1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The economic growth shows that the destocking of steel is slower than the seasonal norm, with production - side开工率普遍回升 and demand - side facing various situations such as slow steel destocking and uneven performance in different sectors. - Inflation is characterized by a weak rebound in pig prices at the bottom, along with different price trends in CPI and PPI components [1][2]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Economic Growth: Steel Destocking Slower than Seasonal Norm 3.1.1 Production: General Increase in Operating Rates - **Power Plant Daily Consumption Seasonal Rebound**: On November 10, the average daily consumption of 6 major power - generating groups was 796,000 tons, up 4.3% from November 3. On November 6, the daily consumption of power plants in eight southern provinces was 1.879 million tons, up 4.1% from October 30, driven by winter heating and industrial electricity load recovery [4][12]. - **Blast Furnace Operating Rate Recovered to Pre - Restriction Level**: On November 7, the national blast furnace operating rate was 83.2%, up 1.4 percentage points from October 31, and the capacity utilization rate was 87.8%, down 0.8 percentage points. The blast furnace operating rate of Tangshan steel mills was 91.9%, up 23.5 percentage points from October 31. However, the subsequent maintenance and production - cut efforts may increase due to weak downstream markets [4][16]. - **Tire Operating Rate Moderately Rebounded**: On November 6, the operating rate of all - steel truck tires was 65.5%, up 0.1 percentage points from October 30, and that of semi - steel car tires was 73.7%, up 0.3 percentage points. The operating rate of looms in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions continued to be strong [4][19]. 3.1.2 Demand: Steel Destocking Slower than Seasonal Norm - **Improvement in New Home Sales in 30 Cities on a Month - on - Month Basis**: From November 1 - 11, the average daily sales area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 197,000 square meters, up 65.7% from October, but down compared with the same periods in previous years. Sales in first - tier, second - tier, and third - tier cities all declined year - on - year [4][24]. - **Weak Start in the Automobile Retail Market**: In November, retail sales were down 19% year - on - year, and wholesale sales were down 22% year - on - year. The high base last year and tightened subsidy policies contributed to the low growth [4][28]. - **Weak Fluctuation in Steel Prices**: On November 11, compared with November 4, rebar, wire rod, hot - rolled coil, and cold - rolled prices changed by + 0.3%, + 1.4%, - 0.9%, and - 0.4% respectively. Steel destocking was slower than the seasonal norm, with the inventory of five major steel products at 1.075 million tons on November 7, down 2,100 tons from October 31 [4][33]. - **Regional Differentiation in Cement Prices**: On November 11, the national cement price index rose 0.1% from November 4. The prices in the East China and Yangtze River regions showed different trends. The year - on - year decline in cement prices widened [4][34]. - **Weak Decline in Glass Prices**: On November 11, the active glass futures contract price was 1,062 yuan/ton, down 3.7% from November 4. The year - on - year and month - on - month declines in glass prices were significant [4][39]. - **End of Four - Consecutive - Increase and Turn to Decline in Container Shipping Freight Index**: On November 7, the CCFI index rose 3.6% from October 31, while the SCFI index fell 3.6%. The container shipping market is in the traditional off - season, but there may be a replenishment wave in late November and December [4][41]. 3.2 Inflation: Weak Rebound in Pig Prices at the Bottom 3.2.1 CPI: Weak Rebound in Pig Prices at the Bottom - **Weak Rebound in Pig Prices at the Bottom**: On November 11, the average wholesale price of pork was 18.1 yuan/kg, up 0.5% from November 4. Although the supply pressure will be gradually released, the overall consumption environment is still weak [4][47]. - **Moderate Increase in Agricultural Product Price Index**: On November 11, the agricultural product wholesale price index rose 0.5% from November 4. Different agricultural products showed different price trends, with chicken having the highest increase [4][52]. 3.2.2 PPI: Oil Price Rebound after Decline - **Oil Price Rebound after Decline**: On November 11, the spot prices of Brent and WTI crude oil were $64.4 and $61.0 per barrel respectively, with Brent down 1.7% and WTI up 0.8% from November 4. Supply - side and demand - side factors jointly affect the oil price [4][55]. - **Moderate Increase in Copper and Aluminum Prices**: On November 11, the prices of LME 3 - month copper and aluminum rose 1.7% and 0.2% respectively from November 4. The domestic commodity index's month - on - month decline narrowed [4][59]. - **Mixed Month - on - Month Price Changes in Industrial Products**: Since November, industrial product prices have shown different trends, with some rising and some falling. Most of the year - on - year declines in industrial product prices have converged, except for cement and glass [4][61].

