每经AI快讯，11月19日，股指期货早盘收盘，沪深300股指期货（IF）主力合约涨0.17%，上证50股指期 货（IH）主力合约涨0.43%，中证500股指期货（IC）主力合约跌0.54%，中证1000股指期货（IM）主力 合约跌0.97%。 ...

Group 1: Report's Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report. Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The short - term view of the stock index is range - bound, with intensified short - term long - short game. The medium - term view is strong. The intraday view is bullish. The overall situation is that the rhythm of policy - driven positive expectations and the rhythm of profit - taking by profit - making funds are in a short - term oscillation game. In the long - term, policy - driven positive expectations and the trend of capital inflow into the stock market strongly support the stock index [1][5]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For IH2512, the short - term view is oscillatory, the medium - term view is strong, the intraday view is bullish, and the reference view is range - bound. The core logic is the game between the willingness of funds to take profits and the expectation of policy benefits [1]. Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For IF, IH, IC, and IM, the intraday view is bullish, the medium - term view is strong, and the reference view is range - bound. The core logic is that the stock indexes pulled back slightly yesterday, with the three - market turnover of 194.6 billion yuan, an increase of 1.56 billion yuan from the previous day. In the short - term, policy signals are weakening, geopolitical factors are increasing risk - aversion sentiment, and profit - taking willingness is rising as the stock index approaches the previous high, so there is a need for technical consolidation. In the long - term, policy - driven positive expectations and capital inflow trends support the stock index [5].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The stock index continued to adjust today, with relatively large declines in small and medium - cap stock indices. The market is currently dominated by the game between policy - driven positive expectations and the increasing willingness of funds to take profits. In the short - term, the news is relatively flat, and the signal of favorable policies is weakening, increasing the pressure for index correction. The decline in the Asia - Pacific market today has further increased the downward pressure on A - shares. The previously strong chemical and battery sectors have corrected, while the AI sector has strengthened, showing a high - to - low rotation. The basis of stock index futures shows differentiation. For IF, except for the next - quarter contract whose basis declined, the basis of other contracts converged. The basis of IH contracts declined, while the basis of IC and IM contracts rebounded significantly, breaking away from the historical percentile below 10%. The basis of stock index futures of stock indices with large declines for two consecutive days has strengthened significantly. Coupled with the slight rebound of the index in the late trading today, it indicates that there is support below, and the market sentiment is not completely pessimistic. In general, it is expected to continue to adjust in the short - term, but the expectation of favorable policies provides support at the bottom, and the downward space of the stock index is limited [5]. Market Review - The stock indices closed down collectively today, with the large - cap stock indices relatively more resilient. For example, the CSI 300 index closed down 0.65%. In terms of funds, the trading volume of the two markets increased by 1.5277 billion yuan. In the stock index futures market, IH declined with shrinking volume, while other varieties declined with increasing volume [3]. Important Information - The China - Germany High - Level Financial Dialogue was held in Beijing, reaching a number of achievements and consensuses, ending the trade tension. The favorite candidate for the Fed Chairman, Fed Governor Waller, supports a rate cut in December, while Fed Vice - Chairman Jefferson emphasizes a cautious and slow - paced policy [4]. Strategy Recommendation Futures Market Observation | | IF | IH | IC | IM | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Main contract intraday change (%) | -0.41 | -0.23 | -0.85 | -0.69 | | Trading volume (10,000 lots) | 12.1863 | 5.4759 | 13.444 | 21.7767 | | Trading volume change (10,000 lots) | 0.7571 | -0.2437 | 1.7523 | 2.044 | | Open interest (10,000 lots) | 27.8688 | 9.7691 | 25.4019 | 36.202 | | Open interest change (10,000 lots) | 0.5967 | -0.3423 | 0.8185 | 0.6867 | [6] Spot Market Observation | Name | Value | | --- | --- | | Shanghai Composite Index change (%) | -0.81 | | Shenzhen Component Index change (%) | -0.92 | | Ratio of rising to falling stocks | 0.31 | | Trading volume of the two markets (100 million yuan) | 1926.068 | | Trading volume change (100 million yuan) | 1.5277 | [7]

报告类型 股指日评 研究员：何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3008762 研究员：黄雯昕(宏观国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3051589 宏观金融团队 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 日期 2025 年 11 月 18 日 研究员：聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 一、行情回顾与后市展望 1.1 行情回顾： 11 月 17 日，万得全 A 缩量下跌，开盘震荡回落，尾盘有所修复，收跌 0.15%； 沪深 300、上证 50、中证 500 收盘分别下跌 0.65%、0.87%、0.00%，中证 1000 收 盘上涨 0.27%，中小盘股表现更优。期货方面，期货表现强于现货，IF、IH 主力 合约分别收跌 0.41%、0.70%，IC、IM 主力合约分别收涨 0.08%、0.30%（按收盘 价计算）。 | 表1:股指期 ...

