半导体国产化

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H20受限英伟达痛失20亿!下一步转战机器人?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-29 06:05
其实英伟达这次业绩蛮有意思的,虽然一、二季度营收都略超预期,但因为有25亿美金的H20无法发货,导致二季度英伟达直接痛失20亿美金。还特意提及 到排除掉H20费用计提的45 亿毛利率是71.3%,略好于预期。 那这后面的意思是算上H20的费用,英伟达这次的毛利率很可能在预期之下?意料之中的事,毕竟芯片受限影响的不止我们,对面也是。 要知道,去年中国大陆在购买用于半导体生产的晶圆厂设备上的支出是各个国家和地区中最高的,这些年咱们一直是全球最大的半导体设备市场。英伟达少 了这么大一客户,怎么可能还和之前一样? 或许是受英伟达业绩提振,今天的AI算力、芯片、机器人走的都蛮强势的。 | Region | 2024 | 2023 | (YoY) % | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | China | $49.55 | $36.60 | 35% | | Korea | $20.47 | $19.94 | 3% | | Taiwan | $16.56 | $19.62 | -16% | | North America | $13.69 | $12.05 | 14% | | Japan | $7.83 ...
早盘直击 | 今日行情关注
申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部· 2025-05-28 02:33
Core Viewpoint - A-shares show resilience amid external market adjustments, indicating a strengthening internal trend supported by recent monetary policy changes and trade negotiations [1][2]. Market Outlook - The current market has largely priced in the tariff events and the first phase of trade negotiations, with a need for additional catalysts to break through March highs [2]. - The extreme drop on April 7 was a one-time reaction to the "equal tariffs" event, and the market has since undergone substantial recovery [2]. - Future challenges to March highs will require new policies, trade negotiation progress, or significant economic indicators [2]. Hot Sectors - June is expected to be driven by event-based thematic trading, with focus on low-position sectors like consumption and pharmaceuticals, as well as adjusted technology growth [3]. - Key areas of interest include: 1. Consumption expansion and domestic demand as a priority for 2025, with expectations for policy support in sectors like dairy, IP consumption, leisure tourism, and medical aesthetics [3]. 2. The trend of robot localization and integration into daily life, with opportunities in sensors, controllers, and dexterous hands [3]. 3. The ongoing trend of semiconductor localization, focusing on semiconductor equipment, wafer manufacturing, materials, and IC design [3]. 4. The military industry is expected to see order recovery by 2025, with signs of bottoming out in various sub-sectors [3]. 5. Innovative drugs are entering a recovery phase after four years of adjustment, with positive net profit growth expected to continue into 2025 [3]. Market Review - A-shares experienced narrow fluctuations with reduced trading volume, while consumption and pharmaceuticals rebounded [4]. - The market showed overall weakness, with 31 primary sectors exhibiting mixed performance, led by textiles, pharmaceuticals, beauty care, environmental protection, and real estate [4].
奉贤民企打破海外垄断 超高纯金属靶材全球份额占近两成出货量占四成 在纳米级精进 为“中国芯”打通链路
Jie Fang Ri Bao· 2025-05-25 02:05
在这座微观立体结构里,金属导线越精细,同一颗芯片上能放的晶体管就越多,芯片性能就越强 大。以3纳米芯片为例,它要求金属导线的粗细做到3纳米,相当于人类一根头发丝的万分之一。 业内把制作这类导线用的金属材料称作靶材。导线越精细,对靶材纯度的要求越高,通常需达到 99.999%或更高。 过去很多年里,全球半导体靶材制备技术高度集中于国外少数几家企业。但这两年,一家来自上海 奉贤的民营企业,凭借十多年自主研发,突破海外技术垄断,超高纯金属靶材产值迅速占据全球市场份 额近两成,使国产半导体参与国际博弈的底气大增。 这样一家细分赛道的"隐形冠军",是如何炼成的? 握住关键技术"主动权" 走进位于奉贤工业开发区内的同创普润(上海)机电高科技有限公司展厅,满墙的技术专利证书映 入眼帘,一块块由高纯度金属锭制成的靶材整齐排列,锅盖大小的铝、铜、锰、钽,彼此色泽不一,每 块的纯度都达到了5N(即99.999%,一个N代表一个9)及以上,视觉上质地均匀,光可鉴人。 "锅盖"们虽样貌普通,却是集成电路制作过程中必不可少的材料——在一定的真空环境下,利用荷 能粒子轰击靶材表面,粒子和靶材原子会发生动能交换,使靶材表面溅射出粒子并沉积 ...
