Group 1: Central Economic Committee Meeting Insights - The 6th meeting of the 20th Central Economic Committee was held on July 1, 2025, with a significant gap of nearly one and a half years since the last publicly disclosed meeting[3] - The meeting emphasized the need to deepen the construction of a unified national market, focusing on supply-side optimization and combating "involution" competition[13] - The meeting's outcomes are expected to lead to smoother policy formulation and execution, as clarified by the recent political bureau meeting[6] Group 2: Supply-Side Reform and Involution - The concept of "anti-involution" was first introduced in the July 2024 political bureau meeting, with the current meeting reinforcing this stance and calling for specific policy implementations[17] - Historical context shows that supply-side structural reforms initiated in November 2015 led to significant improvements in local government finances, with land transfer income rising from CNY 3.1 trillion to CNY 5.0 trillion between 2015 and 2017[20] - Current local fiscal pressures remain high, necessitating careful monitoring of how "anti-involution" and supply-side optimization are implemented[20] Group 3: Marine Economy Development - The meeting highlighted the ongoing policy support for the marine economy, which has been a consistent focus since the 18th National Congress in 2012[24] - Key investment areas identified include offshore wind power, marine infrastructure, and marine transportation, with expectations for short-term fundamental improvements[28] - The integration of marine economy with other sectors such as pharmaceuticals, military, and cultural tourism is anticipated to catalyze further policy support[28]

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月03日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2025-07-02 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 3454.79 | 10412.62 | 3943.68 | 11859.99 | 2991.26 | 982.63 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | -0.08 | -0.60 | 0.02 | -0.64 | -1.23 | -1.22 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 5431.30 | 8338.36 | 2466.37 | 3018.38 | 3937.80 | 239.91 | $$\overline{{{\mathbb{M}}}}\cong\pm\overline{{{\mathbb{M}}}}$$ 【常规内容】 宏观与策略 宏观快评:宏观经济数据前瞻-2025 年 6 月宏观经济指标预期一览 策略专题:ESG 产品月报(2025.7)-ESG 主动基金业绩优异 策略专题:主题策略专题 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The conference in Dongying, Shandong Province, emphasized the importance of developing a high-quality marine economy and outlined four key tasks to accelerate the construction of a marine strong city [1][2] - The marine economy is projected to see significant growth, with the national marine GDP expected to exceed 10 trillion yuan in 2024, and Shandong's marine GDP reaching 1.81 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.9% [2][3] - Dongying aims to enhance its ecological protection efforts while developing its marine economy, with successful initiatives like the creation of the Yellow River Estuary National Park [2][3] Group 2: Marine Economy Development - Major infrastructure projects, including a 10,000-ton channel and multiple large-scale terminals, are being developed to support Dongying's goal of becoming a deep-water port [3][4] - The marine chemical industry in Dongying has established a complete industrial chain, contributing to a marine GDP of over 120 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 7.1%, the highest in Shandong Province [3][4] - The conference highlighted the need to focus on ecological sustainability, traditional industry upgrades, and the development of new growth points in the marine economy [4][5] Group 3: Focus on Marine Food Industry - Dongying has a strong foundation for marine food industry development, with significant achievements in aquaculture, processing, and brand building [5][6] - The Yellow River Estuary crab has become a flagship product, with an annual production of 7,000 tons and a market value of 1 billion yuan, alongside other successful seafood products [5][6] - Innovative aquaculture practices, such as smart farming and water recycling technologies, are being implemented to enhance productivity and sustainability in the marine food sector [6][7] Group 4: Future Directions - Dongying plans to increase support for the marine food industry, focusing on integrating the entire supply chain and enhancing brand recognition [7] - The city aims to leverage technology to drive the marine food sector towards intelligence, sustainability, and high-end development, contributing to the overall marine economy [7]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced narrow fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly declining by 0.09% to close at 3454.79 points [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.61%, while the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.13% [2] - Overall, more than 3200 stocks in the market declined, indicating a bearish sentiment [4] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Steel (3.37%), Coal (1.99%), and Building Materials (1.42%) [3] - Conversely, the worst-performing sectors were Electronics (-2.01%), Communication (-1.96%), and Defense & Military Industry (-1.94%) [3] - Concept