Core Insights - The overall price index for Linyi Mall in October is 102.01 points, showing a slight decrease of 0.02 points month-on-month and a year-on-year decline of 2.00 points [1] Price Index Summary - Among 14 categories of goods, 7 categories saw price increases, 1 remained stable, and 6 categories experienced price declines. The top two categories with price increases are household appliances and audio-visual equipment, and building decoration materials [3] Household Appliances and Audio-Visual Equipment - The price index for household appliances and audio-visual equipment is 102.85 points, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.35 points. Subcategories such as refrigeration appliances and purification appliances increased by 0.53 and 0.01 points respectively, while kitchen appliances and water heaters decreased by 0.32 and 0.08 points. The market for household appliances showed mixed trends, with increased sales for refrigeration appliances and water heaters, while kitchen appliances faced declining sales [5] Building Decoration Materials - The price index for building decoration materials is 105.63 points, with a month-on-month increase of 0.22 points. Most subcategories saw price increases, including decorative materials, structural installation materials, and specialized materials. The index initially declined before rising, influenced by increased upstream raw material costs, particularly aluminum [8] Ceramic Products - The price index for ceramics is 105.86 points, showing a month-on-month decrease of 0.49 points. The sanitary ceramics category decreased by 2.29 points, while building ceramics saw a slight increase. The overall market for ceramics is sluggish due to a downturn in the real estate market, leading to reduced demand for new home renovations [10] Furniture - The price index for furniture is 88.21 points, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 0.39 points. Categories such as beds and bedding, seating, and cabinets saw price declines, while tables experienced a slight increase. The furniture market had a brief peak due to promotional activities, but overall prices fell due to insufficient demand for standardized products [11] Price Index Table - A detailed table of the price indices for various categories shows fluctuations, with household appliances and audio-visual equipment, and building decoration materials experiencing increases, while ceramics and furniture faced declines [12]

Production Side - In October, the operating rates for full steel and semi-steel tires were 59.85% and 66.58%, respectively, showing a decline compared to the previous month[3] - The average operating rates for electric furnaces and rebar were 60.58% and 41.90%, both lower than the previous month[3] - The capacity utilization rates for coking, glass, cement clinker, and cold-rolled steel continued to improve, recorded at 79.99%, 78.61%, 59.46%, and 98.41% respectively[3] Demand Side - The average transaction area of commercial housing in 30 cities increased by 1.34% month-on-month but decreased by 24.49% year-on-year[4] - The average transaction area of land in 100 cities decreased by 20.55% month-on-month and 15.85% year-on-year[4] - The average daily sales of passenger cars were 65,118 units, a decrease of 22.89% compared to the previous month[4] Price Side - The wholesale price index for agricultural products increased by 1.79% month-on-month, with slight increases in vegetable and fruit prices[6] - The average price of gasoline and diesel saw year-on-year declines of 2.28% and 4.29% respectively[6] - The price of rebar decreased by 1.24% month-on-month, while the price of copper and aluminum increased by 4.05% and 0.60% respectively[6] Risks - Risks include domestic policy implementation falling short of expectations and overseas policies exceeding expectations[7]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Economic growth shows a strengthening trend in the auto market retail at the end of the month, while production is restricted by environmental protection measures. The inflation situation features a bottom - oscillating pork price and an oscillatingly strong oil price [1][2][3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Economic Growth: Strengthening Auto Market Retail at the End of the Month 1.1 Production: Environmental Protection Restricts开工 - **Production End: Slowing Decline in Power Plant Daily Consumption** - On November 4, the average daily consumption of 6 major power - generating groups was 75.7 tons, a 1.4% decrease from October 28. On October 30, the daily consumption of power plants in eight southern provinces was 180.5 tons, a 2.9% decrease from October 