吕靖华 A0230124070002 lvjh@swsresearch.com 联系人 2026 年 01 月 13 日 国亮新材（920076）：耐火材料小巨 人，募投推进智能化、绿色化 ——北交所新股申购策略报告之一百五十六 相关研究 - 证券分析师 刘靖 A0230512070005 liujing@swsresearch.com 研究支持 吕靖华 A0230124070002 lvjh@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 策 略 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 申 购 策 略 ⚫ 基本面：业内知名的耐火材料小巨人。公司 2002 年成立，总部位于河北唐山，主要从事 高温工业用耐火材料整体解决方案，提供耐火材料整体承包服务及耐火材料产品。根据河 北省耐火材料行业统计分析报告（2024 年数据），公司在河北省 2,000 万以上产值规模 耐火材料企业中排名第一。区位优势显著，客户资源丰富。公司地处唐山，唐山是全国钢 铁产量第一大市，2024 年唐山粗钢产量达 1.20 亿吨、约占全国粗钢产量的 11.90%。在 钢铁行 ...

Core Viewpoint - The construction of a modern industrial system in China is being accelerated, focusing on the integration of technological and industrial innovation to enhance international competitiveness [1] Group 1: Industrial Economic Development - The industrial economy in China is expected to maintain stability and growth, with a focus on four key areas: stability, expansion, innovation, and enhancement [2] - Stability involves supporting key industries and regions that account for 80% of industrial output, implementing growth plans, and ensuring policy support [2] - Expansion focuses on increasing effective demand through flexible manufacturing and promoting new technologies, while also initiating major engineering projects [2] - Innovation aims to enhance value creation by upgrading traditional industries and developing emerging sectors, such as integrated circuits and aerospace [3] - Enhancement emphasizes improving the vitality of enterprises, particularly small and medium-sized ones, by reducing burdens and ensuring timely payments [3] Group 2: Manufacturing Development - The focus during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period will be on intelligent, green, and integrated development of manufacturing, ensuring supply chain security and stability [4] - Traditional industries will undergo renewal through the implementation of targeted upgrade plans and the adoption of smart and green technologies [4] - Emerging industries will be promoted through the establishment of demonstration bases and large-scale application of new technologies [5] - Future industries will be strategically developed, focusing on areas like quantum technology and 6G, with an emphasis on innovation and ecosystem building [5] Group 3: Technological Innovation - The integration of technological and industrial innovation is prioritized to enhance productivity and secure a competitive edge in global markets [6] - High-quality technological supply will be increased through national projects and collaboration between enterprises and research institutions [6] - The role of enterprises in technological innovation will be strengthened, with policies to support R&D investments and enhance participation in major projects [7] Group 4: Digital Transformation - The promotion of digital transformation in manufacturing will be driven by the large-scale application of industrial internet and artificial intelligence [8] - A strong digital foundation will be established by focusing on high-quality data collection and usage, particularly in key manufacturing sectors [8] - The development of industrial internet platforms and smart solutions will be prioritized to enhance connectivity and application in various industries [9]

Group 1 - The core transformation of Jiangsu enterprises is shifting from a traditional single product export model to providing integrated solutions that combine products, technology, services, and business models in the global market [1][2] - Jiangsu Guanhai Medical Technology Co., Ltd. has achieved a significant breakthrough in 2024 by localizing the assembly of dialysis machines, thereby enhancing the accessibility of quality medical resources to more patients globally [2][6] - The export of packaging machinery from Jiangsu reached 5.08 billion yuan in the first eleven months of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 32.1% [3] Group 2 - The shift from "selling products" to "selling solutions" is driven by global supply chain restructuring, technological advancements, and evolving customer demands, particularly evident in Jiangsu [2][4] - Jiangsu enterprises are actively expanding into international markets, moving from simple equipment exports to high-tech, customized system solutions, showcasing strong resilience in development [3][4] - The collaboration between government and enterprises has formed a powerful synergy to overcome challenges such as cultural differences and technical barriers in the global market [4][5] Group 3 - Jiangsu enterprises are increasingly adopting a value co-creation approach in their international operations, which enhances customer loyalty and allows for higher profit margins compared to traditional product