Group 1 - Southeast Asian countries have experienced four consecutive weeks of gains, with India leading the way [1] - The Indian stock market, represented by the SENSEX, has shown strong mid-term trends, defying initial expectations of a downturn [1] - The Emerging Asia ETF (SH520580) has seen significant trading activity, with a trading volume of 700 million and a turnover rate of 142% [3] Group 2 - The Emerging Asia ETF has a weight distribution of 53% in India, 19% in Indonesia, 15% in Malaysia, and 13% in Thailand, benefiting from low correlation with A-shares and U.S. stocks [4] - Morgan Stanley upgraded its rating on emerging market currencies from "underweight" to "neutral," indicating a potential shift in the dollar cycle and optimistic investor sentiment [5] - The ETF has recorded an 18% cumulative increase since April 8, with recent financing purchases of 0.08 billion, 0.06 billion, and 0.15 billion [7] Group 3 - The Emerging Asia ETF (520580) includes 50 leading companies from emerging markets, focusing on sectors such as finance, energy, technology, and consumer goods, with nearly half of its exposure in the Indian market [6] - The ETF's characteristics of "high growth and low correlation" may provide alpha opportunities in the context of a changing dollar cycle and enhanced regional economic resilience [7]

最新数据显示，1至4月，浙江外贸进出口1.75万亿元，同比增长6.6%。其中，出口1.31万亿元，增长 9.7%；进口4362.5亿元，下降1.6%。进出口、出口和进口增速分别高出全国4.2个、2.2个和2.6个百分 点；占全国份额分别为12.4%、15.6%和7.6%，较2024年同期提升0.5个、0.3个和0.2个百分点。 在业内人士看来，在国际贸易承压的情况下，浙江外贸展现韧性，民营企业功不可没。数据显示，1至4 月，浙江民营企业进出口1.42万亿元，增长7.8%，占全省进出口总值的81.1%。其中，出口1.12万亿 元，增长9.5%，占比85.4%。 位于绍兴市柯桥区钱清纺织服装产业集聚区的浙江金蝉布艺股份有限公司，已在部分国家注册商标，并 拥有多项自主知识产权的产品设计专利。"2024年，公司跨境销售额达8000万美元，同比增长25%。"金 蝉布艺总经理杨卫干劲十足，"今年我们要开拓更广阔的发展空间"。 新兴市场已成为浙江出口不容忽视的增长引擎。数据显示，1至4月，浙江对欧盟、东盟、拉美等主要市 场分别进出口2627.8亿元、2594.8亿元和1814.7亿元，增长10.3%、10.9%和4.8%。 ...