22. Although the consumption has slowed down, industrial electricity consumption has increased due to the positive impact of Sino - US negotiations on the black - series products [5][12]. - **Production End: Local Sharp Decline in Blast Furnace Operating Rate** - On October 31, the national blast furnace operating rate was 81.7%, a 3.0 - percentage - point decrease from October 24, and the capacity utilization rate was 88.6%, a 1.3 - percentage - point decrease. In Tangshan, the blast furnace operating rate of steel mills was 68.3%, a 25.1 - percentage - point decrease from October 24. The start - up rate has dropped significantly due to the start of heavy - pollution weather warnings in many places [15]. - **Production End: Moderate Decline in Tire Operating Rate** - On October 30, the operating rate of all - steel tires for trucks was 65.3%, a 0.2 - percentage - point decrease from October 23, and the operating rate of semi - steel tires for cars was 73.4%, a 0.3 - percentage - point increase. The operating rate of downstream looms in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions reached a new high for the year [17]. 1.2 Demand: Strengthening Auto Market Retail at the End of the Month - **Demand End: Improved Monthly - on - Monthly New Home Sales in 30 Cities** - From November 1 - 4, the average daily sales area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 155,000 square meters, a 145.6% increase from October, but a 53.3% decrease from November last year. Sales in first - tier, second - tier, and third - tier cities decreased year - on - year [22]. - **Demand End: Strengthening Auto Market Retail at the End of the Month** - In October, retail sales increased by 6% year - on - year, and wholesale sales increased by 7% year - on - year. In the fifth week of October, retail and wholesale reached daily averages of 155,000 and 210,000 vehicles respectively, with significant year - on - year and month - on - month growth [26]. - **Demand End: Weak Steel Prices** - On November 4, the prices of rebar, wire rod, hot - rolled coil, and cold - rolled coil changed by - 1.2%, 0%, - 2.4%, and + 0.3% respectively compared to October 28. Since November, these varieties have shown different year - on - year and month - on - month changes. Steel inventories are seasonally decreasing [31]. - **Demand End: Oscillatingly Strong Cement Prices** - On November 4, the national cement price index increased by 0.1% compared to October 28, but prices in the East China and Yangtze River regions decreased. The year - on - year decline in cement prices has widened [32]. - **Demand End: Narrow - Range Oscillation of Glass Prices** - On November 4, the active glass futures contract price was 1,103 yuan/ton, a 0.5% decrease from October 28. Since November, glass prices have shown a month - on - month and year - on - year decline [37]. - **Demand End: Strong Increase in Container Shipping Freight Index** - On October 31, the CCFI index increased by 2.9% and the SCFI index increased by 10.5% compared to October 24. Since October, both indices have shown different year - on - year and month - on - month changes [39]. 2. Inflation: Bottom - Oscillating Pork Price 2.1 CPI: Bottom - Oscillating Pork Price - **Pork Price Bottom - Oscillating** - On November 4, the average wholesale price of pork was 18.0 yuan/kg, a 0.1% decrease from October 28. The supply has increased while the demand is weak, and the month - on - month decline has narrowed [45]. - **Slowing Growth Rate of Agricultural Product Price Index** - On November 4, the agricultural product wholesale price index increased by 0.9% compared to October 28. Different agricultural products showed different price changes. Since November, the index has shown year - on - year and month - on - month increases [51]. 2.2 PPI: Oscillatingly Strong Oil Price - **Oil Price Oscillatingly Strong** - On November 4, the spot prices of Brent and WTI crude oil were 65.5 and 60.6 dollars/barrel respectively, increasing by 1.6% and 0.7% compared to October 28. OPEC's decision to suspend production increase in the first quarter of next year supports the oil price [54]. - **Decline in Copper and Aluminum Prices** - On November 4, the prices of LME 3 - month copper and aluminum decreased by 2.9% and remained flat respectively compared to October 28. Since November, they have shown different year - on - year and month - on - month changes [58]. - **Most Industrial Product Prices Continue to Decline Month - on - Month** - Since November, industrial product prices have shown mixed changes. Most of the year - on - year declines have converged, but the year - on - year declines in cement and glass prices have widened [62].