exports [7][8] - The future of solution exports is expected to exhibit three significant characteristics: intelligence, greenness, and ecological sustainability, with companies integrating advanced technologies like AI and IoT into their solutions [7][8] - Jiangsu enterprises are positioning themselves to navigate from "Made in China" to "China Solutions," contributing significantly to high-quality global economic development [8]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the "Frontline Workers' Innovation Achievement Award" within the "Building Materials Science and Technology Award" aims to recognize and encourage innovation among frontline workers in the building materials industry, filling a gap in high-level industry awards for these workers [1][2] Group 1 - The "Frontline Workers' Innovation Achievement Award" was introduced in 2025, marking the first time a specialized evaluation channel for frontline workers has been established in the building materials industry's technology award system [1] - The initiative is a collaboration between the China Machinery Metallurgy Building Materials Union and the China Building Materials Federation, aimed at deepening the reform of the workforce in the industry [1] - Over 140 recommended achievements were received from frontline workers across various provinces, indicating strong participation from the industry [1] Group 2 - The evaluation process focuses on projects completed by frontline production and skilled workers, ensuring that the innovations are practical and relevant to real-world challenges [1] - The assessment emphasizes problem-solving and efficiency, encouraging "micro-innovations" that address production operations, energy conservation, and safety inspections [1] - Two model craftsmen were included as evaluation experts to combine professional perspectives with frontline experience during the assessment [1]

该目作为公司新的钡盐生产基地，旨在充分利用贵州省黔东南州天柱县重晶石资源优势，通过规模化、 智能化生产，发挥天柱红星物流成本优势，满足下游客户对供货稳定性、产品差异化的多种需求，从而 持续提升公司的产品竞争力与供应保障能力。 智通财经APP讯，红星发展(600367.SH)发布公告，为积极响应国家推动化工行业向高端化、智能化、 绿色化方向发展与"双碳"战略，完善公司钡盐主业战略支撑，开发不同规格、不同用途的钡盐产品，提 升核心原材料供应保障能力及市场综合竞争力，公司全资子公司贵州天柱红星发展新材料有限公司拟开 展"天柱县钡盐精细化工产品项目"，项目投资总额预计6.23亿元，拟选址于贵州省黔东南州天柱化工园 区。 ...

Core Insights - Guangzhou aims to establish itself as a world-class advanced manufacturing hub, a global innovation center, a benchmark city for digital and manufacturing integration, and a model for new industrialization by 2035, with a target to double industrial added value [1][2] Strategic Goals - By 2030, significant progress is expected in building a modern industrial system, enhancing overall industrial efficiency, and establishing a new economic structure driven by trillion-level industries and billion-level support [2] - By 2035, Guangzhou's advanced manufacturing status will be solidified, with a modern industrial system in place, high-level talent, and a focus on cultivating world-class enterprises [2] Industry Development Plans - The "12218" modern industrial system will be developed, focusing on the integration of advanced manufacturing and modern services, as well as the digital and green transformation of industries [3] - Key industries include the smart connected vehicle sector, which aims to create a trillion-level "Smart Vehicle City," and several others targeting 500 billion levels in biomedicine, smart construction, and rail transportation [3] Future Industries - Future industries driven by cutting-edge technologies will include intelligent unmanned systems, embodied intelligence, cell and gene technology, future networks and quantum technology, advanced materials, and deep-sea and deep-space technologies [4] - The plan aims for these industries to achieve exponential growth within 5 to 10 years through innovative applications and platforms [4] Spatial Layout - The spatial layout for advanced manufacturing will consist of an "innovation development axis" and three major growth poles, enhancing the resilience of the industrial chain and promoting high-end, intelligent, and green development [5][6] - Key areas include Nansha New District for smart vehicles, the Eastern Center for integrated circuits, and the Northern Growth Pole for aerospace and advanced rail transportation [6] Industry Categories - Six emerging pillar industries: smart connected vehicles, ultra-high-definition displays, biomedicine and health, green petrochemicals and new materials, software and internet, intelligent equipment and robotics [7] - Five strategic leading industries: artificial intelligence, semiconductors and integrated circuits, new energy and storage, low-altitude economy and aerospace, biomanufacturing [7] - Four characteristic advantage industries: fashion consumer goods, rail transportation, shipbuilding and marine engineering, intelligent construction [7]

