中国银河证券首席经济学家、研究院院长章俊表示，公告明确规定了三类需履行报告义务的行为，并且 排除"多层次投资"的报告要求，旨在避免监管泛化现象，切实减轻企业的合规负担。 ◎记者白丽斐陈芳 商务部近日公告外商投资企业境内投资信息报告有关事项，进一步简化了投资信息报送手续，支持外商 投资企业扩大境内再投资。根据公告，外商投资企业境内投资信息报告将以试点方式稳步推进，在江 苏、上海、天津等8个地区开展首批试点，自7月1日起正式生效。 公告显示，外商投资企业以本企业名义在中国境内投资设立企业、对被投资企业增资或购买被投资企业 投资者股权（不含多层次投资）时，需依法履行信息报告义务。 章俊表示，此次试点采取渐进式改革路径，优先选择的8个试点地区涵盖了东部沿海、中西部、东北以 及直辖市等不同类型的经济区域，区域差异化设计旨在积累多元且丰富的经验，以最大程度降低政策推 行过程中的潜在风险。 周密也认为，外资在东中西部不同区域投资时，重点关注的产业领域和投资模式有所不同，此次试点平 衡了各个区域，有利于在利用外资过程中了解差异化的诉求，也为进一步的扩大试点提供更加有效的经 验。 在中国人民大学经济学院教授王孝松看来，与201 ...

研究早观点 2025 年 7 月 3 日 星期四 市场走势 资料来源：最闻 国内市场主要指数 | 指数 | | 收盘 | 涨跌幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | | 3,454.79 | -0.09 | | 深证成指 | | 10,412.63 | -0.61 | | 沪深 | 300 | 3,943.68 | 0.02 | | 中小板指 | | 6,512.36 | -0.62 | | 创业板指 | | 2,123.72 | -1.13 | | 科创 | 50 | 982.64 | -1.22 | 资料来源：最闻 分析师： 李召麒 执业登记编码：S0760521050001 电话：010-83496307 邮箱：lizhaoqi@sxzq.com 【今日要点】 2019 年 2 月 21 日 星期四 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声明 1 【山证新股】新股月报（2025 年 6 月）-新股市场较为活跃，月内共上 市 6 只新股 【行业评论】煤炭：煤炭进口数据拆解：25 年 5 月进口加速收缩 【行业评论】生物医药Ⅱ：创新药动态更新：IBI363：实现免疫耐药 N ...

沉寂已久的钢铁概念板块在7月2日午后突然拉涨，尤其是重庆钢铁（601005）股份(01053)盘中直线暴 力拉升超过130%。截至收盘，重庆钢铁股份飙涨91.11%，中国铁钛(00893)涨20.97%，鞍钢股份 （000898）(00347)涨12.73%，中国东方集团(00581)涨11.45%，马鞍山钢铁股份(00323)涨3.59%。A股市 场相关概念股亦同步冲高。 中国银河（601881）证券通信行业首席分析师赵良毕表示，钢铁板块在结构层面有望开启新变革与新周 期。其中，特钢子板块业绩有望实现边际改善，传统板块借助AI转型亦将迎来全新机遇。近年来，钢 铁行业景气度持续偏低，相关个股估值已回落至相对低位，随着行业供需格局逐步改善，龙头钢企的盈 利能力和估值有望迎来修复。 业内提到，当前钢铁需求正面临房地产行业持续低迷、基建投资拉动有限、海外市场对中国钢材出口压 力加大等多重挑战。供给侧调控产量，以缓解市场供需矛盾的可能性确实存在。政府若推出相关政策， 将在市场自发去产能的基础上进一步强化供给收缩力度。但其具体影响仍需关注政策正式落地情况及执 行强度。 不过，在经过连续的寒冬后，钢铁行业在2025年上半 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the economic governance and policy changes in various industries, particularly focusing on the steel, non-ferrous metals, coal, and engineering machinery sectors [1][5][6][13]. Key Insights and Arguments Economic Governance and Policy Changes - The Central Financial Committee emphasizes the need to regulate low-price disorderly competition and promote the orderly exit of backward production capacity, which is crucial for building a unified national market [1][3][4]. - Current economic policies have shifted from controlling high prices to managing low prices, reflecting a focus on high-quality development rather than mere scale expansion [5][6]. - The governance approach has transitioned from anti-monopoly to addressing disorderly competition, indicating a response to insufficient total demand and low-price competition [5][6]. Steel Industry - The steel industry is experiencing a demand downturn due to real estate sector weaknesses, with manufacturing demand now accounting for over 50% of total demand [1][16]. - The average net profit of listed companies in the steel sector has turned negative for three consecutive years, indicating a supply-side contraction [1][17]. - The steel demand cycle is gradually bottoming out, with exports performing better than expected [1][16]. - Future steel prices are expected to rebound as demand stabilizes and supply contracts, with a projected upturn in the industry over the next two to three years [19]. Non-Ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous metals market is characterized by resource scarcity and the interplay of U.S.-China liquidity cycles, with a focus on tin and copper due to their technological applications [21][22]. - Tin demand is expected to rise due to its applications in technology, despite a temporary increase in supply from the resumption of production in certain regions [21][22]. - Copper prices are anticipated to reach historical highs driven by U.S. debt relief and seasonal demand [22]. Coal Market - The coal market is showing signs of price stabilization, with overall coal prices slowly rising after a challenging first half of 2025 [23][24]. - The relationship between electricity consumption and GDP is expected to remain stable, with new policies reducing the expected returns on renewable energy installations [23][24]. - Future coal supply is likely to decrease, particularly in Xinjiang, impacting China's overall coal production landscape [25][26]. Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector is facing severe internal competition, but leading companies are beginning to raise product prices, which may improve profit margins [29][30]. - Domestic sales are projected to grow by 15%-20% this year, with exports performing better than initially expected [31][32]. - The cyclical growth in the machinery industry is expected to continue for the next three to five years, benefiting major manufacturers [34][35]. Other Important but Overlooked Content - The governance of low-price competition and the orderly exit of backward production capacity are seen as critical to addressing the internal competition and ensuring sustainable economic growth [3][4][6]. - The focus on high-quality development and the regulation of local government behaviors are essential for stabilizing the market and fostering investment opportunities in various sectors [5][6][12]. - The anticipated structural investment opportunities arising from the exit of underperforming companies in the manufacturing sector could lead to a healthier market environment [12][13].

