股 票 研 究 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.08.08 晶圆代工行业龙头 25Q2 毛利率优于指引上限 [Table_Industry] 半导体 中芯国际及华虹半导体发布 25Q2 业绩 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 舒迪(分析师) | 021-38676666 | shudi@gtht.com | S0880521070002 | | 吴小沛(研究助理) | 021-23187269 | wuxiaopei@gtht.com | S0880125042240 | 本报告导读： 我们认为在工业及汽车需求修复下，晶圆代工产能利用率有望持续改善，叠加在 地化生产趋势确立，头部 Fab 有望实现业绩增长。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 半导体《AI 发展潜力大，半导体自主可控是关 键》2025.07.24 半导体《景气提升，关注晶圆代工产能扩张及先 进封装稀缺性》2025.07.21 半导体《沐曦股份及摩尔线程科创板 IPO 受理》 2025.07.04 半导体《设置科创 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Citi indicates that Huahong Semiconductor's Q2 revenue reached $566 million, showing a quarterly increase of 4.6%, nearing the upper limit of the company's guidance of $550 million to $570 million [1] Financial Performance - Gross margin for Q2 was 10.9%, an improvement of 1.7 percentage points from Q1, exceeding the guidance of 7% to 9% [1] - Capacity utilization increased by 5.6 percentage points to 108.3% [1] - Net profit was $8 million, a quarterly growth of 112.1%, but still below market expectations of $12.8 million [1] Market Outlook - Despite early inventory buildup in the first half of the year, demand in the second half is expected to be similar to the first half [1] - Price adjustments began in Q2, with expectations for average selling prices to see single-digit increases in the second half [1] Future Projections - The gross margin for Q4 is anticipated to maintain the level seen in Q3 [1] - The expansion of the 12-inch wafer fab (Fab 9) is progressing well, with new capacity expected to come online in 2027 [1] - Earnings forecasts for Huahong Semiconductor have been raised by 18% and 12% for 2026 and 2027 respectively, while the 2023 earnings forecast has been lowered by 31% due to increased tax [1] Investment Rating - The rating remains "Outperform" with the target price increased from HKD 36.9 to HKD 50.5 [1]

Overall Performance - Semiconductor Manufacturing International (SMIC) reported a revenue of $2.2 billion for Q2 2025, slightly above market expectations of $2.16 billion, but a 1.7% decrease from the previous quarter, with guidance indicating a further decline of 4-6% [1][14] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 20.4%, reaching the upper limit of the guidance range (18-20%) and exceeding market expectations of 19.7% [1][4] Revenue and Pricing Dynamics - The decline in revenue was primarily attributed to a decrease in average selling prices, despite a 4.3% increase in product shipment volume [3][17] - The average selling price per wafer decreased by 5.7%, influenced by a higher proportion of lower-priced 8-inch wafer shipments [3][17] Business Segment Performance - Revenue from the smartphone segment grew by only 1.7%, significantly lower than the double-digit growth seen in the past two years, while other segments like PC and consumer electronics experienced declines [2][24] - The company maintained over 80% of its revenue from the domestic market, driven by domestic substitution trends [2][7] Expenditure and Capital Investment - Operating expenses increased, with management expenses rising by 17.6% year-on-year, primarily due to higher factory setup costs [2][31] - Capital expenditure for the quarter was $1.885 billion, indicating a commitment to maintaining high levels of investment despite weak downstream demand [2][31] Future Guidance - For Q3 2025, SMIC expects revenue to increase by 5-7%, translating to $2.32-$2.36 billion, which is below market expectations of $2.37 billion [4][19] - The gross margin guidance for the next quarter is set at 18-20%, lower than the market expectation of 21.1% [4][22] Capacity Utilization and Market Trends - The capacity utilization rate for Q2 2025 was 92.5%, reflecting a slight recovery, primarily due to preemptive stocking of 8-inch wafers by customers [2][22] - The overall semiconductor market remains weak, with cautious outlooks from management regarding demand visibility in the second half of the year [7][9] Regional Revenue Distribution - The revenue from the China region accounted for 84.1% of total revenue, with a slight decline of 1.9% quarter-on-quarter [29][31] - The company’s revenue from the U.S. and Eurasia regions remained relatively low at 12.9% and 3%, respectively [29][31]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the advantages of domestic substitution in the biopharmaceutical supply chain, emphasizing stability, safety, and cost-effectiveness as key drivers for companies to adopt domestic products over imports [3][4]. Group 1: Domestic Substitution Advantages - The stability and safety of the supply chain are crucial for biopharmaceutical companies, especially during disruptions that could lead to production halts. Domestic sourcing mitigates risks associated with reliance on imported critical materials [3]. - Cost advantages are significant, with domestic chromatography media offering substantial price reductions compared to imported counterparts. This cost-effectiveness is enhanced when considering the overall supply chain, as companies often switch multiple related consumables to domestic options [3]. - Domestic suppliers provide localized technical support, collaborating closely with clients to optimize processes and improve product quality, which fosters a competitive environment focused on comprehensive technical solutions [3]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The trend towards domestic substitution in chromatography media is largely irreversible, with most companies moving from imported to domestic products, and only a few instances of switching between domestic brands [4]. - Large pharmaceutical companies adopt a mixed procurement strategy for chromatography media, balancing between single and multiple suppliers based on their process needs and risk management considerations [5]. - The primary business of the company, Saifen Technology (688758), focuses on the research, development, and production of liquid chromatography materials for drug analysis and purification, positioning itself as a high-tech enterprise with global sales capabilities [5].

