Group 1 - The article discusses various trading tools and reports available for futures and macro trading, highlighting their purposes and ease of use [10] - It mentions specific tools designed to assist users in observing volatility across different futures varieties and macro arbitrage opportunities [10] - The article outlines tools for cross-variety and cross-period arbitrage, as well as options trading opportunities in the futures market [10] Group 2 - The article provides a framework for trading plans and reviews, helping users clarify their trading targets, entry criteria, expected profits, and position sizing [10] - It includes tools for position sizing based on Average True Range (ATR) for different trading frequencies [10] - Portfolio management tools are mentioned for both single market traders and multi-asset traders, aimed at managing risk and returns effectively [10]

有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/05/21 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 78340 9475 8.25 三月 76900 9472 8.23 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.25 -23.85 现货出口 -364.39 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22610 2642 8.56 三月 22080 2672 6.29 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.70 -369.59 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20210 2437 8.29 三月 20030 2439 8.23 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.71 -1031.75 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 124500 15251 8.16 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.30 -3221.31 跨期套利跟踪 2025/05/21 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -630 -920 -1110 -1310 理论价差 491 880 1278 1676 ...

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有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/05/20 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/20 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 78070 9497 8.27 三月 77020 9481 8.19 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.25 -103.15 现货出口 5.75 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/20 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22650 2656 8.53 三月 22120 2688 6.28 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.69 -435.22 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/20 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20230 2471 8.19 三月 20065 2470 8.14 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.70 -1280.43 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/20 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 125000 15388 8.12 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.30 -3655.82 理论价差 451 773 理论价差 121 252 锌 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -150 -405 理论价差 168 280 铅 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 120 125 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The casting aluminum alloy market is under pressure due to weak consumption, and it is expected to remain weak in the medium - term. The ADC12 - A00 basis may continue to converge, and attention should be paid to cross - variety arbitrage opportunities [3][6]. - The supply side of scrap aluminum is in a situation of both supply and demand being weak. The alloy production rate shows a downward trend. The consumption off - season is deepening, and downstream demand is weak, mainly for rigid needs [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Supply Side - Scrap Aluminum - Scrap aluminum production, shipment volume, and imports are at high levels, but the year - on - year growth rate of imports is declining. Social inventory is at a historically high - middle level. The price of scrap aluminum is firm, and the refined - scrap price difference is at a relatively low level with a slight rebound [9][11][15]. - Currently, there is a seasonal shortage of scrap aluminum supply. Recyclers have limited inventory, and due to the tight supply of circulating goods, they are reluctant to sell. The price is firm and stable. The profit of scrap aluminum extrusion alloy plants is squeezed, and they are now in a loss stage. In May, it is expected that the production rate of casting aluminum alloy plants will be adjusted downward, reducing the demand for scrap aluminum [6]. Supply Side - Recycled Aluminum - The price of casting aluminum alloy is in a short - term sideways movement, and the ADC12 - A00 spread continues to converge. The regional price difference shows that the southwest region is relatively