"反内卷式竞争"的投资机会 20250702 摘要 反内卷政策升级，人民日报等媒体密集发文，预示行业协会将密集发文 控价控产能，主要集中在新能源车和光伏行业，可能引发市场预期波动， 影响相关公司股价和大宗商品价格。 大宗商品价格下跌源于需求侧居民收入和地产下滑。传统行业经过前期 去产能和企业整合，供给侧大幅出清空间有限，本轮周期股反弹更多源 于市场内生需求，而非供给侧改革。 新能源车和光伏领域是反内卷政策重点，政府鼓励民营企业信心。未来 或通过控制价格实现红利，但难以复制 2015-2016 年供给侧改革驱动 的大宗商品牛市。 钢铁行业：限产政策短期影响有限，但制造业需求超预期增长，成本端 双胶价格下跌提升钢厂利润。关注电炉减产及低位库存对钢铁价格和利 润的推动作用，预计 7-8 月钢铁股将有一波反弹行情。 水泥行业：协会推动供给侧改革，要求企业严格按照设计产能生产，有 望提升标的配置性价比。今年企业具备底线思维，避免激烈价格战，确 保行业微盈利，但需求淡季和错峰执行力度不足构成不利因素。 Q&A 如何理解中央财经委关于建设全国统一大市场的政策？ 中央财经委近期强调建设全国统一大市场，旨在依法依规治理企业低价 ...

Group 1 - Musk criticized Trump's "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill, suggesting that if passed, it would lead to the formation of a new political party called "American Party" [4] - Trump's interview indicated that Musk's discontent stems from the bill's proposal to eliminate tax credits for electric vehicle consumers, impacting Tesla's interests [6] - A survey revealed that 49% of Americans oppose the bill, while only 29% support it, indicating significant public dissent [9] Group 2 - In June, U.S. private sector employment unexpectedly fell by 33,000, marking the first negative growth since March 2023, with the service sector experiencing its largest decline since the pandemic [13] - Following the employment data, traders increased bets on at least two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve before the end of 2025, with expectations for the upcoming non-farm payroll report [15] - UBS forecasts a modest increase of 100,000 in non-farm payrolls for June, while Citigroup predicts an increase of only 85,000, with concerns about a potential rise in the unemployment rate [15]

