Arab News 1月14日报道，世界银行在《全球经济展望》中预测，海湾合作委员会（GCC）经济 2026年将增长4.4%，2027年升至4.6%，增长动力主要来自包括沙特在内国家的非石油活动扩张。报告 指出，沙特实际GDP预计2026年增长4.3%、2027年4.4%，高于2025年预计的3.8%，并与沙特推进"2030 愿景"下的非油化与大规模投资相呼应。世界银行同时提示若地缘冲突升级、全球金融环境收紧或油价 低于预期，区域增长可能承压。报告预计2026年全球增长约为2.6%。 （原标题：世界银行：GCC 2026年经济增长将加速至4.4%） ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The economic growth is characterized by slower steel inventory accumulation compared to previous years, with power plant daily consumption fluctuating at a high level, while inflation shows a nationwide increase in pork prices and oil prices oscillating within a range [2][3] 3. Summary of Each Section 3.1 Economic Growth: Slower Steel Inventory Accumulation than Previous Years 3.1.1 Production: High - level Fluctuation of Power Plant Daily Consumption - Power plant daily consumption is fluctuating at a high level. On January 20, the average daily consumption of 6 major power - generating groups was 857,000 tons, a 3.8% increase from January 13. On January 16, the daily consumption of power plants in eight southern provinces was 2.152 million tons, a 5.3% decrease from January 8 [5][12] - The overall blast furnace operating rate has declined. On January 16, the national blast furnace operating rate was 78.8%, a 0.5 - percentage - point decrease from January 9, and the capacity utilization rate was 85.5%, a 0.6 - percentage - point decrease from January 9. However, the blast furnace operating rate of Tangshan steel mills increased by 0.8 percentage points to 90.8% on January 16 compared to January 9 [5][16] - The tire operating rate has significantly rebounded. On January 15, the operating rate of all - steel truck tires was 62.9%, a 4.9 - percentage - point increase from January 8, and the operating rate of semi - steel car tires was 73.4%, a 7.6 - percentage - point increase from January 8. Meanwhile, the operating rate of looms in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions has continued to decline [5][19] 3.1.2 Demand: Slower Steel Inventory Accumulation than Previous Years - The sales volume of new houses in 30 cities has weakened month - on - month. From January 1 - 20, the average daily sales area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 160,000 square meters, a 48.0% decrease from the same period in December, a 39.5% decrease from the same period in January last year, and a 38.4% decrease from the same period in January 2024 [5][25] - The retail growth of the automotive market is weak. In January, retail sales decreased by 32% year - on - year, and wholesale sales decreased by 40% year - on - year [5][29] - Steel prices have declined weakly. On January 20, the prices of rebar, wire rod, hot - rolled coil, and cold - rolled coil decreased by 0.6%, 0.5%, 0.6%, and 0.3% respectively compared to January 13. The inventory accumulation of steel is slower than in previous years [5][34] - Cement prices have continued to break previous lows. On January 20, the national cement price index decreased by 0.6% compared to January 13, with prices in the East China and Yangtze River regions showing slightly weaker performance than the national average [5][37] - The glass price has ended its rebound. On January 20, the active glass futures contract price was 1,064 yuan/ton, a 4.9% decrease from January 13 [5][42] - The near - end decline of the container shipping freight rate index has widened. On January 16, the CCFI index increased by 4.2% compared to December 26, while the SCFI index decreased by 0.5% [5][46] 3.2 Inflation: Nationwide Increase in Pork Prices 3.2.1 CPI: Nationwide Increase in Pork Prices - Pork prices have increased nationwide. On January 20, the average wholesale price of pork was 18.5 yuan/kg, a 2.4% increase from January 13. The month - on - month price has turned upward [5][50] - The agricultural product price index has increased seasonally before the Spring Festival. On January 20, the agricultural product wholesale price index increased by 1.6% compared to January 13. By variety, the price increases are in the order of eggs (5.7%) > pork (2.4%) > vegetables (2.4%) > fruits (1.3%) > mutton (0.7%) > beef (0.4%) > chicken (- 1.3%) [5][54] 3.2.2 PPI: Oil Price Oscillation within a Range - Oil prices are oscillating within a range. On January 20, the spot prices of Brent and WTI crude oil were $68.1 and $60.4 per barrel respectively, a 0.9% and 1.3% decrease from January 13 [5][57] - Copper and aluminum prices have declined. On January 20, the prices of LME 3 - month copper and aluminum decreased by 2.3% and 1.5% respectively compared to January 13. The domestic commodity index has turned upward month - on - month [5][61] - Industrial product prices have shown mixed month - on - month changes. Since January, the prices of glass, coking coal, coke, and steam coal have increased month - on - month, while other industrial product prices have decreased month - on - month. Most of the year - on - year declines in industrial product prices have converged [64]

