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需求逐步进入淡季,期待地产及化债政策落地 | 投研报告
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 07:21
来源:中国能源网 上周行情回顾 过去一周(12.01–12.07)主要指数涨跌幅情况:申万建筑材料行业指数(+1.55%),上证指数 (+0.37%),深证成指(+1.26%),创业板指(+1.86%),沪深300(+1.28%)。在申万31个一级子 行业指数中,建筑材料涨跌幅排名居第9位。 风险提示: 水泥:11月北方逐步进入采暖季,错峰生产政策将推动供给收缩,价格有望迎来阶段性上涨,同时短期 由于部分项目抢工,需求阶段性提升。整体来看,基建端整体受到天气干扰、需求释放节奏等因素影 响,其对需求并未完全显现,房建端,需求端仍然处于弱复苏态势。从中期维度来看,水泥行业产能有 望在限制超产政策下产能持续下降,产能利用率从而大幅提升带来利润弹性。关注:海螺水泥、华新建 材。 玻璃:行业需求端在地产影响下25年呈现需求持续下行态势。短期来看,需求传统旺季订单改善力度一 般仍承压,中间商库存相对较高。目前行业供需矛盾仍存,下游终端需求改善有限。供给端,考虑到目 前浮法玻璃行业中大部分企业已能达到环保要求,我们判断反内卷政策不会产生一刀切式产能出清,但 仍会提升环保要求及成本,加速行业的冷修进度。后续持续关注政策变化的 ...
会议定调积极,A500ETF基金(512050)涨超1%,盘中成交额超61亿元位居同类第一
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 06:00
Group 1 - The A-share market continued its upward trend on December 8, with the A500 ETF (512050) rising over 1% and achieving a trading volume exceeding 6.1 billion yuan, ranking first among similar funds [1] - A high-level meeting was held to analyze the economic work for 2026, emphasizing the need for a stable yet progressive approach, enhanced quality and efficiency, and the implementation of more proactive fiscal and moderately loose monetary policies [1] - Historical data indicates that in 16 years since 2010, there have been 6 instances where the spring market began in December, driven by positive policies and external events, as well as liquidity conditions [1] Group 2 - The A500 ETF (512050) has shown significant capital inflow, with a net subscription of over 3.3 billion yuan in the past month, attributed to its low fee rate (0.2%), ample liquidity (average daily trading volume over 5 billion yuan), and leading scale (over 20 billion yuan) [2] - The A500 ETF precisely tracks the CSI A500 Index, employing a dual strategy of "industry balanced allocation + leading selection," covering industry leaders while balancing value and growth [2] - The fund is overweight in sectors such as AI industry chain, pharmaceutical biology, and new energy grid equipment, creating a natural barbell investment structure [2]
需求逐步进入淡季,期待地产及化债政策落地
China Post Securities· 2025-12-08 05:34
发布时间:2025-12-08 行业投资评级 证券研究报告:建筑材料|行业周报 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 5252.51 | | 52 周最高 | 5417.39 | | 52 周最低 | 4167.51 | 行业相对指数表现 -11% -8% -5% -2% 1% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16% 19% 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 2025-07 2025-09 2025-12 建筑材料 沪深300 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《"反内卷"下拐点渐显,关注出海及 转型机遇》 - 2025.11.26 建材行业报告 (2025.12.01-2025.12.07) 需求逐步进入淡季,期待地产及化债政策落地 投资要点 12 月 2 日,国家发展改革委主任郑栅洁在《党建》杂志发布《深 入学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神,以高质量发展新成效谱写中国 式现代化新篇章》署名文章。文章中提到要提高防范化 ...
CPO板块爆发,创业板指涨超3%,创业板ETF(159915)等产品交投活跃
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 05:14
| 创业板ETF 低费率 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 跟踪创业板指数 | | | | | 该指数由创业板中市值大、流 | 截至午间收盘 | 该指数 | 该指数自2 | | 动性好的100只股票组成,战 | 该指数涨跌 | 滚动市盈率 | 发布以来估 | | 略新兴产业占比较高,电力设 | | | | | 备、通信、电子行业合计占比 | 3.0% | 39.8倍 | 32. 1 | | 近60% | | | | | 创业板200ETF易方达 低费率 | | | | | 跟踪创业板中盘200指数 | | | | | 该指数由创业板中市值中等、 | 截至午间收盘 | 该指数 | | | 流动性较好的200只股票组成, | 该指数涨跌 | 滚动市盈率 | 该指 | | 反映创业板市场中盘代表性公 | | | | | 司的整体表现,信息技术行业 | 1.7% | 107.4倍 | 2023年11 | | 占比超40% | | | 发布 | | 创业板成长ETF易方达 | | | | | 跟踪创业板成长指数 | | | | | 该指数由创业板中成长风格突 | | | | | 出 ...