过去四年里，作为构建新发展格局的重要举措之一，推进全国统一大市场建设在多个高层会议、文件中 被着重强调。 2021年12月，习近平主持召开中央全面深化改革委员会第二十三次会议时强调，构建新发展格局，迫切 需要加快建设高效规范、公平竞争、充分开放的全国统一大市场，建立全国统一的市场制度规则，促进 商品要素资源在更大范围内畅通流动。2022年4月，《中共中央 国务院关于加快建设全国统一大市场的 意见》发布，从六个方面明确了加快建设全国统一大市场的重点任务。 尤其是最近半年，建设全国统一大市场被提到了经济体制改革的标志性举措的高度。2024年底的中央经 济工作会议在布置2025年重点任务时提及，要发挥经济体制改革牵引作用，推动标志性改革举措落地见 效，其中具体举措包括了制定全国统一大市场建设指引。 本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者刘诗萌 北京报道 2025年以来，从《全国统一大市场建设指引（试行）》（下称《指引》）发布到政府工作报告将纵深推 进全国统一大市场建设作为标志性改革举措之一，从2月份公平竞争座谈会召开到近期17家重点车企主 动承诺支付账期不超过60天，推进全国统一大市场建设、综合整治"内卷式 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Central Financial Committee's sixth meeting emphasized the need to promote the construction of a unified national market and high-quality development of the marine economy, highlighting the importance of establishing a correct performance view among officials to overcome local protectionism and unfair competition [1][3]. Group 1: Unified National Market Construction - The meeting stressed the "five unifications" principle: unifying market basic systems, infrastructure, government behavior standards, regulatory enforcement, and resource markets to eliminate barriers to the unified market [1]. - Local protectionism, driven by incorrect performance views, creates obstacles to the unified market, leading to market segmentation and inefficient resource allocation [1][3]. - The need to regulate government procurement and bidding processes, as well as enhance transparency in local investment attraction, was highlighted as critical issues to address [2]. Group 2: Correct Performance View - Officials are urged to overcome local biases and align their policies with the overall requirements for advancing the unified national market, avoiding low-level repeated construction and excessive homogeneous competition [3][4]. - The government plans to clean up local regulations that hinder the unified market, which is seen as a crucial step in establishing a correct performance view [4]. - The importance of improving high-quality development assessment systems and performance evaluation frameworks for officials was emphasized, focusing on development quality, business environment, and public welfare [5][6].

大宗商品研究所 有色研发报告 有色金属日报 2025 年 7 月 2 日星期三 研究所副所长、有色及贵 金属板块负责人：车红云 期货从业证号：F03088215 投资咨询从业证号：Z0017510 研究员：王伟 期货从业证号：F03143400 投资咨询从业证号：Z0022141 研究员：陈婧 FRM 期货从业证号：F03107034 投资咨询从业证号：Z0018401 研究员：陈寒松 期货从业证号：F03129697 投资咨询从业证号：Z0020351 联系方式： 上海：021-65789219 北京：010-68569781 【市场回顾】 1.期货：今日沪铜 2508 合约收于 80540 元/吨，涨幅 0.65%，沪铜指数增仓 4906 手至 60.10 万手。 2.现货：持货商积极出货，沪铜现货升水直线下降，报升水 120 元/吨，较上一交易日下跌 80 元/吨。广东和天津地区受铜价走高影响，消费受冲击较为明显，持货商不愿低价出 货，分别报升水 85 元/吨，下跌 5 元/吨和报贴水 140 元/吨，下跌 20 元/吨。 【重要资讯】 1. 由于非正式矿工设置的路障，秘鲁矿山的物流运输遭到破坏，这些矿 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent emphasis on "strengthening investment attraction information disclosure" by the Central Financial Committee aims to promote a more transparent and fair competitive environment in local investment attraction practices, reducing the space for "policy arbitrage" in fund attraction [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Changes - Over the past year, multiple policies have been introduced to regulate local investment attraction practices, including the prohibition of illegal tax reductions and subsidies [2][3]. - The implementation of the "Fair Competition Review Regulations" in August 2024 and other measures aims to guide local governments away from simplistic investment attraction methods, encouraging a focus on long-term development and improved investment quality [3]. Group 2: Impact on Venture Capital Institutions - The new directive on information disclosure is expected to bring three main benefits to venture capital institutions: easier due diligence, reduced post-investment risks, and the ability to identify "value gaps" in less publicized but promising cities [4]. - Venture capital institutions will need to shift their investment logic to focus more on fundamental aspects such as core technology, business models, team capabilities, and market prospects, rather than relying on short-term government subsidies [4]. Group 3: Adaptation Strategies for Venture Capital - Venture capital institutions should reassess their partnerships with government limited partners (LPs) by understanding local industrial plans and policy execution credibility [6]. - Developing a "national industrial map" investment strategy will help guide resource allocation for invested companies based on regional strengths [6]. - Strengthening the ability to provide strategic, market, and supply chain support will be crucial for helping invested companies succeed in a more equitable market environment [6].