6个月期买断式逆回购

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央行等量续作1万亿元流动性,四季度会降准吗
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 09:16
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will conduct a 1 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a 3-month term to maintain liquidity in the banking system [2][3] - As of September 5, there will be a net withdrawal of 300 billion yuan due to the maturity of 6-month reverse repos [3][4] - Analysts expect the PBOC to continue its reverse repo operations to address liquidity tightening, especially with high government bond issuance and significant maturity of interbank certificates of deposit [4] Group 2 - The MLF (Medium-term Lending Facility) maturity in September is estimated at 300 billion yuan, with expectations for slight net injections [4] - There is a possibility of additional 6-month reverse repo operations in September to manage liquidity pressures [4] - Analysts predict that the PBOC may implement a reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut in the fourth quarter to support credit growth and economic stability [4]
货币市场日报:9月4日
Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang· 2025-09-04 12:36
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 212.6 billion yuan for a 7-day term, with both the bidding and winning amounts at 212.6 billion yuan and an operation rate of 1.40% [1] - On the same day, 416.1 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 203.5 billion yuan [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) showed mixed movements, with overnight Shibor unchanged at 1.3160%, 7-day Shibor up by 0.40 basis points to 1.4370%, and 14-day Shibor down by 1.00 basis points to 1.4760% [1][2] Group 2 - In the interbank pledged repo market, the 7-day rates showed mixed trends, with R007 and R014 rates remaining stable compared to the previous trading day [5] - The weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 increased by 0.1 basis points and 0.3 basis points, respectively, with transaction volumes rising to 296.6 billion yuan and 913 billion yuan [5] - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 saw a slight increase and decrease, respectively, with transaction volumes showing a mixed trend [5] Group 3 - The funding market on September 4 exhibited a balanced and slightly loose stance, with overnight rates fluctuating around 1.43%-1.45% [9] - By the afternoon, the funding prices showed slight declines, with overnight rates dropping to around 1.36% [9] - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit reached 99 issues, with an actual issuance volume of 144.11 billion yuan [10] Group 4 - A report from Caitong Securities indicated that despite increased volatility in late August, the average funding rates reached the lowest level of the year, with a decrease in funding gaps compared to July [12] - The People's Bank of China announced plans for a 10 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on September 5, with a 3-month term, effectively rolling over the same amount maturing on that day [12]
超2万亿逆回购到期叠加市场火热 9月资金面迎考
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 16:41
Core Viewpoint - The financial market is experiencing increased attention on liquidity as over 20 trillion yuan in reverse repos are set to expire this week, alongside other factors such as MLF expirations and government bond issuances, indicating a tightening liquidity environment [1][3]. Group 1: Market Liquidity Dynamics - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has conducted reverse repo operations totaling 4.384 billion yuan over the first two days of September, while the total reverse repos maturing during this period amounted to 6.942 billion yuan, resulting in a net withdrawal of 2.558 billion yuan [2][3]. - The PBOC is expected to maintain a reasonable liquidity level in September, with analysts predicting that funding rates will likely continue to operate at low levels with minimal fluctuations due to supportive monetary policy and anticipated fiscal spending [5][6]. Group 2: Seasonal and Non-Seasonal Factors - September is characterized by increased seasonal disturbances in liquidity, particularly as fiscal spending typically accelerates towards the end of the month, which may provide some support to the liquidity environment [6][7]. - The strong performance of the equity market and heightened risk appetite may drive funds to reallocate across various asset classes, while the end-of-quarter credit issuance may be more pronounced than in previous years, potentially amplifying liquidity fluctuations [7].