Core Insights - Emerging market investment is likened to constructing skyscrapers in geologically active zones, requiring both the harnessing of energy from tectonic movements and the management of seismic risks [2] - Shanghai Zhongguang Yunzhi Investment has developed a three-dimensional analytical framework to deconstruct the risk-return characteristics of emerging markets into quantifiable, hedgeable, and manageable investment elements [2] Risk Assessment - Risk assessment is a prerequisite for investment decisions, with the team creating an emerging market country scorecard that includes 12 core indicators such as political stability, external debt structure, and current account balance [2] - The team quantifies a country's repayment ability using the ratio of sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads to months of foreign exchange reserves, and predicts political risk premiums through election cycles and policy continuity indices [2] - In a specific investment decision regarding a Latin American country, the team identified an inflation rate inversion beyond historical thresholds, combined with rising social unrest indices, leading to a decision to limit allocation to 30% of the benchmark, successfully avoiding subsequent currency crises [2] Asset Allocation - Asset allocation should establish a robust structure, with Shanghai Zhongguang Yunzhi Investment employing a "core-satellite" strategy, focusing core positions on consumption and financial sectors while satellite positions capture cyclical opportunities in technology and resources [2] - The team has developed a unique "moat width" assessment model that considers local advantages, supply chain control, and government relationship resilience in industry selection [2] Liquidity Management - Liquidity management is a critical line of defense in risk control, with emerging markets exhibiting a "dual-track" liquidity characteristic, showing significant price differences between official and offshore markets, as well as between large-cap and small-cap stocks [3] - The team has constructed a liquidity stress testing model to simulate asset liquidity under extreme scenarios such as capital control upgrades and foreign capital withdrawal [3] - During a recent volatility in the Indian stock market, the portfolio utilized a pre-configured liquidity buffer to increase positions in quality assets during market panic, turning the crisis into an opportunity for excess returns [3] Currency Risk Hedging - Currency risk hedging reflects a refined strategy, with the team moving away from a single derivative hedging model to develop a "currency basket + natural hedge" tool [3] - This approach involves configuring a basket of currencies such as USD, EUR, and RMB based on export structures, while also holding stocks of resource-exporting companies to hedge against local currency depreciation [3] - During the Turkish lira crisis, this strategy kept the portfolio's currency risk exposure net below 5%, and the holdings in energy companies benefited from enhanced export competitiveness due to lira depreciation, partially offsetting exchange losses [3] Investment Philosophy - The essence of emerging market investment is a dynamic game of risk and return, with Shanghai Zhongguang Yunzhi Investment's practices demonstrating that systematic evaluation frameworks, structured allocation tools, and refined risk control systems can help investors balance geopolitical changes and economic growth potential [3] - This investment philosophy is characterized by neither blind risk-taking nor excessive caution, but rather achieving optimal solutions for risk premiums and return elasticity through data-driven decision-making [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that international bank credit remains stable overall, with emerging markets and developing economies showing active credit growth, while dollar credit has decreased compared to other currencies [1][2] - As of the fourth quarter of 2024, global cross-border bank credit remained nearly unchanged, totaling $32.6 trillion, with a notable decline in loans to non-bank financial institutions by $248 billion, resulting in an annual growth rate of 12% [1] - Cross-border bank credit to emerging markets and developing economies increased by $67 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.8%, primarily driven by a $47 billion increase in cross-border bank loans to the Asia-Pacific region [1] Group 2 - Dollar credit has decreased, while euro and yen credit have increased; specifically, dollar credit to non-US banks fell by $103 billion, with an annual growth rate dropping to 3% and a balance of $13.2 trillion [2] - Euro credit to non-eurozone banks rose by €67 billion, achieving a year-on-year growth of 8.9%, with a total balance of €4.5 trillion [2] - The report highlights significant changes in credit proportions across different regions, noting that the share of dollar credit to Africa and the Middle East in emerging markets and developing economies rose from 14% in 2014 to 27% in 2024, surpassing Latin America [2]

Group 1 - Jiangsu foreign trade enterprises are diversifying their market presence and focusing on product development to enhance competitiveness amid uncertainties in the international trade environment [1][2] - At the 137th Canton Fair, 1,419 foreign trade companies from Jiangsu participated, showcasing various industries such as home textiles, stationery, health and leisure, fashion, toys, and maternity products [1][2] - Companies are increasingly targeting emerging markets, with significant interest from buyers in regions like the Middle East, Central Asia, and South America [2][3] Group 2 - Jiangsu enterprises are emphasizing technological innovation, with the introduction of advanced products like service robots and smart devices at the Canton Fair [4][5] - Companies like Jiangsu Jinpeng Group are focusing on technical upgrades and have secured substantial orders, indicating a strong market response to their innovative offerings [4][6] - The fair has facilitated deeper engagement with international buyers, leading to significant order placements and potential collaborations [4][6] Group 3 - Jiangsu enterprises are leveraging digital trade tools such as cross-border e-commerce and live streaming to navigate global supply chain challenges [6] - The Jiangsu delegation adopted a "dual-line operation" strategy at the fair, combining offline promotional events with online digital marketing initiatives [6] - Collaborative efforts, such as the establishment of the "Nanjing Quality Products Online Zone," have resulted in substantial cooperation agreements, with a total signing amount reaching $50 million [6]

