情绪经济

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悦己消费大时代研究报告-财通证券
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-30 09:34
Group 1: Evolution of Consumption Society in Japan and the U.S. - The generational shift has profoundly influenced the evolution of consumption societies in Japan and the U.S. [1] - In Japan, the Taisho and early Showa generations led the transition from the first to the second consumption society, followed by the New Human Generation and part of the Baby Boomer generation driving the third consumption society [1] - In the U.S., Baby Boomers focus on unique product advantages, Generation X prefers time-saving products, Generation Y is enthusiastic about energy-saving and green consumption, while Generation Z contributes significantly to digital and gaming consumption [1] Group 2: Current State and Potential of China's Consumption Society - The post-90s and post-95s generations in China have developed consumption concepts similar to Japan's New Human Generation and the U.S. Baby Boomers, emphasizing spiritual satisfaction and personalized consumption [2] - Compared to Japan and the U.S., China's service consumption currently stands at 46.1%, indicating significant room for growth in the service sector [2] Group 3: Characteristics of the Third Consumption Society and Self-Satisfaction Consumption Trends - In the third consumption society, consumers prioritize emotional and psychological factors over mere functionality when selecting products, leading to a shift in brand positioning from "leader" to "supporting role" [3][10] - Self-satisfaction consumption is emerging as a key trend, focusing on emotional resources, emotional resolution solutions, and legal emotional release [6][11] Group 4: Emotional Consumption Trends - Emotional resources include the pet economy, IP toys, and temple economy, catering to spiritual and emotional needs [6] - Emotional resolution solutions are found in beauty and personal care products, gold and jewelry, and new-style food and beverages that address appearance and safety anxieties [6] - Legal emotional release is represented by outdoor activities, light alcoholic beverages, and tobacco products, which help consumers manage stress [6]
又一IP玩具公司冲刺港股,“情绪经济”打开消费新空间
Bei Jing Ri Bao Ke Hu Duan· 2025-05-29 23:38
Core Viewpoint - The rise of the "Guzi Economy" has made trendy toys a hot investment area, with multiple IP toy companies, including 52TOYS, preparing for IPOs in Hong Kong, driven by strong consumer demand from young people [1][3][5]. Industry Overview - The IP toy sector is a significant subfield within the trendy toy industry, focusing on toys associated with intellectual property [3]. - 52TOYS, founded in 2015, offers a variety of IP toy products, including static and movable dolls, wind-up toys, transforming robots, and plush toys [3]. - The company has submitted its prospectus for an IPO, with Citigroup and Huatai International as joint sponsors [3]. Market Dynamics - The investment trend in trendy toys is accelerating, with 52TOYS being the latest in a series of companies, including Pop Mart and TOP TOY, seeking to enter the capital market [5]. - The Chinese trendy toy and cultural creative industry is rapidly advancing towards capital transformation, with a more mature industry ecosystem compared to 2020 [5]. Consumer Behavior - Young consumers are increasingly willing to spend on emotional purchases, as evidenced by their enthusiasm for blind box toys, which are seen as social currency [7][9]. - The emotional connection to trendy toys is highlighted by consumers expressing their feelings through the toys they choose, indicating a shift towards emotional consumption [9]. Financial Performance - 52TOYS reported revenues of 463 million yuan, 482 million yuan, and 630 million yuan for 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, with net losses increasing from 1.708 million yuan to 122 million yuan over the same period [11]. - The company's reliance on licensed IP products is significant, with 64.5% of its revenue in 2024 coming from licensed IP, compared to 12.3% for Pop Mart [11]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive environment in the trendy toy market is intensifying, with companies needing to innovate in design and avoid over-reliance on licensed products to maintain user engagement and valuation [11][13]. - Industry experts emphasize the importance of design innovation and caution against unhealthy market practices, such as artificial scarcity and speculation [13].
从流量到口碑,黄子韬的卫生巾还需过几道关?