早盘直击 | 今日行情关注
申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部· 2025-05-23 01:54
除了业绩落地之外,5 月科技方向可以期待的催化剂包括 AI 大模型版本的更新,以及机器人格斗 大赛等,预计科技成长将迎来反弹。关注:1)英伟达 GTC大会确认 AI 发展从模型训练进入推理阶 段,关注衍生的 AI 新方向,如云计算、AI+办公、AI+医药等。5 月关注 AI 大模型的版本更新。2)机 器人国产化和走进老百姓生活依然是 2025 年比较确定的趋势,机器人产品将从人形机器人向四足机器 人、功能型机器人扩展。以此带来的传感器、控制器、灵巧手等板块的阶段性机会将会反复出现。5-6 月关注机器人格斗大赛的进展。3)半导体国产化仍是大势所趋,关注其中的半导体设备、晶圆制造、 半导体材料、IC 设计等。4)低空经济自 24 年 11 月宣布六大试点城市后,建设加速的预期逐步发酵, 加之春季行情启动后表现相对落后,存在较强的补涨预期。关注地面起降场建设、低空飞行器整机等。 5)创新药经历了近 4 年的调整后逐步迎来收获期,自 2024 年三季度以来已经连续三个季度净利润增速 为正,预计2025 年创新药将迎来基本面拐点。 盘面回顾:全天窄幅震荡,交易量略有萎缩,大盘风格相对强势。周四 A 股全天窄幅震荡,振幅 ...
美芯晟:光学传感卡位迎来业绩收获期 多维产品矩阵拓展应用蓝海
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-05-22 03:43
Core Viewpoint - Meixinsheng Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd. is experiencing rapid growth in its optical sensor business, with a projected revenue increase of 527.8% in 2024, driven by a diverse product matrix and strong market demand [1][2] Group 1: Company Overview - Meixinsheng has developed a comprehensive product lineup in the optical sensor field, including ambient light/proximity detection, optical tracking sensors, and laser time-of-flight (DToF) ranging [1] - The company is benefiting from the domestic semiconductor localization strategy, achieving technological breakthroughs and industry upgrades in the optical sensor sector [1] Group 2: Market Potential - The global optical sensor market was valued at $19.52 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach approximately $51.21 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.5% from 2024 to 2032 [1] Group 3: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 125 million yuan, an increase of 30.47 million yuan or 32.18% year-on-year, and achieved a net profit of 3.67 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [2] - The gross margin for the same period was 38%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of approximately 16 percentage points [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about its performance in 2025, with the optical sensor product line expected to become a new growth driver [2] - Meixinsheng is actively expanding its product matrix into the AIoT ecosystem and targeting emerging markets such as low-altitude economy, while maintaining a leading position in consumer electronics like AR/VR devices [2]
圣邦股份:Q1受淡季影响,不断推出新品强化竞争力-20250521
Huaan Securities· 2025-05-21 10:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company experienced a seasonal decline in Q1 but is actively launching new products to strengthen its competitive edge [5][6] - The semiconductor localization trend is expected to continue, and the company is expanding its product categories, having launched over 700 new products last year [6] - Revenue for Q1 2025 was 800 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 12% [4] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 59.77 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 72% [4] - For the year 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28%, and a net profit of 500 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 78% [4] - The company forecasts net profits of 600 million yuan, 864 million yuan, and 1.138 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.27, 1.82, and 2.40 yuan [7] Market Trends - The Q1 revenue decline is attributed to the normalization of the consumer electronics supply chain after several quarters of inventory buildup [5] - The company is focusing on expanding its product offerings to enhance market share across various sectors including industrial control, automotive, communication, consumer electronics, and medical [6] Valuation Metrics - The latest closing price corresponds to a PE ratio of 76x for 2025, 53x for 2026, and 40x for 2027 [7] - The projected revenue growth rates for the next few years are 26.5% for 2025, 23.3% for 2026, and 18.4% for 2027 [9]
圣邦股份(300661):Q1受淡季影响,不断推出新品强化竞争力
Huaan Securities· 2025-05-21 09:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue of 800 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing an 8% year-on-year increase but a 12% quarter-on-quarter decrease. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 59.77 million yuan, up 10% year-on-year but down 72% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring net profit was 33.96 million yuan, down 33% year-on-year and down 83% quarter-on-quarter [4][5] - The company is expanding its product offerings, having launched over 700 new products last year, including ultra-low power operational amplifiers and high-precision current detection amplifiers, which are applicable in various fields such as industrial control, automotive, communication, consumer electronics, and medical [6] - The semiconductor localization trend is expected to be a long-term and certain development, with the company steadily advancing along the growth path of analog companies [6] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 3.347 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 500 million yuan, up 78% year-on-year [9] - For the years 2025 to 2027, the projected net profits are 600 million yuan, 864 million yuan, and 1.138 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.27 yuan, 1.82 yuan, and 2.40 yuan [7][9] - The report indicates a gross margin of 51.5% for 2024, with a slight decrease to 50.3% in 2025, and a return on equity (ROE) of 10.9% in 2024, expected to rise to 16.0% by 2027 [9][12]
早盘直击 | 今日行情关注
申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部· 2025-05-21 02:21