Core Insights - The elevator industry in Ningjin County, Shandong, has become a significant sector, with a market share exceeding 60% in the domestic market and an annual output value surpassing 7 billion yuan [1][2] - The county is focusing on smart transformation and upgrading of traditional manufacturing, aiming for the elevator equipment manufacturing cluster to be recognized as a distinctive industrial cluster in Shandong Province by 2025 [1] - The local power supply company has enhanced the electricity infrastructure to support industrial growth, including the operation of two 110 kV substations and the installation of over 280 kilometers of high and low voltage lines [1] Industry Development - Ningjin County has established a 1,000-acre elevator industrial park and a shared processing center for steel, producing over 3,000 varieties of elevator components [1] - The transition from component production to an industrial cluster and from manufacturing to intelligent manufacturing has been a key focus for the elevator industry [1] - The local power supply company offers value-added services such as energy consulting and comprehensive energy efficiency analysis, resulting in an average reduction of over 30% in overall energy consumption [1] Urban Integration - The county is promoting a "renovation + elevator" model, integrating elevator industry development with urban renewal [2] - The local power supply company has streamlined the electricity application process, reducing the time from application to connection to within three working days [2] - A significant portion of the Oriental Garden community has installed elevators, improving residents' quality of life by providing direct access to their homes [2]

Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing industry is essential for national economic stability and security, and its development is crucial for enhancing competitiveness and ensuring economic autonomy [1]. Group 1: Manufacturing Industry's Role in Economic Stability - The stability of the manufacturing sector is vital for maintaining stable investment in the real economy, acting as a key driver for effective investment growth and structural optimization [2]. - In the first eleven months of 2025, despite overall investment pressures, industrial investment in China grew by 4.0% year-on-year, with manufacturing investment increasing by 1.9% [2]. - High-tech manufacturing industries saw a value-added increase of 9.2% year-on-year, indicating strong growth momentum and positioning as a core engine for economic growth [2]. Group 2: Manufacturing's Impact on Foreign Trade - A robust manufacturing sector underpins China's foreign trade competitiveness, with exports of electromechanical products reaching 12.07 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a growth of 9.6% [3]. - High-tech product exports, including electronic information and high-end equipment, grew by 8.1% and 22.4% respectively, showcasing the innovation and competitive strength of China's manufacturing [3]. Group 3: Fiscal Stability and Public Spending - Manufacturing contributes approximately 30% to national tax revenue, highlighting its foundational role in supporting fiscal operations [4]. - A healthy manufacturing sector provides stable tax revenue, enabling government capacity for counter-cyclical adjustments and social development initiatives [4]. Group 4: Strategic Directions for Manufacturing - The manufacturing sector is transitioning towards high-end, intelligent, and green development, as emphasized by national leadership [4]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" calls for promoting intelligent manufacturing and green production, aiming to strengthen the sector's role in the economy [4]. Group 5: High-End Development - Enhancing manufacturing high-end capabilities is crucial for driving investment and export growth, focusing on technology upgrades and product quality [5]. - The shift from price competition to quality competition is essential for strengthening foreign trade competitiveness [5]. Group 6: Intelligent Manufacturing - Promoting intelligent manufacturing can significantly improve operational efficiency and resilience, providing a solid foundation for macroeconomic stability [7]. - Implementing automation and smart systems in traditional manufacturing can enhance production efficiency and resource utilization [7]. Group 7: Green Development - Green development is integral to high-quality growth, with a focus on integrating sustainability into manufacturing processes [8]. - Engaging in international green standards and fostering green technology innovation can create new market demands and growth opportunities [8].