weak [22][25]. - The production rate of casting aluminum alloy has been slightly reduced, and the explicit and implicit inventories have increased. The import window for casting aluminum alloy is temporarily closed [35][39]. - The production and inventory data of recycled aluminum rods are provided, and the production proportion of different regions is also given [43][44]. Demand Side - Terminal Consumption - The peak consumption season for automobiles in the first half of the year is relatively weak, which is transmitted to the die - casting consumption market. Downstream orders show a marginal weakening trend in the second quarter, and restocking is relatively cautious. The purchasing enthusiasm of downstream die - casting enterprises is poor, mainly for rigid needs [6][48].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Viewpoints - The report provides cross - market, cross - period, and cross - product arbitrage tracking data for various non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, lead, nickel, and tin on May 15, 2025 [1][3][7] According to Related Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On May 15, 2025, the domestic spot price was 78,875, the LME spot price was 9,639, with a spot ratio of 8.13; the domestic three - month price was 78,460, the LME three - month price was 9,625, with a three - month ratio of 8.16. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.25, with a loss of 227.87, and a profit of 256.73 for spot export [7] - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 22,880, the LME spot price was 2,705, with a spot ratio of 8.46; the domestic three - month price was 22,580, the LME three - month price was 2,728, with a three - month ratio of 6.20. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.68, with a loss of 595.29 [7] - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 20,210, the LME spot price was 2,521, with a spot ratio of 8.02; the domestic three - month price was 20,240, the LME three - month price was 2,520, with a three - month ratio of 8.01. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.70, with a loss of 1,729.07 [7] - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 126,350, the LME spot price was 15,594, with a spot ratio of 8.10. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.29, with a loss of 3,771.87 [7] - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 16,800, the LME spot price was 1,975, with a spot ratio of 8.48; the domestic three - month price was 16,950, the LME three - month price was 1,982, with a three - month ratio of 11.40. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.93, with a loss of 887.82 [1][2] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The price differences between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month were 510, 30, - 330, and - 570 respectively, while the theoretical price differences were 494, 886, 1287, and 1689 [3] - **Zinc**: The price differences were 210, 80, - 50, and - 145 respectively, and the theoretical price differences were 216, 337, 459, and 580 [3] - **Aluminum**: The price differences were 240, 205, 160, and 140 respectively, and the theoretical price differences were 211, 323, 436, and 548 [3] - **Lead**: The price differences were 15, 30, 10, and 15 respectively, and the theoretical price differences were 210, 315, 421, and 526 [3] - **Nickel**: The price differences between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month were 2230, 2410, 2580, and 2770 respectively [3] - **Tin**: The price difference between the 5 - month and 1 - month contracts was - 650, and the theoretical price difference was 5501 [3] Cross - Product Arbitrage Tracking - **Ratio of Shanghai Contracts**: The ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc were 3.47, 3.88, 4.63, 0.90, 1.19, and 0.75 respectively [4] - **Ratio of LME Contracts**: The ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc were 3.47, 3.80, 4.81, 0.91, 1.27, and 0.72 respectively [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The price differences between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot were - 460 and 50 respectively, and the theoretical price differences were 16 and 527 [3] - **Zinc**: The price differences were - 380 and - 170 respectively, and the theoretical price differences were 45 and 178 [3] - **Lead**: The price differences were 120 and 135 respectively, and the theoretical price differences were 94 and 206 [4]