Group 1: PMI Data Overview - In October, the manufacturing PMI was reported at 49.0%, down from 49.8% in September[1] - The non-manufacturing PMI slightly increased to 50.1, compared to the previous value of 50.0[1] Group 2: Manufacturing Sector Insights - The manufacturing PMI decline is attributed to intensified trade frictions, with both supply and demand indices showing significant drops[2] - The production index fell to 49.7% (-2.2 percentage points), while the new orders index decreased to 48.8% (-0.9 percentage points)[2] - New export orders index dropped to 45.9% (-1.9 percentage points), indicating weakened external demand[2] Group 3: Economic Stimulus and Construction Sector - A total of 500 billion yuan has been allocated to specific projects, contributing to an overall investment of approximately 7 trillion yuan, including both new and old infrastructure and high-end manufacturing[2] - The construction sector's business activity expectation index rose to 56.0%, the highest since January, reflecting improved expectations due to policy support[3] Group 4: Price Indices and Industry Performance - The main raw material purchase price index was at 52.5% (-0.7 percentage points), while the factory price index was at 47.5% (-0.7 percentage points), both showing a decline for two consecutive months[2] - The equipment manufacturing PMI was reported at 50.2% (-1.7 percentage points), and the consumer goods industry PMI at 50.1% (-0.5 percentage points), indicating a general downturn across major industries[2]

Core Insights - The manufacturing PMI for October 2025 is at 49.0%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector [2] - External disturbances have led to a decline in manufacturing PMI, with new export orders and production indices showing significant drops, particularly in textiles, chemicals, and non-metallic mineral products [2][3] - The service sector remains stable, supported by holiday effects and promotional activities, while the construction sector shows signs of recovery due to government support for infrastructure projects [3] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI has fallen below historical levels for this time of year, with external factors negatively impacting the external demand index [2] - New export orders and production indices have notably decreased, with specific industries like textiles and rubber products falling below critical thresholds [2][3] - The decline in the price index reflects external fluctuations, although some price support is noted from "anti-involution" measures [2] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The service sector's performance is buoyed by holiday spending and promotional events, with high activity in travel-related industries [3] - The construction sector's business activity index has slightly decreased, but government initiatives are expected to enhance support for infrastructure projects [3] - New orders and expectations in the construction sector are showing signs of recovery, indicating potential for improved economic conditions [3] Policy and Economic Outlook - Continuous macroeconomic policy support is essential, with a focus on managing expectations to stimulate domestic demand [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for an economy driven by domestic demand and consumption, aiming to create a positive cycle of expectation improvement leading to economic recovery [3]

Core Insights - The overall passenger car market price index for September 2025 shows a slight increase in transaction prices, while the sedan market continues to experience a decline in prices [4][5] - The SUV market has seen a price increase, contrasting with the declining trend in the sedan market [4][9] - The MPV market has shown a decrease in discount levels, indicating a potential shift in consumer purchasing behavior [8][12] Group 1: Overall Market Trends - The overall market price change index for September 2025 is -2.64, with an average transaction price of 154,400 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 1,131 yuan or 0.74% [4] - The sedan market price index is -6.91, with an average transaction price of 124,300 yuan, indicating a continuous decline [3][4] - The SUV market price index is 1.07, with an average transaction price of 174,000 yuan, showing a month-on-month increase of 4,118 yuan or 2.42% [9] Group 2: Discounts and Promotions - The overall market discount change index for September 2025 is -0.5, with an average discount of 27,000 yuan, which has increased by 428 yuan or 1.61% month-on-month [4] - The MPV market has seen a decrease in discount levels, with the discount index at 1.74 and an average discount of 25,100 yuan, down by 2,374 yuan or 8.65% [8] - The sedan market has experienced an increase in discounts, with a discount index of 0.25 and an average discount of 28,300 yuan, up by 1,071 yuan or 3.93% [6][9] Group 3: Segment Analysis - In the sedan market, the A00 segment has seen the largest price drop of 4.51%, while the B and C segments have shown slight increases [5] - The MPV market has shown a significant increase in sales share for models priced above 300,000 yuan, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [8] - The overall new energy vehicle market price index is -4.96, with an average transaction price of 154,900 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month decrease [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The overall price index of Linyi Mall has slightly increased, indicating a mixed trend in various product categories with some experiencing price rises while others see declines [1][19]. Price Index Summary - The total price index for Linyi Mall this week is 102.19 points, reflecting a slight increase of 0.01 points or 0.01% compared to the previous week [1][19]. - Among 14 categories, 4 categories saw price increases, 6 remained stable, and 4 experienced declines [3]. Category-Specific Price Movements 1. Building and Decoration Materials - The price index for building and decoration materials rose to 105.53 points, up by 0.16 points. This increase is attributed to rising upstream raw material prices, leading manufacturers to raise their product prices [5][19]. 2. Board Materials - The board materials price index increased to 97.30 points, up by 0.07 points. The demand for density boards and aluminum-plastic boards has risen due to seasonal changes and increased construction activity [8][19]. 3. Grain, Oil, and Food - The price index for grain, oil, and food reached 95.25 points, with a slight increase of 0.02 points. Notable price increases were observed in dried fruits and seasonings, while other categories remained stable or saw minor declines [11][19]. 4. Steel - The steel price index decreased to 95.01 points, down by 0.04 points. The decline is attributed to insufficient demand from construction and infrastructure projects, leading to lower overall trading volumes [14][19]. 5. Home Appliances and Audio-Visual Equipment - The price index for home appliances and audio-visual equipment fell to 103.04 points, down by 0.04 points. The kitchen appliances segment saw significant price drops, while other categories experienced mixed performance [17][19]. 6. Clothing and Accessories - The clothing and accessories price index decreased to 103.79 points, down by 0.04 points. The clothing segment remained stable, but accessories saw a notable decline due to changes in market demand [18][19].