1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current lithium carbonate market is strongly influenced by capital sentiment. On the supply side, rumors from overseas and Jiangxi mining areas continue to disrupt the supply outlook. On the demand side, while there are optimistic expectations for energy storage demand, there is short - term pressure from the decline in material factory production schedules. The industry's inventory shows an early signal of turning from destocking to restocking, introducing new variables to the market sentiment. The price is expected to move upward, and the recommended strategy is to consider range - bound trading for the LC2605 contract, with a reference range of (130,000, 150,000), or to buy call options [10][12]. 3. Summary of Each Section According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Week - ly Views and Hot News 3.1.1 Hot News - On January 4, 2026, the State Council issued the "Solid Waste Comprehensive Management Action Plan", indicating that lithium resource development will become more "green and intensive" and future lithium salt supply growth may be limited by environmental protection and solid waste treatment capabilities. The resumption process of Jiangxi Jianxiawo Mining Area has raised market concerns again. - On December 26, 2025, the National Development and Reform Commission stated that for the "new three" industries such as new - energy vehicles, lithium batteries, and photovoltaics, the key is to standardize the order and lead innovation, and comprehensively rectify the "involution - style" competition during the "15th Five - Year Plan" period. - On December 25, 2025, Wanrun New Energy announced that it would conduct production - reduction maintenance on some production lines from December 28, 2025, for about one month, which is expected to reduce the production of lithium iron phosphate by 5,000 to 20,000 tons. - On December 24, 2025, it was reported that the lithium mining project of Yichun Times New Energy Mining Co., Ltd. in Zhenkouli, Yifeng County - Jianxiawo, Fengxin County is expected to resume production around the Spring Festival. - The Yichun Tendering Network in Jiangxi Province released the first environmental impact assessment information for the project. - On December 16, 2025, the Yichun Natural Resources Bureau planned to cancel 27 mining licenses [8]. 3.1.2 Weekly Views - **Market Review**: From January 2 to January 9, 2026, the spot price of lithium carbonate rose significantly, with the benchmark spot price reaching 139,100 yuan/ton on January 9, a 18.64% increase from January 2. The main contract of lithium carbonate in the futures market fluctuated downward, with the latest transaction price at 143,420 yuan/ton and a weekly increase of 17.96%. The open interest of the main - month contract is about 510,900 lots. - **Supply**: This week, the production of lithium carbonate increased slightly. Before the Spring Festival, a small number of lithium salt factories plan to conduct maintenance, but the actual impact on production is limited, and most enterprises maintain stable production. The overall operating rate of domestic lithium salt factories remains high, and new projects in production continue to increase output. Geopolitical factors continue to disrupt the stability of overseas lithium resource supply. The "Solid Waste Comprehensive Management Action Plan" has tightened the mine approval standards, affecting the domestic mining supply outlook. - **Demand**: The downstream production schedule declined. The demand outlook for the energy - storage sector remains strong. Some lithium iron phosphate and lithium hexafluorophosphate producers plan to conduct maintenance, and the power - battery industry is in a seasonal off - peak, suppressing short - term raw material procurement demand. Some downstream lithium iron phosphate enterprises have confirmed price increases and propose that the settlement price of lithium carbonate follow the futures trend. Downstream material factories are cautious about the current high - price spot lithium carbonate and mainly purchase for rigid demand. - **Cost, Profit, and Inventory**: The price of lithium concentrate has risen following the futures price of lithium carbonate. Although the import volume of lithium concentrate is sufficient, miners are strongly inclined to hold prices, and the price of spodumene remains firm. The cost side provides rigid support for the spot price. Integrated enterprises with their own mines and salt lakes still have considerable profits at the current high - price level, while processing enterprises relying on purchased raw materials have relatively thin profits. The industry's overall inventory level is low, and this week it turned from continuous destocking to restocking. Lithium salt factories are more willing to sell spot goods, and their inventory has slightly decreased. Downstream enterprises replenish inventory for rigid demand, and the trading sector is more willing to sell. The futures warehouse receipts increased significantly this week, reaching 20,000 tons. - **Outlook**: As mentioned above. - **Strategy**: As mentioned above [10]. 3.2 Industry Structure - The lithium industry chain includes upstream raw materials (such as spodumene, lithium mica, salt - lake brine, and recycled lithium), lithium salt products (carbonate lithium, lithium hydroxide, etc.), materials (ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, etc.), lithium batteries, and terminal consumption (new - energy vehicles, energy storage, etc.) [16]. 3.3 Futures and Spot Markets 3.3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the active lithium carbonate contract was 143,420 yuan/ton, a 17.96% increase from the previous period; the trading volume was 469,479 lots, a 19.63% increase; the open interest was 510,874 lots, a 4.22% increase; and the total number of warehouse receipts was 25,360 lots, a 25.04% increase [22]. 