有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/05/14 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/14 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 78160 9584 8.20 三月 77600 9565 8.13 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.24 -370.77 现货出口 512.42 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/14 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22720 2665 8.52 三月 22185 2693 6.29 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.68 -413.51 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/14 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20015 2482 8.06 三月 19960 2480 8.05 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.71 -1596.65 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/14 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 124800 15411 8.10 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.29 -3291.29 或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等，我们均不承担任何责任。 铅：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/14 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 16800 1991 8.41 三月 ...

跨期套利跟踪 2025/05/12 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -440 -980 -1430 -1770 理论价差 491 881 1279 1678 锌 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -375 -630 -775 -850 理论价差 216 338 459 581 铝 次月-现货月 三月-现货月四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -65 -150 -205 -205 理论价差 209 320 430 540 铅 次月-现货月 三月-现货 月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 60 50 40 60 理论价差 209 313 418 523 镍 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货 月 五月-现货月 价差 -90 10 250 510 锡 5-1 价差 490 理论价差 5366 期现套利跟踪 2025/05/12 铜 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -295 -735 理论价差 109 478 锌 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -225 -600 理论价差 5 137 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及 ...

Report Overview - Report Title: Cast Aluminum Alloy Industry Chain Weekly Report [1] - Research Institute: Guotai Junan Futures Research Institute - Analyst: Mo Xiaoxiong - Date: May 11, 2025 1. Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - The cast aluminum alloy market is under pressure and weaker than A00 aluminum. The supply - demand of scrap aluminum is both weak, and the alloy plant's operating rate shows a downward trend. The consumption is in the off - season, with downstream demand being weak. As the off - season deepens, prices are under significant pressure and tend to be weak. The ADC12 - A00 basis may continue to converge, and cross - variety arbitrage opportunities should be noted [3][6]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Supply Side - Scrap Aluminum - Production, shipment, and social inventory of scrap aluminum are at high levels. The import of scrap aluminum is also at a high level, but the year - on - year growth rate is declining. The price of scrap aluminum is firm, and the refined - scrap price difference has rebounded slightly from a low level [9][10][14]. Supply Side - Recycled Aluminum - The price of cast aluminum alloy is in short - term consolidation, and the ADC12 - A00 spread continues to converge. The operating rate of the cast aluminum alloy industry has been slightly reduced and is at a historical medium level. The cost of ADC12 is mainly composed of scrap aluminum, and it is currently in a small loss. The operating rate on the production side has decreased slightly, and the explicit and implicit inventories of cast alloys have increased. The import window for cast aluminum alloy is temporarily closed [20][25][33]. Supply Side - Recycled Aluminum Rod - Information on the production and inventory of recycled aluminum rods is provided, including the production volume and its proportion in different regions, as well as the factory inventory and its proportion [37][38][39]. Demand Side - Terminal Consumption - The consumption peak season for automobiles in the first half of the year is weak, which affects the die - casting consumption. Data on the production of new energy vehicles, fuel vehicles, motorcycles, and household appliances are presented, along with the PPI of auto parts and the auto inventory warning index [43][44]. Market Data Summary - In March 2025, the total supply of scrap aluminum and ADC12 decreased slightly. The month - on - month changes in total supply, social inventory, and other indicators are given, as well as the week - on - week changes in the prices of some scrap aluminum products and the month - on - month changes in vehicle and motorcycle production [7].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core View - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, and tin on May 8, 2025 [1][4][5] Summary by Related Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On May 8, 2025, the domestic spot price was 78,575, LME price was 9,498, and the ratio was 8.23; the three - month domestic price was 77,410, LME price was 9,477, and the ratio was 8.22. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.27, with a profit of 52.52, and the profit for spot export was - 1.20 [1] - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 22,840, LME price was 2,582, and the ratio was 8.85; the three - month domestic price was 21,955, LME price was 2,619, and the ratio was 6.36. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.75, with a profit of 236.34 [1] - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 19,620, LME price was 2,369, and the ratio was 8.27; the three - month domestic price was 19,400, LME price was 2,398, and the ratio was 8.16. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.76, with a profit of - 1153.53 [1] - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 125,650, LME price was 15,479, and the ratio was 8.12. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.31, with a profit of - 3755.62 [1] - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 16,600, LME price was 1,907, and the ratio was 8.68; the three - month domestic price was 16,690, LME price was 1,924, and the ratio was 11.57. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.97, with a profit of - 562.77 [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads for the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month relative to the spot month were - 120, - 500, - 860, and - 1170 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 492, 881, 1280, and 1678 [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 555, - 810, - 965, and - 1040, and the theoretical spreads were 217, 340, 462, and 585 [4] - **Aluminum**: The spreads were - 460, - 525, - 565, and - 585, and the theoretical spreads were 211, 322, 434, and 546 [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were 80, 70, 65, and 50, and the theoretical spreads were 208, 312, 416, and 520 [4] - **Nickel**: The spreads were 0, 200, 390, and 530 [4] - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread was - 320, and the theoretical spread was 5421 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads for the current - month and next - month contracts relative to the spot were - 665 and - 785, and the theoretical spreads were 86 and 503 [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 75 and - 630, and the theoretical spreads were 9 and 142 (also mentioned as 146 and 197) [4][5] - **Lead**: The spreads were 20 and 100, and the theoretical spreads were 105 and 216 [5] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On May 8, 2025, the ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for Shanghai (three - continuous) were 3.53, 3.99, 4.64, 0.88, 1.16, and 0.76 respectively; for LME (three - continuous) were 3.60, 3.95, 4.81, 0.91, 1.22, and 0.75 [5]