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美加税冲击经济信心,多国GDP衰退下滑,亚太国家决心抱团应对贸易风险
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-05-16 22:49
【环球时报驻韩国、新加坡特约记者 黎枳银 辛斌】在美国加征关税压力持续存在的背景下,日本、韩国等亚太多国GDP和贸易出现衰退或下滑趋势。日本 16日宣布其第一季度GDP按年率下降0.7%。韩国权威智库首次预测今年经济增速将降至0.8%,引发"经济衰退"担忧。亚太经合组织(APEC)15日发表报告 警告称,受美国关税政策影响,今年亚太贸易增长可能几乎停滞。不过,与多国对美贸易萎缩相反,这些国家对中国的出口增长明显,中国成为多国经济增 长的重要支撑。与此同时,亚太多国之间,特别是多国与中国正加紧升级自贸协定的谈判,以深化区域经济一体化。16日,APEC贸易部长会议通过联合声 明,与会各方强调加强区域合作,加快自贸协定谈判,以应对当前全球经济环境的不确定性。 正如APEC报告所预测,受美国关税政策影响,亚太多国经济增长面临压力。日本政府16日公布第一季度GDP数据,第一季度GDP环比下降0.2%,按年率下 降0.7%。第一季度出口下降0.6%。《日经亚洲评论》称,这是日本GDP一年来首次出现萎缩。虽然这主要是受通胀高企导致消费乏力影响,但接受日经调 查的众多经济学家担忧,美国关税影响将导致日本GDP全年萎缩0.4至 ...
南方中心执行主任科雷亚:发展中国家应携手共同抵制美方滥施关税
Xin Hua She· 2025-05-15 14:35
"美国将关税作为武器,意图使各国作出超越贸易领域的让步……我们必须提醒发展中国家:如果不作出有力回应,这种情况很可能会发 生。"在全球贸易体系面临重大挑战之际,南方中心执行主任卡洛斯·科雷亚日前接受新华社记者专访时说。 0:00 科雷亚表示,美国实施的单边关税政策正对发展中国家、尤其是最脆弱的欠发达国家造成严重后果,包括就业岗位减少、出口机会降低、债务 水平上升以及财政压力加大等。 科雷亚呼吁发展中国家加强合作,"共同应对由单一国家制造的危局"。他说:"发展中国家必须团结一致,以既维护本国利益又兼顾集体利益 的方式作出回应。"他强调,南南合作至关重要,唯有通过对话与协作,才能切实维护国际社会共同利益。 "我们给发展中国家的建议仍然是:不要回避对话,但必须坚决捍卫自身利益,捍卫一个真正有效的多边贸易体系,捍卫一个服务于所有各方 经济发展的体系。"科雷亚说。 科雷亚表示,以世界贸易组织为核心的多边贸易体系依然拥有最完备的协调与争端解决机制。他建议发展中国家积极参与世贸组织内部改革, 提高决策的透明度与包容性,以增强这一平台的公信力和执行力。"我们希望这些改革能够实现,同时南南合作也能不断加深。" 作为一个总部设于 ...
巴西出口和投资促进局局长:巴中经贸关系迈入新阶段
Ren Min Wang· 2025-05-14 08:04
Core Insights - The "China-Brazil Business Seminar" marks a new historical stage in China-Brazil economic and trade relations, highlighting the commitment to multilateral trade and an open world economy [1][2] Group 1: Economic Cooperation - The trade volume between China and Brazil has surged from $2 billion at the beginning of the century to $160 billion currently, indicating strong growth momentum [2] - Chinese companies announced investments totaling over 27 billion Brazilian Reais in various sectors including express delivery, fast food, semiconductors, new energy, automotive manufacturing, and renewable energy during the seminar [2] - Brazil aims to increase the export of high-value products such as coffee, juice, and premium meat to China, moving beyond traditional bulk commodities [2] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - Brazil emphasizes the importance of the comprehensive strategic partnership with China, particularly under the leadership of both countries' heads of state [2] - The Brazil-China High-Level Coordination and Cooperation Committee has been effective for 21 years, enhancing cooperation between the two nations [2] - Brazil, as the rotating chair of BRICS, seeks to deepen collaboration with China to enhance the representation and voice of emerging markets and developing countries in global governance [2] Group 3: Green Development - Brazil possesses unique advantages in clean energy and key mineral resources, expressing willingness to deepen cooperation with China in areas such as ethanol fuel and new energy vehicles [3] - Infrastructure connectivity, particularly the strategic significance of the Bio-Ocean Railway project, is highlighted as a means to support agricultural trade between the two countries [3] Group 4: Agreements and Future Initiatives - A memorandum of understanding was signed between the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade and Brazil's Export and Investment Promotion Agency to support business exchanges and cooperation in various fields [5] - The agreement aims to enhance collaboration in digital economy, smart manufacturing, clean energy, and low-carbon technologies, while welcoming Brazil's participation in key Chinese trade events [5]
一场关税战,打出了一个“后美国时代”,中国式破局引发全球瞩目
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 11:31