Core Insights - The overall price index of Linyi Mall decreased slightly to 102.18 points, reflecting a marginal decline of 0.01 points or 0.01% compared to the previous week [1] Price Index Summary - **Daily Necessities**: The price index for daily necessities rose to 102.80 points, with an increase of 0.01 points. Key contributors to this rise include bags, personal care and beauty products, and textiles, driven by seasonal demand and new product launches [5][6] - **Ceramics**: The ceramics price index increased to 104.79 points, up by 0.01 points. The rise is attributed to stable demand for daily ceramics and an increase in purchases of architectural ceramics [8] - **Apparel and Accessories**: The apparel and accessories price index fell to 103.83 points, down by 0.06 points. The decline is influenced by seasonal promotions and inventory clearance, particularly in children's clothing and accessories [11] - **Lumber**: The lumber price index decreased to 97.23 points, down by 0.02 points. The drop is linked to reduced factory prices and increased production costs due to rising raw material prices [14] - **Steel**: The steel price index fell to 95.05 points, down by 0.01 points. The decline is driven by weak demand and falling prices in the upstream steel futures market [17] Detailed Price Index Table - The price index table shows various categories with their respective indices and changes, highlighting the overall trends in the market [19]

Core Viewpoint - The overall price index in Linyi Mall decreased to 102.03 points this month, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 0.43% and a year-on-year decline of 0.84% [1] Price Index Summary - Among 14 categories of goods, 7 categories saw price increases while 7 categories experienced declines [3] - The top two categories with price increases were ceramics and board materials, while the top two categories with price declines were steel and household appliances/audio-visual equipment [3] Ceramics Price Index - The ceramics price index rose to 106.35 points, with a month-on-month increase of 0.43 points [5] - Subcategories such as sanitary ceramics, daily ceramics, and building ceramics saw increases of 1.74 points, 0.13 points, and 0.01 points respectively, while craft ceramics remained stable [5] - The demand for ceramics is expected to continue rising due to the upcoming consumption season and infrastructure projects [5] Board Materials Price Index - The board materials price index increased to 95.90 points, with a month-on-month rise of 0.05 points [8] - The increase was driven by a rise in demand as construction projects ramped up and dealers increased their inventory [8] - The production costs for board materials rose due to higher raw material prices, leading to a slight increase in market average selling prices [8] Steel Price Index - The steel price index fell to 95.16 points, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 2.50 points [11] - All subcategories of steel experienced declines, with structural steel, construction steel, board steel, and pipe steel dropping by 3.42 points, 3.37 points, 2.54 points, and 2.06 points respectively [11] - The steel market faced weak demand due to a sluggish real estate market and insufficient construction activity [11] Household Appliances and Audio-Visual Equipment Price Index - The price index for household appliances and audio-visual equipment decreased to 102.50 points, with a month-on-month decline of 0.67 points [14] - Significant price drops were observed in cooling appliances and fans, while kitchen appliances saw mixed performance [14] - The overall market for household appliances showed a downward trend as demand for cooling products decreased with cooler weather [14] Summary of Price Index Changes - The total price index decreased from 102.47 to 102.03, a drop of 0.44 points [15] - Specific category changes included: - Ceramics: increased from 105.92 to 106.35 [15] - Board materials: increased from 95.85 to 95.90 [15] - Steel: decreased from 97.66 to 95.16 [15] - Household appliances: decreased from 103.17 to 102.50 [15]