导读： 三英精密2025上半年实现营业收入1.27亿元，同比增长25.27%；归属于挂牌公司股东的净利润达1300万元，同比大幅增长 76.99%。 特别提示 微信机制调整，点击顶部"仪器信息网" → 右上方"…" → 设为 ★ 星标，否则很可能无法看到我们的推送。 天津三英精密仪器股份有限公司（简称"三英精密"）近日发布2025年半年度报告，交出一份亮眼成绩单。报告显示， 公司上半年实现营业收入1.27亿元，同比增长25.27%；归属于挂牌公司股东的净利润达1300万元，同比大幅增长 76.99%。这一业绩增长主要得益于高端无损检测设备市场的持续升温，以及公司在手订单的高效转化。 核心业务表现亮眼 作为业绩增长的主要驱动力，三英精密产品类业务营收达1.21亿元，同比增长27.24%。值得关注的是，截至报告期 初，公司自产设备的在手订单（含增值税）已突破3亿元大关，达到3.08亿元。目前，部分订单已完成投产并顺利交 付，为下半年业绩持续增长奠定了坚实基础。 技术突破引领国产替代 三英精密深耕高端X射线无损检测领域，已成功打造多个具有国际竞争力的产品系列：nano Voxel系列X射线三维显 微成像检测系统（2 ...

1、整体业绩：收入&毛利率，双双下滑。中芯国际在 2025 年第二季度实现收入 22 亿美元，市场预期 21.6 亿美元，环比下滑 1.7%，指引区间环比下滑 4- 6%。 公司在 2025 年第二季度毛利率 20.4%，达到指引区间上限(18-20%)，市场一致预期(19.7%)。 本季度业绩环比下滑，主要是受到产线年度维修突发问题及设备改进的问题，以及 PC、智能家居及消费电子类下游市场需求回落的影响。 2、细观三大核心指标：收入、毛利率和产能利用率。收入端通过量价分拆，中芯国际本季度收入的下滑主要受产品均价降低的影响。 受 8 寸晶圆提前备货等因素影响，公司本季度 8 寸晶圆出货占比继续提升，结构性拉低了产品均价。公司本季度产品出货量环比增长 4.3%，而产品均价环 比下滑 5.7%。 中芯国际(00981,688981.SH) 北京时间 2025 年 8 月 7 日晚，港股盘后发布 2025 年度第二季度财报(截至 2025 年 6 月)，要点如下： 4、费用支出及资本开支：公司的经营费用主要来自于研发费用和管理费用，本季度研发费用同比持平，而管理费用同比增长 17.6%，是受工厂开办相关费 用增加影 ...

Core Viewpoint - The chairman of Dekoli, Gui Sang, emphasizes the rapid progress of China's optical chip industry and the importance of establishing an independent technological framework to enhance competitiveness in the global market [1][4][5]. Company Overview - Dekoli has never reported a loss since its establishment in 2000, maintaining stable operating profits, which supports its continuous innovation efforts [1][8]. - The company focuses on two types of chips: those that are unavailable in the market and those that are globally unique [3]. Investment Strategy - In the past five years, Dekoli has directly invested in five optical chip companies and indirectly invested in over ten semiconductor-related firms through an investment platform [3]. - The company aims to fulfill its industrial capital responsibilities while achieving technological advancements [3]. Technological Development - Dekoli has made significant achievements in optical technology, including being the first to apply thin-film lithium niobate chip technology in a single-wave 100G long-distance optical module in 2019 [3]. - The company plans to focus on key technological areas such as broadband light sources, optical amplification, and waveguide optical switching [1][7][8]. Industry Perspective - The optical communication industry is characterized as a truly global sector, necessitating an international standard and a global perspective for competitiveness [4][5]. - Gui Sang categorizes the evolution of optical communication into three eras: telecommunications, big data, and the current artificial intelligence era, predicting a 200-fold increase in computing power demand over the next decade [5][6]. Global Expansion - Dekoli has established a global presence with headquarters in Singapore, R&D in Canada, and manufacturing in Thailand, aiming to create an integrated global value chain [6]. - The company seeks to attract global talent and embrace international markets to enhance its competitiveness [6]. Research and Development Focus - Dekoli prioritizes R&D without blind investment, with a five-year annual growth rate of 38% in R&D spending, although it remains a small percentage of overall revenue [8]. - The company emphasizes original technology and aims to contribute to the industry while developing its core competencies [8].