Group 1 - The Trump administration imposed significant tariffs on China, with an overall increase of 145% and specific tariffs reaching 245%, citing a trade surplus as justification [1] - The U.S. has a projected export value of approximately $140.7 billion to China in 2024, but these goods are subject to at least 125% tariffs, severely limiting market access [3] - Trump's suggestion to lower tariffs is seen as a strategic move to stimulate the U.S. stock market and appease key supporters in agriculture and automotive sectors [5] Group 2 - The trade conflict highlights the challenges of U.S. unilateralism and accelerates the restructuring of global supply chains and changes in the multilateral trade system [8] - Trump's tariff strategy aims to increase government revenue and encourage manufacturing to return to the U.S., but these goals are difficult to achieve and may lead to larger issues [8]
世贸组织总干事:中美经贸高层会谈对世界意义重大
news flash· 2025-05-12 09:21
中美经贸高层会谈5月10日至11日在日内瓦举行。中美双方一致同意建立经贸磋商机制,就双方在经贸 领域的各自关切保持沟通。(新华社) 她表示,期待两国在此基础上找到可行方案,缓解紧张局势,恢复可预测性,增强对多边贸易体系的信 心。 世界贸易组织总干事伊维拉5月11日发表声明说,在瑞士日内瓦举行的中美经贸高层会谈标志着向前迈 出重要一步,对世界意义重大。 伊维拉在声明中表示,对会谈取得积极成果感到高兴。会谈标志着向前迈出重要一步。在当前全球紧张 局势下,这一进展不仅对美国和中国很重要,对世界其他地区,包括最脆弱的经济体也很重要。 ...
特朗普最想要的,中国终于同意了!美国国内风向大变,美财长急忙启程!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-12 08:18
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the ongoing tensions in US-China trade relations, exacerbated by the "reciprocal tariffs" implemented by the Trump administration, which have significantly impacted both economies and disrupted international trade order [1][3]. - The Chinese government has taken strong countermeasures to defend its legitimate rights and maintain the multilateral trade system, pushing back against US hegemony and increasing domestic opposition to Trump's policies [1][3]. - The upcoming talks between Chinese officials and US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessenet are seen as a response to US signals, but there is skepticism regarding the US's genuine willingness to negotiate, given its history of inconsistent policy statements [3][5]. Group 2 - Recent data from the US Commerce Department indicates a 0.3% contraction in GDP for Q1 2025, marking the first negative growth since 2022, which has been attributed to the adverse effects of the trade war on key sectors like agriculture and manufacturing [5]. - The trade war has led to significant financial losses for American farmers, particularly in the soybean market, where retaliatory tariffs from China have resulted in over $10 billion in losses [5][7]. - American farmers are struggling to adapt to the new tariffs, with some products, such as chicken feet, facing a decline in demand due to the inability to find alternative markets, leading to increased financial strain and uncertainty about future sales [7][8].
欧洲面临多重挑战强化战略自主
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-05-11 21:57
Group 1 - The European perception of the United States has shifted due to aggressive actions taken by the new U.S. government, leading to a reevaluation of strategic dependencies and a push for greater autonomy in Europe [1][2] - The European Commission has imposed fines of €500 million on Apple and €200 million on Meta for violations of the Digital Markets Act, which has escalated tensions between the EU and U.S. [1][2] - A recent poll indicates that 41% of British citizens believe the U.S. is doing bad things in the world, a significant increase of 16 percentage points from the previous year, reflecting a growing anti-American sentiment in Europe [2] Group 2 - The roots of the transatlantic rift stem from diverging values and institutional principles, as highlighted by U.S. Vice President's critical remarks about European democracy and media freedom during the Munich Security Conference [2] - Concerns over security