| 11/20 9:00 中国11月1年期、5年期LPR | | | --- | --- | | 11/20 21:30 美国9月非农就业数据、失业率、劳动参与率 | | | 重点关注 | | | 数据来源第三方，观点仅供参考。市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ | 备注：IF:沪深300 IH:上证50 IC:中证500 IM：中证1000 IO:沪深300期权 | | | 研究员: 廖宏斌 | 股指期货全景日报 2025/11/18 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 IF主力合约（2512） | 最新 4555.0 | 环比 数据指标 -18.8↓ IF次主力合约（2511） | 最新 4569.6 | 环比 -20.0↓ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | IH主力合约（2512） | 2997.6 | -6.8↓ IH次主力合约（2511） | 3003.6 | -5.0↓ | | | IC主力合约（2512） | 7079.8 | -61.0↓ IC次主力合约（2511） | 7152.8 | -62.4↓ | | | IM主力合约（2512） | 7351.8 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the given content Summary by Relevant Catalogs Index Trends - On November 17th, the Shanghai Composite Index had a change of -0.46%, closing at 3972.03 points with a trading volume of 805.733 billion yuan; the Shenzhen Component Index had a change of -0.11%, closing at 13202.0 points with a trading volume of 1105.058 billion yuan [1] - The CSI 1000 Index had a change of 0.27% with a trading volume of 391.318 billion yuan, opening at 7514.84, closing at 7523.08, with a daily high of 7544.72 and a low of 7487.81 [1] - The CSI 500 Index had a change of -0.0% with a trading volume of 310.823 billion yuan, opening at 7248.92, closing at 7235.35, with a daily high of 7262.33 and a low of 7202.59 [1] - The SSE 50 Index had a change of -0.87% with a trading volume of 111.805 billion yuan, opening at 3033.02, closing at 3012.07, with a daily high of 3037.23 and a low of 3001.2 [1] - The SSE 300 Index had a change of -0.65% with a trading volume of 438.94 billion yuan, opening at 4616.81, closing at 4598.05, with a daily high of 4624.9 and a low of 4580.26 [1] Impact of Sector Movements on Indexes - The CSI 1000 rose 20.32 points compared to the previous closing price. Sectors such as computer, national defense and military industry, and electronics significantly pulled the index up, while household appliances, non - ferrous metals, and pharmaceutical biology significantly pulled it down [3] - The CSI 500 rose -0.11 points compared to the previous closing price. Sectors like electronics, computer, and national defense and military industry significantly pulled the index up, while non - ferrous metals, non - bank finance, and pharmaceutical biology significantly pulled it down [3] - The SSE 300 rose -30.09 points compared to the previous closing price. Sectors such as non - bank finance, banks, and power equipment significantly pulled the index down [3] - The SSE 50 rose -26.36 points compared to the previous closing price. The food and beverage sector significantly pulled the index up, while non - bank finance, banks, and non - ferrous metals significantly pulled it down [3] Stock Index Futures Basis and Annualized Opening Costs Converted from Basis - For IM contracts, IM00 had an average basis of -21.95, IM01 had -118.56, IM02 had -352.6, and IM03 had -581.2 [13] - For IC contracts, IC00 had an average basis of -16.93, IC01 had -90.6, IC02 had -268.85, and IC03 had -470.92 [13] - For IF contracts, IF00 had an average basis of -4.62, IF01 had -20.83, IF02 had -48.63, and IF03 had -89.89 [13] - For IH contracts, IH00 had an average basis of -0.69, IH01 had -5.36, IH02 had -7.48, and IH03 had -13.7 [13] Stock Index Futures Roll - over Point Differences and Their Annualized Costs - For IM contracts, data on roll - over point differences and their converted annualized costs at different time points from 09:45 to 15:00 are provided, such as at 09:45, IM00 - 01 was -73.02267 [24][25] - For IC contracts, data on roll - over point differences and their converted annualized costs at different time points from 09:45 to 15:00 are provided, like at 09:45, IC00 - 01 was -68.64222 [27] - For IF contracts, data on roll - over point differences and their converted annualized costs at different time points from 09:45 to 15:00 are provided, for example, at 09:45, IF00 - 01 was -12.31678 [27] - For IH contracts, data on roll - over point differences and their converted annualized costs at different time points from 09:45 to 15:00 are provided, say at 09:45, IH00 - 01 was 0.707 [29]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，周一（11月17日）纽约尾盘，标普500股指期货最终下跌0.85%，道指期货跌1.10%，纳斯 达克100股指期货跌0.76%。罗素2000股指期货跌2.06%。 