stocks such as Low-E Glass (4.24%) and Silicon Energy (4.19%) showed strong performance, while Brain-Computer Interface (-2.60%) and EDR Concept (-2.47%) lagged [3] Future Outlook - The market is expected to remain volatile, with attention on domestic policies, US-China tariffs, and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [6] - The upcoming mid-year reports in July are anticipated to significantly impact individual stock performances [6] - Analysts suggest focusing on sectors such as Finance, Machinery, Consumer Goods, and TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) for potential investment opportunities [6] Key Events - A notable surge in marine economy concept stocks was observed following the Central Financial Committee's meeting on July 1, which emphasized the high-quality development of the marine economy [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant surge in marine economy concept stocks, driven by favorable policies and market optimism, with the overall sector increasing by over 6% [2][3][4] - The Central Financial Committee's sixth meeting emphasized the need to strengthen and expand the marine industry, promoting offshore wind power, modern deep-sea fishing, marine biomedicine, and high-quality development of the shipping industry [2][3][4] - Predictions indicate that by 2025, China's marine production value will exceed 13 trillion yuan, with the deep-sea market expected to reach 3.25 trillion yuan, representing over 25% of the marine economy [4][5] Group 2 - Recent government reports and local policies from regions like Guangdong, Shanghai, and Shandong have focused on developing the marine economy, including modern marine ranching and emerging industries such as marine renewable energy and marine biomedicine [3][4] - The OECD forecasts that by 2030, the economic value of the ocean will surpass 3 trillion USD, equivalent to the fifth-largest economy globally, indicating vast growth potential in the marine economy [4] - The deep-sea economy is anticipated to benefit from upcoming policies promoting deep-sea oil and gas development, which could enhance market interest in related companies [5]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a consolidation pattern on July 2, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3454.79 points, down 0.09%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 10412.63 points, down 0.61% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 137.69 billion yuan, a decrease of approximately 90 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Ocean Economy Sector - Since mid-June, new economic themes in the A-share market have shown a strong rotation, with sectors like trendy retail, innovative pharmaceuticals, and AI computing power performing well [2] - The ocean economy concept emerged as the strongest market focus, with several related stocks hitting the daily limit up, following the Central Financial Committee's meeting emphasizing high-quality development of the ocean economy [2] - The government work report this year highlighted the importance of developing the ocean economy and included "deep-sea technology" as a key focus for future industrial development [2] Ocean Economy Development - Recent analysis indicates rapid development in China's ocean economy, with regions like Shanghai, Guangdong, and Qingdao increasing support for emerging industries such as ocean renewable energy and marine biomedicine [3] - Traditional ocean industries are steadily growing, while new sectors like marine engineering equipment and ocean power are emerging as significant economic drivers [3] - Deep-sea technology is identified as a critical pillar for ocean resource development, encompassing deep-sea materials, equipment manufacturing, and digital applications [3] Technology Sector Trends - The technology sector remains a structural mainline in the A-share market, with new technology and consumption themes gaining traction and improving trading sentiment [4] - The market is experiencing a transition from previous leaders like banks and small-cap stocks to new hotspots, indicating a shift in investment focus [4] - Analysts predict that the A-share market has room for growth in July, driven by continuous industrial innovation and a systematic reduction in market discount rates [4] Growth and Investment Focus - The market's risk appetite has improved since June, favoring growth assets, as reflected in the strong performance of indices like the ChiNext Index and CSI 1000 [5] - Although high-dividend sectors still hold long-term value, they may face short-term pressure as the market shifts focus to performance factors during the semi-annual report trading phase [5] - The ongoing strength of growth assets and active trading funds are expected to support market risk appetite [5]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The Chinese government is actively promoting the development of the marine economy, with "deep-sea technology" becoming a key focus area in national policies [2][3] - The marine economy is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating that by 2025, the marine production value could exceed 13 trillion yuan, with deep-sea