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-22 03:35
Core Insights - Huang Zitao's sanitary napkin brand, Duowei, achieved over 400 million GMV in a single live-streaming session, marking a significant entry into the market [1] - The brand's rapid success is attributed to the heightened public concern for product safety following the exposure of quality issues in the sanitary products industry during the 315 Gala [2][3] - The brand's future success hinges on its ability to maintain product quality and consumer trust, especially in a market dominated by established players like Sofy and Kotex [5][6] Group 1: Market Entry and Initial Success - Duowei's launch capitalized on a surge in consumer demand for safe and reliable sanitary products, driven by recent industry scandals [2][3] - Huang Zitao's commitment to transparency and safety resonated with consumers, leading to a successful initial sales event [3][5] - The brand's first live-streaming event generated significant sales, showcasing the power of celebrity influence in driving consumer behavior [1][3] Group 2: Consumer Needs and Emotional Response - The brand effectively addressed both functional and emotional consumer needs, with a focus on safety and trust [2][3] - The public's desire for responsible brands following the 315 Gala created a favorable environment for Duowei's entry [2][3] - Huang Zitao's personal engagement and promises of product quality helped to build initial consumer trust [3][7] Group 3: Challenges Ahead - The sustainability of Duowei's success will depend on product quality and the ability to build a strong brand reputation over time [6][7] - The brand faces skepticism regarding its product origins and quality assurance, particularly due to its association with previously criticized manufacturers [7][8] - The reliance on Huang Zitao's celebrity status poses risks for long-term brand viability, as consumer loyalty may not translate into repeat purchases [10][11] Group 4: Market Competition and Distribution - The sanitary napkin market is becoming increasingly competitive, with other brands and established players also seeking to capitalize on the current consumer sentiment [12][13] - Duowei's distribution strategy is heavily reliant on online sales, particularly through live-streaming, which may limit its market reach compared to competitors with established offline channels [11][12] - The brand must develop a comprehensive distribution strategy to penetrate deeper into various market segments and ensure sustained growth [11][12] Group 5: Long-term Viability and Brand Trust - Building and maintaining consumer trust will be crucial for Duowei's long-term success, especially in a market where product safety is paramount [7][8] - The brand's ability to deliver consistent quality and transparency will determine its reputation and consumer loyalty over time [6][8] - The competition from established brands with strong market presence and consumer trust poses a significant challenge for Duowei's growth trajectory [12][13]
香港消费ETF(513590)冲击3连涨,小鹏汽车一季度营收超预期,美团外卖“神抢手”日订单量突破1000万单
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-22 02:28
截至2025年5月22日 09:47,中证港股通消费主题指数(931454)下跌0.29%。成分股方面涨跌互现,小鹏 汽车-W(09868)领涨7.67%,滔搏(06110)上涨3.75%,思摩尔国际(06969)上涨2.88%;哔哩哔哩-W(09626) 领跌4.04%,农夫山泉(09633)下跌3.24%,恒安国际(01044)下跌3.12%。 香港消费ETF(513590)上涨0.31%, 冲击3连涨。最新价报0.96元。 小鹏汽车隔夜美股涨13%,小鹏汽车公告,第一季度营收158.1亿元,去年同期65.5亿元,同比增长 141.5%;第一季度净亏损6.60亿元,第一季度调整后每股亏损0.22元。预计第二季度营收175亿元人民 币至187亿元人民币;交付量10.2万至10.8万辆,同比增237.7-257.5%。 香港消费ETF(513590),场外联接A:016952;联接C:016953;联接I:022793。 数据显示,截至2025年4月30日,中证港股通消费主题指数(931454)前十大权重股分别为阿里巴巴- W(09988)、腾讯控股(00700)、小米集团-W(01810)、美团-W(036 ...