全球聚焦!超级央行周来了!美联储大消息…
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 04:54
本周,全球金融市场迎来"超级央行周",多国央行将陆续公布最新的利率决议。其中最受市场关注的是美 联储本周的议息会议。 本周迎来"超级央行周" 市场认为美联储年内第三次降息几无悬念 上周美国三大股指集体上涨 上周发布的多项经济数据表明,美国就业市场持续疲软、9月关键通胀数据好于预期,市场对于美联储的 降息预期持续升温,提振投资者乐观情绪,美股三大指数上周全部累计上涨。其中道指累计上涨0.50%, 标普500指数累计上涨0.31%,纳指涨幅为0.91%。 上周国际油价上涨 原油期货方面,俄乌和平协议的关键谈判陷入僵局,美国与委内瑞拉紧张局势持续,多重地缘政治风险推 动国际油价上周小幅上涨,其中美油期货主力合约价格累计上涨约2.6%,布油期货主力合约价格涨幅为 0.87%。 上周国际金价小幅下跌 贵金属市场方面,因部分投资者赶在国际金价涨至近六周高位后获利了结,上周国际金价累计下跌 0.28%。 本周,全球金融市场迎来"超级央行周",多国央行将陆续公布最新的利率决议。其中最受市场关注的是美 联储本周的议息会议。因近期美国劳动力市场持续疲软,市场普遍预期美联储将在此前两次降息的基础 上,再次下调利率25个基点。 但美 ...
20cm速递|科创板100ETF(588120)涨超1.3%,科技主线景气度获市场关注
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-08 04:37
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that technology remains the strongest driving force, with significant improvements in self-reliance and core technology breakthroughs in key areas, leading to deep integration of technological and industrial innovation [1] - The AI industry chain shows a consistent performance advantage in the computing power segment for three consecutive quarters, indicating a clear trend of industrial prosperity, with the computing power sector being the highest and most sustainable profit growth area [1] - There is a substantial demand gap for computing power in the future, and the high prosperity will continue to drive profits upward, with domestic computing power chains expected to have greater potential as the Sino-US computing power competition intensifies [1] Group 2 - The energy storage chain is experiencing unexpected upward prosperity, likely to continue due to increased power consumption driven by AI computing power, which boosts the overall prosperity of the energy storage chain [1] - The storage sector is entering a long-term upward cycle, supported by supply-demand and structural contradictions that sustain long-term prosperity in storage [1] - The Science and Technology Innovation Board 100 ETF (588120) tracks the Science and Technology Innovation 100 Index (000698), which has a daily fluctuation of 20%, reflecting the overall performance of 100 mid-cap securities in the Science and Technology Innovation Board [1]
吴清:适度拓宽券商资本空间与杠杆上限;中国央行连续第13个月增持黄金丨盘前情报
Market Performance - A-shares saw collective gains across the three major indices from December 1 to December 5, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3902.81 points, up 0.70% for the week; the Shenzhen Component Index at 13147.68 points, up 1.08%; and the ChiNext Index at 3109.30 points, up 1.36% [2] - A total of 1818 stocks rose during the week, while 464 stocks declined; 87 stocks increased by over 15%, and 17 stocks decreased by over 15% [2] - The aerospace equipment, industrial metals, and engineering machinery sectors led the gains, with respective increases of 10.42%, 9.14%, and 5.86% on December 5 [2] International Market Overview - The New York stock market indices rose on December 5, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 104.05 points to 47954.99, a gain of 0.22%; the S&P 500 up 13.28 points to 6870.40, a gain of 0.19%; and the Nasdaq Composite up 72.99 points to 23578.13, a gain of 0.31% [4] - European indices showed mixed results, with the UK FTSE 100 down 43.86 points to 9667.01, a decline of 0.45%, while the German DAX index rose 146.11 points to 24028.14, an increase of 0.61% [4] Oil Prices - International oil prices saw slight increases on December 5, with light crude oil futures for January 2026 rising by $0.41 to $60.08 per barrel, a gain of 0.69%; and Brent crude oil futures for February rising by $0.49 to $63.75 per barrel, a gain of 0.77% [4] Industry Insights - The China Securities Regulatory Commission emphasized the need for industry institutions to shift from price competition to value competition, enhancing resource integration capabilities among leading firms and focusing on niche markets for smaller firms [6] - The regulatory framework will be strengthened to optimize evaluation metrics for quality institutions and explore differentiated regulatory policies for smaller and foreign institutions [6] Healthcare Sector Developments - The National Healthcare Security Administration and the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security