools in terms of both quantity and structure [1] - There is a focus on increasing the foresight, targeting, and effectiveness of monetary policy based on domestic and international economic conditions [1] Group 2: Financial Market Stability - The PBOC aims to enhance the resilience of the foreign exchange market and stabilize market expectations to prevent excessive fluctuations in the exchange rate [1] - The meeting emphasized the importance of observing and assessing the bond market from a macro-prudential perspective, particularly regarding changes in long-term yields [1] - The PBOC plans to utilize structural monetary policy tools to support key areas such as technological innovation, consumption, small and micro enterprises, and foreign trade [1] Group 3: Real Estate Market Support - The PBOC intends to promote the effective implementation of financial policies to revitalize existing real estate and land, thereby stabilizing the real estate market [2] - There is a commitment to improving the foundational financial systems for real estate and assisting in the development of a new model for real estate growth [2] - The PBOC aims to enhance the capacity for economic and financial management under open conditions, focusing on risk prevention [2]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) emphasizes the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy to promote stable economic growth [1][2] - The meeting acknowledges the complex external environment, with weakening global economic growth and increasing trade barriers, while domestic economic performance shows improvement [2][3] - The PBOC plans to enhance monetary policy control, ensuring liquidity remains ample and aligning social financing scale with economic growth and price expectations [3][4] Group 2 - The meeting highlights the importance of large banks in supporting the real economy and encourages small and medium-sized banks to focus on their core responsibilities [4][5] - Structural monetary policy tools will be effectively implemented to support key areas such as technological innovation, consumption, small and micro enterprises, and stabilizing foreign trade [4][5] - The PBOC aims to fully implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress and the Central Economic Work Conference, focusing on high-quality development and modernizing the economy [5]

来源：滚动播报 近日，盛松成在接受访问时表示，"中国居民储蓄将更多流向金融投资，尤其是未来能够创造稳定现金 流的优质项目将成为最具吸引力的资产。这些新项目的底层资产主要涵盖与科技创新和高质量发展相适 配的新基建、消费基建、新型城镇化等领域，与国家重大战略方向高度契合。"内外部环境也给中国资 产价格提供了支撑。在盛松成看来，中国降息的外部环境改善，预计未来美联储降息还会持续，中国降 息仍有空间。短期内中国尚不具备"大幅"降息的基础，预计未来一段时期，中国依然会以积极的财政政 策为主，适度宽松的货币政策予以配合。（21财经） ...

Group 1 - The total scale of money market funds in China exceeded 14.6 trillion yuan by the end of July 2025, while the average 7-day annualized yield of these funds has been declining, currently at only 1.1% as of September 17, 2023 [1] - A significant number of money market funds are experiencing yields below 1.2%, with 251 funds dropping below 1.2%, 182 below 1.1%, and 78 below 1% [1] - The decline in yields is closely linked to the "moderately loose" monetary policy implemented in China, which is expected to continue throughout the year, affecting the yields of underlying assets such as bank deposits and short-term government bonds [1] Group 2 - The phenomenon of money market fund yields dropping below 1% is not unique to China, as developed markets like the US and Eurozone have experienced similar trends during economic downturns and low policy interest rates [2] - In the US, money market funds entered the "sub-1%" era during three distinct periods, coinciding with interest rate cuts in response to economic challenges [2] - Despite the declining yields, the overall scale of domestic money market funds continues to grow, driven by strong demand for low-risk asset allocation and the attractiveness of products like Yu'ebao, which integrate payment and investment functions [2]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is implementing measures to maintain liquidity in the banking system, including a 600 billion yuan Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation, reflecting a continued accommodative monetary policy stance [1][2]. Group 1: MLF Operations - On September 25, the PBOC will conduct a 600 billion yuan MLF operation with a one-year term, marking the seventh consecutive month of increased MLF issuance [1]. - The net MLF injection for September will reach 300 billion yuan, as 300 billion yuan of MLF is maturing this month [1]. - The MLF operations have transitioned to a more predictable framework, allowing financial institutions to better manage their liquidity needs [2]. Group 2: Coordination of Policies - The increase in MLF operations is seen as a means to support the smooth issuance of government bonds during a peak issuance period, demonstrating coordination between fiscal and monetary policies [2]. - The PBOC's actions are aimed at stabilizing market expectations amid rising medium to long-term market interest rates influenced by a strong stock market [2]. Group 3: Future Expectations - Analysts anticipate that the PBOC may further utilize quantitative monetary policy tools in the fourth quarter, including MLF and reverse repos, to inject liquidity into the market [2]. - There is a possibility that the PBOC may resume government bond trading operations, which could provide more flexible and effective liquidity support compared to regular reverse repos [3].

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is maintaining a supportive monetary policy stance by continuously injecting liquidity into the banking system, as evidenced by the recent MLF operations and reverse repos, aimed at stabilizing market expectations and supporting government bond issuance [1][2][3]. Group 1: MLF Operations - On September 25, the PBOC announced a 600 billion yuan Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) operation, marking the seventh consecutive month of increased MLF issuance [1]. - In September, the PBOC conducted two reverse repo operations, resulting in a total net liquidity injection of 300 billion yuan, maintaining the same scale as August [2]. - The MLF operations have shifted to a multi-price bidding mechanism, allowing financial institutions to better manage their liquidity needs and enabling the PBOC to monitor liquidity conditions more effectively [3]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Coordination - The PBOC's actions are seen as a coordinated effort with fiscal policy, particularly during a peak period for government bond issuance, to ensure smooth market operations [2]. - Analysts expect that the PBOC will continue to utilize various monetary policy tools, including MLF and reverse repos, to inject liquidity into the market, with potential for further quantitative easing in the fourth quarter [3]. - There is an increasing market demand for the PBOC to resume government bond trading operations, which could provide more flexible and effective monetary easing compared to monthly reverse repo operations [3].

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is implementing a supportive monetary policy by injecting liquidity into the banking system through various tools, including Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) and reverse repos, to maintain a stable financial environment and support government bond issuance [1][3][4]. Group 1: MLF Operations - On September 25, the PBOC announced a 600 billion yuan MLF operation with a one-year term, marking the seventh consecutive month of increased MLF operations [1]. - In September, the PBOC conducted two rounds of reverse repo operations, resulting in a total net injection of 300 billion yuan, maintaining the same net injection scale as August [3]. - The MLF's role has shifted back to a liquidity provision tool since March, with the PBOC consistently increasing MLF operations to ensure ample liquidity and stabilize market expectations [3]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Coordination - The PBOC's continued injection of medium-term liquidity is seen as beneficial for the smooth issuance of government bonds, reflecting a coordinated approach between fiscal and monetary policies [3]. - The recent rise in mid-to-long-term market interest rates, influenced by a strong stock market, has prompted the PBOC to enhance liquidity injections to stabilize market expectations [3]. Group 3: MLF Mechanism Improvements - The MLF operation has transitioned to a pre-announced bidding mechanism, allowing institutions to better prepare for liquidity needs [4]. - The multi-price bidding method for MLF operations enhances financial institutions' ability to determine bidding rates based on demand, improving market-oriented pricing capabilities [4]. - The PBOC's current monetary policy stance is supportive, with expectations for further use of quantitative monetary policy tools in the fourth quarter [4].