经济不好,有些行业反而火了
商业洞察· 2025-05-18 06:31
Core Insights - The article emphasizes that economic cycles do not eliminate demand but reshape its form, leading to the emergence of industries that thrive during downturns [3][4][26]. Group 1: Economic Trends - During economic downturns, certain industries experience unexpected growth, indicating a shift in consumer behavior towards more cost-effective options [5][10]. - The concept of "value-for-money economy" emerges as consumers prioritize savings, leading to a rational flow of consumption rather than a complete decline in demand [7][8]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior - The rise of the "middleman profit" model, particularly on platforms like Xianyu, showcases how young individuals capitalize on price differences between low-cost goods and resale opportunities, with some earning over 10,000 yuan monthly [9][10]. - The second-hand economy is booming, driven by a strong desire for cost-effective purchases among younger consumers, as they increasingly opt for second-hand items over new ones [12][13]. Group 3: Emotional and Anxiety Economies - The "emotional economy" is highlighted through the growing pet care industry, where services like pet boarding and grooming are in high demand, reflecting consumers' emotional investments in their pets [16][17]. - The "anxiety economy" is characterized by a surge in self-investment as individuals seek to enhance their skills amid job insecurity, leading to increased enrollment in practical training courses and the rise of flexible employment [22][23]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The article concludes that the current economic landscape in China is undergoing a process of creative destruction, where industries that adapt to changing consumer needs and behaviors will thrive [26].
五个日常小事让外籍教授感知中国经济大势
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-17 09:41
Group 1 - The article highlights the perception of China's economic trends through everyday experiences of foreign experts, emphasizing the convenience and efficiency of shared economy practices [2][3] - The shared economy is identified as a crucial component of China's new development philosophy, which aims to promote high-quality growth through the integration of technology and various industries [3][4] - Significant advancements in infrastructure and emerging industries are noted, with China leading in global solar power capacity, electric vehicles, digital payments, and high-speed rail [4][6] Group 2 - The resilience of the Chinese economy is illustrated through the integration of new technologies such as electric vehicles, artificial intelligence, and big data, which enhance economic stability [6][7] - The ongoing implementation of China's Five-Year Plans provides a stable framework for economic and industrial policies, fostering innovation and investment in high-tech sectors [6][9] - The rapid growth of the pet economy is cited as an example of China's vast market potential, reflecting strong consumer spending and demographic trends [7][8] Group 3 - China's economic performance is characterized by its substantial scale, being the second-largest economy globally, and its significant contributions to global economic growth [9][10] - The country maintains a solid economic foundation, allowing it to navigate external challenges effectively and capitalize on opportunities [9][10] - The narrative of China's economic development is shifting towards a focus on high-quality growth, indicating a transition in economic strategy [10]
一度涨超42%,巨星传奇(06683.HK)受啥刺激?
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-05-09 11:23
5月9日,巨星传奇(06683.HK)股价大幅飙升,盘中股价一度涨逾42%;截至收盘,该股涨幅为 15.82%,报4.32港元/股。 在消息层面,分析指出,近期周杰伦的嘉年华;世界巡回演唱会三亚站对消费产生了超过11亿元的推动 效应。此外,《周游记3》首播即获得收视率冠军,全网话题热度接近2亿,巨星传奇或因此成为主要的 受益方。 其实,作为周杰伦概念股;,巨星传奇的股价波动始终与巨星IP价值深度绑定。自上市以来,凭借周杰 伦IP变现;的强大吸引力,其股价不到一年内就实现翻倍。然而,自2024年6月中旬起,股价开始持续下 滑,2024年9月11日更是暴跌72.24%,直接跌破发行价。 当前,巨星传奇估值仍高企,截至今日收盘,巨星传奇市盈率(TTM)达61.71倍。因此,周杰伦IP为 公司带来了巨大的市场想象力,投资者在关注其潜力的同时,也需警惕估值过高可能带来的泡沫风险。 本文源自:财华网 资料显示,巨星传奇成立于2017年,主要由周杰伦的母亲叶惠美、经纪人杨峻荣、共同创建,专注于周 杰伦IP运营和新零售业务。其中,IP运营具体业务包括为周杰伦策划演唱会、取得周杰伦形象权使用权 拍摄节目、获得周杰伦IP授权等。 ...