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the report industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report - A - share three - quarterly reports performed well, providing bottom support for the market. However, multiple economic indicators in October showed weakness, indicating significant downward pressure on the economy and putting pressure on the stock market. After the disclosure of the A - share three - quarterly reports and with no major domestic meetings this month, and after the release of macro - economic data, the market will enter a vacuum period of macro - data, performance, and policies. In the absence of clear trading guidance, the market is expected to move randomly, and stock index futures will remain volatile [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Data - **Futures Contract Prices**: IF, IH, IC, and IM main and secondary contracts all declined. For example, the IF main contract (2512) was at 4581.4, down 41.0; the IH main contract (2512) was at 3009.2, down 34.0 [2]. - **Futures Contract Spreads**: Most spreads increased, such as the IF - IH monthly contract spread which was 1581.8, up 1.8; the IC - IF monthly contract spread was 2620.0, up 26.0 [2]. - **Futures Seasonal - Monthly Spreads**: Some spreads decreased, like the IF seasonal - monthly spread was - 43.4, down 1.8; some increased, such as the IH seasonal - monthly spread which was - 6.6, up 1.6 [2]. - **Futures Net Positions**: The net positions of the top 20 in IF, IH, IC, and IM all decreased. For example, the IF top 20 net position was - 23,624.00, down 1014.0 [2]. 3.2 Spot Market Data - **Spot Index Prices**: The Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 was at 4598.05, down 30.1; the Shanghai Composite 50 was at 3012.1, down 26.4; the CSI 500 was at 7235.4, down 0.1; the CSI 1000 was at 7523.1, up 20.3 [2]. - **Futures - Spot Basis**: The basis of IF, IH, IC, and IM main contracts all increased. For example, the IF main contract basis was - 16.6, up 11.1 [2]. 3.3 Market Sentiment Data - **Trading Volume and Margin Trading**: A - share trading volume was 19,303.21 billion yuan, down 500.61 billion yuan; the margin trading balance was 24,927.04 billion yuan, down 138.30 billion yuan [2]. - **North - bound Trading and Repurchase**: North - bound trading volume was 2098.22 billion yuan, down 155.99 billion yuan; the repurchase balance was - 1199.0 billion yuan, up 10830.0 billion yuan [2]. - **Other Indicators**: The proportion of rising stocks was 47.43%, up 11.44%; the Shibor was 1.508%, up 0.145% [2]. 3.4 Market Strength - Weakness Analysis - **Wind Market Analysis**: The overall A - share score was 4.70, up 1.00; the technical analysis score was 4.70, up 1.20; the capital analysis score was 4.60, up 0.70 [2]. 3.5 Industry News - **Economic Data**: In October, China's industrial added value of large - scale industries increased by 4.9% year - on - year, with a month - on - month increase of 0.17%. From January to October, it increased by 6.1% year - on - year. Social consumer goods retail sales in October were 46291 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2.9%. From January to October, it was 412169 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.3%. From January to October, national fixed - asset investment was 408914 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 1.7%. The real estate development investment decreased by 14.7% year - on - year, the sales area of new commercial housing decreased by 6.8% year - on - year, and the sales volume decreased by 9.6% year - on - year. In October, the real estate development climate index was 92.43 [2]. - **Financial Data**: At the end of October, the stock of social financing scale was 437.72 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 8.5%. The cumulative increase in social financing scale in the first 10 months was 30.9 trillion yuan, 3.83 trillion yuan more than the same period last year. The M2 balance was 335.13 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 8.2%; the M1 balance was 112 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 6.2% [2]. 3.6 Key Data to Watch - On November 20 at 9:00, China's 1 - year and 5 - year LPR will be released. On November 20 at 21:30, the US September non - farm payrolls data, unemployment rate, and labor participation rate will be released [3].

