Group 1 - The potential non-farm employment growth in the U.S. is expected to decline significantly from over 100,000 jobs per month to less than 10,000 by the end of next year, leading to a reduction in the potential economic growth rate from slightly above 2% to 1.4-1.6% [1] - The average monthly job creation in the private sector over the past two years has been approximately 172,000, indicating a stark contrast with the anticipated future potential growth [1] - The Bank of Japan's bond purchase plan lacks long-term guidance, creating ongoing market uncertainty regarding the scale of bond purchases post-April 2027 [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's economic projections reveal the highest level of divergence in interest rate paths for 2025 in the past decade, with a median expectation of two rate cuts (50 basis points) but a range from no cuts to a 75 basis point reduction [2] - The disparity between the most common and second most common predictions for interest rate changes has reached 50 basis points, the largest difference in ten years, indicating fundamental disagreements among policymakers on balancing inflation control and economic growth [2] - Despite downgrades in the U.S. credit rating by major agencies, foreign investment in U.S. Treasury bonds remains strong due to the lack of reliable alternatives and the relatively high yields offered [2] Group 3 - Key factors influencing the global market include the potential for tariff agreements among countries, fluctuations in the dollar's exchange rate, and rising risks associated with the U.S. deficit [3] - There is an expectation that major countries may reach partial consensus on tariff issues and extend grace periods while implementing specific industry tariff measures [3] - The U.S. deficit risk is anticipated to rise, which may keep U.S. Treasury yields between 4% and 5% [3]

10年期日本国债收益率上升2.5个基点至1.43%。 日本10年国债收益率 ...

Group 1 - The Japanese Finance Minister, Kato Katsunobu, has indicated a significant rise in ultra-long-term Japanese government bond yields [1] - This increase in yields reflects broader trends in the financial markets and may impact government borrowing costs [1] - The rise in bond yields could influence investor sentiment and market dynamics in Japan [1]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield experienced a decline amid geopolitical tensions, specifically following an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities, indicating market reactions to international events [1] Treasury Yield Summary - The 10-year benchmark Treasury yield fell by 2.76 basis points, closing at 4.3475% [1] - During the trading session, the yield fluctuated, reaching a high of 4.4028% before dropping to a daily low of 4.2886% [1] - The 2-year Treasury yield decreased by 4.44 basis points, settling at 3.8633%, with intraday trading between 3.9289% and 3.8083% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the fluctuations in German government bond yields influenced by geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns, particularly due to the risk of Iran blocking the Strait of Hormuz, which has led to a significant rise in international oil prices [1]. Group 1: Bond Yield Movements - The yield on the 10-year German government bond decreased by 1.0 basis points to 2.507% [1]. - The 2-year German bond yield fell by 1.1 basis points to 1.838%, trading within a range of 1.889%-1.834% during the day [1]. - The 30-year German bond yield also dropped by 1.1 basis points to 2.961% [1]. Group 2: Market Reactions - The risk of Iran blocking the Strait of Hormuz led to a significant increase in international oil prices, raising concerns about inflation [1]. - The 10-year bond yield reached a daily high of 2.563% before declining to a low of 2.495% later in the day [1]. - The yield spread between the 2-year and 10-year German bonds increased by 0.102 basis points to +66.622 basis points, indicating a V-shaped reversal throughout the day [1].

智通财经6月23日电，美国2年期国债收益率在美联储鲍曼评论后下跌，最新下跌5.3个基点至4.322%。 ...

美国2年期国债收益率日内下跌5.3个基点，报4.322%。 美国2年国债收益率 ...

日本20年期国债收益率下跌1.5个基点至2.34%。 ...

智通财经6月23日电，日本10年期国债收益率上升1个基点至1.405%。 ...

如果现在市场开放，我们可能会看到油价上涨、股市下跌、金价上涨。 美国国债收益率的前景不太明朗——这对长期市场观察者来说是一个显著的变化。 知名经济学家、彭博专栏作者、剑桥大学皇后学院院长埃里安（Mohamed El-Erian）：就像过去24小时 一样，未来24小时内可能会发生很多事情。 ...