technology-related industries accounting for over 25% of this total [4] Group 2: Company Developments - Hengtong Optic-Electric plans to expand its marine communication industry chain, focusing on the development and industrialization of products related to offshore oil and gas, underwater special cables, and marine equipment [1][5] - Zhongke Haixun is leveraging its advantages in sonar equipment, promoting its HX-A200 core processing chip specifically designed for underwater acoustic equipment, with plans for mass orders by 2025 [1][6] - Qifan Cable has developed the capability to produce long-length submarine cables and has applied these products in offshore wind power projects, with ongoing investments in R&D to enhance competitiveness in high-performance cable manufacturing [1][6] - Chengyi Pharmaceutical is investing 670 million yuan in a marine biomedicine manufacturing project, focusing on the production of 1,000 tons of super fish oil EPA, aligning with national marine strategies [1][7]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recent surge in marine economy concept stocks driven by favorable government policies aimed at promoting high-quality development in the marine economy [2][3]. Policy Support - The Central Financial Committee's sixth meeting on July 1 emphasized the need for top-level design and increased policy support to encourage social capital participation in marine economic development [2]. - Various local governments have introduced policies to boost marine economic growth, including Guangdong's new regulations and Shanghai's development plan for marine industries from 2025 to 2035 [5]. Industry Overview - The marine economy encompasses sectors such as marine fisheries, transportation, shipbuilding, salt production, oil and gas, and coastal tourism [4]. - The 2024 China Marine Economy Statistical Bulletin indicates that the national marine production value is expected to exceed 10 trillion yuan, accounting for 7.8% of the GDP [7]. Company Insights - Companies like Yaxing Anchor Chain are expanding their product offerings to include advanced mooring chains for offshore wind power and mining projects, with existing contracts for floating wind power demonstration projects [7]. - CIMC Raffles is recognized as a leading contractor in high-end marine engineering equipment, with orders for deep-sea oil and gas equipment scheduled until 2027 [7]. Technological Development - The current marine economy policies are characterized by a trend towards high-end, intelligent, and green development, focusing on building multi-level industrial systems and enhancing technological innovation [8]. - The development of deep-sea technology is seen as crucial for enhancing exploration capabilities and is expected to accelerate under top-level planning support [7][8].

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 07 月 02 日 [Table_Title] 资产配置日报：不卷的预期，内卷的现实 | | | 复盘与思考: 7 月 2 日，近期中央财经委员会上强调的"依法依规治理企业低价无序竞争，推动落后产能有序退出"成为今 日市场交易重心，股市定价后续企业走出内卷的预期。尽管市场一致期盼"不卷"，但投资者行为依旧"很卷"， 股市顺着供给侧的逻辑继续挖掘新题材，债市则在不多不空的环境下继续掘金利差机会。 国内资产方面，股市，大盘表现依旧稳定，上证指数小幅下跌 0.09%，沪深 300、中证红利上涨 0.02%、 0.72%；双创概念走弱，资金或在寻找新的方向，科创 50、创业板指下跌 1.22%、1.13%；中小微盘表现分化，中 证 1000、中证 2000 下跌 1.01%、0.85%，万得微盘股指则上涨 0.20%。债市，10 年、30 年国债活跃券下行 0.2bp、0.3bp 至 1.64%、1.85%；10 年、30 年国债期货主力合约上涨 0.14%、0.40%。 国际大宗商品价格延续温和上涨，而美元指数低位反弹。今日开盘后，国际主要大宗商品 ...

Group 1 - The State Council Vice Premier Zhang Guoqing emphasizes the need to promote new industrialization and develop new productive forces tailored to local conditions, focusing on high-quality economic development in the manufacturing sector [1] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is committed to implementing key measures for the autonomous opening of the capital market, aiming to enhance the attractiveness and competitiveness of the A-share market [1][2] - Guangzhou's housing provident fund management center proposes a policy for converting commercial loans to public loans, with specific thresholds for the personal housing loan rate [2] Group 2 - In June 2025, A-share new account openings reached 1.65 million, a year-on-year increase of 53%, with a total of 12.6 million new accounts opened in the first half of the year [3] - Chinese beverage brands like Mixue Ice City are gaining popularity among foreign consumers, marking a shift from merely replicating Western brands to establishing strong Chinese brands globally [4][5] - The marine economy sector is experiencing significant growth, with Chinese shipyards securing 168 offshore engineering orders worth nearly $23.6 billion since early 2024, capturing two-thirds of the global market share [6] Group 3 - The steel sector has seen a notable surge, with stocks like Chongqing Steel rising over 120%, driven by supportive real estate policies and infrastructure investment [7] - The "Big and Beautiful" bill in the U.S. has caused volatility in the cryptocurrency market, with over 100,000 liquidations reported, indicating investor concerns over fiscal deficits [11] - The new sugar substitute D-allohexose is gaining traction, with a projected market size growth from $23.7 million in 2023 to $42.3 million by 2030, indicating a strong investment opportunity in the sugar substitute sector [13]