3.3.2 Spot Market - There is a seasonal chart and a historical price chart of the lithium carbonate spot price, but no specific data analysis is provided in the summary part [25]. 3.4 Inventory - The total lithium carbonate inventory was 109,405 tons, a 0.0045% increase from the previous period; the market inventory was 65,949 tons, a 5.4% decrease; the factory inventory was 18,096 tons, a 4.5% decrease; and the registered warehouse receipt volume was 25,360 tons, a 25.04% increase [33]. 3.5 Cost and Profit - There are charts of the comprehensive cost and comprehensive profit of lithium carbonate, but no specific data analysis is provided in the summary part [38]. 3.6 Supply 3.6.1 Supply - Side: Production, Capacity, and Import - Export of Lithium Carbonate - There are charts of the monthly production, capacity, and capacity utilization rate of lithium carbonate, as well as its net import volume, but no specific data analysis is provided in the summary part [42]. 3.6.2 Supply - Side: Major Project Tracking (Potential Capacity) - From 2025 - 12 to 2026 - 12, multiple companies in different regions such as Jiangxi, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, etc. have planned new lithium - carbonate production - capacity projects, with a total planned new capacity of 211,000 tons [46]. 3.6.3 Supply - Side: Lithium Carbonate Import Situation - There are seasonal charts of monthly lithium carbonate imports, including those from Argentina and Chile, as well as annual cumulative import charts, but no specific data analysis is provided in the summary part [48]. 3.6.4 Supply - Side: Lithium Carbonate Production from Different Raw Materials - There are seasonal charts of monthly lithium carbonate production from different raw materials (spodumene, lithium mica, salt - lake, and recycled materials), but no specific data analysis is provided in the summary part [58]. 3.6.5 Supply - Side: Spodumene Import Situation - There are seasonal charts of monthly spodumene imports from Zimbabwe and Australia, as well as charts of monthly import volume and cumulative import volume, but no specific data analysis is provided in the summary part [69]. 3.7 Demand 3.7.1 Demand - Side: Overall Demand Situation - There are charts of the monthly consumption of lithium carbonate, monthly production of new - energy vehicles, penetration rate of new - energy vehicles, and seasonal chart of monthly power - battery production, but no specific data analysis is provided in the summary part [82]. 3.7.2 Demand - Side: Power Batteries - There are charts of monthly production, installation volume, export, and energy - storage situation of power batteries, as well as the proportion of power - battery installation volume of each vehicle type and the monthly production and demand proportion of cathode materials, but no specific data analysis is provided in the summary part [88]. 3.7.3 Demand - Side: Output of Each Material - There are charts of the output of lithium iron phosphate, ternary materials, cobalt - acid lithium, and manganese - acid lithium, but no specific data analysis is provided in the summary part [98]. 3.8 Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - The report provides a long - term supply - demand balance sheet of lithium carbonate from 1995, including data on total supply, total demand, supply - demand gap, import and export volume, production from different raw materials, output of downstream products, and inventory, but no specific data analysis is provided in the summary part [107].

Core Viewpoint - The outlook for non-ferrous metals remains optimistic for 2026, with expectations of continued price increases driven by macroeconomic factors and supply-demand dynamics, despite concerns about high valuations and potential risks in the market [1][2][5]. Group 1: Market Performance and Trends - The non-ferrous metals sector has shown strong performance, with the China Nonferrous Metals Index rising over 8% since the beginning of the year, reaching a historical high of 3369 points on January 9 [1]. - In 2025, the China Nonferrous Metals Index recorded a cumulative increase of 91.67%, with leading stocks like Luoyang Molybdenum and Jiangxi Copper seeing price increases of 200.7% and 166% respectively [2]. - The futures market also reflected this trend, with LME copper futures prices increasing by over 40% in 2025, and LME tin and aluminum rising by 39% and 17% respectively [2]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Analysts suggest that the demand for metals such as copper and aluminum will continue to rise due to increased global electricity construction and investment in power infrastructure, which is expected to outpace GDP growth [2][6]. - The electric aluminum sector is anticipated to mirror the coal market's performance from 2022 to 2024, with limited supply and high dividend yields making it attractive for value investors [3]. - The ongoing macroeconomic environment, including potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, is expected to create a favorable backdrop for both precious and non-ferrous metals [6]. Group 3: Institutional Activity and Caution - There has been a surge in public fund applications for non-ferrous metal-themed ETFs, indicating strong institutional interest in the sector [4]. - Despite the positive sentiment, there is a growing caution among market participants regarding high valuations, with the price-to-book ratio of the non-ferrous sector rising from 2 to approximately 3.5 [6]. - Analysts recommend a balanced approach, advising against blindly chasing high valuations while recognizing the ongoing demand and investment opportunities in the sector [6][7].