特朗普：将大幅提高印度关税 一起来看下最新的海外动态。 【导读】特朗普：将大幅提高印度关税 北京时间8月5日晚间，美国总统特朗普表示，将在未来24小时内大幅提高印度关税，印度是关税最高的 国家。他表示，印度并不是一个好的贸易伙伴，与印度存在的分歧在于关税过高。 据央视新闻，当地时间8月4日，美国总统特朗普在其社交媒体"真实社交"发文表示，印度不仅大量购买 俄罗斯石油，还将其中大部分石油在公开市场上出售，牟取暴利。因此，他将大幅提高印度向美国缴纳 的关税。 特朗普上月在"真实社交"平台上向印度发出威胁：如果印度继续购买俄罗斯武器和石油，美方将在对印 度商品征收25%进口关税的基础上额外施加惩罚性关税。8月1日，特朗普又对媒体记者说，他相信印度 打算停止购买俄罗斯石油。 特朗普最新表态，如果欧盟不履行义务，将对欧盟征收35%的关税。 最终会提高到250% 据央视新闻，当地时间5日，欧盟负责贸易的高级官员对外解释美欧日前签订的关税协定。 据称，根据美欧最新达成的框架性贸易协议，美国决定对绝大多数欧盟出口商品统一征收15%的关税税 率，该税率已包括对最惠国待遇下商品的适用税率。欧盟出口商无需再单独应对不同品类的税率， ...

当地时间5日，欧盟负责贸易的高级官员对外解释美欧日前签订的关税协定。 据称，根据美欧最新达成的框架性贸易协议，美国决定对绝大多数欧盟出口商品统一征收15%的关税税 率，该税率已包括对最惠国待遇下商品的适用税率。欧盟出口商无需再单独应对不同品类的税率，所有 相关产品均适用同一标准。 欧方还强调，尽管相关正式条款仍在制定中，但这项框架性协议已经为双方带来了"即时的缓解效应"。 欧盟全面确定免征美国关税的必需产品清单尚需时日。据了解，欧美尚未就何时就贸易协议达成联合声 明达成共识，同时欧美间的贸易协议框架发表的联合声明不具有法律约束力。 当地时间7月27日，美国总统特朗普表示，美国已与欧盟达成新贸易协议，对欧盟输美商品征收15%的 关税。冯德莱恩称，15%税率是欧委会能够达成的最佳结果。此外，钢铁和铝、芯片、烈酒三大关键领 域的关税协议仍待定。 （文章来源：央视新闻） ...

Core Viewpoint - The report by Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Pfister indicates that the Swiss Franc is expected to experience a slight rebound if Switzerland and the United States reach a trade agreement before the Thursday deadline. If no agreement is reached, Swiss exports to the U.S. will face a 39% tariff [1] Group 1 - Pfister suggests that Swiss officials may significantly increase their offers to the U.S. side [1] - It is likely that both parties will eventually reach an agreement, but the cost will be much higher than initially anticipated [1] - If an agreement is reached, the Euro to Swiss Franc exchange rate may stabilize around 0.9300 [1] Group 2 - In the event of escalating trade tensions, the Swiss Franc may weaken [1]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the impact of tariffs and trade agreements on various Asian economies, particularly focusing on South Korea and India, as well as the implications for the cross-border payment industry and stablecoin developments in Hong Kong. Key Points on Tariffs and Trade Agreements - Asian exporters have shifted some tariff costs to U.S. consumers, with China's tariffs reaching 30% and overall tariffs in the region expected to average 24% this year, up from 5% at the beginning of the year [1][3] - The U.S. will bear approximately $450 billion in tariff changes, while Asia will face a burden of about $260 billion due to these tariffs [3] - South Korea's trade agreement with the U.S. has reduced automotive tariffs from 25% to 15%, and South Korea has committed to invest $100 billion in various sectors, including semiconductors [5][6] - The trade agreement has alleviated some economic uncertainties for South Korea, leading to a growth forecast that is 1.1% above consensus for 2025, driven by fiscal stimulus and moderate domestic consumption [6][7] Impact on Specific Industries - The U.S. has imposed a 25% tariff on Indian exports, which has a limited direct impact on India's GDP (approximately 2%), but the indirect effects due to global economic slowdown are concerning [8][10] - Key sectors in India that are sensitive to U.S. tariffs include electronics, textiles, and pharmaceuticals, with textiles having a 40% share of the U.S. export market [9][10] - The Gift Nifty index is expected to be impacted by around 70 basis points due to the tariff changes, with agricultural tariffs being a significant negotiation point [11] Developments in Stablecoins and Cross-Border Payments - Hong Kong is positioning itself as a testing ground for stablecoins, with the Financial Authority planning to ban cryptocurrency trading while exploring stable digital currencies [13][14] - The acceptance of stablecoins in e-commerce will take time due to the maturity of existing cross-border payment tools like Visa and PayPal, and regulatory uncertainties may increase risks [15] - Stablecoin issuers and fintech companies are expected to be the primary beneficiaries of this emerging market, although traditional banking may also be affected [17] Regulatory and Market Considerations - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority will begin accepting applications for stablecoin issuance, with a limited number of licenses expected to be granted initially [14] - The development of stablecoins linked to the Hong Kong dollar may be easier due to its peg to the U.S. dollar, while the growth of RMB-linked stablecoins may be slower due to the smaller offshore RMB pool [16] - The transition to new payment systems will require significant capital investment and time to gain market acceptance, as evidenced by challenges faced in domestic payment systems in China [19] Conclusion - The overall economic outlook for South Korea appears cautiously optimistic due to the trade agreement with the U.S., while India faces challenges from tariff increases. The stablecoin market in Hong Kong is poised for growth, but acceptance in e-commerce will require time and investment.