中国连锁经营协会:企业运营升级需关注情绪经济与体验革新
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-09 03:39
工人日报-中工网记者 杨召奎 5月7日,CCFA新消费论坛——2025消费品渠道营销创新峰会在深圳举行。中国连锁经营协会会长彭建 真代表主办方致辞,从三方面深入解读消费品牌、零售商与供应商如何协同创新,实现价值重塑。 其一,企业运营升级方面,关注情绪经济与体验革新。消费者不仅看重性价比,也追求产品附加的情绪 价值,希望获得产品功能、体验与情感共鸣的多重满足。为此,实体商超创新求变,做好品类"减法"与 体验"加法",掀起了自我革新的升级浪潮。 本届峰会以"让消费更好地发生"为主题,来自全球知名消费品企业、零售渠道、平台企业、营销领域等 行业专家从消费洞察与渠道进化、产品创新、全域渠道融合、出海力量、零供协同等高频话题出发,共 同探讨未来零售消费发展趋势,探索零供协同新生态打造的新思路、新方法。 来源:工人日报客户端 其二,产品创新方面,区域定制与产业链协同成为新常态。品牌商、供应商与零售商深度合作,采用灵 活定制模式,精准开发出一系列具备区域特色的商品,构建差异化优势。唯有促进产业链各环节的有机 衔接、高效协同,才能赢得消费者的青睐。 其三,要关注内外贸一体化进程。面临复杂严峻的国际形势,商务部大力帮助外贸企业 ...
京东:IP不仅是品牌增长密钥,更是消费升级桥梁
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-05-09 02:45
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the emergence of "emotional economy" as a new consumer space driven by diverse shopping needs among young people, with over 40.1% of them willing to pay for emotional value and interests in 2024 [1] - JD Supermarket is positioning itself as a leading e-commerce platform by integrating IP (intellectual property) with products, aiming to enhance user engagement and meet deeper emotional needs while creating new growth opportunities for fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) brands [1][3] - The launch event of the "Eat, Drink, and Play" themed IP amusement park at JD's headquarters features collaborations with 17 major IPs, including Disney and Hello Kitty, and introduces promotional activities such as 1 yuan flash sales and discounts [1][3] Group 2 - JD Supermarket is the first in the industry to establish a large-scale IP marketing platform, leveraging its self-operated model to provide comprehensive services from product selection to execution for brand partners, allowing them to share platform traffic without additional investment [3] - The company plans to continue enhancing its self-operated advantages through a threefold upgrade of "IP + scene + service," transforming IP products from mere "traffic symbols" into "emotional carriers," thereby opening up a new trillion-level emotional consumption market for the FMCG industry [3]
天猫、抖音电商、快手电商公布“618”大促节奏;Apollo与神州租车深度合作|未来商业早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-08 22:38
Group 1: E-commerce Promotions - Douyin E-commerce announced a "618" merchant incentive policy, investing billions in cash subsidies and trillions in traffic resources to boost merchant sales during the event from May 13 to June 18 [1] - Tmall simplified its "618" promotion rules, offering a single official discount method with a base discount starting at 15% and a maximum discount of 50%, enhancing user shopping experience [2] - Kuaishou E-commerce launched its "618" shopping festival, providing 20 billion in subsidies and trillions in traffic support to help merchants grow their sales during the event [3] Group 2: Marketing Strategies - JD.com introduced the "JD Eating, Drinking, and Entertainment Season" from May 8 to June 1, featuring a large IP amusement park and significant discounts across all categories, leveraging emotional resonance in marketing [4] Group 3: Technology and Innovation - Apollo and Shenzhou Car Rental announced a deep collaboration to launch the world's first autonomous vehicle rental service, aiming to provide accessible smart travel services and enhance the integration of technology and tourism [5]