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a recovery after a technical adjustment around the 3400-point level, supported by recent monetary easing and trade negotiations [1][2] Market Outlook - The peak impact of the tariff events has passed, and the A-share market is expected to continue its recovery despite fluctuations. The extreme drop on April 7 was a one-time reaction to the "reciprocal tariffs" event, and the subsequent rebound in April reflects a correction of pessimistic sentiment. With the implementation of monetary easing and the first phase of trade negotiations, the market has entered a new phase of substantive recovery [2][3] Key Sectors - In May, attention should shift back to technology growth and innovative pharmaceuticals. The low valuation and high dividend sectors performed well in April, and the market style may switch back to technology growth in May. Anticipated catalysts include updates to AI large models and developments in robotics competitions. The semiconductor industry remains a key focus, particularly in domestic production, including semiconductor equipment and IC design [3][4] Market Review - The A-share market showed a gradual rebound with increased trading volume, and over 3800 stocks rose. Most of the 31 primary sectors experienced gains, particularly in growth-oriented industries such as beauty care, media, home appliances, and pharmaceuticals. In contrast, cyclical sectors like military, coal, real estate, and steel saw declines [4]
SMC净利润预增7%,中国EV投资成东风
日经中文网· 2025-05-19 03:30
Core Viewpoint - SMC anticipates a recovery in the Greater China market, driven by demand for electric vehicles (EVs) and semiconductor manufacturing equipment, leading to a projected net profit increase of 7% for the fiscal year ending March 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Projections - For the fiscal year 2025, SMC expects consolidated net profit to reach 167 billion yen, marking a 7% year-on-year increase [1]. - Sales are projected to grow by 7% to 850 billion yen, with operating profit increasing by 13% to 215 billion yen, primarily due to increased sales in the Greater China region [2]. - The company anticipates a profit increase of 480 million yen from sales growth, with an additional 79 million yen from improved operating rates due to increased production [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - SMC's air pressure equipment is seeing a resurgence in demand, particularly in the EV and semiconductor sectors, as the Chinese government stimulates domestic demand [1]. - The company reports a significant increase in factory operating rates, indicating strong demand from clients pursuing local production [1]. - Despite price increases contributing only 20 million yen to profit growth, SMC remains confident in its competitive advantage in the U.S. market, where it holds a dominant market share [3]. Group 3: Inventory and Costs - SMC is working to reduce excess inventory accumulated during the COVID-19 pandemic, with expected profit growth from inventory write-downs of 137 million yen in fiscal year 2024 and 93 million yen in fiscal year 2025 [2]. - The company faces challenges from U.S. tariffs, which are projected to reduce profits by 62 million yen directly and an additional 38 million yen indirectly due to decreased automotive-related sales [2].
闻泰科技将成为纯半导体公司
是说芯语· 2025-05-18 01:47
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategic transformation of Wentech Technology from a mobile ODM company to a pure semiconductor company, driven by the need to optimize its business structure and capitalize on the growing semiconductor market, particularly in automotive electronics and AI chips [2][5][7]. Group 1: Company Overview - Wentech Technology confirmed a major asset sale for 4.389 billion, transitioning to a pure semiconductor focus [2]. - The company was previously the largest mobile ODM enterprise, with 73% of its 2021 revenue of 52.7 billion coming from mobile manufacturing, but faced low profit margins in this sector [2][4]. - The ODM business reported a net loss of 1.2 billion in 2024, necessitating the divestment of the struggling product integration business [3]. Group 2: Semiconductor Business Growth - Wentech's semiconductor business has shown strong growth, ranking third globally in power discrete devices, up from eleventh in 2019, and is the top player in China [3][9]. - The global semiconductor market has surpassed 600 billion, with significant demand for automotive electronics and AI chips, providing a favorable market outlook for Wentech's semiconductor focus [5]. - The company has established relationships with seven of the top ten global automotive manufacturers, with a 45% annual increase in automotive-grade chip shipments [5]. Group 3: Financial Implications - The asset sale will reduce total assets from 74.978 billion to an estimated 66.4 billion and liabilities from 40.137 billion to 31.591 billion, improving the company's financial structure [5]. - The 4.389 billion raised from the asset sale will support R&D and capacity upgrades in the semiconductor sector, which requires significant investment [6]. - Focusing on semiconductors allows Wentech to allocate more resources to R&D and production improvements, enhancing product value and market position [6]. Group 4: Strategic Challenges and Opportunities - Wentech faces competition from international giants in the high-end automotive chip market, which holds over 60% market share, necessitating breakthroughs in specific technology segments [6]. - The transition to a semiconductor focus is seen as a strategic adjustment to align with market demands and improve valuation in the capital market [6][7]. - The company's ability to establish barriers in key areas like 12-inch wafer manufacturing and third-generation semiconductor materials will be crucial for its success in the next 3-5 years [7].