Summary of the Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - The conference call primarily involves discussions between the United States and China regarding trade negotiations and economic relations, focusing on tariffs, trade agreements, and economic policies. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Continuation of Tariff Suspension**: China and the U.S. have agreed to extend the suspension of certain tariffs and countermeasures, as stated by China's Vice Minister of Commerce, Li Chenggang, following a consensus reached during the talks [1][1][1]. 2. **Progress in Negotiations**: U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent noted that the Stockholm talks built upon previous discussions in London and Geneva, indicating a constructive dialogue and progress in trade agreements [4][4][4]. 3. **Concerns Over China's Economic Practices**: The U.S. expressed concerns about China's overcapacity in global markets and its purchase of Iranian oil, which has reportedly decreased by about 90% [5][5][5]. 4. **Trade Deficit and Manufacturing Goals**: The U.S. reiterated its goals to reduce trade deficits and bring manufacturing back to the U.S., emphasizing that these objectives are supported by many trade partners [6][6][6]. 5. **Strategic Industries and Risk Reduction**: Discussions included the need to reduce risks in strategic industries such as rare earths and semiconductors, with a focus on ensuring a balanced relationship between the two economies [9][9][9]. 6. **China's Economic Model Shift**: The U.S. urged China to transition towards a consumption-based economy rather than relying heavily on manufacturing, which is seen as unsustainable [12][12][12]. 7. **Tariff Levels and Future Implications**: Current tariffs are at 34%, with potential increases discussed. The U.S. administration retains the discretion to adjust these rates based on ongoing negotiations [20][20][20]. 8. **Impact of Global Trade Agreements**: The recent EU trade agreements were noted to influence the dynamics of U.S.-China negotiations, with the U.S. leveraging its relationships with other trading partners [45][45][45]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Internal Review of National Security**: The U.S. emphasized that any decisions regarding export controls would undergo thorough internal review by various government departments, ensuring no conflicts of interest [11][11][11]. 2. **Potential for Future Meetings**: While there was no discussion of a summit between the two leaders during the call, the groundwork for future meetings was acknowledged, with a focus on maintaining open lines of communication [27][27][27]. 3. **China's Sovereignty in Energy Decisions**: The U.S. acknowledged China's stance on its energy needs, particularly regarding oil purchases from Iran and Russia, indicating a respect for China's sovereignty in these matters [36][36][36]. 4. **Economic Recovery in the U.S.**: Bessent highlighted that the U.S. economy is recovering, with significant reductions in inflation observed, countering concerns that tariffs might negatively impact economic growth [30][30][30]. 5. **Long-term Economic Adjustments**: The U.S. anticipates that external pressures, such as tariffs, may be necessary to prompt China to make significant economic adjustments towards a more balanced economic model [47][47][47].

上月底，美国和欧盟在经过数月的艰难谈判后终于达成了一份贸易协议，避免了贸易战进一步升级。根 据协议，美国将对欧盟商品征收15%的关税税率，欧盟将增加对美国投资6000亿美元，并将购买美国军 事装备以及7500亿美元的美国能源产品。 就在欧盟宣布根据欧美贸易协议推迟对美关税反制半年之际，欧盟前高官批评称，这一协议"极为糟 糕"。他的批评主要集中在两方面：双方达成的协议传递出一种欧洲软弱的形象；欧盟将无法履行其在 贸易协议中作出的承诺。 博雷尔并不是唯一一个对欧美贸易协议提出批评的人。多位欧洲官员都抨击欧委会主席冯德莱恩，称其 与美国达成的协议存在明显的不平衡。 法国资深政治家马琳·勒庞称该协议是欧盟的"惨败"；法国总统马克龙也对该协议结果不满，直言"欧洲 的威慑力还不够"；匈牙利总理欧尔班指责冯德莱恩承诺欧盟大规模购买美国武器是"越权行为"。 博雷利还指出，欧盟方面根本无法兑现协议中设定的附加承诺。 博雷利举例称，例如在三年内从美国进口总值7500亿美元的天然气，这完全不现实，因为天然气不是欧 盟买的，是企业买。 博雷利表示，类似的矛盾还体现在军购领域。一方面欧盟强调发展欧洲自主防务工业，另一方面却承诺 从美国 ...