Economic Growth - In Q4 2025, GDP grew by 4.5% year-on-year, with an annual growth of 5%[1] - Nominal GDP increased by 4% for the entire year, while the GDP deflator index fell by 0.7%[1] - Net exports contributed approximately 1.6 percentage points to GDP growth, driven by resilient exports[1] Industrial and Service Production - Industrial production grew by 5.9% in 2025, slightly above the 5.8% growth in 2024[2] - The service sector maintained a high growth rate of 5.4%, up from 5.1% in the previous year[2] - High-tech manufacturing value added increased by 9.4%, with significant contributions from integrated circuits and biopharmaceuticals[2] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment declined by 3.8%, lower than the previous year's decline of 3.2%[2] - Infrastructure investment (excluding power) decreased by 2.2%, while manufacturing investment grew by 0.6%[2] - Public utility investments rose by 9.1%, with pipeline transportation investment increasing by 36%[2] Real Estate Market - The sales area of commercial housing fell by 8.7%, a smaller decline compared to nearly 13% in 2024[3] - New housing starts dropped by 20.3%, indicating ongoing supply-side adjustments[3] - Real estate development investment decreased by 17.2%, with a widening decline compared to the previous year[3] Consumer Spending - Retail sales of consumer goods grew by 3.7% in 2025, a slight increase from the previous year's growth rate[3] - The retail sales growth rate for home appliances and communication equipment reached 11% and 20.9%, respectively[3] - Automotive retail sales declined by 1.5%, reflecting a broader trend of reduced consumer spending in this sector[3] Export Performance - Exports increased by 5.5% in 2025, maintaining resilience despite a significant drop in exports to the U.S. by 20%[4] - Exports to Europe, ASEAN, and Africa grew by 8.4%, 13.4%, and 25.8%, respectively, indicating a shift in trade dynamics[4]

Economic Outlook - In 2025, China's GDP reached 140.19 trillion yuan, growing by 5.0% year-on-year, achieving the set target for the year [3] - Economists predict a GDP growth of approximately 4.79% for 2026, with a median forecast of 4.80% [2][3][4] - The focus for 2026 will be on enhancing internal demand and implementing new measures to stimulate growth [3][4] Inflation Trends - In 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed no year-on-year change, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.6% [6] - For 2026, CPI is expected to rise by 0.4%, while PPI is projected to decline by 1.1% [7][6] Industrial and Consumption Growth - The industrial added value is forecasted to grow by 5.14% in 2026, while retail sales of consumer goods are expected to increase by 4.05% [9][10] - Service consumption is anticipated to outpace goods consumption, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences [10][11] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment is expected to recover slightly in 2026, with a projected growth rate of 2.17% [14] - The real estate market is predicted to remain in a downtrend, with a forecasted decline of 8.03% in real estate development investment [14][16] Foreign Trade - China's foreign trade is expected to maintain stable growth, with exports projected to increase by 3% to 4% in 2026 [20][21] - The trade surplus for 2026 is estimated at approximately $1.25 trillion [18] Key Economic Highlights - The economic highlights for 2025 include resilience in external demand and accelerated domestic industrial upgrades [21][22] - Future focus areas include expanding domestic demand and fostering innovation [21][22]

中新社雅加达1月21日电(记者 李志全)印度尼西亚央行21日宣布，将基准利率维持在4.75%，同时保持存 款利率3.75%和贷款利率5.50%不变。 这是印尼连续第四个月将基准利率维持在4.75%，符合市场普遍预期。印尼央行上一次降息是在2025年 9月。 印尼央行行长佩里·瓦吉约当天在新闻发布会上表示，在全球不确定性加剧的背景下，这一决定旨在维 护印尼盾汇率稳定，并通过强化货币政策和宏观审慎政策的传导效应，保持宏观经济稳定。 尽管继续维持利率水平，但佩里·瓦吉约重申，未来下调利率的空间依然充足。任何降息举措，都将以 2026年至2027年通胀预期稳定在2.5%±1%目标区间内，并有利于推动更高经济增长为前提。 作为东南亚最大经济体，印尼2025年整体通胀率为2.92%，核心通胀率为2.38%。印尼央行认为，当前 通胀水平仍处于较低区间。 印尼央行预计，2026年印尼经济增长率将处于4.9%至5.7%区间，主要由国内需求增长所支撑。佩里·瓦 吉约指出，政府各类刺激政策的实施效果仍需进一步提升，以促进居民消费并扩大就业。(完) ...