股指期货数据日报 2025年11月17日 IM每日行情 IM行情概要 IM成交持仓 单位：点、手、亿元 单位：手 | | 收盘价 | +/- | 成交量 | +/- | | 成交额 | +/- | | 持仓量 | +/- | 持仓保证金 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 中证1000 | 7523.08 | 0.27% | 26,116 | | -4% | | 3,913 | -4% | | | | | | IM2511 | 7495.40 | -0.15% | 34,485 | | 0 % | | 517 | 0 % | 48,139 | -5,818 | | 8 7 | | IM2512 | 7394.40 | -0.26% | 130,158 | | 4 % | | 1,925 | 4 % | 185,984 | 3,608 | | 330 | | IM2603 | 7162.00 | -0.26% | 23,077 | | 0 % | | 331 | -1% | 8 ...

Report Title - The Weekly Report on Stock Index Futures by Caida Futures [1][2] Report Date - November 17, 2025 [2] Researcher - Name: Li Jinwen; Qualification Number: F0244287; Investment Consulting Number: Z0012495 [3] Report Core View - The stock index futures showed a pattern of rising and then falling last week and still need consolidation. The market may continue to fluctuate in the short - term to digest pressure and accumulate momentum [3][4][6] Market Review Stock Index Futures - Last week, the four stock index futures showed a pattern of rising and then falling, with relatively large adjustments in CSI 300 and CSI 500. The basis of all four futures varieties changed little, and all the main contracts remained in the futures discount mode. The futures - spot basis of the main contracts were: IH at - 8.03, IF at - 27.74, IC at - 98.06, and IM at - 130.76 [4] A - share Market - The A - share market last week featured "index range - bound fluctuations, accelerated structural rotation, and cautious capital preference". The stable economic operation provided bottom support, but the fluctuations of some data restricted the upward space of the index. By the end of Friday, the main stock indices generally declined slightly, and trading volume continued to shrink slightly. There was still a differentiation in the sector structure, and capital quickly switched between policy - beneficiary sectors and low - valuation sectors. After the impact of the third - quarter reports faded, the market pricing logic gradually shifted to next year's performance expectations and policy - beneficiary directions. Overall, capital risk preference converged, and more attention was paid to the safety margin and sustainability of prosperity in structural selection [4] Comprehensive Analysis Macroeconomic Situation - The release of October's macro - economic data was the main focus of the market. On November 14, it was announced that the national economy continued to develop steadily: industrial production and the service industry remained stable; market sales continued to expand; and the employment situation was generally stable. In October, the year - on - year CPI changed from a 0.3% decline last month to a 0.2% increase, and the year - on - year decline of PPI narrowed for the third consecutive month to 2.1%, indicating the initial signs of domestic demand recovery. Meanwhile, the interpretation of the "15th Five - Year Plan" continued, and the market continuously discussed the future industrial policies and measures to expand domestic demand [5][6] Market Outlook - The October economic data further confirmed the resilience of China's economic recovery, especially the marginal improvement in prices helped stabilize market expectations. However, the full recovery of effective demand still requires more time and policy support. In this context, the market may continue to fluctuate in the short - term to digest pressure and accumulate momentum [6]