Group 1 - The European Union (EU) will suspend two retaliatory measures against US tariffs for six months, originally set to take effect this week, following an agreement reached between EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and US President Donald Trump on July 27, 2025 [1] - The suspended measures include responses to US tariffs on steel and aluminum products, as well as proposed tariffs on automobiles [1][2] - The EU had previously approved retaliatory tariffs on US products worth €93 billion, which will now be consolidated into a single list [1][2] Group 2 - In April, the EU received approval for the first round of tariffs on US goods totaling approximately €21 billion, targeting products like soybeans, motorcycles, and jeans [2] - A second list of tariffs worth €72 billion was approved in July, primarily affecting high-value industrial products such as aircraft and automobiles [2] - The EU has indicated that if a satisfactory trade agreement is not reached by August 1, retaliatory measures will be implemented on August 7 [2] Group 3 - The agreement between the EU and the US is described as a political agreement that is not legally binding, with further negotiations planned to fully implement the commitments made [3]

Group 1 - The European Union (EU) will suspend two countermeasures against U.S. tariffs for six months as part of an agreement reached with the U.S. [1] - The agreement, reached on July 27, 2025, aims to provide "stability and predictability" for citizens and businesses on both sides of the Atlantic [1] - The EU will delay the implementation of countermeasures originally set to take effect on August 7, 2025, to support the agreement's progress [1] Group 2 - The trade agreement includes a 15% tariff on EU goods entering the U.S. and a commitment from the EU to increase investments in the U.S. by $600 billion [4] - The EU is expected to purchase $7.5 billion worth of U.S. energy products and military equipment as part of the agreement [4] - The agreement has faced significant criticism from various European stakeholders, who view it as a concession to U.S. pressure and detrimental to European interests [4]

欧盟将对美国的贸易反制措施暂停6个月。 当地时间4日，据央视新闻，欧盟委员会发言人当天表示，根据欧盟与美国达成的协议，欧盟将在6个月内暂停实施针对美国关 税的两项反制措施。 欧盟委员会发言人在声明中称，2025年7月27日，欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩与美国总统特朗普就关税与贸易问题达成了一项协 议。该协议为大西洋两岸的民众和企业带来了"稳定性与可预期性"。目前，欧盟与美国继续合作，推动7月27日联合声明的具体 落实。为支持这一进程，欧盟委员会将采取必要措施，将原定于8月7日生效的对美反制关税延后6个月执行。该延期措施将于本 周二正式生效。 消息公布后，欧元兑美元短线波动不大，截至发稿跌约0.2%。 此前7月27日，据央视新闻，美国总统特朗普表示，美国已与欧盟达成贸易协议，对欧盟输美商品征收15%的关税。欧盟将比此 前增加对美国投资6000亿美元，欧盟将购买美国军事装备，并将购买价值7500亿美元的美国能源产品。欧盟委员会主席冯德莱 恩称，这些与美国的贸易协议将为市场带来稳定性。 但该协议公布后，遭到了欧洲各界人士的广泛批评。 当地时间7月28日，法国总理贝鲁在社交媒体批评，他在文中将美欧之间的贸易协议称为"冯德莱 ...

Core Viewpoint - The European Union (EU) has agreed to suspend two countermeasures against U.S. tariffs for six months, following a trade agreement reached with the U.S. [1] Group 1: Trade Agreement Details - The trade agreement was discussed during a meeting between U.S. President Trump and EU Commission President von der Leyen on July 27, where they reached a consensus on new trade terms [1] - Under the new agreement, the U.S. will impose a 15% tariff on EU products, while the EU plans to increase investments in the U.S. by $600 billion and purchase $750 billion worth of U.S. energy [1] Group 2: Previous Tariff Measures - Prior to this agreement, the EU had approved a countermeasure plan involving tariffs on U.S. products worth €930 billion [4] - This plan included a first round of tariffs amounting to approximately €210 billion on U.S. goods such as soybeans, motorcycles, and jeans, and a second round of tariffs worth about €720 billion on high-value industrial products like airplanes and cars [4]