released new drug directories, effective January 1, 2026, which include 114 new drugs, 50 of which are classified as innovative [10] - The new directories aim to standardize drug listings and ensure continuity of care for patients during the transition period [8] Investment Trends - Analysts predict a structural bull market in 2026, driven by rising technology and cyclical profits, with a focus on technology growth and cyclical growth as key investment themes [18] - The market is currently in a waiting phase for policy developments, with expectations of a rebound if new policies exceed market expectations [18]
创业板指再度走强收涨1.4%,创业板ETF(159915)全天净申购达3700万份
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 10:48
Market Overview - The market experienced a volatile rebound today, with the ChiNext Index rising by 1.4% and surpassing the 3100-point mark. The ChiNext ETF (159915) saw a net subscription of 37 million units throughout the day [1] - Over the week, the ChiNext Growth Index increased by 2.4%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 1.9%. In contrast, the ChiNext Mid-Cap 200 Index declined by 0.2% [1] Economic Outlook - Huashan Securities indicated that the tone of the Central Economic Work Conference is expected to align with market expectations. The Federal Reserve is anticipated to adopt a hawkish stance on interest rate cuts, with the economic fundamentals continuing to show signs of slowdown [1] - The market is likely to remain in a high-level fluctuation phase, with accelerated sector rotation and increased difficulty in positioning. Therefore, strategic layout for the upcoming market phase may be a better choice [1] Investment Opportunities - The core position of the AI industry chain remains unchanged, and recent adjustments present good opportunities for positioning [1] - Additionally, sectors experiencing dual demand and supply growth, as well as those with rising prosperity, are also worth noting, particularly in the storage and energy storage chains [1] Index Performance - The ChiNext Index has shown a year-to-date increase of 45.2%, while the ChiNext Mid-Cap 200 Index has risen by 24.0%, and the ChiNext Growth Index has surged by 62.2% [7] - Over the past year, the ChiNext Index increased by 37.2%, the ChiNext Mid-Cap 200 Index by 12.2%, and the ChiNext Growth Index by 52.9% [7] Index Composition - The ChiNext Mid-Cap 200 Index is composed of 200 stocks with medium market capitalization and good liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of representative companies in the ChiNext market. The information technology sector accounts for over 40% of this index [4] - The ChiNext Growth Index consists of 50 stocks with prominent growth styles and high earnings growth, with the electric equipment, pharmaceutical biology, and communication sectors collectively accounting for about 60% [4]
科创100ETF基金(588220)涨近1%,一键布局“十五五”科技发展方向
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 06:42
截至2025年12月5日 14:17,上证科创板100指数(000698)成分股铂力特(688333)上涨9.92%,埃夫特 (688165)上涨6.15%,财富趋势(688318)上涨6.04%,睿创微纳(688002)上涨5.21%,孚能科技(688567)上 涨4.55%。科创100ETF基金(588220)上涨0.78%,最新价报1.3元。 科创100ETF基金(588220),跟踪科创100指数[000698.SH],覆盖九大申万一级行业,一键布局科创板 市值中等且流动性较好的100 只证券。其中电子占比40.42%、生物医药占比17.36%、电力设备占比 14.54%。汇聚细分板块优秀标的与专精特新企业。其中专精特新成份股总计48家,累计权重占比 48.28%,未来发展潜力足。 数据显示,截至2025年11月28日,上证科创板100指数(000698)前十大权重股分别为华虹公司(688347)、 东芯股份(688110)、百济神州(688235)、源杰科技(688498)、国盾量子(688027)、睿创微纳(688002)、中 科飞测(688361)、安集科技(688019)、翱捷科技(68822 ...
20cm速递|关注创业板50ETF国泰(159375)投资机会,国产算力仍有广阔成长空间
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-05 04:10
中银国际指出,AI产业链景气趋势仍向好,下游需求旺盛,AI基础设施建设短期面临供应端存力 与电力短缺,资源紧缺带来存力与电力投资机会,算力特别是国产算力仍有广阔成长空间。流动性预期 及风险偏好修复下,科技成长或最为受益。 创业板50ETF国泰(159375)跟踪的是创业板50指数(399673),单日涨跌幅达20%,该指数从创 业板市场中选取流动性优异、市值规模领先的50只证券作为指数样本,重点覆盖电力设备、医药生物等 新兴产业领域,集中反映创业板中具备高成长性与高科技含量的优质上市公司证券的整体表现。 每日经济新闻 (责任编辑:董萍萍 ) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点,与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱: news_center@staff.hexun.com 注:如提及个股仅供参考,不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考,不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动,不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考,不构成任何投资建议,也不构成对基金业绩 ...