Core Viewpoint - Gansu Province has achieved significant economic growth in 2025, with key indicators surpassing expectations, reflecting a stable and improving economic environment. Economic Performance - The GDP of Gansu Province reached 1,369.75 billion yuan in 2025, growing by 5.8% year-on-year, consistently outperforming the national average for 16 consecutive quarters since 2022 [2] - The primary industry added value was 177.3 billion yuan (5.5% growth), the secondary industry 455.82 billion yuan (6.7% growth), and the tertiary industry 736.63 billion yuan (5.3% growth), indicating collaborative growth across all sectors [2] Industrial Growth - Industrial production remains a key driver of economic growth, with a 9.5% increase in the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size [3] - The mining industry grew by 5.4%, manufacturing by 9.3%, and the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply industry by 17.6%, showcasing enhanced power supply capabilities [3] - Key industries such as non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing, and electricity and heat production saw added value growth of 19.5% and 18.5%, respectively [3] Foreign Trade - Gansu's total import and export value reached 71.17 billion yuan, a 16.2% increase year-on-year, with exports surging by 44.5% to 18.38 billion yuan, indicating improved international competitiveness [4] - Imports totaled 52.79 billion yuan, growing by 8.7%, with trade with Belt and Road countries accounting for 70.5% of total trade [4] Agricultural Production - Grain production reached a historical high of 13.0925 million tons, a 1.01% increase from the previous year, with autumn grain production growing by 1.97% [5] - Livestock production also increased, with pork, beef, mutton, and poultry meat output reaching 1.803 million tons, a 6.3% growth [5] Consumer Market and Investment - The service sector showed strong recovery, with new service industries like information technology and leasing services growing by 19.2% and 15.6%, respectively [6] - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 2.5%, driven by policies promoting consumption upgrades, with significant growth in categories such as communication equipment and new energy vehicles [6] - Fixed asset investment saw a slight decline overall, but excluding real estate, it grew by 2.7%, with manufacturing investment up by 4.5% and infrastructure investment up by 14.5% [6]

科技投资，特别是与人工智能相关的投资，正在成为全球经济增长的重要驱动力。报告指出，全球科技 行业投资增速迅猛，在北美和亚洲地区体现尤为明显。这种增长不仅体现在高科技公司自身的投资上， 还体现为其他行业对人工智能技术的采用和投资上。另外，科技投资的快速增长还带动了半导体和其他 技术设备的出口，这一点在亚洲经济体中表现得尤为突出。除了投资本身对经济增长带来贡献之外，有 关技术的应用可以提高生产效率、降低成本，并创造新的产品和服务。科技投资还可以促进创新，推动 经济增长方式转变，创造新的增长。科技产品的出口还可以为其他国家提供先进的科技产品和服务，促 进全球包容性增长。 1月19日，国际货币基金组织（IMF）发布《世界经济展望报告》（以下简称"报告"）更新内容，指出 全球经济在分化力量中保持平稳，预计全球经济将在2026年增长3.3%，在2027年增长3.2%，相较于 2025年10月的预测值略有上调。其中，报告将2025年中国经济增长率上调0.2个百分点至5%，将2026年 中国经济增长率上调0.3个百分点。 报告指出，此次上调中国2025年经济增速，反映了中国政府出台提振措施以及政策性银行为投资提供额 外贷款对 ...

新华社权威快报 2025年 我国规模以上工业增加值 同比增长5.9% 电信业务总量同比增长9.1% 听华社国内部出品 工业和信息化部副部长张云明1月21日在国新办举行的新闻发布会上说，2025年，我国规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.9%，制造业增加值占 GDP比重保持稳定，电信业务总量同比增长9.1%。工业和信息化领域对经济增长的贡献超四成，有效发挥"压舱石"作用。 记者：周圆、唐诗凝 海报制作：周圆 新华社国内部出品 工业和信息化领域对经济增长 贡献超四成 "压舱石" 作用 有效发挥 ...

Economic Overview - In 2025, Beijing's tertiary industry added value, calculated at constant prices, grew by 5.8% compared to the previous year [1] - The information transmission, software, and information technology service industry achieved an added value of 1,219.24 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 11% [1] - The financial industry realized an added value of 866.82 billion yuan, growing by 8.7% [1] Contribution to Economic Growth - The combined contribution rate of the information technology and financial sectors to the overall economic growth of the city exceeded 70% [1] - The leasing and business services industry recorded an added value of 317.14 billion yuan, with a growth of 4.7% [1] - The transportation, warehousing, and postal industry achieved an added value of 134.31 billion yuan, growing by 8.9% [1]

（文章来源：新华社） 工业和信息化部副部长张云明1月21日在国新办举行的新闻发布会上说，2025年，我国规模以上工业增 加值同比增长5.9%，制造业增加值占GDP比重保持稳定，电信业务总量同比增长9.1%。工业和信息化 领域对经济增长的贡献超四成，有效发挥"压舱石"作用。 ...