Core Viewpoint - The core viewpoint emphasizes that technological breakthroughs, commercial logic, and resource integration are essential for Chinese optical chip companies to thrive in international competition [1][12]. Company Overview - Shijia Photonics is a high-tech enterprise focused on the research and production of passive and active optical chips, optical fiber connectors, and related products [3]. - The company achieved a significant milestone in 2012 by developing PLC chips, breaking foreign monopolies, and capturing over 50% of the global market share by 2015 [3]. Market Position and Achievements - In the gigabit network era, Shijia Photonics has become a key supplier of DFB chips, holding a substantial market share [3]. - The company has also emerged as the largest supplier in the AWG wavelength division multiplexing chip segment, contributing to advancements in high-speed optical modules [4]. Domestic Industry Landscape - The "bottleneck" issues in the domestic optical chip industry have largely been resolved, with most vacuum and testing equipment now domestically produced [5]. - The focus has shifted from merely breaking technological barriers to building ecological advantages within the optical electronics sector [5]. Global Competitive Strategy - Chinese optical chip manufacturers are increasingly gaining market share globally, with seven Chinese companies listed in the top 10 global optical module rankings [6]. - The advantages of Chinese firms include a strong engineering workforce, rapid response to customer needs, and a complete supply chain [6][7]. Future Directions - The future development focus includes silicon photonics and integrated optical chips, with significant investments planned in these areas [11][12]. - Shijia Photonics is also exploring applications in emerging fields such as lidar, gas sensing, quantum networks, and vehicle communication [12].

Core Viewpoint - In the second quarter of 2025, demand for analog chips has significantly increased, particularly in the mobile fast charging and power management sectors, as domestic companies accelerate the replacement of overseas market shares [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company has established deep collaborations with domestic clients to customize devices and process platforms, resulting in incremental orders during the replacement process [1] - The utilization rate of production capacity continues to rise due to the increase in orders [1] Group 2: Revenue Growth - Revenue from the image sensor platform has increased by over 20% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Revenue from the RF (radio frequency) segment has also shown a significant increase quarter-on-quarter [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Guangxin Technology, indicating a positive outlook for investment [1]. Core Viewpoints - Guangxin Technology is positioned as a leader in ultra-high voltage insulation materials, benefiting from a high industry boom that drives both volume and profit growth [1]. - The company is expected to see significant revenue and profit increases, with projected net profits of 1.16 billion yuan in 2024 and approximately 2.5 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 135% and 115% respectively [1][6]. - The insulation materials industry is entering a golden development period, driven by robust downstream demand and increasing investment in power equipment [1][6]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Guangxin Technology specializes in insulation fiber materials and has established itself as a leading supplier in the industry, covering all voltage levels for power transmission and transformation systems [11]. - The company has a concentrated shareholding structure, with the majority of shares held by the controlling family, ensuring stability [13]. - The management team has extensive experience in the industry, contributing to the company's strategic direction and operational efficiency [15]. 2. Industry Dynamics - The insulation materials market is expanding, with a projected market size of approximately 130.5 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting an 8.2% year-on-year growth [37]. - The power industry is experiencing high demand, particularly for transformers, driven by increased investment in power infrastructure, which is expected to reach 1.777 trillion yuan in 2024 [43]. - The growth of renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind power, is significantly boosting the demand for insulation materials, with solar power installations expected to reach 277.17 GW in 2024 [52]. 3. Competitive Advantages - Guangxin Technology has a strong competitive edge due to its comprehensive product range and technological capabilities, including the ability to produce insulation materials for ultra-high voltage applications [19]. - The company maintains strong customer loyalty, with long-term contracts with major clients, ensuring stable revenue streams [20]. - Capacity expansion plans are in place, with expected increases in production capacity by over 50%, which will further support revenue growth [21]. 4. Financial Projections - The company forecasts significant growth in net profits, with estimates of 2.5 billion yuan in 2025, 3.5 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.9 billion yuan in 2027, representing year-on-year increases of 115%, 41%, and 39% respectively [1][6]. - Revenue is projected to grow from 420.07 million yuan in 2023 to 1.73 billion yuan by 2027, indicating a compound annual growth rate of approximately 38.42% [1].