Core Viewpoint - Yiwu is a major global hub for the export of foreign holiday gift products, accounting for nearly 80% of the global market share, with a significant increase in orders this year compared to last year [1][6]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Yiwu International Trade City is experiencing a peak season for foreign holiday gift orders, with many foreign buyers actively purchasing products [3]. - The city has a complete production, sales, and packaging supply chain for holiday gift items, offering a wide variety of products including toys, holiday apparel, and decorations [4]. - Despite complex international trade conditions, many vendors in Yiwu report an increase in order volumes, particularly from South America, the Middle East, and Europe [6][12]. Group 2: Vendor Strategies - Vendors are adapting to the changing market by diversifying their client base, with less than 10% of orders coming from U.S. clients, thus mitigating risks associated with reliance on a single market [8]. - Some vendors have shifted from only accepting large orders to a more flexible approach to accommodate varying demand [6]. - Product innovation and the introduction of new designs are key strategies for vendors to enhance competitiveness and attract more foreign buyers [12][14]. Group 3: Emerging Markets - Orders from Central American countries such as Mexico, Chile, and Ecuador have been on the rise, indicating growth in these markets [10]. - The implementation of a 240-hour visa-free transit policy has significantly boosted orders from South America, helping to fill gaps left by the U.S. market [14]. - Yiwu businesses are actively exploring new markets in ASEAN, Central and Eastern Europe, and Latin America through participation in overseas exhibitions and the establishment of cross-border e-commerce platforms [14].

江苏外贸企业破局前行，在全球经济迷雾中打出新的"解法"。以"促成交、拓市场、优服务"为目标，第137届广交会上，江苏交易团组织家纺、文具、健康 休闲、时尚、玩具及孕婴童等行业企业1419家共2898个展位参展。最近，这些外贸企业陆续返程，满载着一沓沓订单而归，也带回了满腔信心与新的展望。 锚定新兴市场，拓开增长新局面 眼下，美国持续滥施关税，国际市场不确定性陡增。订单流失、成本攀升、利润压缩……重重压力之下，外贸企业如何以变应变、抵御冲击，又怎样在变局 中捕捉新机遇？ 果断跳出单一市场依赖的桎梏，江苏外贸企业以广交会为窗口，全力开拓新兴市场版图。"中国的产品美国需要，其他国家也需要。"这一在广交会上被反复 印证的认知，成为江苏企业破局的底气。 "这款智能箱式变电站集成了远程监控和故障预警系统，能适配风电、光伏等多种新能源场景。"江苏苏变电力设备有限公司经理黄益繁指着一台银灰色设备 向记者介绍道。一位来自中东地区的采购商在体验产品后连连称赞："这正是我们新能源项目需要的解决方案！"据透露，该采购商已初步达成采购100台设 备的合作意向，金额超500万美元。 来自北美包括欧洲的客商减少，但中亚、中东海湾国家和南美 ...

智通财经5月10日电，摩根大通上调新兴市场货币至平配评级，之前为低配。对新兴市场亚洲货币持超 配评级。 ...

摩根大通：上调新兴市场货币至平配评级，之前为低配。 ...

3.公司在光伏产业链中下游，受上游原材料价格波动影响 大。未来会向上游产业链延伸，增强对原材料供应的掌控力吗？ 答:尊敬的投资者，您好！光伏全行业正处于周期性调整阶段， 业内企业盈利空间收窄，在此环境下，公司对外投资采取较为谨 慎的态度。公司目前核心聚焦主业经营，努力改善经营业绩，后 续如有对外投资计划，将按照相关规定履行信息披露义务，请以 公司公告信息为准，谢谢！ 证券代码：300393 证券简称：中来股份 苏州中来光伏新材股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-01 | | □特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系活 | □媒体采访 业绩说明会 | | 动类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | □其他 （请文字说明其他活动内容） | | 参与单位名称 及人员姓名 | 线上参与公司 2024 年度业绩说明会的全体投资者 | | 时间 2025 | 年 5 月 9 日下午 15:00—17:00 | | 地点 | 价值在线（https://www.ir-online.cn/）网络互动 | | 上市公司接待 | 总经理 林建伟先生 ...