have intensified in Europe, particularly due to the U.S. negotiating with Russia over the Ukraine crisis without European involvement, raising fears about NATO's commitment to European security [2][3] - The trust in economic relations between Europe and the U.S. has eroded, with calls for the EU to rebuild international trade frameworks and reduce reliance on U.S. markets [3] Group 3 - Europe is increasingly viewed as needing to strengthen its strategic autonomy, with experts suggesting that the U.S. role in global trade may be overestimated [3] - The EU is focusing on markets outside the U.S., emphasizing the potential for "de-Americanization" rather than "de-globalization" if the U.S. continues to adopt a confrontational stance [3] - In the information technology sector, Europe is taking steps to reduce dependence on U.S. technology, including the establishment of sovereign cloud services and measures to protect officials from U.S. surveillance [4] Group 4 - Europe is committed to maintaining a multilateral trade system, opposing U.S. protectionism, and supporting the principles of the World Trade Organization (WTO) [4][5] - Cooperation with China is becoming a significant aspect of Europe's strategic adjustments, with calls for deeper ties as a natural choice given the substantial bilateral trade volume of over €800 billion [5] - The shift in European policy towards China is seen as a strong indication of its commitment to strategic autonomy, diverging from U.S. approaches [5]
特朗普没料到,两次谈崩后,日本态度坚决,中国召集12国商讨大事!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-09 17:20
据日本广播协会网站近期报道,围绕美国的关税措施,日本首相石破茂在民营电视台节目中表示,绝对不能接受对汽车 等加征关税,并反复强调要力争以符合日美双方国家利益的方式达成协议。 石破茂(资料图) 4月初,美国政府宣布对所有贸易伙伴征收新关税。其中东南亚国家柬埔寨、老挝和越南分别面临49%、48%、46%的关 税,属于美国所有贸易伙伴中的最高水平。《日经亚洲评论》称,如果"对等关税"实际启动,将给依赖出口的东南亚经 济体带来沉重打击。就在这一背景下,美国贸易代表办公室(USTR)日前还将越南、柬埔寨、孟加拉国、肯尼亚、中 国、印度和欧盟等列为"造成贸易体系失衡的经济体",称其损害了美国纺织和服装行业。声明表示,与会官员们重申"坚 定维护多边主义,支持以WTO为核心、基于规则、非歧视、自由、公平、开放、包容、平等和透明的多边贸易体系"。日 本共同社称,该声明对有可能给亚洲地区经济造成较大打击的美政府关税政策进行制约,鲜明展现了团结一致推进自由 贸易的姿态。 日本经济在外人来看可能会觉得是多种经济体系并存,但其实支撑日本产业的中流砥柱还是日本汽车产业。数据显示, 去年日本对美国汽车出口超过400亿美元,在出口美国的占比 ...
泰国与马来西亚加强东盟战略贸易合作
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-05-09 16:42
Group 1 - Thailand and Malaysia are enhancing ASEAN strategic trade cooperation in response to changes in US policies [1] - The bilateral talks between Thai and Malaysian ministers focused on trade relations and regional cooperation to address US tariff measures [1] - Both countries expressed concerns about the potential impact of US trade policies on the region and reaffirmed their commitment to ASEAN unity [1] Group 2 - Malaysia is Thailand's fourth-largest global trading partner and the largest within ASEAN, with bilateral trade expected to exceed $26 billion in 2024, a 3.88% increase from the previous year [2] - Thailand has a trade deficit of $1.39 billion with Malaysia, with key exports including automobiles, refined oil, electronics, and rubber [2] - In the first two months of 2025, bilateral trade reached $4.13 billion, a 5.28% year-on-year increase, with Thailand's exports at $2.01 billion and Malaysia's imports at $2.11 billion [2]
美国突遭“背刺”!中日韩13国统一战线,给了特朗普一个下马威
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 14:11
据中国网近日报道,第28届东盟与中日韩(10+3)财长和央行行长会议4日在意大利米兰举行。会议支持更新10+3财金合 作战略方向,同意推出聚焦中长期结构性问题的技术援助工具,肯定了清迈倡议多边化融资模式讨论进展,欢迎10+3宏 观经济研究办公室高管顺利换届、10+3财金智库网络成功扩员、区域本币债券市场深化发展,批准灾害风险融资倡议未 来路线图概念文件。 特朗普(资料图) 会议发表联合声明说,"贸易保护主义加剧将成为全球贸易的重负,导致经济分裂",并对美国特朗普政府的关税政策表 示警惕。会议联合声明指出,"未来的不确定性正在增加",表示将力争"保持灵活性以应对保护主义抬头和不稳定的全球 金融形势等挑战,同时增强长期性复苏能力"。联合声明还重申,将维持以世界贸易组织(WTO)为中心的多边贸易体 系。 在这场来势汹汹的关税风暴里,亚洲地区堪称"重灾区"。美国对亚洲各国的加征关税范围之广、税率之高,让人咋舌, 从中国的制造业产品,到东南亚的农产品、电子产品,都被纳入了加税清单,日本、韩国的汽车、半导体等优势产业也 未能幸免,损失惨痛。面对美国的无理加税,中国没有退缩,而是采取了一系列有力的反制措施,对美国的农产品、 ...